Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Florida PanthersMay 10, 2023

FinalPlayoffsWednesday, May 10, 2023· FLA Live Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TOR	0	1	1	2		TOR	6	15	4	25
FLA	0	0	1	1		FLA	7	8	10	25

: TOR 45FLA 57
: TOR 2.67FLA 2.76
PP goals: TOR 1FLA 1
Hits: TOR 26FLA 21
Blocks: TOR 21FLA 9
PIM: TOR 16FLA 26
: TOR 62%FLA 38%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs edge Florida Panthers 2–1

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Florida Panthers 2–1 at FLA. Mitch Marner (TOR) led the scoring with 1G 1A. FLA's first power-play unit (Barkov, Reinhart, Bennett, Montour and Tkachuk) scored 1 power-play goal on 11 attempts in 4:11 together.

Points
Mitch Marner had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 21:23.Marner
PP1
FLA's first power-play unit (Barkov, Reinhart, Bennett, Montour and Tkachuk) scored 1 power-play goal on 11 attempts in 4:11 together.Barkov Reinhart Bennett Montour Tkachuk
New line
New look for TOR: Jarnkrok–Marner–Matthews skated 7:47 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (54.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Jarnkrok Marner Matthews
Usage
Jake McCabe (TOR) played 13:55, −7:47 down on his 21:42 season average over 10 games.McCabe
Usage
Gustav Forsling (FLA) played 18:21, −8:03 down on his 26:24 season average over 20 games.Forsling
Usage
Aaron Ekblad (FLA) played 16:51, −7:28 down on his 24:19 season average over 19 games.Ekblad
Luck
FLA scored 1 goal on 2.76 expected goals (57 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Mark Giordano (TOR) played 9:52, −5:32 down on his 15:24 season average over 10 games.Giordano

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TOR attacks left (bottom on phones)FLA attacks right (top on phones) →

FLA
TOR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 102 of 102 attempts · FLA 57 · TOR 45

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

FLA
TOR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

FLA pressure
TOR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TOR 25% of the game, FLA 36%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

FLA

TOR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TOR	FLA
	46	52
	2.19	1.98
	2.11	1.88
	13	10
	2	2
	16	19
	+0.081	−0.080
	25%	36%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Jarnkrok – Marner – Matthews
7:4755% CF
L2Tavares – Kerfoot – Nylander
6:1857% CF
L3O'Reilly – Bunting – Acciari
5:5210% CF
D1Brodie – Holl
15:2046% CF
D2Schenn – Rielly
12:5262% CF
D3McCabe – Liljegren
8:0436% CF

PP1O'Reilly – Tavares – Rielly – Marner – Matthews
1:51100% CF
PP2O'Reilly – Tavares – Jarnkrok – Rielly – Nylander
0:41100% CF
PK1FMarner – Kampf
1:38
PK2FJarnkrok – Acciari
1:01
PK1DGiordano – Holl
1:11
PK2DSchenn – McCabe
1:01

Current TOR line combinations →

Florida Panthers

L1Cousins – Bennett – Tkachuk
12:0274% CF
L2Duclair – Verhaeghe – Barkov
11:5547% CF
L3Reinhart – Luostarinen – Lundell
9:5763% CF
L4Staal – Dalpe – White
3:4814% CF
D1Staal – Montour
18:1145% CF
D2Ekblad – Forsling
13:1261% CF
D3Gudas – Mahura
12:0265% CF

PP1Barkov – Reinhart – Bennett – Montour – Tkachuk
4:1192% CF
PP2Duclair – Verhaeghe – Ekblad – Forsling – Lundell
0:46
PK1FReinhart – Lundell
1:04
PK2FStaal – Luostarinen
0:54
PK1DEkblad – Forsling
2:06
PK2DStaal – Gudas
1:09

Current FLA line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

3:29
TORWilliam NylanderPP (Michael Bunting, Mitch Marner)backhand0.11 xG
TOR: Giordano, Tavares, Nylander, Bunting, MarnerFLA: Staal, Ekblad, Reinhart, Forsling
TOR 1 – 0 FLA

3rd period

10:03
TORMitch Marner (Jake McCabe)wrist0.03 xG
TOR: O'Reilly, McCabe, Marner, Matthews, LiljegrenFLA: Staal, Dalpe, Ekblad, Forsling, White
TOR 2 – 0 FLA
12:13
FLASam ReinhartPP (Matthew Tkachuk, Sam Bennett)other0.19 xG
TOR: Brodie, Holl, Marner, KampfFLA: Barkov, Reinhart, Bennett, Montour, Tkachuk
TOR 2 – 1 FLA

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mitch Marner R	L1	1	1	2	+1	3	0.43	4	1	2	21:23	—	—	42	72
Auston Matthews C	L1	0	0	0	+1	4	0.54	1	3	0	20:37	—	—	46	79
Calle Jarnkrok C	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	14:45	—	—	63	82
William Nylander R	L2	1	0	1	0	4	0.24	0	0	0	17:17	—	—	59	67
John Tavares C	L2	0	0	0	0	5	0.43	0	1	0	16:22	—	—	55	53
Alexander Kerfoot C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.11	0	1	2	15:46	—	—	53	67
Ryan O'Reilly C	L3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.06	1	1	0	18:18	—	—	25	21
Noel Acciari C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	7	3	2	15:13	—	—	17	17
Michael Bunting L	L3	0	1	1	0	1	0.17	2	0	0	11:48	—	—	27	13
Justin Holl D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	1	1	2	21:22	—	—	45	49
TJ Brodie D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.02	0	1	2	21:09	—	—	46	50
Morgan Rielly D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.02	0	2	2	20:14	—	—	55	63
Luke Schenn D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.04	1	2	0	14:40	—	—	62	62
Timothy Liljegren D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.01	1	0	0	16:19	—	—	36	48
Jake McCabe D	D3	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	5	1	2	13:55	—	—	31	41
David Kampf C	—	0	0	0	0	3	0.61	0	0	2	13:52	—	—	53	51
Sam Lafferty C	—	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	1	0	12:05	—	—	65	50
Mark Giordano D	—	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	2	0	9:52	—	—	44	62

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Joseph Woll(start)	W	25	24	1	.960	2.76	60:00

Florida Panthers

FLA skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Matthew Tkachuk L	L1	0	1	1	0	0	0.19	2	0	2	22:38	—	—	64	49
Sam Bennett C	L1	0	1	1	0	3	0.38	2	0	12	21:52	—	—	73	39
Nick Cousins C	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.05	2	0	0	14:00	—	—	75	44
Aleksander Barkov C	L2	0	0	0	0	6	0.27	3	2	4	22:34	—	—	40	39
Carter Verhaeghe C	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.18	0	0	2	20:03	—	—	52	45
Anthony Duclair L	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	16:00	—	—	52	18
Sam Reinhart C	L3	1	0	1	0	5	1.22	1	0	2	20:10	—	—	60	75
Anton Lundell C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.17	1	0	0	15:40	—	—	58	76
Eetu Luostarinen C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	2	14:18	—	—	52	65
Eric Staal C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	6:40	—	—	14	0
Zac Dalpe C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	5:17	—	—	10	0
Colin White C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	0	0	5:02	—	—	13	0
Brandon Montour D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.11	2	2	2	29:03	—	—	42	22
Marc Staal D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	0	0	0	20:10	—	—	46	21
Gustav Forsling D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	0	1	0	18:21	—	—	67	67
Aaron Ekblad D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.07	1	1	0	16:51	—	—	58	48
Radko Gudas D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.05	3	1	0	16:26	—	—	56	58
Josh Mahura D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.04	2	0	0	13:01	—	—	67	81

FLA goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Sergei Bobrovsky(start)	L	25	23	2	.920	2.67	58:37

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.