Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Detroit Red WingsOct 11, 2018

FinalThursday, Oct 11, 2018· Little Caesars Arena

away

Toronto Maple LeafsTOR

5

@

home

Detroit Red WingsDET

3

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TOR	1	2	2	5		TOR	11	15	9	35
DET	1	0	2	3		DET	6	5	18	29

: TOR 54DET 57
: TOR 3.59DET 3.43
PP goals: TOR 2DET 0
Hits: TOR 17DET 23
Blocks: TOR 11DET 7
PIM: TOR 13DET 15
: TOR 50%DET 50%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Detroit Red Wings 5–3

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Detroit Red Wings 5–3 at DET. John Tavares (TOR) led the scoring with 0G 4A. TOR's first power-play unit (Tavares, Kadri, Rielly, Marner and Matthews) scored 2 power-play goals on 12 attempts in 3:44 together.

Points
John Tavares had 4 assists (4 points) on 3 shots in 18:35.Tavares
Points
Auston Matthews had two goals (2 points) on 3 shots in 19:35.Matthews
Points
Nick Jensen had two goals (2 points) on 5 shots in 21:20.Jensen
Points
Mitch Marner had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 18:36.Marner
Points
Morgan Rielly had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 5 shots in 22:05.Rielly
Points
Nazem Kadri had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 16:05.Kadri
PP1
TOR's first power-play unit (Tavares, Kadri, Rielly, Marner and Matthews) scored 2 power-play goals on 12 attempts in 3:44 together.Tavares Kadri Rielly Marner Matthews
New line
New look for DET: Vanek–Nyquist–Athanasiou skated 6:23 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (38.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Vanek Nyquist Athanasiou

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TOR attacks left (bottom on phones)DET attacks right (top on phones) →

DET
TOR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 111 of 111 attempts · DET 57 · TOR 54

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

DET
TOR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

DET pressure
TOR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TOR 34% of the game, DET 27%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

DET

TOR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TOR	DET
	43	53
	2.59	2.92
	2.48	2.76
	12	10
	4	2
	16	12
	−0.024	+0.024
	34%	27%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Marleau – Kapanen – Matthews
10:3637% CF
L2Tavares – Hyman – Marner
10:2575% CF
L3Kadri – Brown – Lindholm
8:5944% CF
L4Ennis – Leivo – Gauthier
4:4743% CF
D1Gardiner – Zaitsev
16:1030% CF
D2Hainsey – Rielly
15:0063% CF
D3Marincin – Dermott
11:1040% CF

PP1Tavares – Kadri – Rielly – Marner – Matthews
3:4492% CF
PP2Marleau – Gardiner – Ennis – Leivo – Brown
1:43100% CF
PK1FKapanen – Lindholm
2:01
PK2FHyman – Brown
1:23
PK1DHainsey – Zaitsev
2:43
PK2DMarincin – Dermott
0:58

Current TOR line combinations →

Detroit Red Wings

L1Vanek – Nyquist – Athanasiou
6:2338% CF
L2Helm – Glendening – Ehn
5:3950% CF
L3Bertuzzi – Mantha – Larkin
5:0850% CF
L4Nielsen – Abdelkader – Rasmussen
3:1225% CF
D1Hicketts – Sulak
11:5960% CF
D2Kronwall – Jensen
11:0547% CF
D3DeKeyser – Hronek
10:5345% CF

PP1Nyquist – Bertuzzi – Larkin – Hronek – Rasmussen
3:05100% CF
PP2Kronwall – Nielsen – Vanek – Athanasiou – Mantha
2:2843% CF
PK1FHelm – Glendening
2:13
PK2FAbdelkader – Ehn
1:56
PK1DJensen – DeKeyser
2:35
PK2DKronwall – Hicketts
1:36

Current DET line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

7:18
DETNick Jensen (Darren Helm, Christoffer Ehn)snap0.12 xG
TOR: Tavares, Marincin, Hyman, Dermott, MarnerDET: Kronwall, Helm, Jensen, Glendening, Ehn
TOR 0 – 1 DET
15:48
TORMorgan Rielly (Mitch Marner, John Tavares)slap0.13 xG
TOR: Hainsey, Tavares, Hyman, Rielly, MarnerDET: Nielsen, Vanek, Nyquist, DeKeyser, Hronek
TOR 1 – 1 DET

2nd period

2:00
TORMitch Marner (Zach Hyman, John Tavares)snap0.19 xG
TOR: Tavares, Marincin, Hyman, Dermott, MarnerDET: Kronwall, Nielsen, Abdelkader, Jensen, Rasmussen
TOR 2 – 1 DET
7:30
TORAuston MatthewsPP (Morgan Rielly, Nazem Kadri)wrist0.11 xG
TOR: Tavares, Kadri, Rielly, Marner, MatthewsDET: Abdelkader, Jensen, DeKeyser, Ehn
TOR 3 – 1 DET

3rd period

10:18
DETNick Jensen (Luke Glendening, Anthony Mantha)wrist0.05 xG
TOR: Marleau, Gardiner, Kapanen, Matthews, ZaitsevDET: Jensen, Glendening, Athanasiou, DeKeyser, Mantha
TOR 3 – 2 DET
11:11
TORAuston MatthewsPP (Nazem Kadri, John Tavares)wrist0.05 xG
TOR: Tavares, Kadri, Rielly, Marner, MatthewsDET: Kronwall, Helm, Jensen, Glendening
TOR 4 – 2 DET
13:56
DETDylan Larkin (Tyler Bertuzzi, Filip Hronek)wrist0.02 xG
TOR: Hainsey, Marincin, Hyman, Zaitsev, LindholmDET: Nyquist, Bertuzzi, Larkin, Hronek, Rasmussen
TOR 4 – 3 DET
19:39
TORRon HainseyEN (John Tavares, Nikita Zaitsev)slap0.22 xG
TOR: Hainsey, Tavares, Hyman, Kapanen, ZaitsevDET: Kronwall, Nielsen, Vanek, Nyquist, Mantha, Larkin
TOR 5 – 3 DET

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Auston Matthews C	L1	2	0	2	-1	3	0.35	0	0	2	19:35	—	—	42	33
Kasperi Kapanen R	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.44	1	1	0	17:49	—	—	34	31
Patrick Marleau C	L1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.17	0	1	0	17:00	—	—	39	32
Mitch Marner R	L2	1	1	2	+1	4	0.40	1	0	0	18:36	—	—	63	69
John Tavares C	L2	0	4	4	+2	3	0.41	1	0	0	18:35	—	—	65	71
Zach Hyman L	L2	0	1	1	+1	2	0.13	4	0	0	16:14	—	—	63	69
Par Lindholm C	L3	0	0	0	-1	3	0.28	0	2	0	16:35	—	—	36	44
Nazem Kadri C	L3	0	2	2	0	1	0.45	1	0	2	16:05	—	—	44	49
Connor Brown R	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.06	1	0	0	14:39	—	—	44	52
Tyler Ennis R	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.10	1	1	0	8:17	—	—	55	55
Josh Leivo L	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.14	2	1	5	7:24	—	—	50	55
Frederik Gauthier C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	6:27	—	—	33	47
Nikita Zaitsev D	D1	0	1	1	-1	2	0.12	2	2	0	24:17	—	—	27	23
Jake Gardiner D	D1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.03	1	0	0	19:42	—	—	39	33
Morgan Rielly D	D2	1	1	2	+1	5	0.20	0	1	0	22:05	—	—	65	65
Ron Hainsey D	D2	1	0	1	+1	2	0.25	0	0	2	22:01	—	—	55	63
Martin Marincin D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	0	1	2	14:06	—	—	36	55
Travis Dermott D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.06	1	1	0	12:41	—	—	48	69

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Frederik Andersen(start)	W	29	26	3	.897	3.43	59:52

Detroit Red Wings

DET skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Thomas Vanek L	L1	0	0	0	-2	0	0.49	0	1	0	17:58	—	—	55	55
Gustav Nyquist R	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	1	0	0	17:01	—	—	54	60
Andreas Athanasiou C	L1	0	0	0	+1	4	0.42	0	0	0	16:16	—	—	60	71
Luke Glendening C	L2	0	1	1	+2	1	0.51	1	0	0	12:42	—	—	71	84
Darren Helm C	L2	0	1	1	+1	1	0.12	0	0	0	9:55	—	—	42	48
Christoffer Ehn C	L2	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	2	0	0	9:47	—	—	55	50
Dylan Larkin C	L3	1	0	1	0	2	0.23	1	0	0	22:17	—	—	54	59
Anthony Mantha R	L3	0	1	1	0	3	0.54	1	1	0	17:51	—	—	63	69
Tyler Bertuzzi L	L3	0	1	1	+1	0	0.10	4	0	0	16:51	—	—	56	41
Frans Nielsen C	L4	0	0	0	-3	4	0.27	1	0	0	16:31	—	—	58	31
Justin Abdelkader L	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	4	0	2	13:34	—	—	41	20
Michael Rasmussen C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	10:24	—	—	38	11
Libor Sulak D	D1	0	0	0	0	3	0.10	1	1	4	16:44	—	—	57	58
Joe Hicketts D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.02	1	1	0	15:10	—	—	57	61
Niklas Kronwall D	D2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.09	1	0	0	22:16	—	—	50	27
Nick Jensen D	D2	2	0	2	+1	5	0.47	2	2	0	21:20	—	—	55	53
Filip Hronek D	D3	0	1	1	0	1	0.05	1	0	0	18:44	—	—	52	47
Danny DeKeyser D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	2	1	9	18:25	—	—	56	63

DET goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Jimmy Howard(start)	L	34	30	4	.882	3.37	58:37

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.