Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Buffalo SabresMar 5, 2018

FinalMonday, Mar 5, 2018· KeyBank Center

away

Toronto Maple LeafsTOR

3

@

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Buffalo SabresBUF

5

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TOR	1	1	1	3		TOR	14	11	16	41
BUF	2	2	1	5		BUF	6	14	4	24

: TOR 65BUF 40
: TOR 3.83BUF 1.92
PP goals: TOR 1BUF 1
Hits: TOR 23BUF 20
Blocks: TOR 5BUF 13
PIM: TOR 9BUF 9
: TOR 43%BUF 57%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Buffalo Sabres beat Toronto Maple Leafs 5–3

Buffalo Sabres beat Toronto Maple Leafs 5–3 at home. Leo Komarov (TOR) led the scoring with 2G 0A. TOR's first power-play unit (Marleau, Komarov, Gardiner, Brown and Nylander) scored 1 power-play goal on 3 attempts in 1:27 together.

Points
Leo Komarov had two goals (2 points) on 5 shots in 15:10.Komarov
Points
Jason Pominville had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 5 shots in 16:20.Pominville
Points
Johan Larsson had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 20:30.Larsson
Points
Ryan O'Reilly had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 20:41.O'Reilly
Points
Sam Reinhart had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 17:51.Reinhart
Points
Rasmus Ristolainen had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 25:52.Ristolainen
PP1
TOR's first power-play unit (Marleau, Komarov, Gardiner, Brown and Nylander) scored 1 power-play goal on 3 attempts in 1:27 together.Marleau Komarov Gardiner Brown Nylander
New line
New look for TOR: Hyman–Brown–Nylander skated 12:09 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (55% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Hyman Brown Nylander

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TOR attacks left (bottom on phones)BUF attacks right (top on phones) →

BUF
TOR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 105 of 105 attempts · BUF 40 · TOR 65

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

BUF
TOR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

BUF pressure
TOR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TOR 41% of the game, BUF 12%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

BUF

TOR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TOR	BUF
	61	43
	2.86	1.76
	2.83	1.72
	12	10
	6	1
	11	28
	−0.059	+0.059
	41%	12%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Hyman – Brown – Nylander
12:0955% CF
L2van Riemsdyk – Bozak – Kapanen
11:3858% CF
L3Marleau – Kadri – Marner
11:1562% CF
L4Plekanec – Komarov – Martin
8:5653% CF
D1Gardiner – Zaitsev
14:3970% CF
D2Carrick – Dermott
14:3559% CF
D3Hainsey – Rielly
12:5930% CF

PP1Marleau – Komarov – Gardiner – Brown – Nylander
1:27100% CF
PP2van Riemsdyk – Bozak – Kadri – Rielly – Marner
1:00100% CF
PK1FKomarov – Hyman
1:42
PK2FBrown – Kapanen
0:45
PK1DHainsey – Zaitsev
2:01
PK2DRielly – Dermott
0:26

Current TOR line combinations →

Buffalo Sabres

L1O'Reilly – Girgensons – Reinhart
13:4252% CF
L2Okposo – Josefson – Nolan
12:4224% CF
L3Pominville – Larsson – Wilson
11:0050% CF
L4Pouliot – Baptiste – Criscuolo
3:1250% CF
D1Scandella – Ristolainen
18:0640% CF
D2Guhle – Nelson
12:4242% CF
D3Beaulieu – Antipin
11:5045% CF

PP1Pominville – Okposo – Scandella – O'Reilly – Reinhart
2:00100% CF
PP2Larsson – Wilson – Baptiste – Guhle – Nelson
0:30
PK1FO'Reilly – Larsson
0:35
PK2FJosefson – Wilson
0:32
PK1DScandella – Ristolainen
2:12
PK2DGuhle – Nelson
0:10

Current BUF line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

1:53
BUFSam ReinhartPP (Rasmus Ristolainen, Kyle Okposo)tip-in0.11 xG
TOR: Hainsey, Komarov, Hyman, ZaitsevBUF: Pominville, Okposo, O'Reilly, Ristolainen, Reinhart
TOR 0 – 1 BUF
3:43
BUFJason Pominville (Rasmus Ristolainen, Johan Larsson)tip-in0.07 xG
TOR: Marleau, Hainsey, Komarov, Kadri, RiellyBUF: Pominville, Scandella, Larsson, Wilson, Ristolainen
TOR 0 – 2 BUF
19:52
TORLeo KomarovPP (William Nylander, Patrick Marleau)wrist0.55 xG
TOR: Marleau, Komarov, Gardiner, Brown, NylanderBUF: Pouliot, Scandella, Larsson, Ristolainen
TOR 1 – 2 BUF

2nd period

10:48
TORLeo Komarov (Matt Martin, Nikita Zaitsev)wrist0.13 xG
TOR: Plekanec, Komarov, Gardiner, Martin, ZaitsevBUF: Pouliot, O'Reilly, Baptiste, Guhle, Nelson
TOR 2 – 2 BUF
13:30
BUFZemgus Girgensons (Sam Reinhart, Ryan O'Reilly)tip-in0.07 xG
TOR: Marleau, Hainsey, Kadri, Rielly, MarnerBUF: Scandella, O'Reilly, Girgensons, Ristolainen, Reinhart
TOR 2 – 3 BUF
15:35
BUFRyan O'Reillywrist0.06 xG
TOR: Marleau, Hainsey, Kadri, Rielly, MarnerBUF: Pominville, O'Reilly, Beaulieu, Girgensons, Guhle
TOR 2 – 4 BUF

3rd period

9:55
BUFJohan Larsson (Jason Pominville, Jordan Nolan)wrist0.16 xG
TOR: Hainsey, Plekanec, Komarov, Gardiner, MartinBUF: Pominville, Nolan, Larsson, Ristolainen, Nelson
TOR 2 – 5 BUF
17:57
TORMitch Marner (Connor Carrick, Morgan Rielly)snap0.08 xG
TOR: van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Kadri, Rielly, Carrick, MarnerBUF: Larsson, Girgensons, Guhle, Nelson
TOR 3 – 5 BUF

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
William Nylander R	L1	0	1	1	0	1	0.20	0	0	0	18:17	—	—	63	69
Zach Hyman L	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.46	2	0	0	15:47	—	—	55	61
Connor Brown R	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	1	0	0	15:18	—	—	55	61
Tyler Bozak C	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.16	1	0	0	16:47	—	—	61	67
James van Riemsdyk L	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.36	0	0	0	16:42	—	—	65	69
Kasperi Kapanen R	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	0	0	0	15:04	—	—	55	53
Mitch Marner R	L3	1	0	1	-2	5	0.44	1	0	0	18:20	—	—	67	81
Patrick Marleau C	L3	0	1	1	-3	3	0.17	0	0	0	15:15	—	—	64	76
Nazem Kadri C	L3	0	0	0	-3	4	0.61	0	0	7	14:56	—	—	59	71
Leo Komarov R	L4	2	0	2	-1	5	0.92	5	0	0	15:10	—	—	52	34
Tomas Plekanec C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.06	3	1	0	11:17	—	—	50	37
Matt Martin L	L4	0	1	1	0	1	0.06	5	0	0	9:50	—	—	53	42
Jake Gardiner D	D1	0	0	0	0	3	0.09	0	0	0	22:47	—	—	70	65
Nikita Zaitsev D	D1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.01	2	2	0	19:31	—	—	72	77
Connor Carrick D	D2	0	1	1	0	3	0.08	0	2	2	19:30	—	—	61	63
Travis Dermott D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	2	0	0	17:30	—	—	63	68
Morgan Rielly D	D3	0	1	1	-3	1	0.01	0	0	0	20:57	—	—	45	53
Ron Hainsey D	D3	0	0	0	-4	0	0.12	1	0	0	17:00	—	—	39	47

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Frederik Andersen(start)	L	24	19	5	.792	1.92	57:32

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Ryan O'Reilly C	L1	1	1	2	+1	2	0.28	0	0	0	20:41	—	—	47	31
Zemgus Girgensons C	L1	1	0	1	+2	2	0.09	7	1	2	18:02	—	—	50	30
Sam Reinhart C	L1	1	1	2	+1	3	0.17	0	0	2	17:51	—	—	54	35
Kyle Okposo R	L2	0	1	1	0	0	0.11	1	0	0	17:56	—	—	18	30
Jacob Josefson C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.16	1	1	0	16:48	—	—	23	33
Jordan Nolan C	L2	0	1	1	+1	0	0.12	1	0	0	15:54	—	—	33	47
Johan Larsson L	L3	1	1	2	+2	2	0.16	1	1	0	20:30	—	—	47	49
Scott Wilson C	L3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.08	2	0	0	17:22	—	—	38	38
Jason Pominville R	L3	1	1	2	+3	5	0.28	0	0	0	16:20	—	—	52	53
Nick Baptiste R	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	6:47	—	—	44	12
Benoit Pouliot L	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	6:24	—	—	50	22
Kyle Criscuolo C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	4:29	—	—	33	10
Rasmus Ristolainen D	D1	0	2	2	+3	1	0.07	4	5	5	25:52	—	—	42	40
Marco Scandella D	D1	0	0	0	+2	2	0.10	1	3	0	25:47	—	—	38	29
Casey Nelson D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	0	0	0	19:51	—	—	41	32
Brendan Guhle D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.03	0	0	0	14:50	—	—	50	28
Nathan Beaulieu D	D3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.23	1	2	0	16:04	—	—	48	52
Victor Antipin D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	15:36	—	—	35	41

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Chad Johnson(start)	W	41	38	3	.927	3.83	60:00

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.