Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Edmonton OilersMar 3, 2021

FinalWednesday, Mar 3, 2021· Rogers Place

away

Toronto Maple LeafsTOR

6

@

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Edmonton OilersEDM

1

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TOR	1	4	1	6		TOR	10	11	11	32
EDM	0	1	0	1		EDM	9	9	9	27

: TOR 55EDM 60
: TOR 4.35EDM 2.06
PP goals: TOR 2EDM 0
Hits: TOR 21EDM 42
Blocks: TOR 20EDM 11
PIM: TOR 0EDM 10
: TOR 57%EDM 43%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs rout Edmonton Oilers 6–1

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Edmonton Oilers 6–1 at EDM. Jason Spezza (TOR) led the scoring with 0G 3A. TOR's first power-play unit (Thornton, Tavares, Rielly, Marner and Matthews) scored 1 power-play goal on 10 attempts in 3:24 together.

Points
Jason Spezza had 3 assists (3 points) on 2 shots in 14:18.Spezza
Points
Jimmy Vesey had two goals (2 points) on 2 shots in 13:25.Vesey
Points
John Tavares had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 16:20.Tavares
Points
Zach Hyman had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 5 shots in 16:55.Hyman
Points
Travis Boyd had 2 assists (2 points) in 11:35.Boyd
PP1
TOR's first power-play unit (Thornton, Tavares, Rielly, Marner and Matthews) scored 1 power-play goal on 10 attempts in 3:24 together.Thornton Tavares Rielly Marner Matthews
New line
New look for EDM: Nugent-Hopkins–Draisaitl–Yamamoto skated 14:45 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (70.4% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Nugent-Hopkins Draisaitl Yamamoto
New line
New look for EDM: Neal–McDavid–Puljujarvi skated 4:48 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (36.4% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Neal McDavid Puljujarvi

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TOR attacks left (bottom on phones)EDM attacks right (top on phones) →

EDM
TOR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 115 of 115 attempts · EDM 60 · TOR 55

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

EDM
TOR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

EDM pressure
TOR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TOR 42% of the game, EDM 18%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

EDM

TOR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TOR	EDM
	42	68
	3.19	2.22
	2.97	2.13
	11	7
	2	6
	28	23
	+0.078	−0.078
	42%	18%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Thornton – Marner – Matthews
13:0638% CF
L2Hyman – Engvall – Mikheyev
10:2437% CF
L3Tavares – Kerfoot – Nylander
10:2055% CF
L4Spezza – Boyd – Vesey
8:4133% CF
D1Muzzin – Holl
19:0734% CF
D2Brodie – Rielly
17:5448% CF
D3Bogosian – Dermott
13:5337% CF

PP1Thornton – Tavares – Rielly – Marner – Matthews
3:2483% CF
PP2Spezza – Brodie – Hyman – Vesey – Nylander
2:02100% CF

Current TOR line combinations →

Edmonton Oilers

L1Nugent-Hopkins – Draisaitl – Yamamoto
14:4570% CF
L2Ennis – Archibald – Khaira
5:4954% CF
L3Turris – Nygard – Haas
5:1657% CF
L4Neal – McDavid – Puljujarvi
4:4836% CF
D1Russell – Barrie
15:1360% CF
D2Nurse – Bear
14:2565% CF
D3Larsson – Jones
10:3757% CF

PK1FNugent-Hopkins – Draisaitl
2:33
PK2FArchibald – Khaira
2:23
PK1DLarsson – Nurse
2:03
PK2DRussell – Jones
1:23

Current EDM line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

9:03
TORJimmy Vesey (Travis Boyd, Jason Spezza)snap0.11 xG
TOR: Spezza, Muzzin, Holl, Boyd, VeseyEDM: Ennis, Archibald, Larsson, Khaira, Jones
TOR 1 – 0 EDM

2nd period

2:57
TORJimmy Vesey (Jason Spezza, Travis Boyd)snap0.15 xG
TOR: Spezza, Bogosian, Holl, Boyd, VeseyEDM: Turris, Nurse, Bear, Nygard, Haas
TOR 2 – 0 EDM
4:44
TORJohn TavaresPP (Joe Thornton, Mitch Marner)snap0.09 xG
TOR: Thornton, Tavares, Rielly, Marner, MatthewsEDM: Archibald, Nurse, Draisaitl, Bear
TOR 3 – 0 EDM
7:02
TORIlya Mikheyev (Zach Hyman, Pierre Engvall)wrist0.06 xG
TOR: Muzzin, Holl, Hyman, Engvall, MikheyevEDM: Nugent-Hopkins, Nurse, Draisaitl, Bear, Yamamoto
TOR 4 – 0 EDM
13:46
EDMRyan Nugent-Hopkins (Leon Draisaitl, Kris Russell)backhand0.02 xG
TOR: Thornton, Bogosian, Dermott, Marner, MatthewsEDM: Russell, Barrie, Nugent-Hopkins, Draisaitl, Yamamoto
TOR 4 – 1 EDM
18:22
TORWilliam Nylander (John Tavares, Morgan Rielly)wrist0.12 xG
TOR: Brodie, Tavares, Rielly, Kerfoot, NylanderEDM: Ennis, Barrie, Archibald, McDavid, Jones
TOR 5 – 1 EDM

3rd period

10:33
TORZach HymanPP (Jason Spezza, TJ Brodie)backhand0.09 xG
TOR: Spezza, Brodie, Hyman, Vesey, NylanderEDM: Archibald, Larsson, Khaira, Nurse
TOR 6 – 1 EDM

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mitch Marner R	L1	0	1	1	-1	1	0.16	0	3	0	18:50	—	—	36	44
Auston Matthews C	L1	0	0	0	-1	7	0.54	1	1	0	18:43	—	—	36	44
Joe Thornton C	L1	0	1	1	-1	1	0.09	0	0	0	17:01	—	—	40	47
Zach Hyman L	L2	1	1	2	+1	5	0.79	1	0	0	16:55	—	—	46	69
Pierre Engvall L	L2	0	1	1	+1	2	0.17	1	0	0	15:02	—	—	33	56
Ilya Mikheyev R	L2	1	0	1	+1	2	0.31	2	2	0	14:17	—	—	39	53
John Tavares C	L3	1	1	2	+1	3	0.67	0	0	0	16:20	—	—	54	67
Alexander Kerfoot C	L3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.16	2	1	0	14:56	—	—	43	43
William Nylander R	L3	1	0	1	+1	3	0.33	1	0	0	14:28	—	—	58	74
Jason Spezza C	L4	0	3	3	+2	2	0.45	1	0	0	14:18	—	—	29	74
Jimmy Vesey L	L4	2	0	2	+2	2	0.27	2	0	0	13:25	—	—	33	83
Travis Boyd C	L4	0	2	2	+2	0	0.00	1	1	0	11:35	—	—	26	69
Justin Holl D	D1	0	0	0	+3	0	0.05	1	5	0	21:31	—	—	33	48
Jake Muzzin D	D1	0	0	0	+2	2	0.16	2	1	0	20:32	—	—	35	50
Morgan Rielly D	D2	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	1	1	0	21:31	—	—	48	73
TJ Brodie D	D2	0	1	1	+1	2	0.11	1	3	0	20:39	—	—	45	72
Zach Bogosian D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.07	2	1	0	15:48	—	—	32	58
Travis Dermott D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.03	2	1	0	14:18	—	—	35	56

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Frederik Andersen(start)	W	27	26	1	.963	2.06	59:51

Edmonton Oilers

EDM skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins C	L1	1	0	1	0	3	0.27	1	1	2	20:24	—	—	68	47
Leon Draisaitl C	L1	0	1	1	0	3	0.13	1	0	0	19:38	—	—	70	48
Kailer Yamamoto R	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.13	4	0	0	17:08	—	—	69	52
Josh Archibald R	L2	0	0	0	-2	3	0.08	6	0	0	17:08	—	—	58	34
Tyler Ennis R	L2	0	0	0	-2	2	0.38	2	0	0	15:07	—	—	63	58
Jujhar Khaira L	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.30	12	0	0	15:06	—	—	55	40
Kyle Turris C	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.03	1	0	0	11:26	—	—	64	31
Joakim Nygard L	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	2	9:50	—	—	63	8
Gaetan Haas C	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	8:47	—	—	67	27
Connor McDavid C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.05	4	0	0	17:55	—	—	56	38
James Neal L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.10	2	0	2	11:07	—	—	52	26
Jesse Puljujarvi R	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.13	1	0	0	10:00	—	—	50	26
Kris Russell D	D1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.00	2	4	0	19:36	—	—	61	30
Tyson Barrie D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.07	0	0	0	19:32	—	—	54	24
Darnell Nurse D	D2	0	0	0	-2	2	0.06	0	2	0	25:11	—	—	69	59
Ethan Bear D	D2	0	0	0	-2	1	0.25	0	1	2	19:17	—	—	66	42
Adam Larsson D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.04	6	2	0	19:24	—	—	72	65
Caleb Jones D	D3	0	0	0	-2	2	0.04	0	1	0	17:07	—	—	50	23

EDM goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Mike Smith(start)	L	32	26	6	.813	4.35	60:00

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.