Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Nashville PredatorsMar 19, 2022

FinalSaturday, Mar 19, 2022· Bridgestone Arena

away

Toronto Maple LeafsTOR

3

@

home

Nashville PredatorsNSH

6

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TOR	0	1	2	3		TOR	9	13	19	41
NSH	1	2	3	6		NSH	16	8	10	34

: TOR 70NSH 53
: TOR 3.78NSH 3.85
PP goals: TOR 0NSH 1
Hits: TOR 27NSH 37
Blocks: TOR 11NSH 18
PIM: TOR 8NSH 6
: TOR 50%NSH 50%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Nashville Predators beat Toronto Maple Leafs 6–3

Nashville Predators beat Toronto Maple Leafs 6–3 at home. Mitch Marner (TOR) led the scoring with 2G 1A. NSH won it by committee.

Points
Mitch Marner had two goals and an assist (3 points) on 3 shots in 23:45.Marner
Points
Roman Josi had 3 assists (3 points) on 5 shots in 24:20.Josi
Points
Auston Matthews had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 10 shots in 23:04.Matthews
Points
Eeli Tolvanen had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 12:16.Tolvanen
Points
Filip Forsberg had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 16:57.Forsberg
Points
Matt Duchene had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 19:14.Duchene
Points
Yakov Trenin had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 16:26.Trenin
Points
Colton Sissons had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 17:54.Sissons

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TOR attacks left (bottom on phones)NSH attacks right (top on phones) →

NSH
TOR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 123 of 123 attempts · NSH 53 · TOR 70

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

NSH
TOR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

NSH pressure
TOR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TOR 33% of the game, NSH 29%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

NSH

TOR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TOR	NSH
	55	43
	2.39	1.82
	2.26	1.74
	6	5
	4	7
	28	28
	−0.015	+0.015
	33%	29%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Bunting – Marner – Matthews
10:3173% CF
L2Engvall – Kampf – Mikheyev
7:0250% CF
L3Spezza – Clifford – Kerfoot
4:5647% CF
L4Tavares – Nylander – Kase
3:1857% CF
D1Brodie – Holl
13:4338% CF
D2Rielly – Lyubushkin
10:0162% CF
D3Dermott – Sandin
9:5668% CF

PP1Tavares – Rielly – Nylander – Marner – Matthews
4:4883% CF
PP2Spezza – Bunting – Kase – Sandin – Mikheyev
0:41100% CF
PK1FMarner – Kampf
2:41
PK2FKerfoot – Mikheyev
0:56
PK1DBrodie – Holl
2:40
PK2DRielly – Lyubushkin
1:43

Current TOR line combinations →

Nashville Predators

L1Duchene – Johansen – Forsberg
9:3221% CF
L2Sissons – Trenin – Jeannot
8:2530% CF
L3Cousins – McCarron – Tomasino
8:1072% CF
L4Granlund – Kunin – Tolvanen
7:1343% CF
D1Ekholm – Carrier
16:3642% CF
D2Josi – Fabbro
12:5148% CF
D3Tennyson – Davies
9:1142% CF

PP1Josi – Duchene – Johansen – Granlund – Forsberg
4:4686% CF
PP2Ekholm – Cousins – Sissons – Tolvanen – Tomasino
1:42100% CF
PK1FSissons – Jeannot
3:14
PK2FGranlund – Trenin
1:57
PK1DEkholm – Carrier
3:04
PK2DJosi – Fabbro
2:25

Current NSH line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

13:46
NSHTanner Jeannot (Colton Sissons, Yakov Trenin)wrist0.04 xG
TOR: Rielly, Bunting, Marner, Matthews, LyubushkinNSH: Ekholm, Sissons, Trenin, Carrier, Jeannot
TOR 0 – 1 NSH

2nd period

1:48
NSHEeli Tolvanen (Jeremy Davies, Mikael Granlund)tip-in0.04 xG
TOR: Tavares, Nylander, Kase, Dermott, SandinNSH: Granlund, Tennyson, Kunin, Davies, Tolvanen
TOR 0 – 2 NSH
8:04
TORMitch Marner (Michael Bunting, Auston Matthews)snap0.17 xG
TOR: Bunting, Dermott, Marner, Matthews, SandinNSH: Duchene, Ekholm, Johansen, Forsberg, Carrier
TOR 1 – 2 NSH
10:52
NSHMattias Ekholm (Alexandre Carrier, Eeli Tolvanen)slap0.03 xG
TOR: Tavares, Rielly, Kerfoot, Nylander, LyubushkinNSH: Ekholm, Granlund, Carrier, Kunin, Tolvanen
TOR 1 – 3 NSH

3rd period

3:41
TORAuston Matthews (Mitch Marner)backhand0.03 xG
TOR: Rielly, Bunting, Marner, Matthews, LyubushkinNSH: Josi, McCarron, Trenin, Fabbro, Jeannot
TOR 2 – 3 NSH
12:11
NSHFilip ForsbergPP (Matt Duchene, Roman Josi)backhand0.30 xG
TOR: Brodie, Holl, Marner, KampfNSH: Josi, Duchene, Johansen, Granlund, Forsberg
TOR 2 – 4 NSH
14:09
NSHMatt Duchene (Filip Forsberg, Roman Josi)wrist0.26 xG
TOR: Tavares, Holl, Nylander, Sandin, MikheyevNSH: Josi, Duchene, Forsberg, McCarron, Fabbro
TOR 2 – 5 NSH
15:19
TORMitch Marner (William Nylander, Morgan Rielly)deflected0.21 xG
TOR: Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Bunting, Marner, MatthewsNSH: Josi, Granlund, Kunin, Fabbro, Tolvanen
TOR 3 – 5 NSH
19:08
NSHYakov TreninEN (Colton Sissons, Roman Josi)wrist0.75 xG
TOR: Spezza, Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Marner, MatthewsNSH: Josi, Sissons, Trenin, Fabbro, Jeannot
TOR 3 – 6 NSH

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mitch Marner R	L1	2	1	3	+1	3	0.40	3	1	0	23:45	—	—	75	90
Auston Matthews C	L1	1	1	2	+1	10	1.29	1	1	0	23:04	—	—	77	87
Michael Bunting L	L1	0	1	1	+2	2	0.14	3	0	0	16:26	—	—	76	90
David Kampf C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	15:13	—	—	40	24
Ilya Mikheyev R	L2	0	0	0	-1	4	0.24	0	0	0	13:25	—	—	59	36
Pierre Engvall L	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.21	2	1	0	13:01	—	—	55	27
Alexander Kerfoot C	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	2	0	12:45	—	—	35	37
Jason Spezza C	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.15	2	0	2	11:41	—	—	52	81
Kyle Clifford L	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.17	2	1	2	9:33	—	—	42	60
William Nylander R	L4	0	1	1	-3	4	0.41	1	0	0	22:29	—	—	50	36
John Tavares C	L4	0	0	0	-3	3	0.44	0	0	0	18:52	—	—	44	34
Ondrej Kase R	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	0	0	6:22	—	—	56	12
TJ Brodie D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	0	1	0	22:03	—	—	44	61
Justin Holl D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.05	1	3	2	18:07	—	—	40	44
Morgan Rielly D	D2	0	1	1	-1	6	0.21	2	1	0	26:17	—	—	64	59
Ilya Lyubushkin D	D2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	3	0	0	15:56	—	—	61	45
Rasmus Sandin D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	5	0	0	14:49	—	—	62	56
Travis Dermott D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	0	0	0	13:06	—	—	71	77

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Erik Kallgren(start)	L	33	28	5	.848	2.32	56:20

Nashville Predators

NSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Matt Duchene C	L1	1	1	2	0	3	0.49	0	0	2	19:14	—	—	33	51
Ryan Johansen C	L1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	3	1	4	17:59	—	—	24	29
Filip Forsberg L	L1	1	1	2	0	4	0.42	4	1	0	16:57	—	—	29	48
Colton Sissons C	L2	0	2	2	+2	2	0.09	1	0	0	17:54	—	—	38	34
Tanner Jeannot L	L2	1	0	1	+1	3	0.85	5	2	0	16:49	—	—	31	23
Yakov Trenin C	L2	1	1	2	+1	3	0.82	3	0	0	16:26	—	—	35	29
Nick Cousins C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	3	1	0	12:00	—	—	74	65
Philip Tomasino R	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.11	0	1	0	11:04	—	—	72	64
Michael McCarron C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.05	3	1	0	10:57	—	—	71	69
Mikael Granlund C	L4	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	2	0	0	17:51	—	—	35	37
Eeli Tolvanen R	L4	1	1	2	+1	3	0.14	3	2	0	12:16	—	—	39	45
Luke Kunin C	L4	0	0	0	+1	1	0.14	3	1	0	10:55	—	—	47	56
Mattias Ekholm D	D1	1	0	1	+1	3	0.17	2	2	0	25:55	—	—	39	31
Alexandre Carrier D	D1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.07	3	3	0	23:38	—	—	46	37
Roman Josi D	D2	0	3	3	0	5	0.44	0	0	0	24:20	—	—	52	56
Dante Fabbro D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.02	1	2	0	19:18	—	—	44	55
Jeremy Davies D	D3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.00	0	0	0	10:44	—	—	40	35
Matt Tennyson D	D3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.05	1	1	0	10:08	—	—	40	29

NSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Juuse Saros(start)	W	41	38	3	.927	3.78	59:35

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.