Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Ottawa SenatorsMar 16, 2019

FinalSaturday, Mar 16, 2019· Canadian Tire Centre

away

Toronto Maple LeafsTOR

2

@

home

Ottawa SenatorsOTT

6

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TOR	0	1	1	2		TOR	10	9	18	37
OTT	1	3	2	6		OTT	17	13	14	44

: TOR 73OTT 66
: TOR 2.94OTT 3.89
PP goals: TOR 1OTT 0
Hits: TOR 29OTT 25
Blocks: TOR 12OTT 22
PIM: TOR 8OTT 6
: TOR 60%OTT 40%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Ottawa Senators rout Toronto Maple Leafs 6–2

Ottawa Senators beat Toronto Maple Leafs 6–2 at home. Zack Smith (OTT) led the scoring with 0G 3A. TOR's first power-play unit (Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Marner and Matthews) scored 1 power-play goal on 7 attempts in 2:41 together.

Points
Zack Smith had 3 assists (3 points) on 2 shots in 17:09.Smith
Points
Magnus Paajarvi had two goals (2 points) on 3 shots in 10:46.Paajarvi
Points
Cody Ceci had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 23:17.Ceci
Points
John Tavares had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 15:17.Tavares
PP1
TOR's first power-play unit (Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Marner and Matthews) scored 1 power-play goal on 7 attempts in 2:41 together.Tavares Rielly Nylander Marner Matthews
Goalie
Garret Sparks (TOR) faced 44 shots and stopped 38 (.864), +14 against a season average of 29.6; the loss.Sparks
Usage
Christian Wolanin (OTT) played 24:29, +7:24 up on his 17:05 season average over 29 games.Wolanin
Goalie
Anders Nilsson (OTT) faced 37 shots and stopped 35 (.946), +7 against a season average of 30.5; the win.Nilsson

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TOR attacks left (bottom on phones)OTT attacks right (top on phones) →

OTT
TOR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 139 of 139 attempts · OTT 66 · TOR 73

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

OTT
TOR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

OTT pressure
TOR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TOR 25% of the game, OTT 37%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

OTT

TOR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TOR	OTT
	73	66
	2.03	4.15
	1.99	4.09
	14	16
	8	6
	18	13
	+0.080	−0.080
	25%	37%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Johnsson – Nylander – Matthews
13:4259% CF
L2Tavares – Hyman – Marner
9:5351% CF
L3Marleau – Kadri – Brown
5:1515% CF
L4Ennis – Gauthier – Moore
4:4770% CF
D1Muzzin – Zaitsev
10:3550% CF
D2Hainsey – Rielly
9:3250% CF
D3Marincin – Holl
9:2563% CF

PP1Tavares – Rielly – Nylander – Marner – Matthews
2:4188% CF
PP2Marleau – Muzzin – Ennis – Johnsson – Nylander
1:02100% CF
PK1FHyman – Marner
2:45
PK2FBrown – Gauthier
2:10
PK1DHainsey – Zaitsev
2:33
PK2DMuzzin – Marincin
0:13

Current TOR line combinations →

Ottawa Senators

L1Ryan – Smith – Lindberg
11:4938% CF
L2Pageau – Veronneau – Tkachuk
8:3150% CF
L3Paajarvi – Tierney – Balcers
6:1671% CF
L4Boedker – Gibbons – Duclair
5:3236% CF
D1Ceci – Wolanin
17:3048% CF
D2DeMelo – Harpur
13:2448% CF
D3Borowiecki – Jaros
12:4550% CF

PP1Ryan – Boedker – Pageau – Wolanin – Tkachuk
4:17100% CF
PP2DeMelo – Ceci – Tierney – Balcers – Veronneau
2:27
PK1FPageau – Tierney
1:06
PK2FSmith – Paajarvi
0:38
PK1DCeci – Harpur
1:19
PK2DBorowiecki – DeMelo
0:44

Current OTT line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

6:36
OTTCody Ceci (Christian Wolanin, Max Veronneau)snap0.11 xG
TOR: Hainsey, Tavares, Hyman, Rielly, MarnerOTT: Pageau, Ceci, Wolanin, Veronneau, Tkachuk
TOR 0 – 1 OTT

2nd period

6:48
OTTBrian Gibbons (Dylan DeMelo, Mikkel Boedker)backhand0.15 xG
TOR: Marleau, Hainsey, Kadri, Rielly, BrownOTT: Boedker, Gibbons, DeMelo, Duclair, Harpur
TOR 0 – 2 OTT
12:33
TORMorgan Rielly (John Tavares)wrist0.07 xG
TOR: Muzzin, Tavares, Hyman, Rielly, MarnerOTT: Pageau, Harpur, Jaros, Veronneau, Tkachuk
TOR 1 – 2 OTT
13:51
OTTMagnus Paajarvi (Rudolfs Balcers, Chris Tierney)wrist0.07 xG
TOR: Marleau, Kadri, Holl, Rielly, BrownOTT: Paajarvi, Ceci, Tierney, Wolanin, Balcers
TOR 1 – 3 OTT
18:50
OTTMagnus Paajarvi (Zack Smith, Mark Borowiecki)snap0.14 xG
TOR: Tavares, Marincin, Holl, Hyman, MarnerOTT: Smith, Borowiecki, Paajarvi, Tierney, Jaros
TOR 1 – 4 OTT

3rd period

5:13
TORJohn TavaresPP (Auston Matthews, William Nylander)wrist0.19 xG
TOR: Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Marner, MatthewsOTT: Paajarvi, DeMelo, Harpur
TOR 2 – 4 OTT
8:36
OTTAnthony Duclair (Ben Harpur, Zack Smith)backhand0.03 xG
TOR: Holl, Rielly, Johnsson, Nylander, MatthewsOTT: Smith, Lindberg, DeMelo, Duclair, Harpur
TOR 2 – 5 OTT
14:21
OTTOscar Lindberg (Cody Ceci, Zack Smith)backhand0.16 xG
TOR: Hainsey, Holl, Johnsson, Nylander, MatthewsOTT: Ryan, Smith, Lindberg, Ceci, Wolanin
TOR 2 – 6 OTT

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
William Nylander R	L1	0	1	1	-2	3	0.40	2	0	0	19:25	—	—	61	49
Auston Matthews C	L1	0	1	1	-2	9	0.88	2	0	0	18:36	—	—	56	44
Andreas Johnsson L	L1	0	0	0	-2	1	0.21	0	1	0	15:50	—	—	56	44
Mitch Marner R	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.04	1	0	0	19:15	—	—	50	23
John Tavares C	L2	1	1	2	-1	4	0.45	0	3	0	15:17	—	—	45	23
Zach Hyman L	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.03	2	1	2	14:30	—	—	48	23
Patrick Marleau C	L3	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	1	0	4	15:26	—	—	46	24
Nazem Kadri C	L3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.02	1	0	0	12:57	—	—	50	22
Connor Brown R	L3	0	0	0	-2	2	0.07	3	0	0	12:47	—	—	35	12
Trevor Moore L	L4	0	0	0	0	4	0.20	1	0	0	10:47	—	—	65	69
Frederik Gauthier C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.03	5	3	0	10:40	—	—	63	68
Tyler Ennis R	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.10	3	0	0	10:11	—	—	71	89
Jake Muzzin D	D1	0	0	0	+1	3	0.19	3	0	0	23:41	—	—	55	40
Nikita Zaitsev D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	3	0	20:51	—	—	44	31
Morgan Rielly D	D2	1	0	1	-3	4	0.31	0	0	0	24:55	—	—	51	33
Ron Hainsey D	D2	0	0	0	-3	1	0.01	2	1	2	16:27	—	—	45	21
Martin Marincin D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	0	0	0	15:51	—	—	66	35
Justin Holl D	D3	0	0	0	-4	2	0.01	0	0	0	14:40	—	—	61	35

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Garret Sparks(start)	L	44	38	6	.864	3.89	59:54

Ottawa Senators

OTT skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Bobby Ryan R	L1	0	0	0	+1	3	0.54	1	0	0	19:20	—	—	38	58
Zack Smith C	L1	0	3	3	+3	2	0.00	1	0	2	17:09	—	—	44	51
Oscar Lindberg L	L1	1	0	1	+2	1	0.18	2	1	0	16:47	—	—	43	56
Jean-Gabriel Pageau C	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.03	0	2	0	20:09	—	—	55	76
Brady Tkachuk L	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.85	5	0	0	19:33	—	—	46	74
Max Veronneau R	L2	0	1	1	0	2	0.49	0	1	0	15:24	—	—	48	73
Chris Tierney C	L3	0	1	1	+2	1	0.01	0	0	0	14:14	—	—	57	88
Rudolfs Balcers L	L3	0	1	1	+1	4	0.23	0	0	2	12:01	—	—	67	98
Magnus Paajarvi L	L3	2	0	2	+2	3	0.34	1	1	0	10:46	—	—	65	74
Mikkel Boedker L	L4	0	1	1	+1	3	0.39	3	1	0	12:13	—	—	45	65
Brian Gibbons C	L4	1	0	1	+1	1	0.15	1	0	0	10:40	—	—	24	42
Anthony Duclair L	L4	1	0	1	+2	4	0.22	0	2	0	10:31	—	—	43	48
Christian Wolanin D	D1	0	1	1	+3	4	0.12	1	2	0	24:29	—	—	50	65
Cody Ceci D	D1	1	1	2	+3	3	0.22	2	2	0	23:17	—	—	47	48
Dylan DeMelo D	D2	0	1	1	+2	2	0.03	2	1	0	18:31	—	—	46	71
Ben Harpur D	D2	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	1	2	0	18:12	—	—	46	73
Christian Jaros D	D3	0	0	0	0	3	0.07	2	3	0	16:09	—	—	49	77
Mark Borowiecki D	D3	0	1	1	+1	3	0.03	3	4	2	14:49	—	—	47	65

OTT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Anders Nilsson(start)	W	37	35	2	.946	2.94	60:00

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.