Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Florida PanthersMay 7, 2023

Final / OTPlayoffsSunday, May 7, 2023· FLA Live Arena

away

Toronto Maple LeafsTOR

2

@

home

Florida PanthersFLA

3

Goals	1	2	3	1OT	T		Shots	1	2	3	1OT	T
TOR	1	1	0	0	2		TOR	4	9	11	0	24
FLA	0	2	0	1	3		FLA	7	14	7	1	29

: TOR 56FLA 71
: TOR 2.62FLA 3.44
PP goals: TOR 0FLA 1
Hits: TOR 26FLA 26
Blocks: TOR 24FLA 16
PIM: TOR 4FLA 0
: TOR 61%FLA 39%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Florida Panthers edge Toronto Maple Leafs 3–2 (OT)

Florida Panthers beat Toronto Maple Leafs 3–2 in overtime at home. Aaron Ekblad (FLA) led the scoring with 0G 2A. Mark Giordano (TOR) played 7:47, −7:49 down on his 15:36 season average over 10 games.

Points
Aaron Ekblad had 2 assists (2 points) in 22:14.Ekblad
Usage
Mark Giordano (TOR) played 7:47, −7:49 down on his 15:36 season average over 10 games.Giordano
Usage
Anthony Duclair (FLA) played 19:02, +3:54 up on his 15:08 season average over 19 games.Duclair
Usage
Morgan Rielly (TOR) played 20:55, −3:34 down on his 24:29 season average over 10 games.Rielly
Usage
Radko Gudas (FLA) played 13:31, −3:40 down on his 17:11 season average over 20 games.Gudas
Usage
Eric Staal (FLA) played 7:32, −4:19 down on his 11:51 season average over 20 games.Staal
Usage
Alexander Kerfoot (TOR) played 17:22, +3:30 up on his 13:52 season average over 10 games.Kerfoot
Usage
TJ Brodie (TOR) played 26:40, +3:40 up on his 23:00 season average over 10 games.Brodie

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TOR attacks left (bottom on phones)FLA attacks right (top on phones) →

FLA
TOR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 127 of 127 attempts · FLA 71 · TOR 56

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

FLA
TOR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

FLA pressure
TOR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TOR 15% of the game, FLA 30%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

FLA

TOR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TOR	FLA
	66	77
	3.14	3.16
	2.92	2.96
	16	20
	6	8
	18	31
	+0.112	−0.112
	15%	30%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Bunting – Marner – Matthews
13:0841% CF
L2O'Reilly – Kerfoot – Acciari
8:5659% CF
L3Tavares – Jarnkrok – Nylander
6:2655% CF
D1Schenn – Rielly
18:4240% CF
D2Brodie – McCabe
16:2750% CF
D3Holl – Gustafsson
6:4071% CF

PK1FMarner – Kampf
1:47
PK2FO'Reilly – Jarnkrok
0:55
PK1DBrodie – Holl
2:34
PK2DGiordano – McCabe
0:00

Current TOR line combinations →

Florida Panthers

L1Duclair – Verhaeghe – Barkov
15:0060% CF
L2Reinhart – Luostarinen – Lundell
14:2655% CF
L3Cousins – Bennett – Tkachuk
13:2748% CF
L4Staal – Dalpe – White
5:0450% CF
D1Staal – Montour
20:4746% CF
D2Ekblad – Forsling
20:2263% CF
D3Gudas – Mahura
10:1659% CF

PP1Barkov – Reinhart – Bennett – Montour – Tkachuk
3:4086% CF
PP2Duclair – Verhaeghe – Ekblad – Forsling – Lundell
0:19100% CF

Current FLA line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

2:26
TORSam Lafferty (David Kampf, Morgan Rielly)wrist0.13 xG
TOR: Brodie, Rielly, Kerfoot, Lafferty, KampfFLA: Staal, Dalpe, Gudas, White, Mahura
TOR 1 – 0 FLA

2nd period

2:36
FLAAnthony DuclairPP (Aaron Ekblad)wrist0.18 xG
TOR: O'Reilly, Jarnkrok, Holl, McCabeFLA: Duclair, Verhaeghe, Ekblad, Forsling, Lundell
TOR 1 – 1 FLA
7:32
TORErik Gustafsson (William Nylander, Jake McCabe)wrist0.14 xG
TOR: Holl, Gustafsson, Nylander, Lafferty, KampfFLA: Staal, Duclair, Verhaeghe, Montour, Lundell
TOR 2 – 1 FLA
12:28
FLACarter Verhaeghe (Radko Gudas, Josh Mahura)deflected0.07 xG
TOR: Brodie, Tavares, McCabe, Marner, MatthewsFLA: Gudas, Verhaeghe, Bennett, Tkachuk, Mahura
TOR 2 – 2 FLA

OT period

3:02
FLASam Reinhart (Anton Lundell, Aaron Ekblad)wrap-around0.05 xG
TOR: Brodie, McCabe, Kerfoot, Lafferty, KampfFLA: Gudas, Reinhart, Mahura, Luostarinen, Lundell
TOR 2 – 3 FLA

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mitch Marner R	L1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.05	0	2	0	21:37	—	—	31	35
Auston Matthews C	L1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.47	3	3	0	20:22	—	—	38	53
Michael Bunting L	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.27	3	1	0	16:06	—	—	46	57
Ryan O'Reilly C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.08	0	2	0	18:51	—	—	61	67
Alexander Kerfoot C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	1	1	0	17:22	—	—	38	41
Noel Acciari C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.33	3	1	0	13:46	—	—	61	48
William Nylander R	L3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.16	0	0	0	18:29	—	—	61	74
John Tavares C	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.30	4	1	0	16:45	—	—	40	46
Calle Jarnkrok C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.16	1	1	0	14:34	—	—	61	53
Morgan Rielly D	D1	0	1	1	+1	2	0.06	2	1	2	20:55	—	—	40	54
Luke Schenn D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.01	4	1	2	19:42	—	—	36	51
TJ Brodie D	D2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	26:40	—	—	46	34
Jake McCabe D	D2	0	1	1	-2	1	0.11	1	0	0	20:08	—	—	46	33
Justin Holl D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.04	1	4	0	19:25	—	—	51	54
Erik Gustafsson D	D3	1	0	1	+1	3	0.17	1	2	0	12:27	—	—	67	70
David Kampf C	—	0	1	1	+1	3	0.27	0	1	0	15:04	—	—	39	34
Sam Lafferty C	—	1	0	1	+1	1	0.13	2	0	0	11:11	—	—	50	53
Mark Giordano D	—	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	3	0	7:47	—	—	44	58

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Joseph Woll	L	21	18	3	.857	2.58	42:25
Ilya Samsonov(start)	—	8	8	0	.1000	0.87	20:37

Florida Panthers

FLA skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Aleksander Barkov C	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.32	2	2	0	22:45	—	—	62	56
Carter Verhaeghe C	L1	1	0	1	0	2	0.14	0	1	0	20:17	—	—	54	43
Anthony Duclair L	L1	1	0	1	-1	5	0.52	1	0	0	19:02	—	—	57	46
Sam Reinhart C	L2	1	0	1	+1	2	0.71	1	1	0	20:22	—	—	58	63
Eetu Luostarinen C	L2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.17	2	2	0	17:16	—	—	53	58
Anton Lundell C	L2	0	1	1	0	2	0.43	3	0	0	16:40	—	—	51	52
Matthew Tkachuk L	L3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.11	4	0	0	21:50	—	—	53	67
Sam Bennett C	L3	0	0	0	+1	4	0.32	2	3	0	19:42	—	—	52	64
Nick Cousins C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.08	1	2	0	15:19	—	—	55	57
Eric Staal C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	7:32	—	—	43	30
Colin White C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.21	0	0	0	6:04	—	—	46	34
Zac Dalpe C	L4	0	0	0	-1	2	0.06	4	0	0	5:54	—	—	43	36
Brandon Montour D	D1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.17	1	1	0	29:00	—	—	49	39
Marc Staal D	D1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.05	0	1	0	21:55	—	—	42	29
Gustav Forsling D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.06	0	2	0	24:55	—	—	63	70
Aaron Ekblad D	D2	0	2	2	0	0	0.03	1	0	0	22:14	—	—	57	54
Radko Gudas D	D3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.04	3	0	0	13:31	—	—	60	73
Josh Mahura D	D3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.03	1	1	0	10:52	—	—	61	70

FLA goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Sergei Bobrovsky(start)	W	24	22	2	.917	2.62	63:02

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.