Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Nashville PredatorsMar 22, 2018

FinalThursday, Mar 22, 2018· Bridgestone Arena

away

Toronto Maple LeafsTOR

5

@

home

Nashville PredatorsNSH

2

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TOR	1	2	2	5		TOR	13	10	5	28
NSH	0	1	1	2		NSH	4	9	12	25

: TOR 45NSH 55
: TOR 1.78NSH 2.37
PP goals: TOR 2NSH 1
Hits: TOR 12NSH 17
Blocks: TOR 13NSH 14
PIM: TOR 12NSH 6
: TOR 45%NSH 55%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Nashville Predators 5–2

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Nashville Predators 5–2 at NSH. Morgan Rielly (TOR) led the scoring with 0G 3A. TOR's first power-play unit (van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Kadri, Rielly and Marner) scored 2 power-play goals on 5 attempts in 2:17 together.

Points
Morgan Rielly had 3 assists (3 points) on 1 shot in 18:46.Rielly
Points
James van Riemsdyk had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 5 shots in 14:26.van Riemsdyk
Points
Mitch Marner had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 15:32.Marner
Points
Tyler Bozak had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 14:48.Bozak
PP1
TOR's first power-play unit (van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Kadri, Rielly and Marner) scored 2 power-play goals on 5 attempts in 2:17 together.van Riemsdyk Bozak Kadri Rielly Marner
PP1
NSH's first power-play unit (Subban, Smith, Johansen, Forsberg and Arvidsson) scored 1 power-play goal on 9 attempts in 5:52 together.Subban Smith Johansen Forsberg Arvidsson
New line
New look for TOR: Hyman–Nylander–Matthews skated 11:20 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (47.1% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Hyman Nylander Matthews
Luck
TOR scored 5 goals on 1.78 expected goals (45 attempts), finishing well above its chances.

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TOR attacks left (bottom on phones)NSH attacks right (top on phones) →

NSH
TOR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 100 of 100 attempts · NSH 55 · TOR 45

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

NSH
TOR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

NSH pressure
TOR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TOR 19% of the game, NSH 42%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

NSH

TOR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TOR	NSH
	41	48
	1.60	1.97
	1.57	1.86
	7	10
	5	2
	24	22
	−0.023	+0.024
	19%	42%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Hyman – Nylander – Matthews
11:2047% CF
L2Marleau – Kadri – Marner
11:0218% CF
L3van Riemsdyk – Bozak – Brown
9:5567% CF
L4Plekanec – Johnsson – Kapanen
7:2038% CF
D1Gardiner – Zaitsev
16:0535% CF
D2Polak – Dermott
11:2669% CF
D3Hainsey – Rielly
9:5233% CF

PP1van Riemsdyk – Bozak – Kadri – Rielly – Marner
2:17100% CF
PP2Marleau – Gardiner – Johnsson – Nylander – Matthews
0:47100% CF
PK1FPlekanec – Hyman
4:26
PK2FBrown – Kapanen
2:42
PK1DHainsey – Polak
7:15
PK2DRielly – Zaitsev
0:10

Current TOR line combinations →

Nashville Predators

L1Bonino – Sissons – Hartman
9:4955% CF
L2Johansen – Forsberg – Arvidsson
9:3650% CF
L3Turris – Smith – Fiala
8:2653% CF
L4Fisher – Hartnell – Watson
7:2031% CF
D1Ellis – Ekholm
8:5070% CF
D2Josi – Irwin
7:0463% CF
D3Emelin – Subban
6:0838% CF

PP1Subban – Smith – Johansen – Forsberg – Arvidsson
5:52100% CF
PP2Turris – Josi – Ellis – Sissons – Fiala
2:5880% CF
PK1FWatson – Johansen
1:04
PK2FFisher – Bonino
0:41
PK1DSubban – Ekholm
2:01
PK2DJosi – Ellis
1:03

Current NSH line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

4:03
TORJames van RiemsdykPP (Mitch Marner, Morgan Rielly)backhand0.08 xG
TOR: van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Kadri, Rielly, MarnerNSH: Bonino, Josi, Ellis, Forsberg
TOR 1 – 0 NSH

2nd period

5:42
NSHViktor ArvidssonPP (P.K. Subban)wrist0.11 xG
TOR: Hainsey, Polak, Brown, KapanenNSH: Subban, Smith, Johansen, Forsberg, Arvidsson
TOR 1 – 1 NSH
15:06
TORAuston Matthews (Morgan Rielly, James van Riemsdyk)wrist0.05 xG
TOR: van Riemsdyk, Rielly, Nylander, Matthews, ZaitsevNSH: Turris, Josi, Ellis, Smith, Hartman
TOR 2 – 1 NSH
16:44
TORWilliam Nylander (Zach Hyman, Travis Dermott)wrist0.19 xG
TOR: Hyman, Rielly, Nylander, Dermott, MatthewsNSH: Fisher, Hartnell, Emelin, Subban, Watson
TOR 3 – 1 NSH

3rd period

0:09
TORMitch MarnerPP (Morgan Rielly, Tyler Bozak)wrist0.12 xG
TOR: van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Kadri, Rielly, MarnerNSH: Bonino, Josi, Ellis, Sissons
TOR 4 – 1 NSH
3:39
TORJake Gardiner (Connor Brown, Tyler Bozak)slap0.01 xG
TOR: van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Bozak, Brown, ZaitsevNSH: Fisher, Hartnell, Ellis, Ekholm, Watson
TOR 5 – 1 NSH
15:37
NSHScott Hartnell (Mike Fisher, Austin Watson)snap0.13 xG
TOR: Gardiner, Hyman, Nylander, Matthews, ZaitsevNSH: Fisher, Hartnell, Josi, Irwin, Watson
TOR 5 – 2 NSH

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Zach Hyman L	L1	0	1	1	0	1	0.01	2	0	2	17:55	—	—	42	42
William Nylander R	L1	1	0	1	+1	5	0.36	0	1	2	15:24	—	—	57	53
Auston Matthews C	L1	1	0	1	+1	4	0.10	0	0	2	15:18	—	—	55	53
Mitch Marner R	L2	1	1	2	0	3	0.16	0	1	0	15:32	—	—	25	20
Nazem Kadri C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	0	0	0	14:36	—	—	25	20
Patrick Marleau C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	3	0	13:39	—	—	18	15
Connor Brown R	L3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.04	0	0	0	15:07	—	—	67	80
Tyler Bozak C	L3	0	2	2	+1	1	0.01	0	0	2	14:48	—	—	62	69
James van Riemsdyk L	L3	1	1	2	+2	5	0.71	2	1	2	14:26	—	—	73	81
Tomas Plekanec C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.06	1	0	2	13:52	—	—	42	13
Kasperi Kapanen R	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	1	0	12:10	—	—	50	17
Andreas Johnsson L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	9:22	—	—	50	27
Jake Gardiner D	D1	1	0	1	0	3	0.16	1	0	0	21:47	—	—	38	20
Nikita Zaitsev D	D1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	3	2	0	19:05	—	—	38	18
Roman Polak D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	2	2	0	21:24	—	—	58	66
Travis Dermott D	D2	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	0	0	0	15:29	—	—	71	89
Ron Hainsey D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	2	0	20:21	—	—	39	22
Morgan Rielly D	D3	0	3	3	+2	1	0.12	0	0	0	18:46	—	—	46	61

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Frederik Andersen(start)	W	25	23	2	.920	2.37	60:00

Nashville Predators

NSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Colton Sissons C	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.30	3	0	0	16:01	—	—	67	79
Nick Bonino C	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	0	0	0	15:17	—	—	58	64
Ryan Hartman R	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	0	0	0	14:43	—	—	55	60
Ryan Johansen C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.09	0	0	0	20:12	—	—	53	19
Filip Forsberg L	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.27	0	1	2	19:50	—	—	68	73
Viktor Arvidsson L	L2	1	0	1	0	3	0.32	0	0	0	17:39	—	—	53	19
Craig Smith C	L3	0	0	0	-1	4	0.34	1	1	0	18:16	—	—	52	65
Kyle Turris C	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.05	0	0	0	16:15	—	—	65	87
Kevin Fiala L	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.37	0	1	2	15:17	—	—	67	91
Austin Watson L	L4	0	1	1	-1	0	0.00	4	1	0	9:18	—	—	29	23
Scott Hartnell L	L4	1	0	1	-1	1	0.13	0	0	0	9:17	—	—	33	23
Mike Fisher C	L4	0	1	1	-1	0	0.08	2	0	2	8:58	—	—	31	23
Ryan Ellis D	D1	0	0	0	-2	0	0.04	1	2	0	22:41	—	—	52	50
Mattias Ekholm D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.18	1	1	0	20:26	—	—	57	73
Roman Josi D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.05	2	3	0	23:29	—	—	58	52
Matt Irwin D	D2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	1	0	13:10	—	—	59	81
P.K. Subban D	D3	0	1	1	-1	3	0.10	3	2	0	25:07	—	—	50	26
Alexei Emelin D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.01	0	1	0	9:15	—	—	36	9

NSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Pekka Rinne(start)	L	28	23	5	.821	1.78	59:45

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.