Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Buffalo SabresMar 30, 2024

FinalSaturday, Mar 30, 2024· KeyBank Center

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TOR	1	1	1	3		TOR	8	6	8	22
BUF	0	0	0	0		BUF	10	8	16	34

: TOR 38BUF 69
: TOR 2.58BUF 3.26
PP goals: TOR 0BUF 0
Hits: TOR 41BUF 24
Blocks: TOR 20BUF 9
PIM: TOR 62BUF 70
: TOR 68%BUF 32%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Buffalo Sabres 3–0

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Buffalo Sabres 3–0 at BUF. Conor Timmins (TOR) led the scoring with 0G 2A. BUF scored 0 goals on 3.26 expected goals (69 attempts), well short of its chances.

Points
Conor Timmins had 2 assists (2 points) on 3 shots in 16:01.Timmins
Luck
BUF scored 0 goals on 3.26 expected goals (69 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Auston Matthews (TOR) played 16:21, −4:40 down on his 21:01 season average over 80 games.Matthews
Usage
John Tavares (TOR) played 13:53, −4:02 down on his 17:55 season average over 79 games.Tavares
Usage
JJ Peterka (BUF) played 21:42, +5:22 up on his 16:20 season average over 81 games.Peterka
Usage
Peyton Krebs (BUF) played 7:48, −4:46 down on his 12:34 season average over 79 games.Krebs
Usage
Zach Benson (BUF) played 9:28, −5:07 down on his 14:35 season average over 70 games.Benson
Usage
Bobby McMann (TOR) played 15:57, +4:28 up on his 11:29 season average over 55 games.McMann

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TOR attacks left (bottom on phones)BUF attacks right (top on phones) →

BUF
TOR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 107 of 107 attempts · BUF 69 · TOR 38

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

BUF
TOR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

BUF pressure
TOR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TOR 24% of the game, BUF 55%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

BUF

TOR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TOR	BUF
	38	47
	2.53	1.90
	2.29	1.64
	8	11
	4	5
	10	6
	+0.105	−0.105
	24%	55%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Bertuzzi – Domi – Matthews
8:2259% CF
L2Reaves – Kampf – Dewar
7:0750% CF
L3Holmberg – Robertson – Knies
6:5717% CF
L4Tavares – Nylander – McMann
6:5171% CF
D1McCabe – Benoit
10:3430% CF
D2Brodie – Lyubushkin
10:089% CF
D3Giordano – Timmins
8:0683% CF

PP1Tavares – Bertuzzi – Nylander – Matthews – Timmins
3:2875% CF
PP2McCabe – Domi – Robertson – McMann – Knies
1:430% CF
PK1FKampf – Dewar
3:03
PK2FHolmberg – McMann
2:32
PK1DBrodie – McCabe
4:41
PK2DGiordano – Lyubushkin
2:19

Current TOR line combinations →

Buffalo Sabres

L1Tuch – Thompson – Peterka
9:0059% CF
L2Girgensons – Olofsson – Jost
7:1455% CF
L3Greenway – Cozens – Benson
4:2964% CF
L4Skinner – Krebs – Quinn
3:0550% CF
D1Dahlin – Power
11:4663% CF
D2Jokiharju – Byram
10:3248% CF
D3Clifton – Bryson
7:4767% CF

PP1Tuch – Greenway – Thompson – Dahlin – Peterka
6:13100% CF
PP2Skinner – Byram – Cozens – Quinn – Power
3:03100% CF
PK1FGreenway – Cozens
2:19
PK2FTuch – Benson
1:43
PK1DClifton – Power
1:50
PK2DJokiharju – Dahlin
1:10

Current BUF line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Auston Matthews C	L1	1	0	1	+1	5	0.84	2	3	12	16:21	—	—	50	81
Tyler Bertuzzi L	L1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.34	2	0	10	14:10	—	—	55	84
Max Domi C	L1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.26	0	1	0	12:18	—	—	48	64
David Kampf C	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.02	2	0	0	17:59	—	—	39	8
Connor Dewar C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	4	15:24	—	—	36	10
Ryan Reaves R	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	10:01	—	—	31	7
Pontus Holmberg R	L3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	2	2	0	15:14	—	—	15	39
Matthew Knies L	L3	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	1	0	0	13:15	—	—	33	55
Nick Robertson L	L3	1	0	1	+1	2	0.25	4	1	0	10:51	—	—	29	41
William Nylander R	L4	0	1	1	+1	1	0.34	1	1	0	18:09	—	—	71	90
Bobby McMann C	L4	0	0	0	+1	2	0.16	2	0	10	15:57	—	—	57	41
John Tavares C	L4	1	0	1	+1	2	0.14	3	0	0	13:53	—	—	57	63
Jake McCabe D	D1	0	0	0	+2	2	0.08	6	1	4	21:49	—	—	37	34
Simon Benoit D	D1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	5	2	2	19:26	—	—	37	32
TJ Brodie D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	0	3	10	22:59	—	—	19	5
Ilya Lyubushkin D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	5	4	0	18:34	—	—	19	7
Conor Timmins D	D3	0	2	2	+2	3	0.04	1	2	0	16:01	—	—	77	89
Mark Giordano D	D3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.10	1	0	10	15:39	—	—	70	89

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Ilya Samsonov(start)	W	34	34	0	.1000	3.26	60:00

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Alex Tuch R	L1	-1	3	0.14	1	1	10	22:51	—	—	52	24
JJ Peterka R	L1	-1	6	0.69	2	0	10	21:42	—	—	62	44
Tage Thompson C	L1	-1	4	0.27	1	0	10	21:05	—	—	57	36
Zemgus Girgensons C	L2	0	1	0.08	4	1	0	14:21	—	—	53	89
Victor Olofsson L	L2	0	3	0.13	0	0	0	10:21	—	—	50	90
Tyson Jost C	L2	0	1	0.05	3	1	0	8:47	—	—	50	85
Jordan Greenway L	L3	0	3	0.20	3	1	10	20:30	—	—	64	28
Dylan Cozens C	L3	-1	4	0.58	1	0	2	19:33	—	—	57	46
Zach Benson L	L3	-1	2	0.20	0	0	2	9:28	—	—	48	33
Jack Quinn R	L4	-2	0	0.23	1	0	0	12:57	—	—	50	30
Jeff Skinner L	L4	-1	3	0.35	0	0	2	12:35	—	—	67	58
Peyton Krebs C	L4	-1	0	0.00	1	0	0	7:48	—	—	50	26
Rasmus Dahlin D	D1	-1	2	0.09	1	2	12	25:49	—	—	58	45
Owen Power D	D1	0	2	0.28	0	0	10	25:42	—	—	65	50
Bowen Byram D	D2	-1	0	0.00	1	1	0	21:31	—	—	47	42
Henri Jokiharju D	D2	-1	0	0.00	1	1	0	18:24	—	—	53	46
Connor Clifton D	D3	-2	0	0.00	4	1	2	12:47	—	—	50	19
Jacob Bryson D	D3	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	10:05	—	—	56	26

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen(start)	L	22	19	3	.864	2.58	56:48

Goal anatomy

Animated replays from NHL EDGE tracking, with the entry, passes and shot speed for each goal.

John Tavares (TOR) 1st 4:58 · assists William Nylander, Conor Timmins · Rush · carried in · 65.4 mph shot · 2.1 s from entry to goal.

John Tavares · 1st 4:58 · TOR

Play: rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: No
Passes: 0
Shot: 65.4 mph
Distance: 37 ft
Entry to goal: 2.1 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Nick Robertson · 2nd 2:34 · TOR

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: 3-on-1
Passes: 0
Shot: 57.9 mph
Distance: 24 ft
Entry to goal: 1.7 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Auston Matthews · 3rd 14:23 · TOR

Play: rebound
Passes: 3 (royal road)
Shot: 36.8 mph
Distance: 7 ft
Type: rebound

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Buffalo SabresMar 30, 2024

Fantasy takeaways

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Buffalo Sabres 3–0

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Sequence card

Lines used

Toronto Maple Leafs

Buffalo Sabres

Scoring summary

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

Box score

Toronto Maple Leafs

Buffalo Sabres

Goal anatomy

John Tavares · 1st 4:58 · TOR

Nick Robertson · 2nd 2:34 · TOR

Auston Matthews · 3rd 14:23 · TOR