Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Detroit Red WingsDec 15, 2017

FinalFriday, Dec 15, 2017· Little Caesars Arena

away

Toronto Maple LeafsTOR

1

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home

Detroit Red WingsDET

3

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TOR	1	0	0	1		TOR	12	5	9	26
DET	0	2	1	3		DET	7	13	9	29

: TOR 59DET 52
: TOR 2.77DET 2.36
PP goals: TOR 0DET 1
Hits: TOR 17DET 20
Blocks: TOR 6DET 14
PIM: TOR 8DET 6
: TOR 48%DET 52%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Detroit Red Wings beat Toronto Maple Leafs 3–1

Detroit Red Wings beat Toronto Maple Leafs 3–1 at home. Henrik Zetterberg (DET) led the scoring with 0G 2A. New look for TOR: Moore–Martin–Kapanen skated 6:23 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (66.7% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

Points
Henrik Zetterberg had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 17:59.Zetterberg
New line
New look for TOR: Moore–Martin–Kapanen skated 6:23 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (66.7% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Moore Martin Kapanen
Usage
Nick Jensen (DET) played 9:27, −6:53 down on his 16:20 season average over 80 games.Jensen
Luck
TOR scored 1 goal on 2.77 expected goals (59 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Luke Glendening (DET) played 17:09, +4:01 up on his 13:08 season average over 68 games.Glendening
Usage
Dylan Larkin (DET) played 23:18, +3:30 up on his 19:48 season average over 81 games.Larkin
Usage
William Nylander (TOR) played 13:13, −3:31 down on his 16:44 season average over 81 games.Nylander
Usage
Mitch Marner (TOR) played 19:29, +3:08 up on his 16:21 season average over 81 games.Marner

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TOR attacks left (bottom on phones)DET attacks right (top on phones) →

DET
TOR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 111 of 111 attempts · DET 52 · TOR 59

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

DET
TOR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

DET pressure
TOR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TOR 32% of the game, DET 27%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

DET

TOR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TOR	DET
	50	48
	2.11	1.64
	2.08	1.59
	7	5
	8	1
	20	16
	−0.016	+0.016
	32%	27%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Marleau – Hyman – Marner
10:2231% CF
L2van Riemsdyk – Bozak – Brown
8:4374% CF
L3Komarov – Kadri – Nylander
8:2836% CF
L4Moore – Martin – Kapanen
6:2367% CF
D1Hainsey – Rielly
13:2957% CF
D2Gardiner – Zaitsev
11:3656% CF
D3Polak – Borgman
6:5355% CF

PP1van Riemsdyk – Bozak – Kadri – Rielly – Marner
2:5071% CF
PP2Marleau – Komarov – Gardiner – Brown – Nylander
2:49100% CF
PK1FKomarov – Hyman
3:51
PK2FMoore – Brown
2:14
PK1DHainsey – Zaitsev
2:29
PK2DPolak – Rielly
0:53

Current TOR line combinations →

Detroit Red Wings

L1Zetterberg – Abdelkader – Nyquist
8:3124% CF
L2Nielsen – Helm – Glendening
8:2753% CF
L3Tatar – Mantha – Larkin
3:5229% CF
D1Green – DeKeyser
16:1158% CF
D2Daley – Ericsson
14:1361% CF
D3Kronwall – Jensen
6:038% CF

PP1Green – Frk – Athanasiou – Mantha – Larkin
2:4175% CF
PP2Zetterberg – Kronwall – Abdelkader – Nyquist – Tatar
2:26100% CF
PK1FGlendening – Larkin
1:54
PK2FNielsen – Abdelkader
0:41
PK1DJensen – DeKeyser
2:08
PK2DDaley – Ericsson
1:25

Current DET line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

1:58
TORKasperi Kapanen (Andreas Borgman, Matt Martin)deflected0.08 xG
TOR: Moore, Polak, Martin, Kapanen, BorgmanDET: Daley, Ericsson, Witkowski, Frk, Athanasiou
TOR 1 – 0 DET

2nd period

5:22
DETDanny DeKeyser (Henrik Zetterberg, Martin Frk)snap0.07 xG
TOR: Polak, van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Brown, BorgmanDET: Zetterberg, Green, Tatar, Frk, DeKeyser
TOR 1 – 1 DET
11:22
DETTrevor DaleySH (Jonathan Ericsson, Luke Glendening)snap0.15 xG
TOR: van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Kadri, Brown, NylanderDET: Daley, Helm, DeKeyser, Larkin
TOR 1 – 2 DET

3rd period

9:39
DETTomas TatarPP (Henrik Zetterberg, Niklas Kronwall)tip-in0.09 xG
TOR: Komarov, Hyman, Rielly, ZaitsevDET: Zetterberg, Kronwall, Abdelkader, Nyquist, Tatar
TOR 1 – 3 DET

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mitch Marner R	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.07	0	0	0	19:29	—	—	35	43
Patrick Marleau C	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.26	0	0	0	17:49	—	—	35	45
Zach Hyman L	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.18	1	1	0	17:47	—	—	35	41
Tyler Bozak C	L2	0	0	0	-1	6	0.26	0	0	2	15:53	—	—	69	68
Connor Brown R	L2	0	0	0	-2	2	0.18	0	0	0	15:41	—	—	75	68
James van Riemsdyk L	L2	0	0	0	-2	1	0.12	0	0	2	14:47	—	—	71	67
Leo Komarov R	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.12	3	0	0	18:37	—	—	43	43
Nazem Kadri C	L3	0	0	0	-1	3	0.30	1	0	0	16:44	—	—	47	43
William Nylander R	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.14	0	0	0	13:13	—	—	41	39
Kasperi Kapanen R	L4	1	0	1	+1	4	0.25	3	0	0	12:26	—	—	50	56
Dominic Moore C	L4	0	0	0	+1	1	0.33	0	0	0	11:48	—	—	56	60
Matt Martin L	L4	0	1	1	+1	1	0.50	4	0	2	7:36	—	—	60	70
Morgan Rielly D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.03	1	1	0	22:25	—	—	62	67
Ron Hainsey D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.04	1	1	2	21:53	—	—	36	11
Jake Gardiner D	D2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	21:43	—	—	56	71
Nikita Zaitsev D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	2	2	0	20:25	—	—	46	54
Roman Polak D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	14:46	—	—	59	71
Andreas Borgman D	D3	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	12:55	—	—	53	58

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Curtis McElhinney(start)	L	29	26	3	.897	2.36	57:53

Detroit Red Wings

DET skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Henrik Zetterberg C	L1	0	2	2	+1	1	0.14	2	0	0	17:59	—	—	42	41
Justin Abdelkader L	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.11	2	0	0	16:50	—	—	32	28
Gustav Nyquist R	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.27	1	1	0	16:03	—	—	35	24
Luke Glendening C	L2	0	1	1	0	3	0.14	3	0	0	17:09	—	—	47	56
Frans Nielsen C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	1	4	0	16:36	—	—	48	45
Darren Helm C	L2	0	0	0	+1	3	0.25	3	0	0	15:56	—	—	58	56
Dylan Larkin C	L3	0	0	0	+1	3	0.45	0	0	0	23:18	—	—	61	62
Anthony Mantha R	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	0	2	0	14:55	—	—	41	32
Tomas Tatar L	L3	1	0	1	+1	6	0.34	0	0	0	14:29	—	—	68	71
Mike Green D	D1	0	0	0	+1	3	0.14	3	0	0	21:46	—	—	55	47
Danny DeKeyser D	D1	1	0	1	+2	1	0.07	1	0	2	21:22	—	—	56	45
Trevor Daley D	D2	1	0	1	0	2	0.20	0	4	2	22:04	—	—	56	69
Jonathan Ericsson D	D2	0	1	1	-1	1	0.07	0	2	0	20:26	—	—	65	74
Niklas Kronwall D	D3	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	0	0	2	16:19	—	—	22	19
Nick Jensen D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	9:27	—	—	8	6
Andreas Athanasiou C	—	0	0	0	-1	2	0.16	1	0	0	14:48	—	—	69	58
Martin Frk R	—	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	3	0	0	9:34	—	—	43	37
Luke Witkowski D	—	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	4:59	—	—	50	29

DET goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Jimmy Howard(start)	W	26	25	1	.962	2.77	60:00

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.