Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Nashville PredatorsMar 19, 2019

FinalTuesday, Mar 19, 2019· Bridgestone Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TOR	0	0	0	0		TOR	6	8	8	22
NSH	1	0	2	3		NSH	9	2	9	20

: TOR 51NSH 40
: TOR 3.61NSH 2.94
PP goals: TOR 0NSH 0
Hits: TOR 11NSH 18
Blocks: TOR 11NSH 18
PIM: TOR 2NSH 6
: TOR 45%NSH 55%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Nashville Predators beat Toronto Maple Leafs 3–0

Nashville Predators beat Toronto Maple Leafs 3–0 at home. Ryan Johansen (NSH) led the scoring with 0G 2A. TOR scored 0 goals on 3.61 expected goals (51 attempts), well short of its chances.

Points
Ryan Johansen had 2 assists (2 points) in 18:36.Johansen
Luck
TOR scored 0 goals on 3.61 expected goals (51 attempts), well short of its chances.
New line
New look for NSH: Boyle–Turris–Grimaldi skated 7:02 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (58.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Boyle Turris Grimaldi
New line
New look for TOR: Brown–Petan–Moore skated 8:33 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (50% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Brown Petan Moore
New line
New look for TOR: Marleau–Kadri–Kapanen skated 8:50 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (58.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Marleau Kadri Kapanen
Usage
Brian Boyle (NSH) played 9:33, −3:56 down on his 13:29 season average over 72 games.Boyle
Usage
Nic Petan (TOR) played 12:09, +4:47 up on his 7:22 season average over 17 games.Petan
Usage
Kyle Turris (NSH) played 11:30, −4:16 down on his 15:46 season average over 54 games.Turris

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TOR attacks left (bottom on phones)NSH attacks right (top on phones) →

NSH
TOR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 91 of 91 attempts · NSH 40 · TOR 51

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

NSH
TOR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

NSH pressure
TOR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TOR 39% of the game, NSH 23%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

NSH

TOR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TOR	NSH
	46	40
	2.76	2.19
	2.70	2.00
	6	7
	2	4
	24	19
	−0.011	+0.011
	39%	23%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Tavares – Hyman – Marner
11:4460% CF
L2Johnsson – Nylander – Matthews
11:2253% CF
L3Marleau – Kadri – Kapanen
8:5058% CF
L4Brown – Petan – Moore
8:3350% CF
D1Muzzin – Zaitsev
12:5285% CF
D2Hainsey – Holl
8:3050% CF
D3Rielly – Ozhiganov
6:3833% CF

PP1Tavares – Kadri – Rielly – Marner – Matthews
3:5267% CF
PP2Marleau – Muzzin – Johnsson – Petan – Nylander
2:02100% CF
PK1FHyman – Marner
1:05
PK2FBrown – Kapanen
0:55
PK1DHainsey – Zaitsev
1:23
PK2DMuzzin – Rielly
0:37

Current TOR line combinations →

Nashville Predators

L1Johansen – Forsberg – Arvidsson
11:1239% CF
L2Smith – Jarnkrok – Sissons
10:4070% CF
L3Bonino – Simmonds – Granlund
8:1355% CF
L4Boyle – Turris – Grimaldi
7:0258% CF
D1Josi – Ellis
14:4648% CF
D2Subban – Ekholm
14:2959% CF
D3Weber – Irwin
8:2713% CF

PP1Bonino – Simmonds – Josi – Granlund – Forsberg
1:2450% CF
PP2Boyle – Subban – Ellis – Smith – Johansen
0:36100% CF
PK1FJohansen – Arvidsson
2:58
PK2FBonino – Jarnkrok
0:43
PK1DSubban – Ekholm
2:57
PK2DJosi – Ellis
1:57

Current NSH line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

4:47
NSHBrian Boyle (Craig Smith, Ryan Johansen)slap0.09 xG
TOR: Muzzin, Hyman, Rielly, Marner, MatthewsNSH: Boyle, Weber, Ekholm, Smith, Johansen
TOR 0 – 1 NSH

3rd period

9:13
NSHWayne Simmonds (Ryan Ellis, Nick Bonino)slap0.16 xG
TOR: Marleau, Hainsey, Kadri, Kapanen, OzhiganovNSH: Bonino, Simmonds, Josi, Ellis, Granlund
TOR 0 – 2 NSH
17:51
NSHFilip ForsbergEN (Viktor Arvidsson, Ryan Johansen)wrist0.97 xG
TOR: Tavares, Kadri, Hyman, Rielly, Nylander, MarnerNSH: Subban, Ekholm, Johansen, Forsberg, Arvidsson
TOR 0 – 3 NSH

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
John Tavares C	L1	-1	2	0.49	1	0	0	19:29	—	—	58	68
Mitch Marner R	L1	-2	6	1.18	0	0	0	19:13	—	—	52	53
Zach Hyman L	L1	-2	2	0.19	0	1	0	15:58	—	—	52	59
Auston Matthews C	L2	-1	3	0.29	2	1	0	18:19	—	—	53	20
William Nylander R	L2	-1	0	0.04	0	0	0	17:34	—	—	58	24
Andreas Johnsson L	L2	0	1	0.04	1	1	0	15:20	—	—	50	20
Nazem Kadri C	L3	-2	0	0.12	2	0	0	16:41	—	—	53	64
Patrick Marleau C	L3	-1	1	0.69	0	0	2	14:54	—	—	56	60
Kasperi Kapanen R	L3	-1	3	0.34	1	0	0	14:34	—	—	53	70
Nic Petan C	L4	0	1	0.07	1	2	0	12:09	—	—	58	66
Connor Brown R	L4	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	10:52	—	—	50	62
Trevor Moore L	L4	0	1	0.07	0	0	0	10:15	—	—	46	49
Jake Muzzin D	D1	-1	2	0.05	1	0	0	22:00	—	—	69	73
Nikita Zaitsev D	D1	0	0	0.00	1	2	0	16:58	—	—	76	89
Ron Hainsey D	D2	-1	0	0.00	0	1	0	23:41	—	—	35	25
Justin Holl D	D2	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	13:34	—	—	44	56
Morgan Rielly D	D3	-2	0	0.00	1	2	0	24:38	—	—	30	5
Igor Ozhiganov D	D3	-1	0	0.03	0	0	0	13:07	—	—	43	8

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Frederik Andersen(start)	L	19	17	2	.895	1.97	58:44

Nashville Predators

NSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Ryan Johansen C	L1	0	2	2	+2	0	0.10	2	0	0	18:36	—	—	37	20
Viktor Arvidsson L	L1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.20	0	0	0	18:23	—	—	35	17
Filip Forsberg L	L1	1	0	1	+1	3	1.01	3	1	0	17:52	—	—	28	16
Calle Jarnkrok C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.17	0	0	0	16:08	—	—	42	49
Colton Sissons C	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.20	1	0	0	15:38	—	—	60	94
Craig Smith C	L2	0	1	1	+1	2	0.21	1	0	2	15:25	—	—	56	83
Nick Bonino C	L3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.16	0	1	0	14:54	—	—	50	76
Mikael Granlund C	L3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	0	0	13:53	—	—	57	71
Wayne Simmonds R	L3	1	0	1	+1	1	0.24	2	0	0	13:07	—	—	47	37
Kyle Turris C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.06	1	0	0	11:30	—	—	53	32
Rocco Grimaldi R	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	9:41	—	—	58	35
Brian Boyle C	L4	1	0	1	+1	1	0.23	3	0	0	9:33	—	—	67	73
Roman Josi D	D1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.22	0	3	2	23:33	—	—	46	49
Ryan Ellis D	D1	0	1	1	+1	2	0.04	1	2	0	22:54	—	—	47	37
Mattias Ekholm D	D2	0	0	0	+2	1	0.03	1	4	2	26:00	—	—	47	38
P.K. Subban D	D2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.07	0	3	0	23:52	—	—	61	66
Matt Irwin D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	2	0	11:48	—	—	25	18
Yannick Weber D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	2	0	11:13	—	—	20	36

NSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Pekka Rinne(start)	W	22	22	0	.1000	3.61	60:00

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.