Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Pittsburgh PenguinsNov 25, 2023

FinalSaturday, Nov 25, 2023· PPG Paints Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TOR	2	0	0	2		TOR	15	6	12	33
PIT	1	2	0	3		PIT	18	14	3	35

: TOR 72PIT 73
: TOR 4.10PIT 2.83
PP goals: TOR 0PIT 0
Hits: TOR 11PIT 16
Blocks: TOR 21PIT 21
PIM: TOR 6PIT 6
: TOR 54%PIT 46%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Pittsburgh Penguins edge Toronto Maple Leafs 3–2

Pittsburgh Penguins beat Toronto Maple Leafs 3–2 at home. Jake Guentzel (PIT) led the scoring with 1G 0A. Joseph Woll (TOR) faced 35 shots and stopped 32 (.914), +4 against a season average of 30.9; the loss.

Goalie
Joseph Woll (TOR) faced 35 shots and stopped 32 (.914), +4 against a season average of 30.9; the loss.Woll
New line
New look for PIT: Eller–Harkins–Zohorna skated 4:17 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (100% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Eller Harkins Zohorna
Luck
TOR scored 2 goals on 4.10 expected goals (72 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
John Tavares (TOR) played 21:35, +3:46 up on his 17:49 season average over 79 games.Tavares
Usage
Noel Acciari (PIT) played 16:47, +3:53 up on his 12:54 season average over 54 games.Acciari
Usage
Simon Benoit (TOR) played 11:04, −6:16 down on his 17:20 season average over 63 games.Benoit
Usage
William Nylander (TOR) played 26:10, +6:19 up on his 19:51 season average over 81 games.Nylander
Usage
Conor Timmins (TOR) played 10:06, −6:10 down on his 16:16 season average over 24 games.Timmins

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TOR attacks left (bottom on phones)PIT attacks right (top on phones) →

PIT
TOR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 145 of 145 attempts · PIT 73 · TOR 72

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

PIT
TOR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

PIT pressure
TOR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TOR 40% of the game, PIT 25%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

PIT

TOR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TOR	PIT
	67	74
	3.33	2.70
	2.91	2.60
	12	16
	5	4
	8	13
	+0.051	−0.051
	40%	25%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Tavares – Bertuzzi – Nylander
12:0763% CF
L2Marner – Matthews – Knies
11:5145% CF
L3Jarnkrok – Domi – Robertson
6:0142% CF
D1Brodie – Rielly
9:5570% CF
D2Giordano – McCabe
9:3050% CF
D3Lagesson – Benoit
5:5740% CF

PP1Tavares – Rielly – Nylander – Marner – Matthews
4:2788% CF
PP2Jarnkrok – Bertuzzi – Domi – Timmins – Knies
1:08100% CF
PK1FMarner – Kampf
1:30
PK2FNylander – Gregor
1:06
PK1DMcCabe – Benoit
1:06
PK2DGiordano – Brodie
0:45

Current TOR line combinations →

Pittsburgh Penguins

L1Crosby – Guentzel – O'Connor
13:0666% CF
L2Malkin – Smith – Nylander
9:3043% CF
L3Carter – Nieto – Acciari
7:4945% CF
L4Eller – Harkins – Zohorna
4:17100% CF
D1Letang – Graves
15:2149% CF
D2Karlsson – Pettersson
14:1444% CF
D3Shea – Ludvig
9:0384% CF

PP1Malkin – Crosby – Karlsson – Guentzel – Nylander
4:0575% CF
PP2Carter – Letang – Harkins – Nylander – Zohorna
1:26100% CF
PK1FNieto – Acciari
2:59
PK2FEller – O'Connor
2:11
PK1DLetang – Pettersson
4:06
PK2DGraves – Shea
1:03

Current PIT line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

3:59
TORTyler Bertuzzi (John Tavares, Morgan Rielly)wrist0.34 xG
TOR: Brodie, Tavares, Rielly, Bertuzzi, NylanderPIT: Carter, Karlsson, Nieto, Pettersson, Acciari
TOR 1 – 0 PIT
4:27
PITJake Guentzel (Drew O'Connor, Sidney Crosby)wrist0.16 xG
TOR: Brodie, Rielly, Marner, Matthews, KniesPIT: Crosby, Letang, Guentzel, Graves, O'Connor
TOR 1 – 1 PIT
7:48
TORMatthew Knies (Calle Jarnkrok)wrist0.18 xG
TOR: Brodie, Jarnkrok, Rielly, Matthews, KniesPIT: Crosby, Karlsson, Guentzel, Pettersson, O'Connor
TOR 2 – 1 PIT

2nd period

10:01
PITNoel Acciariwrist0.08 xG
TOR: Brodie, Bertuzzi, Matthews, Timmins, RobertsonPIT: Nieto, Acciari, Shea, Nylander, Ludvig
TOR 2 – 2 PIT
19:32
PITErik Karlsson (Kris Letang, Jeff Carter)slap0.02 xG
TOR: Jarnkrok, Rielly, McCabe, Gregor, KampfPIT: Carter, Letang, Karlsson, Nieto, Acciari
TOR 2 – 3 PIT

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
William Nylander R	L1	0	0	0	+1	4	0.12	0	1	0	26:10	—	—	60	61
John Tavares C	L1	0	1	1	+1	4	0.32	0	0	0	21:35	—	—	65	66
Tyler Bertuzzi L	L1	1	0	1	0	2	0.64	0	0	0	18:32	—	—	63	63
Auston Matthews C	L2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.79	0	2	0	24:15	—	—	44	47
Mitch Marner R	L2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.17	1	2	0	23:26	—	—	45	52
Matthew Knies L	L2	1	0	1	0	5	0.74	2	1	0	16:37	—	—	50	57
Calle Jarnkrok C	L3	0	1	1	0	3	0.19	0	1	2	14:21	—	—	40	55
Max Domi C	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.40	0	0	0	11:16	—	—	36	50
Nick Robertson L	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.10	1	0	0	9:32	—	—	33	50
Morgan Rielly D	D1	0	1	1	0	2	0.07	0	2	0	23:45	—	—	48	52
TJ Brodie D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.02	0	2	2	18:09	—	—	55	63
Jake McCabe D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	0	1	0	20:50	—	—	52	45
Mark Giordano D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	2	2	2	15:30	—	—	44	34
William Lagesson D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	2	0	12:32	—	—	30	65
Simon Benoit D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	3	0	11:04	—	—	36	63
Conor Timmins D	—	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	0	0	0	10:06	—	—	50	50
Noah Gregor L	—	0	0	0	-1	1	0.49	1	2	0	9:33	—	—	30	55
David Kampf C	—	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	9:30	—	—	37	56

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Joseph Woll(start)	L	35	32	3	.914	2.83	57:17

Pittsburgh Penguins

PIT skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Sidney Crosby C	L1	0	1	1	0	5	0.37	0	0	0	21:26	—	—	60	50
Jake Guentzel C	L1	1	0	1	0	6	0.50	0	1	0	20:34	—	—	68	54
Drew O'Connor L	L1	0	1	1	0	1	0.08	0	1	0	18:03	—	—	60	49
Evgeni Malkin C	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.33	1	2	0	16:49	—	—	39	20
Alex Nylander L	L2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.15	0	0	0	15:02	—	—	40	33
Reilly Smith R	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	14:28	—	—	39	20
Matt Nieto L	L3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	2	0	0	17:07	—	—	42	36
Noel Acciari C	L3	1	0	1	+1	4	0.26	2	3	0	16:47	—	—	41	31
Jeff Carter C	L3	0	1	1	0	4	0.29	2	0	0	12:08	—	—	50	34
Lars Eller C	L4	0	0	0	0	3	0.41	2	0	0	11:36	—	—	68	75
Radim Zohorna L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.13	1	0	2	8:42	—	—	64	69
Jansen Harkins C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.04	2	0	0	6:38	—	—	100	100
Kris Letang D	D1	0	1	1	+2	2	0.06	1	4	0	26:12	—	—	48	42
Ryan Graves D	D1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.06	0	4	2	21:15	—	—	49	49
Marcus Pettersson D	D2	0	0	0	-2	1	0.08	0	3	0	23:25	—	—	43	26
Erik Karlsson D	D2	1	0	1	-1	2	0.03	0	1	0	21:21	—	—	46	29
Ryan Shea D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.03	0	0	0	11:48	—	—	85	85
John Ludvig D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.01	3	1	2	10:46	—	—	77	74

PIT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Tristan Jarry(start)	W	33	31	2	.939	4.10	59:53

Goal anatomy

Animated replays from NHL EDGE tracking, with the entry, passes and shot speed for each goal.

Tyler Bertuzzi (TOR) 1st 3:59 · assists John Tavares, Morgan Rielly · Rebound · 31.2 mph shot.

Tyler Bertuzzi · 1st 3:59 · TOR

Play: rebound
Passes: 2
Shot: 31.2 mph
Distance: 5 ft
Type: rebound

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Jake Guentzel · 1st 4:27 · PIT

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: 2-on-1
Passes: 3 (royal road)
Shot: 18.5 mph
Distance: 6 ft
Entry to goal: 3.5 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Matthew Knies · 1st 7:48 · TOR

Play: rebound
Entry: carry
Odd man: 3-on-2
Passes: 0
Shot: 39.5 mph
Distance: 9 ft
Entry to goal: 2.5 s
Type: rebound

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Noel Acciari · 2nd 10:01 · PIT

Play: turnover-forecheck
Passes: 0
Shot: 41.8 mph
Distance: 11 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Erik Karlsson · 2nd 19:32 · PIT

Play: faceoff
Passes: 1
Shot: 77.4 mph
Distance: 65 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.