Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Edmonton OilersFeb 27, 2021

FinalSaturday, Feb 27, 2021· Rogers Place

away

Toronto Maple LeafsTOR

4

@

home

Edmonton OilersEDM

0

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TOR	2	1	1	4		TOR	9	13	7	29
EDM	0	0	0	0		EDM	10	11	9	30

: TOR 39EDM 58
: TOR 2.62EDM 2.61
PP goals: TOR 1EDM 0
Hits: TOR 21EDM 41
Blocks: TOR 12EDM 5
PIM: TOR 0EDM 2
: TOR 52%EDM 48%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs rout Edmonton Oilers 4–0

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Edmonton Oilers 4–0 at EDM. Mitch Marner (TOR) led the scoring with 1G 1A. New look for TOR: Thornton–Tavares–Marner skated 14:39 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (57.1% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

Points
Mitch Marner had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 18:32.Marner
Points
John Tavares had 2 assists (2 points) on 5 shots in 18:07.Tavares
New line
New look for TOR: Thornton–Tavares–Marner skated 14:39 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (57.1% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Thornton Tavares Marner
Luck
EDM scored 0 goals on 2.61 expected goals (58 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Pierre Engvall (TOR) played 18:13, +6:26 up on his 11:47 season average over 41 games.Engvall
Usage
Jimmy Vesey (TOR) played 8:36, −4:12 down on his 12:48 season average over 49 games.Vesey
Usage
Mitch Marner (TOR) played 18:32, −3:58 down on his 22:30 season average over 54 games.Marner
Usage
Leon Draisaitl (EDM) played 17:19, −4:58 down on his 22:17 season average over 55 games.Draisaitl

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TOR attacks left (bottom on phones)EDM attacks right (top on phones) →

EDM
TOR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 97 of 97 attempts · EDM 58 · TOR 39

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

EDM
TOR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

EDM pressure
TOR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TOR 23% of the game, EDM 34%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

EDM

TOR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TOR	EDM
	46	70
	2.99	3.14
	2.87	2.94
	7	18
	2	2
	28	24
	+0.016	−0.016
	23%	34%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Hyman – Engvall – Mikheyev
15:1954% CF
L2Thornton – Tavares – Marner
14:3957% CF
L3Kerfoot – Nylander – Barabanov
10:0837% CF
L4Spezza – Boyd – Vesey
7:3810% CF
D1Brodie – Rielly
19:5846% CF
D2Muzzin – Holl
19:1521% CF
D3Bogosian – Dermott
13:4059% CF

PP1Thornton – Tavares – Rielly – Nylander – Marner
0:24100% CF

Current TOR line combinations →

Edmonton Oilers

L1Nugent-Hopkins – McDavid – Puljujarvi
12:4859% CF
L2Chiasson – Russell – Haas
10:3379% CF
L3Draisaitl – Yamamoto – Kahun
10:0482% CF
L4Ennis – Archibald – Khaira
9:3958% CF
D1Barrie – Nurse
24:2662% CF
D2Russell – Larsson
11:5061% CF
D3Bear – Jones
10:0446% CF

PK1FArchibald – Haas
0:24
PK1DNurse – Bear
0:24

Current EDM line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

14:37
TORWilliam NylanderPP (Mitch Marner, John Tavares)wrist0.12 xG
TOR: Thornton, Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, MarnerEDM: Archibald, Nurse, Bear, Haas
TOR 1 – 0 EDM
15:50
TORMitch Marner (John Tavares, Joe Thornton)snap0.22 xG
TOR: Thornton, Brodie, Tavares, Rielly, MarnerEDM: Barrie, Nugent-Hopkins, Nurse, McDavid, Puljujarvi
TOR 2 – 0 EDM

2nd period

11:15
TORJason Spezza (Jimmy Vesey, TJ Brodie)wrist0.03 xG
TOR: Spezza, Muzzin, Brodie, Boyd, VeseyEDM: Barrie, Archibald, Nugent-Hopkins, Nurse, McDavid
TOR 3 – 0 EDM

3rd period

13:34
TORZach Hyman (Pierre Engvall, Jake Muzzin)snap0.13 xG
TOR: Muzzin, Holl, Hyman, Engvall, MikheyevEDM: Nurse, McDavid, Bear, Yamamoto, Kahun
TOR 4 – 0 EDM

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Zach Hyman L	L1	1	0	1	+1	4	0.57	1	1	0	20:08	—	—	46	58
Ilya Mikheyev R	L1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.19	1	1	0	18:26	—	—	43	54
Pierre Engvall L	L1	0	1	1	+1	3	0.12	2	0	0	18:13	—	—	45	56
Mitch Marner R	L2	1	1	2	+1	3	0.50	1	0	0	18:32	—	—	48	56
John Tavares C	L2	0	2	2	+1	5	0.34	1	0	0	18:07	—	—	56	59
Joe Thornton C	L2	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	0	1	0	16:31	—	—	59	59
William Nylander R	L3	1	0	1	0	2	0.20	0	0	0	13:51	—	—	28	40
Alexander Kerfoot C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	13:44	—	—	32	41
Alexander Barabanov L	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.14	0	0	0	13:31	—	—	33	41
Jason Spezza C	L4	1	0	1	+1	1	0.03	1	0	0	11:54	—	—	24	24
Travis Boyd C	L4	0	0	0	+1	1	0.19	0	0	0	8:51	—	—	23	43
Jimmy Vesey L	L4	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	0	0	0	8:36	—	—	8	6
Morgan Rielly D	D1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.23	2	3	0	24:15	—	—	44	61
TJ Brodie D	D1	0	1	1	+2	0	0.00	1	2	0	22:15	—	—	44	57
Jake Muzzin D	D2	0	1	1	+2	0	0.00	4	3	0	22:30	—	—	27	31
Justin Holl D	D2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.03	2	0	0	19:27	—	—	21	28
Zach Bogosian D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	1	1	0	16:02	—	—	48	53
Travis Dermott D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.05	2	0	0	15:07	—	—	60	56

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Jack Campbell(start)	W	30	30	0	.1000	2.61	60:00

Edmonton Oilers

EDM skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Connor McDavid C	L1	0	0	0	-3	1	0.04	1	0	0	20:15	—	—	51	37
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins C	L1	0	0	0	-2	2	0.11	1	0	0	19:00	—	—	61	47
Jesse Puljujarvi R	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.32	5	0	0	16:21	—	—	59	46
Alex Chiasson R	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.35	4	0	0	13:08	—	—	82	81
Gaetan Haas C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.35	1	0	0	12:36	—	—	78	76
Patrick Russell R	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	3	0	0	12:00	—	—	72	74
Kailer Yamamoto R	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.23	1	0	0	17:24	—	—	60	31
Leon Draisaitl C	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.06	0	0	0	17:19	—	—	57	36
Dominik Kahun C	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	14:21	—	—	77	63
Josh Archibald R	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.42	10	0	0	13:07	—	—	48	50
Tyler Ennis R	L4	0	0	0	0	3	0.16	2	0	0	12:41	—	—	55	53
Jujhar Khaira L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	5	0	0	11:24	—	—	52	58
Darnell Nurse D	D1	0	0	0	-3	7	0.26	2	0	0	27:20	—	—	62	38
Tyson Barrie D	D1	0	0	0	-2	2	0.10	2	1	0	25:18	—	—	61	36
Kris Russell D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.04	2	1	2	17:26	—	—	59	57
Adam Larsson D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	1	0	0	16:27	—	—	69	62
Ethan Bear D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	2	0	17:02	—	—	45	62
Caleb Jones D	D3	0	0	0	0	3	0.07	1	1	0	16:27	—	—	61	69

EDM goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Mike Smith(start)	L	29	25	4	.862	2.62	60:00

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.