Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Florida PanthersApr 10, 2023

Final / OTMonday, Apr 10, 2023· FLA Live Arena

away

Toronto Maple LeafsTOR

2

@

home

Florida PanthersFLA

1

Goals	1	2	3	OT	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
TOR	0	1	0	1	2		TOR	8	7	7	3	25
FLA	0	0	1	0	1		FLA	15	16	11	4	46

: TOR 48FLA 84
: TOR 2.44FLA 3.34
PP goals: TOR 0FLA 0
Hits: TOR 25FLA 36
Blocks: TOR 23FLA 11
PIM: TOR 4FLA 2
: TOR 52%FLA 48%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs edge Florida Panthers 2–1 (OT)

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Florida Panthers 2–1 in overtime at FLA. Brandon Montour (FLA) led the scoring with 1G 0A. Ilya Samsonov (TOR) faced 46 shots and stopped 45 (.978), +18 against a season average of 28.2; the win.

Goalie
Ilya Samsonov (TOR) faced 46 shots and stopped 45 (.978), +18 against a season average of 28.2; the win.Samsonov
Luck
FLA scored 1 goal on 3.34 expected goals (84 attempts), well short of its chances.
New line
New look for TOR: Kerfoot–Acciari–Knies skated 5:05 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (50% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Kerfoot Acciari Knies
Usage
Brandon Montour (FLA) played 27:51, +3:46 up on his 24:05 season average over 79 games.Montour
Usage
Luke Schenn (TOR) played 11:14, −5:12 down on his 16:26 season average over 69 games.Schenn
Usage
Nick Cousins (FLA) played 6:46, −4:19 down on his 11:05 season average over 78 games.Cousins
Usage
Timothy Liljegren (TOR) played 13:41, −4:17 down on his 17:58 season average over 66 games.Liljegren
Usage
Josh Mahura (FLA) played 10:20, −3:45 down on his 14:05 season average over 81 games.Mahura

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TOR attacks left (bottom on phones)FLA attacks right (top on phones) →

FLA
TOR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 132 of 132 attempts · FLA 84 · TOR 48

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

FLA
TOR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

FLA pressure
TOR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TOR 25% of the game, FLA 34%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

FLA

TOR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TOR	FLA
	53	83
	2.38	3.03
	2.34	2.68
	16	17
	4	6
	31	14
	+0.057	−0.057
	25%	34%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Bunting – Marner – Matthews
13:5457% CF
L2O'Reilly – Tavares – Nylander
10:1339% CF
L3Kerfoot – Acciari – Knies
5:0550% CF
D1Brodie – McCabe
14:2944% CF
D2Giordano – Holl
10:0925% CF
D3Rielly – Liljegren
7:2553% CF

PP1O'Reilly – Tavares – Rielly – Marner – Matthews
0:5750% CF
PP2Giordano – Kerfoot – Nylander – Bunting – Knies
0:420% CF
PK1FO'Reilly – Acciari
1:30
PK2FMarner – Kampf
0:50
PK1DGiordano – McCabe
2:17
PK2DBrodie – Holl
1:22

Current TOR line combinations →

Florida Panthers

L1Tkachuk – Luostarinen – Lundell
11:2875% CF
L2Duclair – Verhaeghe – Barkov
7:1125% CF
L3Staal – Reinhart – Lomberg
7:0750% CF
L4Cousins – White – Smith
4:0525% CF
D1Staal – Montour
18:1273% CF
D2Ekblad – Forsling
18:0258% CF
D3Gudas – Mahura
10:0255% CF

PP1Barkov – Ekblad – Reinhart – Montour – Tkachuk
2:58100% CF
PP2Duclair – Verhaeghe – Forsling – Tkachuk – Luostarinen
0:37100% CF
PK1FStaal – Luostarinen
0:37
PK2FBarkov – Reinhart
0:36
PK1DEkblad – Forsling
0:56
PK2DStaal – Gudas
0:40

Current FLA line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

17:47
TORAuston Matthews (Mitch Marner, TJ Brodie)wrist0.17 xG
TOR: Brodie, McCabe, Bunting, Marner, MatthewsFLA: Duclair, Verhaeghe, Barkov, Montour, Forsling
TOR 1 – 0 FLA

3rd period

9:36
FLABrandon Montour (Carter Verhaeghe, Marc Staal)wrist0.01 xG
TOR: Brodie, O'Reilly, Tavares, McCabe, NylanderFLA: Verhaeghe, Barkov, Reinhart, Montour, Forsling
TOR 1 – 1 FLA

OT period

4:38
TORJohn Tavares (Morgan Rielly)wrist0.21 xG
TOR: Tavares, McCabe, MarnerFLA: Verhaeghe, Montour, Tkachuk
TOR 2 – 1 FLA

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mitch Marner R	L1	0	1	1	+2	1	0.02	0	0	0	21:38	—	—	57	73
Auston Matthews C	L1	1	0	1	+1	4	0.56	0	1	0	21:01	—	—	48	64
Michael Bunting L	L1	0	0	0	+1	4	0.31	3	0	2	17:53	—	—	50	72
William Nylander R	L2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.32	0	0	0	19:44	—	—	34	36
John Tavares C	L2	1	0	1	0	3	0.30	1	0	0	19:15	—	—	37	41
Ryan O'Reilly C	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.16	2	0	0	18:50	—	—	39	32
Noel Acciari C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.03	6	2	0	18:27	—	—	27	32
Matthew Knies L	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	13:09	—	—	38	30
Alexander Kerfoot C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.26	0	0	2	12:54	—	—	35	33
TJ Brodie D	D1	0	1	1	0	2	0.27	1	7	0	23:11	—	—	51	58
Jake McCabe D	D1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.01	1	4	0	19:36	—	—	44	49
Mark Giordano D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	2	0	17:50	—	—	28	32
Justin Holl D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	1	0	17:16	—	—	42	41
Morgan Rielly D	D3	0	1	1	0	1	0.08	0	4	0	20:10	—	—	37	40
Timothy Liljegren D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	1	0	13:41	—	—	41	50
David Kampf C	—	0	0	0	0	1	0.10	1	0	0	13:56	—	—	23	30
Luke Schenn D	—	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	7	0	0	11:14	—	—	28	35
Zachary Aston-Reese L	—	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	10:09	—	—	29	17

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Ilya Samsonov(start)	W	46	45	1	.978	3.34	64:38

Florida Panthers

FLA skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Matthew Tkachuk L	L1	0	0	0	-1	8	1.02	3	0	0	22:34	—	—	68	71
Eetu Luostarinen C	L1	0	0	0	0	4	0.46	0	0	0	19:05	—	—	74	72
Anton Lundell C	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	1	0	0	18:35	—	—	75	82
Aleksander Barkov C	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.06	2	1	0	22:28	—	—	55	39
Carter Verhaeghe C	L2	0	1	1	-1	2	0.08	0	0	0	18:36	—	—	53	24
Anthony Duclair L	L2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.29	3	1	0	15:12	—	—	45	25
Sam Reinhart C	L3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.05	2	1	0	21:41	—	—	73	63
Eric Staal C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.21	0	0	0	16:14	—	—	63	57
Ryan Lomberg L	L3	0	0	0	0	4	0.29	7	0	0	14:26	—	—	65	57
Nick Cousins C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.07	3	0	0	6:46	—	—	43	58
Givani Smith R	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	1	1	0	6:40	—	—	53	29
Colin White C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	2	0	6:01	—	—	46	24
Brandon Montour D	D1	1	0	1	-1	4	0.19	0	1	2	27:51	—	—	65	69
Marc Staal D	D1	0	1	1	0	2	0.04	3	1	0	20:03	—	—	72	80
Gustav Forsling D	D2	0	0	0	0	3	0.18	1	1	0	26:13	—	—	54	36
Aaron Ekblad D	D2	0	0	0	0	3	0.29	1	1	0	25:29	—	—	57	23
Radko Gudas D	D3	0	0	0	0	4	0.08	4	1	0	13:40	—	—	62	67
Josh Mahura D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	4	0	0	10:20	—	—	59	61

FLA goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Alex Lyon(start)	O	25	23	2	.920	2.44	64:38

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.