Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Detroit Red WingsJan 29, 2022

FinalSaturday, Jan 29, 2022· Little Caesars Arena

away

Toronto Maple LeafsTOR

7

@

home

Detroit Red WingsDET

4

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TOR	1	1	5	7		TOR	9	15	13	37
DET	1	3	0	4		DET	15	13	7	35

: TOR 64DET 54
: TOR 4.61DET 3.58
PP goals: TOR 0DET 1
Hits: TOR 6DET 10
Blocks: TOR 11DET 14
PIM: TOR 2DET 6
: TOR 60%DET 40%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Detroit Red Wings 7–4

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Detroit Red Wings 7–4 at DET. Michael Bunting (TOR) led the scoring with 3G 0A.

Points
Michael Bunting had a hat trick (3 points) on 7 shots in 17:27.Bunting
Points
Dylan Larkin had two goals and an assist (3 points) on 5 shots in 19:41.Larkin
Points
John Tavares had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 5 shots in 16:12.Tavares
Points
Mitch Marner had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 5 shots in 18:58.Marner
Points
Vladislav Namestnikov had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 15:30.Namestnikov
Points
Alexander Kerfoot had 2 assists (2 points) in 15:41.Kerfoot
Points
Auston Matthews had 2 assists (2 points) on 3 shots in 22:26.Matthews
Points
David Kampf had 2 assists (2 points) in 12:24.Kampf

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TOR attacks left (bottom on phones)DET attacks right (top on phones) →

DET
TOR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 118 of 118 attempts · DET 54 · TOR 64

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

DET
TOR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

DET pressure
TOR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TOR 32% of the game, DET 32%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

DET

TOR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TOR	DET
	68	59
	3.50	3.85
	3.34	3.54
	17	18
	4	4
	12	5
	+0.095	−0.094
	32%	32%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Spezza – Simmonds – Engvall
8:1581% CF
L2Bunting – Marner – Matthews
6:5083% CF
L3Tavares – Kerfoot – Nylander
6:2057% CF
L4Kase – Kampf – Mikheyev
4:0420% CF
D1Holl – Sandin
19:2343% CF
D2Brodie – Rielly
19:0059% CF
D3Dermott – Liljegren
12:4947% CF

PP1Tavares – Rielly – Nylander – Marner – Matthews
1:26100% CF
PP2Spezza – Bunting – Kase – Sandin – Mikheyev
0:2650% CF
PK1FKerfoot – Mikheyev
0:31
PK2FMarner – Kampf
0:30
PK1DRielly – Liljegren
0:31
PK2DBrodie – Holl
0:30

Current TOR line combinations →

Detroit Red Wings

L1Namestnikov – Larkin – Raymond
13:0242% CF
L2Erne – Rasmussen – Zadina
10:2738% CF
L3Bertuzzi – Fabbri – Suter
10:0956% CF
L4Gagner – Smith – Veleno
5:3313% CF
D1Oesterle – Seider
16:2143% CF
D2Leddy – Lindstrom
14:4538% CF
D3Staal – Hronek
14:1750% CF

PP1Bertuzzi – Larkin – Fabbri – Seider – Raymond
1:1050% CF
PK1FGagner – Suter
1:28
PK2FNamestnikov – Rasmussen
0:43
PK1DStaal – Seider
1:17
PK2DOesterle – Lindstrom
0:43

Current DET line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

1:15
DETDylan Larkin (Vladislav Namestnikov)wrist0.20 xG
TOR: Brodie, Rielly, Bunting, Kase, MatthewsDET: Namestnikov, Oesterle, Larkin, Seider, Raymond
TOR 0 – 1 DET
16:28
TORPierre Engvall (Morgan Rielly, Jason Spezza)deflected0.08 xG
TOR: Spezza, Simmonds, Brodie, Rielly, EngvallDET: Leddy, Erne, Rasmussen, Lindstrom, Zadina
TOR 1 – 1 DET

2nd period

1:16
DETVladislav Namestnikov (Dylan Larkin, Moritz Seider)wrist0.07 xG
TOR: Brodie, Rielly, Bunting, Kase, MatthewsDET: Namestnikov, Oesterle, Larkin, Seider, Raymond
TOR 1 – 2 DET
2:11
DETTyler Bertuzzi (Robby Fabbri, Moritz Seider)wrist0.06 xG
TOR: Brodie, Tavares, Rielly, Marner, MikheyevDET: Staal, Bertuzzi, Fabbri, Veleno, Seider
TOR 1 – 3 DET
12:07
TORMichael Bunting (Justin Holl, David Kampf)tip-in0.04 xG
TOR: Brodie, Holl, Bunting, Kampf, MikheyevDET: Leddy, Bertuzzi, Larkin, Seider, Raymond
TOR 2 – 3 DET
15:54
DETDylan LarkinPP (Robby Fabbri, Lucas Raymond)snap0.13 xG
TOR: Rielly, Kerfoot, Liljegren, MikheyevDET: Bertuzzi, Larkin, Fabbri, Seider, Raymond
TOR 2 – 4 DET

3rd period

9:28
TORMichael Bunting (Auston Matthews, Justin Holl)wrist0.05 xG
TOR: Holl, Bunting, Marner, Matthews, SandinDET: Namestnikov, Oesterle, Larkin, Seider, Raymond
TOR 3 – 4 DET
11:58
TORMichael Bunting (Mitch Marner, Auston Matthews)wrist0.14 xG
TOR: Holl, Bunting, Marner, Matthews, SandinDET: Staal, Erne, Hronek, Rasmussen, Zadina
TOR 4 – 4 DET
17:09
TORRasmus Sandin (John Tavares, Alexander Kerfoot)snap0.28 xG
TOR: Tavares, Holl, Kerfoot, Nylander, SandinDET: Leddy, Erne, Lindstrom, Veleno, Zadina
TOR 5 – 4 DET
18:46
TORMitch MarnerEN (Alexander Kerfoot, Morgan Rielly)snap0.96 xG
TOR: Brodie, Rielly, Kerfoot, Marner, MatthewsDET: Gagner, Leddy, Larkin, Suter, Seider
TOR 6 – 4 DET
19:49
TORJohn TavaresEN (David Kampf)wrist0.62 xG
TOR: Brodie, Tavares, Rielly, Kase, KampfDET: Leddy, Bertuzzi, Larkin, Fabbri, Hronek, Raymond
TOR 7 – 4 DET

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Pierre Engvall L	L1	1	0	1	+1	5	0.43	0	0	0	10:55	—	—	68	73
Jason Spezza C	L1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.14	1	1	0	10:36	—	—	70	81
Wayne Simmonds R	L1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.15	0	0	0	9:18	—	—	81	93
Auston Matthews C	L2	0	2	2	0	3	0.17	0	0	0	22:26	—	—	57	37
Mitch Marner R	L2	1	1	2	+1	5	1.05	1	0	0	18:58	—	—	50	41
Michael Bunting L	L2	3	0	3	+1	7	0.76	0	0	0	17:27	—	—	60	43
William Nylander R	L3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	0	0	18:37	—	—	46	42
John Tavares C	L3	1	1	2	+1	5	1.07	0	1	0	16:12	—	—	47	49
Alexander Kerfoot C	L3	0	2	2	+1	0	0.10	1	2	0	15:41	—	—	52	68
Ondrej Kase R	L4	0	0	0	-1	2	0.06	0	2	0	13:44	—	—	44	22
Ilya Mikheyev R	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.24	0	0	0	12:44	—	—	39	30
David Kampf C	L4	0	2	2	+2	0	0.00	0	0	0	12:24	—	—	39	30
Justin Holl D	D1	0	2	2	+4	1	0.01	3	1	0	21:45	—	—	48	54
Rasmus Sandin D	D1	1	0	1	+3	2	0.30	0	3	0	21:18	—	—	45	46
Morgan Rielly D	D2	0	2	2	-1	2	0.06	0	0	0	24:47	—	—	62	47
TJ Brodie D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	0	1	0	22:54	—	—	62	52
Timothy Liljegren D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	0	0	0	13:56	—	—	52	41
Travis Dermott D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	2	13:17	—	—	50	36

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Petr Mrazek(start)	W	35	31	4	.886	3.58	59:51

Detroit Red Wings

DET skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Dylan Larkin C	L1	2	1	3	-1	5	0.48	1	0	0	19:41	—	—	46	58
Lucas Raymond L	L1	0	1	1	-1	4	0.54	0	0	0	19:00	—	—	47	58
Vladislav Namestnikov C	L1	1	1	2	+1	2	0.07	0	0	2	15:30	—	—	43	52
Adam Erne L	L2	0	0	0	-3	2	0.32	3	0	2	14:17	—	—	40	34
Filip Zadina R	L2	0	0	0	-3	1	0.04	0	0	0	13:42	—	—	46	38
Michael Rasmussen C	L2	0	0	0	-2	1	0.02	0	0	0	13:37	—	—	44	53
Tyler Bertuzzi L	L3	1	0	1	-1	3	0.41	0	3	0	18:29	—	—	53	62
Robby Fabbri C	L3	0	2	2	0	3	0.15	1	0	2	16:43	—	—	62	68
Pius Suter C	L3	0	0	0	0	7	1.09	0	0	0	15:32	—	—	60	64
Joseph Veleno C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.10	0	1	0	13:11	—	—	30	22
Sam Gagner C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	11:54	—	—	29	14
Givani Smith R	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.06	0	0	0	6:33	—	—	10	18
Moritz Seider D	D1	0	2	2	+1	1	0.01	1	2	0	23:42	—	—	47	59
Jordan Oesterle D	D1	0	0	0	+1	3	0.10	1	2	0	18:28	—	—	43	57
Nick Leddy D	D2	0	0	0	-4	0	0.00	0	3	0	20:52	—	—	43	39
Gustav Lindstrom D	D2	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	2	1	0	16:24	—	—	41	29
Filip Hronek D	D3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.17	0	2	0	20:42	—	—	50	70
Marc Staal D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.01	1	0	0	18:04	—	—	55	68

DET goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Alex Nedeljkovic(start)	L	35	30	5	.857	3.02	59:02

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.