Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Pittsburgh PenguinsNov 15, 2022

FinalTuesday, Nov 15, 2022· PPG Paints Arena

away

Toronto Maple LeafsTOR

5

@

home

Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT

2

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TOR	2	2	1	5		TOR	8	12	13	33
PIT	0	2	0	2		PIT	7	15	15	37

: TOR 59PIT 76
: TOR 3.89PIT 3.33
PP goals: TOR 0PIT 0
Hits: TOR 25PIT 50
Blocks: TOR 27PIT 15
PIM: TOR 8PIT 4
: TOR 45%PIT 55%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Pittsburgh Penguins 5–2

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Pittsburgh Penguins 5–2 at PIT. Michael Bunting (TOR) led the scoring with 2G 1A. Matt Murray (TOR) faced 37 shots and stopped 35 (.946), +8 against a season average of 29.3; the win.

Points
Michael Bunting had two goals and an assist (3 points) on 3 shots in 15:57.Bunting
Points
John Tavares had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 13:40.Tavares
Points
William Nylander had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 16:30.Nylander
Points
Auston Matthews had 2 assists (2 points) on 4 shots in 15:53.Matthews
Points
Morgan Rielly had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 23:12.Rielly
Goalie
Matt Murray (TOR) faced 37 shots and stopped 35 (.946), +8 against a season average of 29.3; the win.Murray
Usage
Jordie Benn (TOR) played 21:01, +5:41 up on his 15:20 season average over 11 games.Benn
New line
New look for PIT: Archibald–Blueger–Poehling skated 9:43 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (60% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Archibald Blueger Poehling

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TOR attacks left (bottom on phones)PIT attacks right (top on phones) →

PIT
TOR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 135 of 135 attempts · PIT 76 · TOR 59

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

PIT
TOR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

PIT pressure
TOR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TOR 28% of the game, PIT 41%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

PIT

TOR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TOR	PIT
	64	71
	3.35	3.06
	3.20	2.90
	13	16
	6	2
	13	14
	−0.058	+0.059
	28%	41%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Nylander – Bunting – Matthews
12:1647% CF
L2Malgin – Aston-Reese – Kampf
9:4948% CF
L3Tavares – Kerfoot – Marner
9:4441% CF
L4Jarnkrok – Engvall – Holmberg
8:0450% CF
D1Benn – Rielly
16:2050% CF
D2Giordano – Holl
14:1641% CF
D3Liljegren – Sandin
9:0745% CF

PP1Jarnkrok – Kerfoot – Bunting – Malgin – Sandin
1:00100% CF
PK1FJarnkrok – Kerfoot
1:41
PK2FMarner – Kampf
1:33
PK1DGiordano – Holl
1:52
PK2DBenn – Liljegren
1:29

Current TOR line combinations →

Pittsburgh Penguins

L1Crosby – Rust – Guentzel
12:4147% CF
L2Malkin – Zucker – Rakell
11:1866% CF
L3Carter – McGinn – Heinen
10:3536% CF
L4Archibald – Blueger – Poehling
9:4360% CF
D1Petry – Dumoulin
15:1647% CF
D2Letang – Pettersson
15:1342% CF
D3Ruhwedel – Rutta
13:2566% CF

PP1Malkin – Crosby – Letang – Rust – Guentzel
4:2987% CF
PP2Carter – Petry – Zucker – Rakell – Heinen
0:570% CF
PK1FArchibald – Poehling
0:34
PK2FBlueger – McGinn
0:24
PK1DDumoulin – Rutta
0:43
PK2DRuhwedel – Pettersson
0:15

Current PIT line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

12:04
TORJohn Tavares (Jordie Benn, Alexander Kerfoot)snap0.05 xG
TOR: Benn, Tavares, Rielly, Kerfoot, MarnerPIT: Crosby, Petry, Dumoulin, Rust, Guentzel
TOR 1 – 0 PIT
15:04
TORMitch Marner (Morgan Rielly, John Tavares)wrist0.21 xG
TOR: Benn, Tavares, Rielly, Kerfoot, MarnerPIT: Crosby, Letang, Rust, Guentzel, Pettersson
TOR 2 – 0 PIT

2nd period

0:11
TORMichael Bunting (Auston Matthews, William Nylander)wrist0.10 xG
TOR: Benn, Rielly, Nylander, Bunting, MatthewsPIT: Crosby, Letang, Rust, Guentzel, Pettersson
TOR 3 – 0 PIT
0:54
PITRickard Rakell (Jason Zucker, Evgeni Malkin)tip-in0.06 xG
TOR: Benn, Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, BuntingPIT: Malkin, Petry, Dumoulin, Zucker, Rakell
TOR 3 – 1 PIT
2:38
PITSidney Crosbybackhand0.09 xG
TOR: Malgin, Aston-Reese, Liljegren, Sandin, HolmbergPIT: Crosby, Dumoulin, Rust, Pettersson, Poehling
TOR 3 – 2 PIT
19:10
TORMichael Bunting (Pontus Holmberg, Auston Matthews)wrist0.30 xG
TOR: Giordano, Holl, Bunting, Matthews, HolmbergPIT: Crosby, Letang, Rust, Guentzel, Pettersson
TOR 4 – 2 PIT

3rd period

17:37
TORWilliam NylanderEN (Michael Bunting, Morgan Rielly)snap0.58 xG
TOR: Holl, Rielly, Nylander, Bunting, MatthewsPIT: Malkin, Crosby, Letang, Rust, Rakell, Guentzel
TOR 5 – 2 PIT

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
William Nylander R	L1	1	1	2	+1	2	0.66	0	0	0	16:30	—	—	47	68
Michael Bunting L	L1	2	1	3	+2	3	0.60	0	2	2	15:57	—	—	50	75
Auston Matthews C	L1	0	2	2	+3	4	0.52	0	2	0	15:53	—	—	50	78
David Kampf C	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.17	0	0	0	15:34	—	—	47	54
Zachary Aston-Reese L	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.40	0	1	0	13:04	—	—	48	59
Denis Malgin C	L2	0	0	0	-1	4	0.30	3	1	2	12:49	—	—	48	59
Alexander Kerfoot C	L3	0	1	1	+2	3	0.16	0	1	0	17:24	—	—	40	30
Mitch Marner R	L3	1	0	1	+2	4	0.27	0	0	0	16:52	—	—	42	32
John Tavares C	L3	1	1	2	+1	3	0.25	2	1	0	13:40	—	—	42	34
Calle Jarnkrok C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.14	1	0	2	13:13	—	—	48	35
Pierre Engvall L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	3	0	0	11:05	—	—	53	37
Pontus Holmberg R	L4	0	1	1	0	1	0.03	0	0	0	10:09	—	—	52	53
Morgan Rielly D	D1	0	2	2	+3	2	0.04	1	2	0	23:12	—	—	53	68
Jordie Benn D	D1	0	1	1	+2	3	0.28	6	5	0	21:01	—	—	46	54
Justin Holl D	D2	0	0	0	+2	0	0.00	4	3	0	22:17	—	—	43	47
Mark Giordano D	D2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	2	8	2	21:49	—	—	49	66
Timothy Liljegren D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.02	1	0	0	17:07	—	—	46	26
Rasmus Sandin D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	1	0	14:24	—	—	45	24

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Matt Murray(start)	W	37	35	2	.946	3.33	60:00

Pittsburgh Penguins

PIT skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jake Guentzel C	L1	0	0	0	-5	2	0.23	3	0	0	20:53	—	—	49	22
Sidney Crosby C	L1	1	0	1	-4	2	0.36	0	1	0	20:32	—	—	47	25
Bryan Rust R	L1	0	0	0	-4	1	0.14	2	0	0	18:46	—	—	47	25
Evgeni Malkin C	L2	0	1	1	0	4	0.46	0	0	0	18:18	—	—	68	77
Rickard Rakell R	L2	1	0	1	0	4	0.28	4	0	0	15:23	—	—	63	68
Jason Zucker L	L2	0	1	1	+1	3	0.59	5	0	0	15:10	—	—	64	68
Jeff Carter C	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.08	2	1	2	14:19	—	—	36	40
Danton Heinen L	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	8	0	0	13:09	—	—	43	48
Brock McGinn L	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.39	2	0	0	12:04	—	—	37	45
Teddy Blueger C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.07	1	0	0	12:00	—	—	65	90
Josh Archibald R	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.15	6	0	0	11:54	—	—	65	90
Ryan Poehling C	L4	0	0	0	+1	0	0.03	1	2	0	11:36	—	—	65	93
Jeff Petry D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	4	0	19:33	—	—	50	61
Brian Dumoulin D	D1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.00	5	3	0	18:56	—	—	53	67
Kris Letang D	D2	0	0	0	-4	6	0.30	2	1	0	24:43	—	—	43	19
Marcus Pettersson D	D2	0	0	0	-2	3	0.15	5	2	0	18:39	—	—	44	23
Jan Rutta D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.05	1	0	2	17:05	—	—	63	65
Chad Ruhwedel D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	2	1	0	14:39	—	—	69	80

PIT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Casey DeSmith(start)	L	32	28	4	.875	3.31	59:21

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.