Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Nashville PredatorsOct 28, 2023

Final / OTSaturday, Oct 28, 2023· Bridgestone Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	OT	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
TOR	1	1	0	0	2		TOR	12	13	10	0	35
NSH	1	1	0	1	3		NSH	6	9	8	1	24

: TOR 69NSH 55
: TOR 3.31NSH 2.36
PP goals: TOR 1NSH 2
Hits: TOR 20NSH 28
Blocks: TOR 13NSH 21
PIM: TOR 6NSH 8
: TOR 54%NSH 46%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Nashville Predators edge Toronto Maple Leafs 3–2 (OT)

Nashville Predators beat Toronto Maple Leafs 3–2 in overtime at home. Ryan O'Reilly (NSH) led the scoring with 2G 0A. NSH's first power-play unit (Josi, O'Reilly, Barrie, Forsberg and Evangelista) scored 2 power-play goals on 5 attempts in 5:09 together.

Points
Ryan O'Reilly had two goals (2 points) on 2 shots in 23:03.O'Reilly
Points
Roman Josi had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 5 shots in 25:45.Josi
Points
Filip Forsberg had 2 assists (2 points) on 3 shots in 19:04.Forsberg
Points
Luke Evangelista had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 18:59.Evangelista
PP1
NSH's first power-play unit (Josi, O'Reilly, Barrie, Forsberg and Evangelista) scored 2 power-play goals on 5 attempts in 5:09 together.Josi O'Reilly Barrie Forsberg Evangelista
PP1
TOR's first power-play unit (Tavares, Klingberg, Nylander, Marner and Matthews) scored 1 power-play goal on 9 attempts in 4:28 together.Tavares Klingberg Nylander Marner Matthews
Usage
Timothy Liljegren (TOR) played 11:45, −8:04 down on his 19:49 season average over 54 games.Liljegren
Goalie
Juuse Saros (NSH) faced 35 shots and stopped 33 (.943), +6 against a season average of 28.8; the win.Saros

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TOR attacks left (bottom on phones)NSH attacks right (top on phones) →

NSH
TOR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 124 of 124 attempts · NSH 55 · TOR 69

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

NSH
TOR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

NSH pressure
TOR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TOR 33% of the game, NSH 24%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

NSH

TOR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TOR	NSH
	64	47
	2.40	1.57
	2.33	1.51
	7	7
	10	10
	16	22
	+0.036	−0.036
	33%	24%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Jarnkrok – Marner – Matthews
11:2663% CF
L2Tavares – Bertuzzi – Nylander
10:4863% CF
L3Domi – Kampf – Knies
9:2152% CF
L4Reaves – Gregor – Holmberg
5:1843% CF
D1Brodie – Rielly
13:0952% CF
D2Giordano – Liljegren
7:0950% CF
D3Klingberg – Lagesson
5:0744% CF

PP1Tavares – Klingberg – Nylander – Marner – Matthews
4:2890% CF
PP2Jarnkrok – Rielly – Bertuzzi – Domi – Knies
1:0050% CF
PK1FMarner – Kampf
2:04
PK2FJarnkrok – Matthews
1:01
PK1DGiordano – Brodie
4:21
PK2DRielly – Liljegren
0:42

Current TOR line combinations →

Nashville Predators

L1Sissons – Trenin – Smith
9:3364% CF
L2Novak – Sherwood – Evangelista
8:5359% CF
L3Nyquist – O'Reilly – Forsberg
8:5230% CF
L4Foudy – Tomasino – Parssinen
4:5613% CF
D1Josi – Fabbro
12:3441% CF
D2McDonagh – Carrier
12:0227% CF
D3Barrie – Lauzon
10:0639% CF

PP1Josi – O'Reilly – Barrie – Forsberg – Evangelista
5:0983% CF
PP2Nyquist – Novak – Carrier – Tomasino – Parssinen
1:200% CF
PK1FO'Reilly – Trenin
1:55
PK2FSissons – Smith
1:42
PK1DMcDonagh – Carrier
2:09
PK2DLauzon – Fabbro
0:53

Current NSH line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Auston Matthews C	L1	0	1	1	-1	4	0.37	1	0	0	21:50	—	—	68	63
Mitch Marner R	L1	0	1	1	0	1	0.03	0	0	0	21:23	—	—	68	66
Calle Jarnkrok C	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.21	0	0	2	16:04	—	—	63	59
William Nylander R	L2	1	0	1	-1	7	0.81	0	0	0	20:48	—	—	53	68
John Tavares C	L2	0	0	0	0	4	0.72	1	0	0	18:31	—	—	64	74
Tyler Bertuzzi L	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.11	1	1	0	16:06	—	—	66	71
Max Domi C	L3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.22	0	0	0	15:05	—	—	56	49
David Kampf C	L3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.01	2	0	0	14:58	—	—	52	43
Matthew Knies L	L3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	4	0	0	14:18	—	—	50	41
Noah Gregor L	L4	0	0	0	0	4	0.30	0	0	0	8:53	—	—	40	58
Pontus Holmberg R	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	7:48	—	—	46	69
Ryan Reaves R	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	4	1	0	6:33	—	—	40	24
Morgan Rielly D	D1	0	0	0	0	4	0.24	0	4	0	27:48	—	—	60	69
TJ Brodie D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	3	2	25:33	—	—	53	54
Mark Giordano D	D2	1	0	1	+1	3	0.18	2	1	0	20:29	—	—	57	60
Timothy Liljegren D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	2	0	11:45	—	—	53	57
John Klingberg D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	3	0	2	20:03	—	—	68	77
William Lagesson D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.10	2	0	0	10:56	—	—	56	40

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Ilya Samsonov(start)	O	24	21	3	.875	2.36	62:05

Nashville Predators

NSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Yakov Trenin C	L1	0	0	0	0	4	0.38	4	1	0	16:28	—	—	54	43
Colton Sissons C	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	1	0	2	16:16	—	—	45	36
Cole Smith R	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	4	1	0	15:27	—	—	61	44
Luke Evangelista R	L2	0	2	2	+1	1	0.28	1	1	0	18:59	—	—	54	57
Tommy Novak C	L2	0	1	1	+1	0	0.01	0	0	0	16:27	—	—	58	65
Kiefer Sherwood L	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.26	6	0	0	12:46	—	—	55	66
Ryan O'Reilly C	L3	2	0	2	0	2	0.31	3	1	0	23:03	—	—	26	28
Filip Forsberg L	L3	0	2	2	0	3	0.28	0	0	2	19:04	—	—	35	37
Gustav Nyquist R	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.11	1	2	0	16:33	—	—	27	31
Juuso Parssinen C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.07	0	1	0	9:57	—	—	15	17
Philip Tomasino R	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	7:55	—	—	30	31
Liam Foudy C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	5:25	—	—	11	15
Roman Josi D	D1	1	1	2	+1	5	0.36	1	1	0	25:45	—	—	55	53
Dante Fabbro D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	2	4	0	19:16	—	—	45	32
Ryan McDonagh D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.11	1	2	0	21:21	—	—	33	32
Alexandre Carrier D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	3	3	2	18:38	—	—	33	44
Tyson Barrie D	D3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.07	1	0	2	19:14	—	—	42	25
Jeremy Lauzon D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	4	0	17:19	—	—	46	56

NSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Juuse Saros(start)	W	35	33	2	.943	3.31	62:13

Goal anatomy

Animated replays from NHL EDGE tracking, with the entry, passes and shot speed for each goal.

William Nylander (TOR PP) 1st 13:32 · assists Auston Matthews, Mitch Marner · Forecheck turnover · carried in · 4-on-3 at the blue line · 58.4 mph shot · 7.8 s from entry to goal.

William Nylander · 1st 13:32 · TOR PP

Play: turnover-forecheck
Entry: carry
Odd man: 4-on-3
Passes: 2
Shot: 58.4 mph
Distance: 24 ft
Entry to goal: 7.8 s
Type: one-timer

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Ryan O'Reilly · 1st 15:05 · NSH PP

Play: cycle
Passes: 3 (royal road)
Shot: 37.0 mph
Distance: 8 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Mark Giordano · 2nd 12:46 · TOR

Play: cycle
Passes: 0
Shot: 24.1 mph
Distance: 3 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Ryan O'Reilly · 2nd 15:08 · NSH PP

Play: deflection
Passes: 4 (royal road)
Shot: 31.5 mph
Distance: 9 ft
Type: deflection

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Roman Josi · OT 2:13 · NSH

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: 2-on-1
Passes: 0
Shot: 71.5 mph
Distance: 29 ft
Entry to goal: 5.8 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Nashville PredatorsOct 28, 2023

Fantasy takeaways

Nashville Predators edge Toronto Maple Leafs 3–2 (OT)

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Sequence card

Lines used

Toronto Maple Leafs

Nashville Predators

Scoring summary

1st period

2nd period

OT period

Box score

Toronto Maple Leafs

Nashville Predators

Goal anatomy

William Nylander · 1st 13:32 · TOR PP

Ryan O'Reilly · 1st 15:05 · NSH PP

Mark Giordano · 2nd 12:46 · TOR

Ryan O'Reilly · 2nd 15:08 · NSH PP

Roman Josi · OT 2:13 · NSH