Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Ottawa SenatorsJan 20, 2018

FinalSaturday, Jan 20, 2018· Canadian Tire Centre

away

Toronto Maple LeafsTOR

4

@

home

Ottawa SenatorsOTT

3

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TOR	1	0	3	4		TOR	12	12	9	33
OTT	0	3	0	3		OTT	4	8	6	18

: TOR 57OTT 53
: TOR 3.26OTT 1.54
PP goals: TOR 1OTT 1
Hits: TOR 25OTT 29
Blocks: TOR 25OTT 16
PIM: TOR 6OTT 8
: TOR 51%OTT 49%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs edge Ottawa Senators 4–3

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Ottawa Senators 4–3 at OTT. Jake Gardiner (TOR) led the scoring with 0G 3A. OTT's first power-play unit (Brassard, Karlsson, Hoffman, Stone and Dzingel) scored 1 power-play goal on 3 attempts in 1:53 together.

Points
Jake Gardiner had 3 assists (3 points) on 2 shots in 24:03.Gardiner
Points
Auston Matthews had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 17:48.Matthews
Points
Zach Hyman had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 16:14.Hyman
Points
Mark Stone had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 21:29.Stone
PP1
OTT's first power-play unit (Brassard, Karlsson, Hoffman, Stone and Dzingel) scored 1 power-play goal on 3 attempts in 1:53 together.Brassard Karlsson Hoffman Stone Dzingel
New line
New look for TOR: Martin–Gauthier–Marner skated 5:25 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (63.6% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Martin Gauthier Marner
Usage
Connor Carrick (TOR) played 18:57, +3:54 up on his 15:03 season average over 46 games.Carrick
Usage
Mitch Marner (TOR) played 12:17, −4:09 down on his 16:26 season average over 81 games.Marner

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TOR attacks left (bottom on phones)OTT attacks right (top on phones) →

OTT
TOR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 110 of 110 attempts · OTT 53 · TOR 57

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

OTT
TOR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

OTT pressure
TOR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TOR 46% of the game, OTT 23%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

OTT

TOR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TOR	OTT
	60	48
	3.35	1.02
	3.22	1.00
	13	6
	10	4
	23	13
	+0.010	−0.010
	46%	23%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Hyman – Nylander – Matthews
12:3568% CF
L2Marleau – Komarov – Kadri
12:1160% CF
L3van Riemsdyk – Bozak – Brown
10:2443% CF
L4Martin – Gauthier – Marner
5:2564% CF
D1Hainsey – Gardiner
17:4452% CF
D2Carrick – Dermott
15:0564% CF
D3Polak – Borgman
11:4352% CF

PP1Marleau – Carrick – Brown – Nylander – Matthews
2:55100% CF
PP2van Riemsdyk – Gardiner – Bozak – Kadri – Marner
1:5350% CF
PK1FBrown – Gauthier
1:36
PK2FKomarov – Hyman
1:35
PK1DHainsey – Polak
2:52

Current TOR line combinations →

Ottawa Senators

L1Ryan – Hoffman – Duchene
8:1258% CF
L2Brassard – Stone – Dzingel
6:1130% CF
L3Burrows – Dumont – Chlapik
3:1820% CF
L4Pyatt – Smith – White
2:0043% CF
D1Phaneuf – Ceci
10:3446% CF
D2Oduya – Karlsson
8:4243% CF
D3Borowiecki – Chabot
3:2650% CF

PP1Brassard – Karlsson – Hoffman – Stone – Dzingel
1:53100% CF
PP2Phaneuf – Ryan – Smith – Duchene – Chabot
0:31100% CF
PK1FSmith – Stone
1:50
PK2FBurrows – Pyatt
1:45
PK1DOduya – Ceci
2:33
PK2DPhaneuf – Karlsson
0:57

Current OTT line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

7:26
TORZach Hyman (Auston Matthews, Jake Gardiner)wrist0.19 xG
TOR: Hainsey, Gardiner, Hyman, Nylander, MatthewsOTT: Pyatt, Smith, Karlsson, White, Chabot
TOR 1 – 0 OTT

2nd period

3:08
OTTErik KarlssonPP (Mark Stone, Ryan Dzingel)snap0.12 xG
TOR: Hainsey, Polak, Brown, GauthierOTT: Brassard, Karlsson, Hoffman, Stone, Dzingel
TOR 1 – 1 OTT
7:12
OTTMike Hoffman (Cody Ceci, Bobby Ryan)wrist0.11 xG
TOR: Hainsey, Gardiner, Hyman, Nylander, MatthewsOTT: Phaneuf, Ryan, Brassard, Hoffman, Ceci
TOR 1 – 2 OTT
18:05
OTTTom PyattSH (Zack Smith, Mark Stone)wrist0.23 xG
TOR: van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Bozak, Kadri, MarnerOTT: Oduya, Pyatt, Smith, Ceci
TOR 1 – 3 OTT

3rd period

2:53
TORAuston Matthews (Zach Hyman, Jake Gardiner)backhand0.16 xG
TOR: Gardiner, Hyman, Nylander, Matthews, BorgmanOTT: Pyatt, Smith, Borowiecki, Dzingel, Ceci
TOR 2 – 3 OTT
4:21
TORMitch MarnerPP (Jake Gardiner)wrist0.11 xG
TOR: van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Bozak, Kadri, MarnerOTT: Oduya, Pyatt, Stone, Ceci
TOR 3 – 3 OTT
8:58
TORConnor Carrick (Leo Komarov, Nazem Kadri)wrist0.02 xG
TOR: Marleau, Komarov, Kadri, Carrick, DermottOTT: Pyatt, Karlsson, Dzingel, Chabot, Chlapik
TOR 4 – 3 OTT

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Auston Matthews C	L1	1	1	2	+1	4	0.81	0	0	2	17:48	—	—	61	83
William Nylander R	L1	0	0	0	+1	4	0.64	0	0	0	17:37	—	—	65	83
Zach Hyman L	L1	1	1	2	+1	3	0.36	2	0	0	16:14	—	—	69	85
Patrick Marleau C	L2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.01	0	4	0	19:11	—	—	53	57
Nazem Kadri C	L2	0	1	1	0	2	0.28	1	0	0	17:52	—	—	57	58
Leo Komarov R	L2	0	1	1	+1	1	0.06	3	3	0	16:54	—	—	52	53
Connor Brown R	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.16	0	1	0	18:10	—	—	41	91
Tyler Bozak C	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.24	2	1	2	17:09	—	—	42	91
James van Riemsdyk L	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.25	0	1	0	14:30	—	—	40	91
Mitch Marner R	L4	1	0	1	-1	2	0.20	2	0	0	12:17	—	—	50	54
Frederik Gauthier C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	0	0	0	8:10	—	—	58	53
Matt Martin L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	4	0	0	5:58	—	—	64	54
Ron Hainsey D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	4	8	0	24:20	—	—	52	85
Jake Gardiner D	D1	0	3	3	0	2	0.02	0	5	0	24:03	—	—	50	88
Connor Carrick D	D2	1	0	1	+1	3	0.10	0	0	0	18:57	—	—	65	77
Travis Dermott D	D2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.04	2	1	0	16:37	—	—	65	77
Roman Polak D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.06	1	1	0	17:12	—	—	55	56
Andreas Borgman D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.01	4	0	2	13:43	—	—	50	51

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Frederik Andersen(start)	W	18	15	3	.833	1.54	60:00

Ottawa Senators

OTT skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Bobby Ryan R	L1	0	1	1	+1	0	0.23	0	1	0	19:30	—	—	61	55
Mike Hoffman C	L1	1	0	1	+1	3	0.28	0	0	0	19:25	—	—	57	47
Matt Duchene C	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.11	1	1	0	19:17	—	—	52	34
Mark Stone R	L2	0	2	2	0	2	0.15	1	0	0	21:29	—	—	39	16
Derick Brassard C	L2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	2	0	19:28	—	—	40	36
Ryan Dzingel C	L2	0	1	1	-2	0	0.07	1	0	4	17:53	—	—	29	7
Alexandre Burrows R	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.06	0	1	0	10:22	—	—	44	50
Filip Chlapik C	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	6:14	—	—	11	0
Gabriel Dumont C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	3	1	0	5:58	—	—	14	0
Zack Smith C	L4	0	1	1	-1	0	0.00	1	0	2	15:50	—	—	50	12
Tom Pyatt L	L4	1	0	1	-2	2	0.24	2	0	0	15:22	—	—	39	5
Colin White C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	0	1	0	9:27	—	—	42	12
Cody Ceci D	D1	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	4	1	0	24:51	—	—	49	33
Dion Phaneuf D	D1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.02	5	2	0	18:40	—	—	50	39
Erik Karlsson D	D2	1	0	1	-2	1	0.12	2	2	0	27:06	—	—	36	6
Johnny Oduya D	D2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.14	1	1	0	16:16	—	—	55	28
Thomas Chabot D	D3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.04	3	1	0	15:40	—	—	35	6
Mark Borowiecki D	D3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.06	4	2	2	13:28	—	—	45	25

OTT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Craig Anderson(start)	L	33	29	4	.879	3.26	58:24

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.