Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Nashville PredatorsJan 27, 2020

FinalMonday, Jan 27, 2020· Bridgestone Arena

away

Toronto Maple LeafsTOR

5

@

home

Nashville PredatorsNSH

2

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TOR	2	2	1	5		TOR	10	12	9	31
NSH	1	0	1	2		NSH	15	8	13	36

: TOR 53NSH 65
: TOR 4.24NSH 2.65
PP goals: TOR 0NSH 0
Hits: TOR 18NSH 19
Blocks: TOR 13NSH 11
PIM: TOR 2NSH 4
: TOR 50%NSH 50%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Nashville Predators 5–2

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Nashville Predators 5–2 at NSH. William Nylander (TOR) led the scoring with 1G 1A. Kasperi Kapanen (TOR) played 4:42, −11:15 down on his 15:57 season average over 68 games.

Points
Rasmus Sandin had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 15:42.Sandin
Points
William Nylander had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 18:32.Nylander
Points
Zach Hyman had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 18:33.Hyman
Usage
Kasperi Kapanen (TOR) played 4:42, −11:15 down on his 15:57 season average over 68 games.Kapanen
Goalie
Frederik Andersen (TOR) faced 36 shots and stopped 34 (.944), +6 against a season average of 30.3; the win.Andersen
New line
New look for TOR: Spezza–Gauthier–Moore skated 4:08 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (0% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Spezza Gauthier Moore
Usage
Alexander Kerfoot (TOR) played 18:46, +4:04 up on his 14:42 season average over 64 games.Kerfoot
Usage
Ryan Johansen (NSH) played 10:28, −6:41 down on his 17:09 season average over 67 games.Johansen

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TOR attacks left (bottom on phones)NSH attacks right (top on phones) →

NSH
TOR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 118 of 118 attempts · NSH 65 · TOR 53

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

NSH
TOR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

NSH pressure
TOR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TOR 35% of the game, NSH 26%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

NSH

TOR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TOR	NSH
	58	71
	4.06	2.62
	3.69	2.48
	18	8
	2	4
	17	11
	−0.012	+0.013
	35%	26%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Hyman – Marner – Matthews
11:4742% CF
L2Tavares – Kerfoot – Nylander
11:4652% CF
L3Johnsson – Kapanen – Engvall
4:1133% CF
L4Spezza – Gauthier – Moore
4:080% CF
D1Muzzin – Holl
18:2056% CF
D2Barrie – Dermott
13:2127% CF
D3Ceci – Sandin
12:2464% CF

PP1Tavares – Barrie – Nylander – Marner – Matthews
0:56
PP2Barrie – Hyman – Johnsson – Marner – Matthews
0:47100% CF
PK1FHyman – Marner
0:40
PK1DCeci – Dermott
0:40

Current TOR line combinations →

Nashville Predators

L1Bonino – Grimaldi – Arvidsson
12:0058% CF
L2Duchene – Granlund – Forsberg
11:3368% CF
L3Turris – Smith – Blackwell
11:3163% CF
L4Jarnkrok – Watson – Johansen
6:5625% CF
D1Hamhuis – Ekholm
9:0161% CF
D2Josi – Fabbro
8:5756% CF
D3Weber – Irwin
6:0121% CF

PP1Turris – Ekholm – Smith – Granlund – Forsberg
0:40100% CF
PK1FTurris – Jarnkrok
1:07
PK2FJohansen – Granlund
0:38
PK1DHamhuis – Ekholm
1:45
PK2DJosi – Fabbro
0:47

Current NSH line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

4:13
TORWilliam Nylander (Rasmus Sandin, Cody Ceci)wrist0.17 xG
TOR: Tavares, Ceci, Kerfoot, Nylander, SandinNSH: Duchene, Ekholm, Grimaldi, Arvidsson, Fabbro
TOR 1 – 0 NSH
4:53
NSHMikael Granlund (Matt Duchene, Filip Forsberg)wrist0.04 xG
TOR: Muzzin, Holl, Hyman, Marner, MatthewsNSH: Hamhuis, Duchene, Irwin, Granlund, Forsberg
TOR 1 – 1 NSH
7:12
TORZach Hyman (Mitch Marner, Tyson Barrie)wrist0.21 xG
TOR: Barrie, Hyman, Dermott, Marner, MatthewsNSH: Weber, Josi, Jarnkrok, Watson, Johansen
TOR 2 – 1 NSH

2nd period

4:41
TORRasmus Sandin (Alexander Kerfoot, William Nylander)snap0.22 xG
TOR: Tavares, Ceci, Kerfoot, Nylander, SandinNSH: Hamhuis, Ekholm, Jarnkrok, Watson, Johansen
TOR 3 – 1 NSH
12:17
TORJason Spezza (Justin Holl, Zach Hyman)wrist0.05 xG
TOR: Spezza, Muzzin, Holl, Hyman, KerfootNSH: Hamhuis, Bonino, Ekholm, Watson, Granlund
TOR 4 – 1 NSH

3rd period

12:52
NSHViktor Arvidsson (Mattias Ekholm, Nick Bonino)wrist0.04 xG
TOR: Barrie, Johnsson, Nylander, Engvall, DermottNSH: Hamhuis, Bonino, Ekholm, Grimaldi, Arvidsson
TOR 4 – 2 NSH
18:28
TORAuston MatthewsENwrist0.66 xG
TOR: Hyman, Ceci, Dermott, Marner, MatthewsNSH: Bonino, Weber, Josi, Duchene, Forsberg, Arvidsson
TOR 5 – 2 NSH

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Auston Matthews C	L1	1	0	1	+1	4	1.12	0	2	0	20:25	—	—	50	55
Mitch Marner R	L1	0	1	1	+1	0	0.27	0	1	0	18:41	—	—	53	64
Zach Hyman L	L1	1	1	2	+2	2	0.29	2	1	0	18:33	—	—	39	53
John Tavares C	L2	0	0	0	+2	4	0.15	2	0	0	20:15	—	—	39	64
Alexander Kerfoot C	L2	0	1	1	+3	1	0.18	1	2	0	18:46	—	—	44	59
William Nylander R	L2	1	1	2	+1	4	0.48	0	0	0	18:32	—	—	54	69
Andreas Johnsson L	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	0	0	13:52	—	—	35	61
Pierre Engvall L	L3	0	0	0	-1	4	0.41	0	1	0	12:45	—	—	43	62
Kasperi Kapanen R	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	4:42	—	—	40	59
Trevor Moore L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	12:15	—	—	29	44
Jason Spezza C	L4	1	0	1	+1	1	0.05	0	0	0	11:52	—	—	47	69
Frederik Gauthier C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.15	0	1	0	9:34	—	—	56	77
Jake Muzzin D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.02	4	1	0	22:38	—	—	47	65
Justin Holl D	D1	0	1	1	0	2	0.30	1	2	2	20:42	—	—	61	71
Travis Dermott D	D2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.03	3	1	0	21:13	—	—	24	38
Tyson Barrie D	D2	0	1	1	0	1	0.38	0	0	0	19:15	—	—	36	49
Cody Ceci D	D3	0	1	1	+3	2	0.12	1	1	0	18:33	—	—	51	69
Rasmus Sandin D	D3	1	1	2	+2	3	0.26	0	0	0	15:42	—	—	58	74

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Frederik Andersen(start)	W	36	34	2	.944	2.65	59:45

Nashville Predators

NSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nick Bonino C	L1	0	1	1	-1	1	0.28	0	2	2	18:14	—	—	56	68
Viktor Arvidsson L	L1	1	0	1	-1	3	0.40	0	0	0	16:57	—	—	60	62
Rocco Grimaldi R	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.25	0	0	0	16:30	—	—	59	62
Filip Forsberg L	L2	0	1	1	0	2	0.13	0	0	0	16:22	—	—	62	44
Mikael Granlund C	L2	1	0	1	0	2	0.31	1	1	0	16:16	—	—	61	50
Matt Duchene C	L2	0	1	1	-1	1	0.01	0	0	0	15:41	—	—	62	42
Kyle Turris C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.27	0	0	2	16:45	—	—	62	44
Colin Blackwell C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.17	3	1	0	13:47	—	—	61	43
Craig Smith C	L3	0	0	0	0	4	0.31	0	0	0	13:34	—	—	61	44
Calle Jarnkrok C	L4	0	0	0	-2	1	0.02	0	2	0	11:30	—	—	35	10
Austin Watson L	L4	0	0	0	-3	0	0.00	5	0	0	11:23	—	—	26	5
Ryan Johansen C	L4	0	0	0	-2	2	0.05	2	1	0	10:28	—	—	33	7
Mattias Ekholm D	D1	0	1	1	-2	2	0.03	1	0	0	21:29	—	—	63	50
Dan Hamhuis D	D1	0	0	0	0	3	0.04	1	0	0	16:55	—	—	68	46
Roman Josi D	D2	0	0	0	-2	4	0.20	0	1	0	24:49	—	—	57	52
Dante Fabbro D	D2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.03	0	1	0	21:57	—	—	57	53
Yannick Weber D	D3	0	0	0	-2	2	0.05	2	0	0	19:33	—	—	44	20
Matt Irwin D	D3	0	0	0	+1	4	0.12	4	2	0	14:37	—	—	45	27

NSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Pekka Rinne(start)	L	30	26	4	.867	3.57	59:13

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.