Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Pittsburgh PenguinsOct 23, 2021

FinalSaturday, Oct 23, 2021· PPG Paints Arena

away

Toronto Maple LeafsTOR

1

@

home

Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT

7

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TOR	1	0	0	1		TOR	16	10	3	29
PIT	1	4	2	7		PIT	10	11	12	33

: TOR 60PIT 49
: TOR 2.59PIT 3.73
PP goals: TOR 0PIT 1
Hits: TOR 20PIT 33
Blocks: TOR 8PIT 17
PIM: TOR 17PIT 13
: TOR 36%PIT 64%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Pittsburgh Penguins rout Toronto Maple Leafs 7–1

Pittsburgh Penguins beat Toronto Maple Leafs 7–1 at home. Marcus Pettersson (PIT) led the scoring with 1G 2A. PIT scored 7 goals on 3.74 expected goals (49 attempts), finishing well above its chances.

Points
Marcus Pettersson had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 2 shots in 17:49.Pettersson
Points
Drew O'Connor had two goals (2 points) on 6 shots in 14:35.O'Connor
Points
Evan Rodrigues had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 5 shots in 16:15.Rodrigues
Points
Mike Matheson had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 17:52.Matheson
Points
Danton Heinen had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 13:21.Heinen
Points
Kasperi Kapanen had 2 assists (2 points) on 3 shots in 16:56.Kapanen
Luck
PIT scored 7 goals on 3.74 expected goals (49 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
New line
New look for PIT: Zucker–Heinen–O'Connor skated 9:18 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (39.1% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Zucker Heinen O'Connor

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TOR attacks left (bottom on phones)PIT attacks right (top on phones) →

PIT
TOR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 109 of 109 attempts · PIT 49 · TOR 60

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

PIT
TOR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

PIT pressure
TOR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TOR 19% of the game, PIT 51%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

PIT

TOR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TOR	PIT
	54	44
	1.68	3.30
	1.61	3.25
	8	14
	1	5
	8	18
	−0.109	+0.109
	19%	51%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Ritchie – Marner – Matthews
7:5877% CF
L2Tavares – Nylander – Bunting
6:3436% CF
L3Kerfoot – Kase – Kampf
4:1950% CF
L4Spezza – Simmonds – Engvall
3:4688% CF
D1Brodie – Rielly
12:4159% CF
D2Muzzin – Holl
9:5562% CF
D3Liljegren – Sandin
7:1643% CF

PP1Tavares – Rielly – Nylander – Marner – Matthews
2:3589% CF
PP2Spezza – Ritchie – Bunting – Engvall – Sandin
2:2183% CF
PK1FKase – Kampf
2:04
PK2FKerfoot – Engvall
1:16
PK1DBrodie – Rielly
4:23
PK2DMuzzin – Holl
4:05

Current TOR line combinations →

Pittsburgh Penguins

L1Blueger – McGinn – Aston-Reese
13:3819% CF
L2Zucker – Heinen – O'Connor
9:1839% CF
L3Guentzel – Kapanen – Rodrigues
8:1888% CF
L4Boyle – Lafferty – Simon
7:1367% CF
D1Dumoulin – Marino
15:3823% CF
D2Matheson – Ruhwedel
9:5452% CF
D3Pettersson – Friedman
9:2060% CF

PP1Zucker – Guentzel – Kapanen – Marino – Rodrigues
6:1580% CF
PP2Zucker – Pettersson – Friedman – Heinen – O'Connor
1:150% CF
PK1FBlueger – McGinn
2:51
PK2FBoyle – Aston-Reese
1:45
PK1DDumoulin – Marino
3:09
PK2DRuhwedel – Pettersson
0:54

Current PIT line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

11:53
PITDrew O'Connor (Marcus Pettersson, Mark Friedman)deflected0.09 xG
TOR: Muzzin, Holl, Kerfoot, Kase, KampfPIT: Zucker, Pettersson, Friedman, Heinen, O'Connor
TOR 0 – 1 PIT
12:44
TORJason Spezza (Pierre Engvall, Wayne Simmonds)wrist0.17 xG
TOR: Spezza, Muzzin, Simmonds, Holl, EngvallPIT: Boyle, Matheson, Ruhwedel, Kapanen, Simon
TOR 1 – 1 PIT

2nd period

1:38
PITMike Matheson (Kasperi Kapanen)wrap-around0.02 xG
TOR: Muzzin, Tavares, Holl, Nylander, BuntingPIT: Matheson, Ruhwedel, Guentzel, Kapanen, Rodrigues
TOR 1 – 2 PIT
1:53
PITJason Zucker (Danton Heinen)snap0.09 xG
TOR: Kerfoot, Kase, Liljegren, Kampf, SandinPIT: Zucker, Pettersson, Friedman, Heinen, O'Connor
TOR 1 – 3 PIT
11:01
PITDrew O'Connor (Danton Heinen, Marcus Pettersson)wrist0.14 xG
TOR: Muzzin, Holl, Kerfoot, Kase, KampfPIT: Zucker, Pettersson, Friedman, Heinen, O'Connor
TOR 1 – 4 PIT
13:59
PITMarcus Pettersson (Evan Rodrigues, Jake Guentzel)wrist0.13 xG
TOR: Muzzin, Simmonds, Holl, Kerfoot, KampfPIT: Guentzel, Kapanen, Pettersson, Friedman, Rodrigues
TOR 1 – 5 PIT

3rd period

0:20
PITBrian Boyle (Dominik Simon)snap0.07 xG
TOR: Spezza, Simmonds, Brodie, Rielly, RitchiePIT: Boyle, Pettersson, Friedman, Lafferty, Simon
TOR 1 – 6 PIT
2:24
PITEvan RodriguesPP (Mike Matheson, Kasperi Kapanen)snap0.13 xG
TOR: Brodie, Rielly, Kerfoot, EngvallPIT: Zucker, Matheson, Guentzel, Kapanen, Rodrigues
TOR 1 – 7 PIT

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mitch Marner R	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.21	1	1	2	20:18	—	—	62	53
Auston Matthews C	L1	0	0	0	0	6	0.54	2	0	0	18:45	—	—	79	69
Nick Ritchie L	L1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	1	0	14:30	—	—	61	34
William Nylander R	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.09	0	0	0	18:00	—	—	48	32
Michael Bunting L	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.13	3	0	4	17:31	—	—	44	23
John Tavares C	L2	0	0	0	-1	5	0.44	1	2	0	16:38	—	—	41	32
David Kampf C	L3	0	0	0	-4	0	0.00	1	0	0	14:54	—	—	35	8
Alexander Kerfoot C	L3	0	0	0	-4	1	0.15	2	1	2	12:30	—	—	39	8
Ondrej Kase R	L3	0	0	0	-3	0	0.03	0	0	0	11:07	—	—	53	11
Pierre Engvall L	L4	0	1	1	+1	1	0.16	1	0	0	13:12	—	—	77	57
Jason Spezza C	L4	1	0	1	0	2	0.34	0	0	2	11:38	—	—	68	50
Wayne Simmonds R	L4	0	1	1	-1	2	0.07	0	0	7	6:56	—	—	60	44
Morgan Rielly D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.08	0	0	0	22:59	—	—	54	42
TJ Brodie D	D1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.01	1	0	0	19:28	—	—	62	44
Jake Muzzin D	D2	0	0	0	-3	2	0.21	2	3	0	21:17	—	—	64	44
Justin Holl D	D2	0	0	0	-3	2	0.04	1	0	0	19:53	—	—	56	26
Rasmus Sandin D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.04	3	0	0	16:18	—	—	50	27
Timothy Liljegren D	D3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.04	1	0	0	14:59	—	—	39	18

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Jack Campbell(start)	L	21	16	5	.762	2.33	40:00
Michael Hutchinson	—	12	10	2	.833	1.40	20:00

Pittsburgh Penguins

PIT skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Brock McGinn L	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.15	2	0	0	17:58	—	—	20	31
Teddy Blueger C	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	2	0	17:45	—	—	18	31
Zachary Aston-Reese L	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.25	10	0	0	16:46	—	—	21	33
Jason Zucker L	L2	1	0	1	+3	5	0.44	1	2	0	17:09	—	—	39	82
Drew O'Connor L	L2	2	0	2	+3	6	0.98	1	1	2	14:35	—	—	47	82
Danton Heinen L	L2	0	2	2	+3	1	0.06	0	3	0	13:21	—	—	44	84
Jake Guentzel C	L3	0	1	1	+2	1	0.17	1	0	2	17:57	—	—	80	87
Kasperi Kapanen R	L3	0	2	2	+1	3	0.35	1	0	0	16:56	—	—	67	67
Evan Rodrigues C	L3	1	1	2	+2	5	0.57	3	1	0	16:15	—	—	89	93
Dominik Simon C	L4	0	1	1	0	1	0.08	0	0	0	11:06	—	—	47	54
Brian Boyle C	L4	1	0	1	0	2	0.27	0	0	5	10:52	—	—	36	41
Sam Lafferty C	L4	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	4	0	0	9:50	—	—	57	67
John Marino D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	2	2	0	26:05	—	—	27	48
Brian Dumoulin D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.04	2	3	0	23:16	—	—	26	44
Mike Matheson D	D2	1	1	2	0	2	0.18	0	2	0	17:52	—	—	57	71
Chad Ruhwedel D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.02	1	0	0	16:36	—	—	54	67
Marcus Pettersson D	D3	1	2	3	+5	2	0.16	0	1	0	17:49	—	—	67	90
Mark Friedman D	D3	0	1	1	+5	0	0.00	2	0	4	12:49	—	—	55	82

PIT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Tristan Jarry(start)	W	29	28	1	.966	2.59	59:58

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.