Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Pittsburgh PenguinsNov 26, 2022

FinalSaturday, Nov 26, 2022· PPG Paints Arena

away

Toronto Maple LeafsTOR

4

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Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT

1

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TOR	1	2	1	4		TOR	17	10	14	41
PIT	0	0	1	1		PIT	5	10	11	26

: TOR 62PIT 50
: TOR 3.84PIT 2.50
PP goals: TOR 0PIT 0
Hits: TOR 23PIT 57
Blocks: TOR 12PIT 13
PIM: TOR 4PIT 6
: TOR 51%PIT 49%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Pittsburgh Penguins 4–1

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Pittsburgh Penguins 4–1 at PIT. Auston Matthews (TOR) led the scoring with 1G 2A. Casey DeSmith (PIT) faced 41 shots and stopped 37 (.902), +11 against a season average of 30.1; the loss.

Points
Auston Matthews had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 6 shots in 17:07.Matthews
Points
Mitch Marner had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 8 shots in 19:31.Marner
Points
William Nylander had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 15:48.Nylander
Points
Michael Bunting had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 13:11.Bunting
Goalie
Casey DeSmith (PIT) faced 41 shots and stopped 37 (.902), +11 against a season average of 30.1; the loss.DeSmith
New line
New look for TOR: Kerfoot–Engvall–Holmberg skated 8:37 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (57.1% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Kerfoot Engvall Holmberg
Luck
PIT scored 1 goal on 2.50 expected goals (50 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Sidney Crosby (PIT) played 16:34, −3:37 down on his 20:11 season average over 81 games.Crosby

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TOR attacks left (bottom on phones)PIT attacks right (top on phones) →

PIT
TOR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 112 of 112 attempts · PIT 50 · TOR 62

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

PIT
TOR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

PIT pressure
TOR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TOR 40% of the game, PIT 22%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

PIT

TOR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TOR	PIT
	56	53
	3.45	2.70
	3.37	2.55
	16	13
	7	8
	24	17
	−0.004	+0.004
	40%	22%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Tavares – Jarnkrok – Marner
11:3445% CF
L2Nylander – Bunting – Matthews
10:3142% CF
L3Kerfoot – Engvall – Holmberg
8:3757% CF
L4Malgin – Aston-Reese – Kampf
8:2253% CF
D1Liljegren – Sandin
16:3756% CF
D2Giordano – Holl
14:4657% CF
D3Mete – Hollowell
9:1850% CF

PP1Tavares – Nylander – Marner – Matthews – Sandin
3:4891% CF
PP2Giordano – Jarnkrok – Bunting – Engvall – Malgin
1:33100% CF
PK1FJarnkrok – Kampf
0:46
PK2FEngvall – Holmberg
0:39
PK1DGiordano – Holl
2:34
PK2DMete – Liljegren
0:38

Current TOR line combinations →

Pittsburgh Penguins

L1Crosby – Rakell – Guentzel
14:0857% CF
L2Malkin – Zucker – Rust
11:3750% CF
L3Carter – McGinn – Heinen
7:1020% CF
L4Archibald – Blueger – Poehling
7:0245% CF
D1Letang – Pettersson
15:1037% CF
D2Dumoulin – Rutta
14:0046% CF
D3Petry – Joseph
9:4238% CF

PP1Malkin – Crosby – Letang – Rust – Guentzel
2:14100% CF
PP2Carter – Petry – Zucker – Rakell – Heinen
1:34100% CF
PK1FBlueger – McGinn
2:50
PK2FArchibald – Poehling
2:26
PK1DDumoulin – Rutta
3:05
PK2DPetry – Pettersson
0:45

Current PIT line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

0:40
TORMitch Marner (Auston Matthews, Calle Jarnkrok)wrist0.19 xG
TOR: Bunting, Marner, Matthews, Liljegren, SandinPIT: Petry, Rakell, Blueger, Joseph, Poehling
TOR 1 – 0 PIT

2nd period

9:55
TORPontus Holmberg (Mitch Marner)wrist0.25 xG
TOR: Engvall, Marner, Mete, Hollowell, HolmbergPIT: Malkin, Letang, Zucker, Rust, Pettersson
TOR 2 – 0 PIT
10:50
TORWilliam Nylander (Auston Matthews, Michael Bunting)wrist0.19 xG
TOR: Giordano, Holl, Nylander, Bunting, MatthewsPIT: Crosby, Dumoulin, Rakell, Guentzel, Rutta
TOR 3 – 0 PIT

3rd period

11:38
PITRickard Rakell (Jake Guentzel, Sidney Crosby)wrist0.08 xG
TOR: Kerfoot, Engvall, Mete, Hollowell, HolmbergPIT: Crosby, Letang, Rakell, Guentzel, Pettersson
TOR 3 – 1 PIT
14:36
TORAuston Matthews (Michael Bunting, William Nylander)wrist0.18 xG
TOR: Nylander, Bunting, Matthews, Liljegren, SandinPIT: Malkin, Petry, Zucker, Rust, Joseph
TOR 4 – 1 PIT

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mitch Marner R	L1	1	1	2	+2	8	0.96	2	1	0	19:31	—	—	52	70
John Tavares C	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.18	0	0	0	17:08	—	—	43	53
Calle Jarnkrok C	L1	0	1	1	0	2	0.27	0	1	0	16:28	—	—	48	56
Auston Matthews C	L2	1	2	3	+3	6	0.75	1	2	0	17:07	—	—	56	67
William Nylander R	L2	1	1	2	+2	4	0.71	0	0	0	15:48	—	—	48	60
Michael Bunting L	L2	0	2	2	+3	1	0.08	2	0	0	13:11	—	—	48	57
Pierre Engvall L	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.02	3	0	0	14:45	—	—	58	36
Alexander Kerfoot C	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	0	0	0	13:59	—	—	53	11
Pontus Holmberg R	L3	1	0	1	0	1	0.29	1	0	0	12:01	—	—	67	36
David Kampf C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	15:35	—	—	42	55
Zachary Aston-Reese L	L4	0	0	0	0	3	0.21	1	2	2	13:23	—	—	52	72
Denis Malgin C	L4	0	0	0	0	3	0.23	2	0	0	12:27	—	—	56	67
Rasmus Sandin D	D1	0	0	0	+2	0	0.00	5	1	0	22:59	—	—	57	57
Timothy Liljegren D	D1	0	0	0	+2	2	0.04	1	1	0	22:09	—	—	49	59
Mark Giordano D	D2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.04	2	0	0	21:22	—	—	56	65
Justin Holl D	D2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.00	1	2	0	21:13	—	—	56	69
Victor Mete D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.04	1	1	2	15:24	—	—	41	46
Mac Hollowell D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	11:30	—	—	44	34

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Erik Kallgren(start)	W	26	25	1	.962	2.50	60:00

Pittsburgh Penguins

PIT skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Rickard Rakell R	L1	1	0	1	-1	6	0.55	2	0	0	20:33	—	—	52	36
Jake Guentzel C	L1	0	1	1	0	1	0.09	7	0	2	20:06	—	—	56	39
Sidney Crosby C	L1	0	1	1	0	2	0.39	3	0	0	16:34	—	—	60	47
Jason Zucker L	L2	0	0	0	-2	2	0.36	7	0	0	17:16	—	—	52	58
Evgeni Malkin C	L2	0	0	0	-2	1	0.20	2	0	0	16:06	—	—	53	51
Bryan Rust R	L2	0	0	0	-2	2	0.09	3	0	0	15:20	—	—	50	49
Jeff Carter C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.03	3	1	0	12:07	—	—	25	51
Brock McGinn L	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.17	2	2	0	11:59	—	—	23	77
Danton Heinen L	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	11:19	—	—	25	79
Teddy Blueger C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.07	2	0	0	13:28	—	—	42	30
Josh Archibald R	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.04	6	0	0	10:59	—	—	60	55
Ryan Poehling C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	6	2	0	10:49	—	—	42	17
Kris Letang D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.14	7	0	0	23:17	—	—	47	33
Marcus Pettersson D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.18	2	3	2	20:29	—	—	46	45
Brian Dumoulin D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	1	1	0	20:29	—	—	52	43
Jan Rutta D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	1	3	0	19:53	—	—	45	37
Jeff Petry D	D3	0	0	0	-2	2	0.14	1	1	2	19:17	—	—	52	64
Pierre-Olivier Joseph D	D3	0	0	0	-2	0	0.04	1	0	0	13:59	—	—	50	48

PIT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Casey DeSmith(start)	L	41	37	4	.902	3.84	60:00

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.