Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Pittsburgh PenguinsNov 3, 2018

FinalSaturday, Nov 3, 2018· PPG Paints Arena

away

Toronto Maple LeafsTOR

5

@

home

Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT

0

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TOR	1	2	2	5		TOR	13	17	3	33
PIT	0	0	0	0		PIT	9	9	13	31

: TOR 59PIT 54
: TOR 3.07PIT 2.16
PP goals: TOR 1PIT 0
Hits: TOR 25PIT 46
Blocks: TOR 12PIT 13
PIM: TOR 10PIT 6
: TOR 56%PIT 44%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs rout Pittsburgh Penguins 5–0

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Pittsburgh Penguins 5–0 at PIT. Morgan Rielly (TOR) led the scoring with 2G 0A. PIT scored 0 goals on 2.16 expected goals (54 attempts), well short of its chances.

Points
Morgan Rielly had two goals (2 points) on 3 shots in 23:09.Rielly
Points
John Tavares had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 6 shots in 20:26.Tavares
Points
Kasperi Kapanen had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 14:17.Kapanen
Points
Mitch Marner had 2 assists (2 points) on 6 shots in 20:53.Marner
Luck
PIT scored 0 goals on 2.16 expected goals (54 attempts), well short of its chances.
New line
New look for PIT: Cullen–Grant–Sprong skated 6:20 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (50% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Cullen Grant Sprong
New line
New look for PIT: Hornqvist–Sheahan–Rust skated 5:24 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (25% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Hornqvist Sheahan Rust
Luck
TOR scored 5 goals on 3.07 expected goals (59 attempts), finishing well above its chances.

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TOR attacks left (bottom on phones)PIT attacks right (top on phones) →

PIT
TOR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 113 of 113 attempts · PIT 54 · TOR 59

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

PIT
TOR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

PIT pressure
TOR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TOR 38% of the game, PIT 18%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

PIT

TOR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TOR	PIT
	53	48
	2.48	1.74
	2.43	1.74
	10	7
	1	5
	18	11
	+0.070	−0.070
	38%	18%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Tavares – Hyman – Marner
13:2960% CF
L2Marleau – Kadri – Kapanen
8:2735% CF
L3Brown – Johnsson – Lindholm
7:0850% CF
L4Ennis – Leivo – Gauthier
5:5473% CF
D1Hainsey – Rielly
14:3140% CF
D2Gardiner – Zaitsev
12:5541% CF
D3Dermott – Ozhiganov
10:5291% CF

PP1Marleau – Tavares – Kadri – Rielly – Marner
2:5780% CF
PP2Gardiner – Ennis – Hyman – Leivo – Johnsson
1:4733% CF
PK1FHyman – Brown
2:11
PK2FKapanen – Marner
0:49
PK1DHainsey – Zaitsev
5:55
PK2DRielly – Dermott
2:36

Current TOR line combinations →

Pittsburgh Penguins

L1Malkin – Kessel – Hagelin
12:1861% CF
L2Crosby – Guentzel – Simon
9:4850% CF
L3Cullen – Grant – Sprong
6:2050% CF
L4Hornqvist – Sheahan – Rust
5:2425% CF
D1Oleksiak – Maatta
13:4238% CF
D2Letang – Dumoulin
13:2650% CF
D3Johnson – Ruhwedel
10:1064% CF

PP1Malkin – Crosby – Letang – Hornqvist – Kessel
5:3078% CF
PP2Johnson – Maatta – Guentzel – Sprong – Simon
2:1950% CF
PK1FHagelin – Sheahan
1:09
PK2FCullen – Rust
0:51
PK1DLetang – Dumoulin
2:36
PK2DJohnson – Maatta
1:36

Current PIT line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

9:34
TORJohn Tavares (Mitch Marner, Ron Hainsey)tip-in0.06 xG
TOR: Gardiner, Tavares, Hyman, Rielly, MarnerPIT: Crosby, Johnson, Ruhwedel, Guentzel, Simon
TOR 1 – 0 PIT

2nd period

0:44
TORPatrick Marleau (Kasperi Kapanen, Nazem Kadri)backhand0.15 xG
TOR: Marleau, Gardiner, Kadri, Kapanen, ZaitsevPIT: Malkin, Kessel, Hagelin, Oleksiak, Maatta
TOR 2 – 0 PIT
11:49
TORMorgan Rielly (John Tavares, Kasperi Kapanen)snap0.14 xG
TOR: Tavares, Rielly, Kapanen, Marner, OzhiganovPIT: Crosby, Hornqvist, Hagelin, Dumoulin, Ruhwedel
TOR 3 – 0 PIT

3rd period

15:33
TORMorgan RiellyPP (Mitch Marner, Jake Gardiner)snap0.04 xG
TOR: Marleau, Gardiner, Tavares, Rielly, MarnerPIT: Cullen, Johnson, Maatta, Guentzel
TOR 4 – 0 PIT
19:40
TORZach HymanSHwrist0.10 xG
TOR: Hainsey, Hyman, Kapanen, ZaitsevPIT: Malkin, Crosby, Letang, Hornqvist, Kessel
TOR 5 – 0 PIT

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Zach Hyman L	L1	1	0	1	+2	2	0.21	2	2	0	22:09	—	—	58	62
Mitch Marner R	L1	0	2	2	+2	6	0.46	1	1	0	20:53	—	—	59	65
John Tavares C	L1	1	1	2	+2	6	0.64	0	0	0	20:26	—	—	61	70
Nazem Kadri C	L2	0	1	1	+1	1	0.18	0	0	2	15:43	—	—	38	49
Patrick Marleau C	L2	1	0	1	+1	1	0.15	2	1	2	15:26	—	—	39	54
Kasperi Kapanen R	L2	0	2	2	+3	1	0.25	3	0	0	14:17	—	—	40	55
Connor Brown R	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.05	2	0	2	14:03	—	—	46	27
Par Lindholm C	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.17	1	0	0	14:00	—	—	44	14
Andreas Johnsson L	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	1	0	0	12:25	—	—	50	25
Tyler Ennis R	L4	0	0	0	0	4	0.42	1	1	0	10:09	—	—	67	82
Josh Leivo L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	0	0	8:44	—	—	67	80
Frederik Gauthier C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	0	0	0	6:37	—	—	73	85
Morgan Rielly D	D1	2	0	2	+2	3	0.29	0	1	0	23:09	—	—	43	53
Ron Hainsey D	D1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.08	0	1	0	22:57	—	—	41	43
Jake Gardiner D	D2	0	1	1	+2	2	0.06	0	0	0	20:42	—	—	51	70
Nikita Zaitsev D	D2	0	0	0	+2	0	0.01	3	5	0	20:20	—	—	43	59
Travis Dermott D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	3	0	0	16:27	—	—	79	83
Igor Ozhiganov D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.04	3	0	4	12:48	—	—	88	88

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Frederik Andersen(start)	W	31	31	0	.1000	2.16	59:56

Pittsburgh Penguins

PIT skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Evgeni Malkin C	L1	0	0	0	-2	1	0.17	1	0	0	19:42	—	—	58	40
Phil Kessel R	L1	0	0	0	-2	6	0.32	1	0	0	19:30	—	—	60	43
Carl Hagelin L	L1	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	3	0	2	15:42	—	—	56	37
Sidney Crosby C	L2	0	0	0	-3	1	0.10	1	0	0	20:37	—	—	47	40
Jake Guentzel C	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.66	4	1	0	19:13	—	—	54	57
Dominik Simon C	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.06	0	0	0	17:10	—	—	47	44
Matt Cullen C	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.06	0	0	0	10:34	—	—	46	43
Daniel Sprong R	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	0	0	0	10:21	—	—	44	69
Derek Grant C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.03	4	0	0	7:15	—	—	56	78
Patric Hornqvist R	L4	0	0	0	-2	1	0.14	6	2	0	15:41	—	—	33	24
Riley Sheahan C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.23	3	0	0	13:05	—	—	37	41
Bryan Rust R	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	1	0	2	12:00	—	—	30	36
Olli Maatta D	D1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.06	2	3	0	19:14	—	—	38	19
Jamie Oleksiak D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	7	2	2	16:40	—	—	41	20
Kris Letang D	D2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.22	1	3	0	26:59	—	—	50	59
Brian Dumoulin D	D2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.05	4	1	0	18:33	—	—	46	53
Jack Johnson D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	4	1	0	19:14	—	—	57	36
Chad Ruhwedel D	D3	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	4	0	0	13:39	—	—	58	30

PIT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Matt Murray(start)	L	31	26	5	.839	2.89	56:47
Casey DeSmith	—	2	2	0	.1000	0.18	3:13

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.