Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Detroit Red WingsDec 27, 2024

FinalFriday, Dec 27, 2024· Little Caesars Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TOR	3	2	0	5		TOR	11	10	2	23
DET	0	0	2	2		DET	13	4	8	25

: TOR 41DET 64
: TOR 3.38DET 2.91
PP goals: TOR 1DET 1
Hits: TOR 37DET 34
Blocks: TOR 17DET 9
PIM: TOR 6DET 6
: TOR 42%DET 58%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Detroit Red Wings 5–2

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Detroit Red Wings 5–2 at DET. Mitch Marner (TOR) led the scoring with 3G 0A. DET's first power-play unit (Kane, Larkin, DeBrincat, Seider and Raymond) scored 1 power-play goal on 15 attempts in 4:31 together.

Points
Mitch Marner had a hat trick (3 points) on 5 shots in 19:25.Marner
Points
John Tavares had 2 assists (2 points) in 17:02.Tavares
PP1
DET's first power-play unit (Kane, Larkin, DeBrincat, Seider and Raymond) scored 1 power-play goal on 15 attempts in 4:31 together.Kane Larkin DeBrincat Seider Raymond
PP1
TOR's first power-play unit (Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Marner and Knies) scored 1 power-play goal on 6 attempts in 2:58 together.Tavares Rielly Nylander Marner Knies
New line
New look for TOR: Nylander–Holmberg–Knies skated 11:32 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (13.6% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Nylander Holmberg Knies
New line
New look for DET: Compher–Rasmussen–Berggren skated 5:19 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (57.1% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Compher Rasmussen Berggren
New line
New look for TOR: Lorentz–Kampf–Dewar skated 8:07 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (77.8% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Lorentz Kampf Dewar
Luck
TOR scored 5 goals on 3.38 expected goals (41 attempts), finishing well above its chances.

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TOR attacks left (bottom on phones)DET attacks right (top on phones) →

DET
TOR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 105 of 105 attempts · DET 64 · TOR 41

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

DET
TOR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

DET pressure
TOR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TOR 29% of the game, DET 34%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

DET

TOR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TOR	DET
	35	55
	2.68	1.26
	2.60	1.24
	7	11
	6	2
	23	19
	−0.057	+0.057
	29%	34%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Nylander – Holmberg – Knies
11:3214% CF
L2Pacioretty – Tavares – Marner
9:3069% CF
L3Lorentz – Kampf – Dewar
8:0778% CF
L4Domi – Robertson – McMann
7:2836% CF
D1Tanev – McCabe
14:5935% CF
D2Rielly – Myers
13:5941% CF
D3Ekman-Larsson – Benoit
10:5336% CF

PP1Tavares – Rielly – Nylander – Marner – Knies
2:58100% CF
PP2Pacioretty – Ekman-Larsson – Domi – Robertson – McMann
1:3175% CF
PK1FDewar – Knies
1:25
PK2FMarner – Kampf
0:59
PK1DMyers – Benoit
2:21
PK2DTanev – McCabe
2:14

Current TOR line combinations →

Detroit Red Wings

L1Kane – Copp – DeBrincat
11:5176% CF
L2Tarasenko – Larkin – Raymond
7:5468% CF
L3Compher – Rasmussen – Berggren
5:1957% CF
L4Fischer – Veleno – Kasper
3:4844% CF
D1Petry – Edvinsson
14:0755% CF
D2Holl – Gustafsson
12:5978% CF
D3Chiarot – Seider
11:0168% CF

PP1Kane – Larkin – DeBrincat – Seider – Raymond
4:31100% CF
PP2Tarasenko – Gustafsson – Compher – Rasmussen – Kasper
0:34
PK1FCopp – Compher
2:20
PK2FVeleno – Kasper
0:59
PK1DChiarot – Holl
2:19
PK2DSeider – Edvinsson
1:23

Current DET line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Matthew Knies L	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.23	1	1	0	20:05	—	—	13	11
William Nylander R	L1	0	1	1	0	0	0.07	0	3	0	19:35	—	—	22	14
Pontus Holmberg R	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	2	0	16:35	—	—	19	11
Mitch Marner R	L2	3	0	3	+1	5	0.60	1	0	0	19:25	—	—	41	74
John Tavares C	L2	0	2	2	+1	0	0.00	0	0	0	17:02	—	—	59	79
Max Pacioretty L	L2	0	1	1	+1	1	0.02	6	0	0	14:37	—	—	50	83
Connor Dewar C	L3	0	0	0	+1	4	0.68	7	1	0	12:34	—	—	75	92
David Kampf C	L3	1	0	1	+1	2	0.34	0	0	2	12:31	—	—	62	90
Steven Lorentz C	L3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.01	3	0	0	11:03	—	—	70	90
Bobby McMann C	L4	0	1	1	+1	2	0.67	3	0	2	13:34	—	—	38	57
Max Domi C	L4	0	1	1	+1	2	0.39	0	0	0	11:42	—	—	32	64
Nick Robertson L	L4	1	0	1	+1	1	0.26	2	0	0	10:02	—	—	39	65
Jake McCabe D	D1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.03	2	2	0	21:18	—	—	42	74
Chris Tanev D	D1	0	0	0	+2	0	0.00	0	1	0	18:02	—	—	38	80
Morgan Rielly D	D2	0	0	0	+3	1	0.01	0	1	0	21:43	—	—	46	75
Philippe Myers D	D2	0	1	1	+1	0	0.04	4	1	0	19:31	—	—	42	70
Oliver Ekman-Larsson D	D3	0	1	1	0	1	0.04	3	1	0	18:10	—	—	36	41
Simon Benoit D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	4	4	2	16:54	—	—	27	34

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Joseph Woll(start)	W	25	23	2	.920	2.91	60:00

Detroit Red Wings

DET skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Alex DeBrincat R	L1	0	0	0	0	4	1.41	1	0	0	19:45	—	—	74	73
Patrick Kane R	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.02	1	0	0	19:30	—	—	71	67
Andrew Copp C	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.10	1	0	0	16:19	—	—	72	68
Dylan Larkin C	L2	0	1	1	-3	7	0.53	0	0	0	19:42	—	—	72	26
Lucas Raymond L	L2	1	0	1	-3	1	0.14	2	0	4	18:14	—	—	70	26
Vladimir Tarasenko R	L2	0	1	1	-2	2	0.14	1	0	0	12:38	—	—	72	29
J.T. Compher L	L3	0	1	1	+1	2	0.06	1	1	0	14:35	—	—	53	64
Michael Rasmussen C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	6	0	0	13:37	—	—	47	42
Jonatan Berggren R	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	12:02	—	—	47	28
Marco Kasper C	L4	0	0	0	-1	2	0.08	4	0	0	11:47	—	—	47	3
Christian Fischer R	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.02	3	0	0	11:10	—	—	41	4
Joseph Veleno C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	4	0	0	11:02	—	—	47	10
Jeff Petry D	D1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.10	2	1	2	20:50	—	—	55	35
Simon Edvinsson D	D1	1	0	1	-1	1	0.03	2	1	0	20:19	—	—	48	19
Justin Holl D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.06	0	0	0	16:08	—	—	74	60
Erik Gustafsson D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	0	0	0	15:18	—	—	78	78
Moritz Seider D	D3	0	1	1	-2	2	0.16	3	4	0	22:20	—	—	57	16
Ben Chiarot D	D3	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	3	2	0	19:57	—	—	68	32

DET goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Cam Talbot(start)	L	21	16	5	.762	3.12	40:00
Alex Lyon	—	2	2	0	.1000	0.27	20:00

Goal anatomy

Animated replays from NHL EDGE tracking, with the entry, passes and shot speed for each goal.

David Kampf (TOR) 1st 2:29 · assists Steven Lorentz · Dump and chase · dumped in · 23.8 mph shot · 5.9 s from entry to goal.

David Kampf · 1st 2:29 · TOR

Play: dump-and-chase
Entry: dump
Odd man: No
Passes: 0
Shot: 23.8 mph
Distance: 8 ft
Entry to goal: 5.9 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Mitch Marner · 1st 8:16 · TOR

Play: rebound
Passes: 0
Shot: 56.6 mph
Distance: 16 ft
Type: one-timer, rebound

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Mitch Marner · 1st 19:28 · TOR PP

Play: cycle
Passes: 4 (royal road)
Shot: 64.5 mph
Distance: 27 ft
Type: one-timer

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Mitch Marner · 2nd 16:23 · TOR

Play: deflection
Entry: carry
Odd man: No
Passes: 2
Shot: 27.1 mph
Distance: 8 ft
Entry to goal: 6.4 s
Type: deflection

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Nick Robertson · 2nd 19:58 · TOR

Play: turnover-forecheck
Passes: 0
Shot: 54.9 mph
Distance: 7 ft
Type: one-timer

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Lucas Raymond · 3rd 8:17 · DET PP

Play: turnover-forecheck
Passes: 2 (royal road)
Shot: 70.1 mph
Distance: 27 ft
Type: one-timer

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Simon Edvinsson · 3rd 12:08 · DET

Play: turnover-forecheck
Passes: 0
Shot: 52.4 mph
Distance: 45 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Detroit Red WingsDec 27, 2024

Fantasy takeaways

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Detroit Red Wings 5–2

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Sequence card

Lines used

Toronto Maple Leafs

Detroit Red Wings

Scoring summary

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

Box score

Toronto Maple Leafs

Detroit Red Wings

Goal anatomy

David Kampf · 1st 2:29 · TOR

Mitch Marner · 1st 8:16 · TOR

Mitch Marner · 1st 19:28 · TOR PP

Mitch Marner · 2nd 16:23 · TOR

Nick Robertson · 2nd 19:58 · TOR

Lucas Raymond · 3rd 8:17 · DET PP

Simon Edvinsson · 3rd 12:08 · DET