Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Ottawa SenatorsMar 30, 2019

FinalSaturday, Mar 30, 2019· Canadian Tire Centre

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TOR	0	0	2	2		TOR	18	12	14	44
OTT	0	2	2	4		OTT	7	9	6	22

: TOR 80OTT 43
: TOR 3.39OTT 2.45
PP goals: TOR 1OTT 0
Hits: TOR 29OTT 26
Blocks: TOR 13OTT 23
PIM: TOR 16OTT 16
: TOR 62%OTT 38%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Ottawa Senators beat Toronto Maple Leafs 4–2

Ottawa Senators beat Toronto Maple Leafs 4–2 at home. Anthony Duclair (OTT) led the scoring with 2G 1A. Craig Anderson (OTT) faced 44 shots and stopped 42 (.955), +10 against a season average of 33.5; the win.

Points
Anthony Duclair had two goals and an assist (3 points) on 3 shots in 12:42.Duclair
Points
Magnus Paajarvi had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 14:01.Paajarvi
Points
Brady Tkachuk had 2 assists (2 points) on 4 shots in 17:54.Tkachuk
Points
Colin White had 2 assists (2 points) in 17:43.White
Goalie
Craig Anderson (OTT) faced 44 shots and stopped 42 (.955), +10 against a season average of 33.5; the win.Anderson
New line
New look for OTT: Smith–Pageau–Veronneau skated 8:12 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (5.9% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Smith Pageau Veronneau
Usage
Connor Brown (TOR) played 8:18, −5:34 down on his 13:52 season average over 81 games.Brown
New line
New look for OTT: Paajarvi–Lindberg–Duclair skated 7:00 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (44.4% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Paajarvi Lindberg Duclair

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TOR attacks left (bottom on phones)OTT attacks right (top on phones) →

OTT
TOR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 123 of 123 attempts · OTT 43 · TOR 80

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

OTT
TOR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

OTT pressure
TOR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TOR 56% of the game, OTT 11%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

OTT

TOR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TOR	OTT
	86	43
	3.51	1.72
	3.45	1.58
	14	6
	7	4
	29	18
	+0.089	−0.089
	56%	11%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Tavares – Hyman – Marner
14:3974% CF
L2Johnsson – Nylander – Matthews
12:2779% CF
L3Marleau – Kadri – Kapanen
12:0648% CF
L4Ennis – Brown – Gauthier
3:5843% CF
D1Hainsey – Rielly
15:1368% CF
D2Muzzin – Zaitsev
12:4675% CF
D3Marincin – Dermott
9:2461% CF

PP1Tavares – Kadri – Hyman – Rielly – Marner
3:1150% CF
PP2Marleau – Rielly – Johnsson – Nylander – Matthews
1:1167% CF
PK1FHyman – Marner
2:31
PK2FBrown – Gauthier
0:52
PK1DHainsey – Zaitsev
1:55
PK2DMuzzin – Marincin
0:33

Current TOR line combinations →

Ottawa Senators

L1Gibbons – White – Tkachuk
10:1927% CF
L2Smith – Pageau – Veronneau
8:126% CF
L3Paajarvi – Lindberg – Duclair
7:0044% CF
L4Ryan – Tierney – Balcers
6:5838% CF
D1DeMelo – Chabot
16:1436% CF
D2Ceci – Wolanin
15:0038% CF
D3Harpur – Jaros
13:1725% CF

PP1Ryan – White – Chabot – Veronneau – Tkachuk
1:07
PP2Pageau – Ceci – Tierney – Wolanin – Balcers
0:56
PK1FSmith – Paajarvi
1:18
PK2FPageau – Tierney
1:16
PK1DCeci – Harpur
3:03
PK2DDeMelo – Chabot
1:39

Current OTT line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

5:24
OTTAnthony Duclair (Oscar Lindberg, Magnus Paajarvi)slap0.09 xG
TOR: Rielly, Johnsson, Nylander, Dermott, MatthewsOTT: Paajarvi, Lindberg, Duclair, Chabot, Jaros
TOR 0 – 1 OTT
14:43
OTTMagnus Paajarvi (Anthony Duclair)wrist0.14 xG
TOR: Ennis, Marincin, Brown, Gauthier, DermottOTT: Paajarvi, DeMelo, Tierney, Duclair, Chabot
TOR 0 – 2 OTT

3rd period

5:02
TORAuston MatthewsPP (Mitch Marner, Morgan Rielly)wrist0.13 xG
TOR: Muzzin, Tavares, Kadri, Marner, MatthewsOTT: Smith, Lindberg, DeMelo, Chabot
TOR 1 – 2 OTT
5:29
TORConnor Brown (Ron Hainsey)snap0.16 xG
TOR: Hainsey, Brown, Gauthier, Kapanen, ZaitsevOTT: Ryan, DeMelo, Tierney, Chabot, Balcers
TOR 2 – 2 OTT
6:41
OTTCody Ceci (Brady Tkachuk, Colin White)wrist0.14 xG
TOR: Marleau, Kadri, Marincin, Kapanen, DermottOTT: Gibbons, Ceci, White, Wolanin, Tkachuk
TOR 2 – 3 OTT
18:47
OTTAnthony DuclairEN (Brady Tkachuk, Colin White)snap0.95 xG
TOR: Hainsey, Tavares, Hyman, Rielly, MarnerOTT: DeMelo, Duclair, White, Chabot, Tkachuk
TOR 2 – 4 OTT

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mitch Marner R	L1	0	1	1	0	4	0.69	0	2	0	22:18	—	—	74	78
Zach Hyman L	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.14	1	0	0	20:36	—	—	74	75
John Tavares C	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.26	0	0	0	20:33	—	—	78	78
Auston Matthews C	L2	1	0	1	-1	7	0.58	1	0	0	18:16	—	—	74	70
William Nylander R	L2	0	0	0	-1	7	0.20	0	0	0	16:08	—	—	76	57
Andreas Johnsson L	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.22	3	0	4	14:54	—	—	71	50
Nazem Kadri C	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.07	6	0	10	17:51	—	—	48	45
Kasperi Kapanen R	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	2	15:01	—	—	52	67
Patrick Marleau C	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.10	1	1	0	14:24	—	—	52	62
Connor Brown R	L4	1	0	1	0	2	0.21	0	0	0	8:18	—	—	60	62
Tyler Ennis R	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	1	0	6:27	—	—	50	40
Frederik Gauthier C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	5:21	—	—	50	55
Morgan Rielly D	D1	0	1	1	-1	5	0.08	0	2	0	25:23	—	—	66	58
Ron Hainsey D	D1	0	1	1	+1	0	0.02	5	2	0	20:34	—	—	71	77
Jake Muzzin D	D2	0	0	0	0	4	0.58	1	0	0	22:37	—	—	74	80
Nikita Zaitsev D	D2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.02	2	1	0	16:47	—	—	77	90
Travis Dermott D	D3	0	0	0	-3	4	0.21	3	2	0	17:43	—	—	53	35
Martin Marincin D	D3	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	1	2	0	12:29	—	—	61	43

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Garret Sparks(start)	L	21	18	3	.857	1.50	59:26

Ottawa Senators

OTT skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Brady Tkachuk L	L1	0	2	2	+1	4	0.27	5	0	2	17:54	—	—	39	55
Colin White C	L1	0	2	2	+1	0	0.00	1	0	0	17:43	—	—	37	54
Brian Gibbons C	L1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.17	1	2	2	14:05	—	—	26	50
Jean-Gabriel Pageau C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	2	2	10	19:56	—	—	24	23
Zack Smith C	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.15	5	0	0	17:53	—	—	21	23
Max Veronneau R	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.11	0	0	0	12:27	—	—	14	11
Magnus Paajarvi L	L3	1	1	2	+2	2	0.21	1	0	0	14:01	—	—	39	45
Anthony Duclair L	L3	2	1	3	+2	3	1.07	0	0	0	12:42	—	—	50	59
Oscar Lindberg L	L3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.01	1	1	0	12:30	—	—	43	59
Bobby Ryan R	L4	0	0	0	-1	2	0.12	2	1	0	13:53	—	—	46	39
Chris Tierney C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.05	1	1	0	13:08	—	—	42	20
Rudolfs Balcers L	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	10:52	—	—	32	5
Thomas Chabot D	D1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.06	1	2	0	23:40	—	—	38	27
Dylan DeMelo D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	2	0	19:59	—	—	39	24
Cody Ceci D	D2	1	0	1	+1	5	0.19	0	3	0	23:11	—	—	35	55
Christian Wolanin D	D2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	0	0	17:30	—	—	42	61
Ben Harpur D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.02	1	4	0	18:47	—	—	24	19
Christian Jaros D	D3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.03	3	5	2	15:09	—	—	25	24

OTT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Craig Anderson(start)	W	44	42	2	.955	3.39	59:42

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.