Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Edmonton OilersFeb 3, 2026

FinalTuesday, Feb 3, 2026· Rogers Place

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TOR	0	2	3	5		TOR	8	12	7	27
EDM	0	1	1	2		EDM	9	17	10	36

: TOR 47EDM 68
: TOR 3.43EDM 3.50
PP goals: TOR 2EDM 0
Hits: TOR 13EDM 19
Blocks: TOR 19EDM 7
PIM: TOR 9EDM 21
: TOR 54%EDM 46%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Edmonton Oilers 5–2

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Edmonton Oilers 5–2 at EDM. Matias Maccelli (TOR) led the scoring with 2G 0A. TOR's first power-play unit (Tavares, Ekman-Larsson, Nylander, Matthews and Knies) scored 1 power-play goal on 3 attempts in 1:04 together.

Points
Matias Maccelli had two goals (2 points) on 4 shots in 11:29.Maccelli
Points
Matthew Knies had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 1 shot in 15:28.Knies
PP1
TOR's first power-play unit (Tavares, Ekman-Larsson, Nylander, Matthews and Knies) scored 1 power-play goal on 3 attempts in 1:04 together.Tavares Ekman-Larsson Nylander Matthews Knies
Goalie
Anthony Stolarz (TOR) faced 36 shots and stopped 34 (.944), +9 against a season average of 27.2; the win.Stolarz
New line
New look for EDM: Janmark–Mangiapane–Frederic skated 5:37 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (35.7% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Janmark Mangiapane Frederic
Luck
EDM scored 2 goals on 3.51 expected goals (68 attempts), well short of its chances.
Luck
TOR scored 5 goals on 3.43 expected goals (47 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
Usage
John Tavares (TOR) played 14:54, −3:19 down on his 18:13 season average over 81 games.Tavares

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TOR attacks left (bottom on phones)EDM attacks right (top on phones) →

EDM
TOR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 115 of 115 attempts · EDM 68 · TOR 47

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

EDM
TOR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

EDM pressure
TOR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TOR 22% of the game, EDM 33%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

EDM

TOR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Head-to-head matchups

EDM skaters (rows) against TOR skaters (columns) at 5v5. Square size is time together; colour is xGF% from the EDM side.

Matchup matrix

EDM xGF% 4060square size = TOI together · blank = under 1:00

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TOR	EDM
	46	76
	2.80	3.80
	2.66	3.38
	14	18
	14	5
	18	25
	−0.005	+0.005
	22%	33%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Domi – Matthews – McMann
12:4541% CF
L2Roy – Robertson – Knies
8:5440% CF
L3Tavares – Nylander – Maccelli
8:4938% CF
L4Jarnkrok – Laughton – Lorentz
6:3730% CF
D1Ekman-Larsson – Stecher
14:0739% CF
D2McCabe – Carlo
13:4636% CF
D3Myers – Benoit
8:5227% CF

PP1Tavares – Ekman-Larsson – Nylander – Matthews – Knies
1:04100% CF
PP2Ekman-Larsson – Domi – Robertson – Maccelli – McMann
0:31100% CF
PK1FLaughton – Lorentz
1:26
PK2FJarnkrok – Roy
0:23
PK1DMcCabe – Carlo
1:14
PK2DStecher – Benoit
0:23

Current TOR line combinations →

Edmonton Oilers

L1Hyman – Nugent-Hopkins – McDavid
10:0148% CF
L2Draisaitl – Kapanen – Podkolzin
8:0771% CF
L3Roslovic – Savoie – Samanski
8:0273% CF
L4Janmark – Mangiapane – Frederic
5:3736% CF
D1Ekholm – Bouchard
16:5458% CF
D2Nurse – Walman
15:5152% CF
D3Emberson – Stastney
12:2986% CF

PP1Hyman – Nugent-Hopkins – Draisaitl – McDavid – Bouchard
1:5175% CF
PK1FMcDavid – Savoie
0:31
PK1DNurse – Walman
0:31

Current EDM line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

7:12
TORMatias Maccelli (Jake McCabe)tip-in0.06 xG
TOR: Tavares, McCabe, Nylander, Stecher, MaccelliEDM: Janmark, Mangiapane, Frederic, Bouchard, Stastney
TOR 1 – 0 EDM
11:09
EDMJake Walman (Josh Samanski, Jack Roslovic)slap0.06 xG
TOR: Ekman-Larsson, Jarnkrok, Laughton, Lorentz, StecherEDM: Nurse, Walman, Roslovic, Savoie, Samanski
TOR 1 – 1 EDM
11:18
TORMatthew Knies (Nicolas Roy)backhand0.11 xG
TOR: Roy, Myers, Benoit, Robertson, KniesEDM: Nurse, Walman, Roslovic, Savoie, Samanski
TOR 2 – 1 EDM

3rd period

4:27
EDMKasperi Kapanen (Vasily Podkolzin, Ty Emberson)snap0.20 xG
TOR: Ekman-Larsson, Domi, Matthews, Stecher, McMannEDM: Nugent-Hopkins, Kapanen, Emberson, Stastney, Podkolzin
TOR 2 – 2 EDM
7:42
TORJohn TavaresPP (William Nylander, Matthew Knies)tip-in0.21 xG
TOR: Tavares, Ekman-Larsson, Nylander, Matthews, KniesEDM: Ekholm, Nugent-Hopkins, Bouchard
TOR 3 – 2 EDM
8:13
TORMatias MaccelliPP (Max Domi, Oliver Ekman-Larsson)snap0.14 xG
TOR: Ekman-Larsson, Domi, Robertson, Maccelli, McMannEDM: Nurse, Walman, McDavid, Savoie
TOR 4 – 2 EDM
17:22
TORBobby McMannEN (Auston Matthews)wrist0.47 xG
TOR: Laughton, McCabe, Carlo, Matthews, McMannEDM: Ekholm, Hyman, Draisaitl, McDavid, Roslovic, Bouchard
TOR 5 – 2 EDM

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Auston Matthews C	L1	0	1	1	0	0	0.22	0	0	0	21:11	—	—	40	39
Bobby McMann C	L1	1	0	1	0	5	0.73	4	0	0	17:36	—	—	39	29
Max Domi C	L1	0	1	1	-1	2	0.45	0	1	0	17:00	—	—	43	38
Matthew Knies L	L2	1	1	2	+1	1	0.14	1	0	0	15:28	—	—	33	58
Nicolas Roy C	L2	0	1	1	+1	1	0.13	0	0	0	14:42	—	—	26	41
Nick Robertson L	L2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.28	1	2	0	11:25	—	—	41	64
William Nylander R	L3	0	1	1	+1	3	0.26	0	1	0	17:46	—	—	37	45
John Tavares C	L3	1	0	1	+1	2	0.47	0	1	0	14:54	—	—	45	54
Matias Maccelli L	L3	2	0	2	+1	4	0.41	0	2	0	11:29	—	—	46	64
Scott Laughton C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.23	2	1	0	15:05	—	—	32	39
Steven Lorentz C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	0	0	11:09	—	—	29	20
Calle Jarnkrok C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	9:20	—	—	23	17
Troy Stecher D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.03	0	1	0	22:35	—	—	47	52
Oliver Ekman-Larsson D	D1	0	1	1	-2	0	0.04	0	0	4	22:19	—	—	35	37
Jake McCabe D	D2	0	1	1	+2	4	0.02	1	3	0	25:16	—	—	49	56
Brandon Carlo D	D2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.03	1	3	5	19:22	—	—	36	37
Simon Benoit D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	3	0	17:47	—	—	19	15
Philippe Myers D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	1	0	11:36	—	—	25	37

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Anthony Stolarz(start)	W	36	34	2	.944	3.50	60:00

Edmonton Oilers

EDM skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Connor McDavid C	L1	0	0	0	-1	4	0.53	0	1	0	21:49	—	—	56	49
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins C	L1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.47	0	0	0	18:18	—	—	54	55
Zach Hyman L	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.14	0	0	0	18:07	—	—	54	49
Leon Draisaitl C	L2	0	0	0	-1	4	0.55	0	1	0	20:47	—	—	77	67
Kasperi Kapanen R	L2	1	0	1	+1	3	0.42	4	0	0	15:03	—	—	77	67
Vasily Podkolzin R	L2	0	1	1	+1	1	0.13	2	0	0	14:14	—	—	78	69
Jack Roslovic C	L3	0	1	1	-1	2	0.08	0	0	0	16:11	—	—	70	73
Matt Savoie C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	0	1	2	13:01	—	—	75	64
Josh Samanski C	L3	0	1	1	0	1	0.00	0	0	0	9:55	—	—	71	56
Trent Frederic C	L4	0	0	0	-1	2	0.13	4	0	10	11:35	—	—	54	59
Mattias Janmark C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.09	0	0	2	10:30	—	—	55	60
Andrew Mangiapane L	L4	0	0	0	-1	3	0.43	1	0	2	8:14	—	—	37	41
Evan Bouchard D	D1	0	0	0	-2	2	0.20	0	1	0	24:33	—	—	60	49
Mattias Ekholm D	D1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.04	0	0	0	20:54	—	—	60	48
Jake Walman D	D2	1	0	1	0	4	0.12	1	1	0	21:34	—	—	53	47
Darnell Nurse D	D2	0	0	0	0	4	0.14	5	1	5	19:26	—	—	63	61
Ty Emberson D	D3	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	2	1	0	17:04	—	—	75	90
Spencer Stastney D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	14:42	—	—	75	80

EDM goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Connor Ingram(start)	L	26	22	4	.846	2.96	59:30

Goal anatomy

Animated replays from NHL EDGE tracking, with the entry, passes and shot speed for each goal.

Matias Maccelli (TOR) 2nd 7:12 · assists Jake McCabe · Deflection · 42.4 mph shot.

Matias Maccelli · 2nd 7:12 · TOR

Play: deflection
Passes: 2
Shot: 42.4 mph
Distance: 18 ft
Type: deflection

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Jake Walman · 2nd 11:09 · EDM

Play: faceoff
Passes: 0
Shot: 85.9 mph
Distance: 50 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Matthew Knies · 2nd 11:18 · TOR

Play: dump-and-chase
Entry: dump
Odd man: 2-on-1
Passes: 1
Shot: 15.4 mph
Distance: 2 ft
Entry to goal: 5.4 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Kasperi Kapanen · 3rd 4:27 · EDM

Play: cycle
Passes: 0
Shot: 21.5 mph
Distance: 14 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

John Tavares · 3rd 7:42 · TOR PP

Play: deflection
Passes: 1 (royal road)
Shot: 25.4 mph
Distance: 2 ft
Type: one-timer

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Matias Maccelli · 3rd 8:13 · TOR PP

Play: cycle
Passes: 4 (royal road)
Shot: 59.5 mph
Distance: 23 ft
Type: one-timer

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Bobby McMann · 3rd 17:22 · TOR EN

Play: cycle
Passes: 0
Distance: 16 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.