Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Buffalo SabresNov 13, 2021

FinalSaturday, Nov 13, 2021· KeyBank Center

away

Toronto Maple LeafsTOR

5

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Buffalo SabresBUF

4

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TOR	1	2	2	5		TOR	5	8	13	26
BUF	1	1	2	4		BUF	13	7	7	27

: TOR 44BUF 57
: TOR 1.96BUF 2.20
PP goals: TOR 1BUF 0
Hits: TOR 7BUF 7
Blocks: TOR 12BUF 9
PIM: TOR 4BUF 2
: TOR 64%BUF 36%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs edge Buffalo Sabres 5–4

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Buffalo Sabres 5–4 at BUF. Jeff Skinner (BUF) led the scoring with 2G 1A. TOR's first power-play unit (Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Marner and Matthews) scored 1 power-play goal on 2 attempts in 1:08 together.

Points
Jeff Skinner had two goals and an assist (3 points) on 4 shots in 18:59.Skinner
Points
John Tavares had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 17:11.Tavares
Points
Morgan Rielly had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 24:35.Rielly
Points
Tage Thompson had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 19:30.Thompson
Points
Alexander Kerfoot had 2 assists (2 points) on 3 shots in 14:27.Kerfoot
Points
Kyle Okposo had 2 assists (2 points) on 3 shots in 16:20.Okposo
PP1
TOR's first power-play unit (Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Marner and Matthews) scored 1 power-play goal on 2 attempts in 1:08 together.Tavares Rielly Nylander Marner Matthews
New line
New look for TOR: Nylander–Kase–Matthews skated 12:48 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (28.6% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Nylander Kase Matthews

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TOR attacks left (bottom on phones)BUF attacks right (top on phones) →

BUF
TOR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 101 of 101 attempts · BUF 57 · TOR 44

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

BUF
TOR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

BUF pressure
TOR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TOR 27% of the game, BUF 39%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

BUF

TOR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TOR	BUF
	47	62
	2.12	2.35
	2.06	2.22
	6	8
	0	5
	5	17
	+0.051	−0.052
	27%	39%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Nylander – Kase – Matthews
12:4829% CF
L2Tavares – Ritchie – Marner
12:3356% CF
L3Kerfoot – Engvall – Kampf
10:0880% CF
L4Spezza – Bunting – Semyonov
6:4731% CF
D1Brodie – Rielly
19:2244% CF
D2Muzzin – Holl
17:3448% CF
D3Dermott – Liljegren
12:5822% CF

PP1Tavares – Rielly – Nylander – Marner – Matthews
1:08100% CF
PP2Spezza – Muzzin – Ritchie – Bunting – Engvall
0:48
PK1FMarner – Kampf
1:37
PK2FKerfoot – Kase
1:10
PK1DMuzzin – Holl
1:57
PK2DBrodie – Rielly
1:04

Current TOR line combinations →

Buffalo Sabres

L1Skinner – Asplund – Thompson
15:2963% CF
L2Hinostroza – Caggiula – Cozens
11:5465% CF
L3Okposo – Eakin – Girgensons
11:2953% CF
L4Hayden – Bjork – Ruotsalainen
8:0820% CF
D1Miller – Bryson
18:2471% CF
D2Pysyk – Dahlin
15:2260% CF
D3Butcher – Hagg
11:0340% CF

PP1Skinner – Asplund – Thompson – Dahlin – Ruotsalainen
2:00100% CF
PP2Okposo – Miller – Girgensons – Bryson – Cozens
1:3750% CF
PK1FOkposo – Girgensons
1:08
PK2FEakin – Caggiula
0:48
PK1DPysyk – Hagg
1:08
PK2DMiller – Bryson
0:48

Current BUF line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

2:43
TORDavid Kampf (Alexander Kerfoot, Pierre Engvall)wrist0.17 xG
TOR: Brodie, Rielly, Kerfoot, Engvall, KampfBUF: Butcher, Hayden, Hagg, Bjork, Ruotsalainen
TOR 1 – 0 BUF
14:42
BUFJeff Skinner (Colin Miller, Kyle Okposo)snap0.02 xG
TOR: Nylander, Kase, Dermott, Matthews, LiljegrenBUF: Okposo, Eakin, Skinner, Miller, Bryson
TOR 1 – 1 BUF

2nd period

7:18
TOROndrej Kase (John Tavares, Auston Matthews)wrist0.05 xG
TOR: Brodie, Tavares, Rielly, Kase, MatthewsBUF: Skinner, Butcher, Asplund, Bryson, Cozens
TOR 2 – 1 BUF
8:28
TORMichael Bunting (Jake Muzzin, Jason Spezza)slap0.02 xG
TOR: Spezza, Muzzin, Holl, Bunting, SemyonovBUF: Miller, Hinostroza, Caggiula, Bryson, Cozens
TOR 3 – 1 BUF
17:33
BUFTage Thompson (Jeff Skinner)slap0.12 xG
TOR: Spezza, Muzzin, Holl, Bunting, SemyonovBUF: Skinner, Pysyk, Asplund, Thompson, Dahlin
TOR 3 – 2 BUF

3rd period

9:22
TORJohn TavaresPP (Morgan Rielly, Mitch Marner)tip-in0.12 xG
TOR: Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Marner, MatthewsBUF: Okposo, Pysyk, Girgensons, Hagg
TOR 4 – 2 BUF
10:47
BUFJeff Skinner (Tage Thompson)tip-in0.07 xG
TOR: Spezza, Bunting, Dermott, Liljegren, SemyonovBUF: Skinner, Miller, Butcher, Asplund, Thompson
TOR 4 – 3 BUF
11:46
BUFRasmus Dahlin (Arttu Ruotsalainen, Kyle Okposo)slap0.03 xG
TOR: Muzzin, Tavares, Holl, Nylander, MarnerBUF: Okposo, Pysyk, Bjork, Dahlin, Ruotsalainen
TOR 4 – 4 BUF
19:48
TORMorgan Rielly (Alexander Kerfoot)wrist0.07 xG
TOR: Brodie, Rielly, Kerfoot, Engvall, MatthewsBUF: Skinner, Pysyk, Miller, Asplund, Thompson
TOR 5 – 4 BUF

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Auston Matthews C	L1	0	1	1	+1	3	0.41	0	0	0	19:19	—	—	34	41
Ondrej Kase R	L1	1	0	1	0	2	0.13	0	1	0	17:52	—	—	27	31
William Nylander R	L1	0	0	0	-2	2	0.16	0	0	0	16:41	—	—	25	32
Mitch Marner R	L2	0	1	1	-1	2	0.18	0	0	0	18:19	—	—	52	49
John Tavares C	L2	1	1	2	0	2	0.13	1	0	0	17:11	—	—	52	50
Nick Ritchie L	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.23	2	0	0	15:40	—	—	44	38
David Kampf C	L3	1	0	1	+1	1	0.17	0	0	0	15:33	—	—	67	93
Alexander Kerfoot C	L3	0	2	2	+2	3	0.20	0	0	0	14:27	—	—	81	96
Pierre Engvall L	L3	0	1	1	+2	1	0.09	0	0	2	13:44	—	—	87	96
Michael Bunting L	L4	1	0	1	-1	1	0.02	0	0	0	10:03	—	—	35	23
Kirill Semyonov C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	0	0	9:52	—	—	25	9
Jason Spezza C	L4	0	1	1	-1	2	0.03	0	1	0	8:59	—	—	29	14
Morgan Rielly D	D1	1	1	2	+3	4	0.12	1	2	0	24:35	—	—	47	54
TJ Brodie D	D1	0	0	0	+3	0	0.00	0	4	2	21:30	—	—	43	51
Jake Muzzin D	D2	0	1	1	-1	0	0.02	1	0	0	22:41	—	—	50	47
Justin Holl D	D2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	3	0	20:39	—	—	53	56
Timothy Liljegren D	D3	0	0	0	-2	2	0.08	0	1	0	15:04	—	—	29	32
Travis Dermott D	D3	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	0	0	0	13:51	—	—	21	17

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Joseph Woll(start)	W	27	23	4	.852	2.20	60:00

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Tage Thompson C	L1	1	1	2	+1	4	0.45	0	0	0	19:30	—	—	67	65
Jeff Skinner L	L1	2	1	3	+1	4	0.40	2	1	0	18:59	—	—	64	64
Rasmus Asplund C	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.18	1	0	0	18:41	—	—	59	56
Dylan Cozens C	L2	0	0	0	-2	1	0.21	0	0	0	16:40	—	—	60	61
Vinnie Hinostroza C	L2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.14	0	0	0	15:09	—	—	65	65
Drake Caggiula L	L2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.14	0	1	0	14:00	—	—	68	70
Kyle Okposo R	L3	0	2	2	+2	3	0.23	0	1	0	16:20	—	—	62	58
Zemgus Girgensons C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	15:20	—	—	50	38
Cody Eakin C	L3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.11	0	0	0	13:53	—	—	58	48
Anders Bjork L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	11:21	—	—	33	24
Arttu Ruotsalainen C	L4	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	0	0	2	10:54	—	—	29	24
John Hayden C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	0	0	9:19	—	—	20	9
Jacob Bryson D	D1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	2	0	24:23	—	—	69	72
Colin Miller D	D1	0	1	1	0	0	0.04	1	2	0	23:15	—	—	64	66
Rasmus Dahlin D	D2	1	0	1	+2	3	0.11	0	0	0	22:25	—	—	56	42
Mark Pysyk D	D2	0	0	0	+1	3	0.07	0	0	0	18:28	—	—	52	48
Robert Hagg D	D3	0	0	0	-1	4	0.11	1	2	0	17:54	—	—	48	34
Will Butcher D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	11:45	—	—	41	29

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Aaron Dell(start)	L	26	21	5	.808	1.96	59:48

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.