Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Detroit Red WingsOct 12, 2019

FinalSaturday, Oct 12, 2019· Little Caesars Arena

away

Toronto Maple LeafsTOR

5

@

home

Detroit Red WingsDET

2

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TOR	1	1	3	5		TOR	13	11	17	41
DET	1	0	1	2		DET	9	8	10	27

: TOR 74DET 46
: TOR 3.17DET 2.23
PP goals: TOR 0DET 0
Hits: TOR 14DET 21
Blocks: TOR 12DET 24
PIM: TOR 2DET 6
: TOR 59%DET 41%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Detroit Red Wings 5–2

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Detroit Red Wings 5–2 at DET. Ilya Mikheyev (TOR) led the scoring with 1G 1A. Jimmy Howard (DET) faced 40 shots and stopped 36 (.900), +10 against a season average of 30.3; the loss.

Points
Ilya Mikheyev had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 15:03.Mikheyev
Points
Jacob de la Rose had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 1 shot in 15:01.de la Rose
Points
Dmytro Timashov had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 10:11.Timashov
Points
Justin Abdelkader had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 15:32.Abdelkader
Goalie
Jimmy Howard (DET) faced 40 shots and stopped 36 (.900), +10 against a season average of 30.3; the loss.Howard
Usage
Justin Holl (TOR) played 10:43, −7:55 down on his 18:38 season average over 67 games.Holl
Usage
Jacob de la Rose (DET) played 15:01, +4:23 up on his 10:38 season average over 49 games.de la Rose
Luck
TOR scored 5 goals on 3.17 expected goals (74 attempts), finishing well above its chances.

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TOR attacks left (bottom on phones)DET attacks right (top on phones) →

DET
TOR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 120 of 120 attempts · DET 46 · TOR 74

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

DET
TOR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

DET pressure
TOR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TOR 41% of the game, DET 17%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

DET

TOR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TOR	DET
	80	46
	2.96	2.07
	2.86	2.03
	12	8
	6	7
	17	14
	+0.080	−0.080
	41%	17%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Johnsson – Nylander – Matthews
13:5169% CF
L2Tavares – Kapanen – Marner
11:2872% CF
L3Kerfoot – Moore – Mikheyev
9:4153% CF
L4Shore – Gauthier – Timashov
7:5967% CF
D1Rielly – Ceci
14:3253% CF
D2Muzzin – Barrie
14:0461% CF
D3Holl – Sandin
4:1063% CF

PP1Tavares – Rielly – Johnsson – Marner – Matthews
2:38100% CF
PP2Barrie – Kerfoot – Nylander – Kapanen – Moore
2:2633% CF
PK1FMarner – Mikheyev
0:56
PK2FKapanen – Moore
0:30
PK1DRielly – Ceci
1:30
PK2DMuzzin – Holl
0:30

Current TOR line combinations →

Detroit Red Wings

L1Bertuzzi – Mantha – Larkin
13:1556% CF
L2Abdelkader – Helm – de la Rose
9:1444% CF
L3Glendening – Athanasiou – Hirose
3:348% CF
L4Filppula – Erne – Ehn
3:2450% CF
D1Green – Nemeth
15:3430% CF
D2DeKeyser – Hronek
10:0746% CF
D3Bowey – Cholowski
3:1533% CF

PP1Bertuzzi – Mantha – Larkin – Cholowski – Hirose
1:31100% CF
PP2Filppula – Athanasiou – Erne – Cholowski – Hronek
0:29
PK1FGlendening – Ehn
1:35
PK2FAbdelkader – de la Rose
1:34
PK1DNemeth – Hronek
2:04
PK2DDeKeyser – Bowey
1:31

Current DET line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

3:44
DETJacob de la Rose (Patrik Nemeth, Justin Abdelkader)backhand0.05 xG
TOR: Holl, Johnsson, Nylander, Matthews, SandinDET: Green, Abdelkader, Helm, Nemeth, de la Rose
TOR 0 – 1 DET
9:57
TORNicholas Shore (Dmytro Timashov)backhand0.07 xG
TOR: Muzzin, Holl, Shore, Gauthier, TimashovDET: Glendening, Athanasiou, Bowey, Cholowski, Hirose
TOR 1 – 1 DET

2nd period

19:30
TORIlya Mikheyev (Kasperi Kapanen)wrist0.04 xG
TOR: Muzzin, Rielly, Kerfoot, Kapanen, MikheyevDET: Filppula, DeKeyser, Bowey, Ehn, Hirose
TOR 2 – 1 DET

3rd period

9:11
TORAlexander Kerfoot (Ilya Mikheyev, Rasmus Sandin)backhand0.18 xG
TOR: Ceci, Kerfoot, Moore, Sandin, MikheyevDET: Glendening, Athanasiou, DeKeyser, Hronek, Hirose
TOR 3 – 1 DET
9:35
DETDarren Helm (Justin Abdelkader, Jacob de la Rose)snap0.15 xG
TOR: Tavares, Ceci, Kapanen, Marner, SandinDET: Abdelkader, Helm, DeKeyser, de la Rose, Hronek
TOR 3 – 2 DET
13:34
TORJake Muzzin (Dmytro Timashov)snap0.12 xG
TOR: Muzzin, Barrie, Shore, Gauthier, TimashovDET: Glendening, Athanasiou, Erne, Cholowski, Hronek
TOR 4 – 2 DET
17:47
TORTrevor MooreEN (John Tavares)wrist0.36 xG
TOR: Tavares, Rielly, Ceci, Moore, MikheyevDET: Green, Bertuzzi, Mantha, Larkin, Cholowski, Hirose
TOR 5 – 2 DET

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Auston Matthews C	L1	0	0	0	-1	4	0.13	0	0	0	19:53	—	—	70	53
William Nylander R	L1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	1	0	17:37	—	—	68	51
Andreas Johnsson L	L1	0	0	0	-1	6	0.47	0	0	0	17:30	—	—	69	52
Kasperi Kapanen R	L2	0	1	1	0	1	0.03	2	1	0	18:15	—	—	58	52
John Tavares C	L2	0	1	1	0	0	0.04	1	0	0	17:04	—	—	70	56
Mitch Marner R	L2	0	0	0	-1	5	0.33	0	1	0	16:25	—	—	67	53
Alexander Kerfoot C	L3	1	0	1	+2	2	0.23	2	0	0	15:09	—	—	52	53
Ilya Mikheyev R	L3	1	1	2	+3	4	0.15	0	1	0	15:03	—	—	60	66
Trevor Moore L	L3	1	0	1	+2	1	0.36	3	0	0	13:52	—	—	45	53
Frederik Gauthier C	L4	0	0	0	+2	5	0.40	0	0	0	11:12	—	—	72	70
Dmytro Timashov L	L4	0	2	2	+2	1	0.15	3	0	0	10:11	—	—	70	70
Nicholas Shore C	L4	1	0	1	+2	3	0.20	0	0	0	9:45	—	—	67	65
Morgan Rielly D	D1	0	0	0	+2	2	0.35	1	2	0	24:53	—	—	60	48
Cody Ceci D	D1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.05	1	2	0	22:42	—	—	58	58
Jake Muzzin D	D2	1	0	1	+3	4	0.23	0	2	0	22:45	—	—	64	64
Tyson Barrie D	D2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.05	0	1	2	22:43	—	—	68	65
Rasmus Sandin D	D3	0	1	1	-1	1	0.01	0	0	0	12:18	—	—	70	64
Justin Holl D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	10:43	—	—	64	49

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Frederik Andersen(start)	W	27	25	2	.926	2.23	60:00

Detroit Red Wings

DET skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Dylan Larkin C	L1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.28	0	3	0	21:17	—	—	44	50
Anthony Mantha R	L1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.39	0	2	0	20:12	—	—	59	78
Tyler Bertuzzi L	L1	0	0	0	-1	4	0.45	0	0	0	19:58	—	—	46	57
Justin Abdelkader L	L2	0	2	2	+2	2	0.06	2	0	0	15:32	—	—	35	38
Jacob de la Rose L	L2	1	1	2	+2	1	0.15	2	2	0	15:01	—	—	32	54
Darren Helm C	L2	1	0	1	+2	2	0.17	2	1	0	12:23	—	—	33	37
Luke Glendening C	L3	0	0	0	-3	1	0.22	4	2	0	13:59	—	—	11	12
Andreas Athanasiou C	L3	0	0	0	-3	0	0.00	0	0	2	13:54	—	—	17	19
Taro Hirose L	L3	0	0	0	-4	1	0.06	1	2	0	10:07	—	—	30	37
Valtteri Filppula C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	1	2	12:43	—	—	50	40
Adam Erne L	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.08	1	0	0	10:28	—	—	43	19
Christoffer Ehn C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.07	0	0	0	10:17	—	—	36	24
Patrik Nemeth D	D1	0	1	1	+1	3	0.10	3	2	0	23:58	—	—	27	36
Mike Green D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.07	1	3	0	23:35	—	—	41	46
Danny DeKeyser D	D2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.04	1	0	2	21:14	—	—	38	47
Filip Hronek D	D2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.04	4	4	0	21:00	—	—	39	47
Dennis Cholowski D	D3	0	0	0	-3	1	0.05	0	2	0	15:02	—	—	41	38
Madison Bowey D	D3	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	0	0	0	13:43	—	—	24	22

DET goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Jimmy Howard(start)	L	40	36	4	.900	2.82	59:37

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.