Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Ottawa SenatorsFeb 15, 2020

FinalSaturday, Feb 15, 2020· Canadian Tire Centre

away

Toronto Maple LeafsTOR

4

@

home

Ottawa SenatorsOTT

2

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TOR	1	2	1	4		TOR	8	8	15	31
OTT	0	1	1	2		OTT	9	6	12	27

: TOR 49OTT 67
: TOR 3.65OTT 2.64
PP goals: TOR 0OTT 0
Hits: TOR 28OTT 42
Blocks: TOR 21OTT 13
PIM: TOR 8OTT 4
: TOR 50%OTT 50%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Ottawa Senators 4–2

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Ottawa Senators 4–2 at OTT. Auston Matthews (TOR) led the scoring with 1G 1A. Cody Goloubef (OTT) played 7:30, −8:00 down on his 15:30 season average over 25 games.

Points
Auston Matthews had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 18:22.Matthews
Usage
Cody Goloubef (OTT) played 7:30, −8:00 down on his 15:30 season average over 25 games.Goloubef
New line
New look for TOR: Clifford–Gauthier–Timashov skated 6:41 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (40% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Clifford Gauthier Timashov
New line
New look for TOR: Spezza–Kapanen–Engvall skated 9:46 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (57.9% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Spezza Kapanen Engvall
Usage
Travis Dermott (TOR) played 22:22, +5:09 up on his 17:13 season average over 55 games.Dermott
Usage
Jake Muzzin (TOR) played 25:06, +3:34 up on his 21:32 season average over 52 games.Muzzin
Usage
John Tavares (TOR) played 16:26, −3:10 down on his 19:36 season average over 62 games.Tavares
Usage
Nick Paul (OTT) played 9:05, −5:27 down on his 14:32 season average over 55 games.Paul

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TOR attacks left (bottom on phones)OTT attacks right (top on phones) →

OTT
TOR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 116 of 116 attempts · OTT 67 · TOR 49

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

OTT
TOR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

OTT pressure
TOR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TOR 30% of the game, OTT 23%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

OTT

TOR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TOR	OTT
	44	60
	2.62	2.30
	2.39	2.21
	11	14
	1	2
	17	11
	−0.006	+0.006
	30%	23%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Hyman – Marner – Matthews
10:2426% CF
L2Tavares – Kerfoot – Nylander
9:4961% CF
L3Spezza – Kapanen – Engvall
9:4658% CF
L4Clifford – Gauthier – Timashov
6:4140% CF
D1Muzzin – Holl
15:3139% CF
D2Barrie – Dermott
15:1050% CF
D3Liljegren – Sandin
6:3927% CF

PP1Tavares – Barrie – Nylander – Marner – Matthews
1:47100% CF
PK1FEngvall – Marner
1:28
PK2FHyman – Kapanen
1:11
PK1DMuzzin – Holl
2:54
PK2DDermott – Sandin
0:32

Current TOR line combinations →

Ottawa Senators

L1Namestnikov – Tierney – Brown
7:1870% CF
L2Pageau – Duclair – Tkachuk
5:5953% CF
L3Ennis – White – Batherson
5:1156% CF
L4Anisimov – Sabourin – Paul
1:310% CF
D1Reilly – Zaitsev
16:3860% CF
D2DeMelo – Chabot
12:3664% CF
D3Hainsey – Goloubef
6:1333% CF

PP1Anisimov – Ennis – Brown – White – Chabot
2:41100% CF
PP2Pageau – Duclair – Chabot – Batherson – Tkachuk
1:4767% CF
PK1FNamestnikov – Brown
1:20
PK2FPageau – Tierney
0:00
PK1DHainsey – Zaitsev
2:00

Current OTT line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

4:11
TORAuston Matthews (Zach Hyman, Travis Dermott)wrist0.06 xG
TOR: Hyman, Dermott, Marner, Matthews, SandinOTT: DeMelo, Namestnikov, Tierney, Zaitsev, Batherson
TOR 1 – 0 OTT

2nd period

1:53
TORJake Muzzin (Alexander Kerfoot, Timothy Liljegren)wrist0.02 xG
TOR: Muzzin, Tavares, Kerfoot, Nylander, LiljegrenOTT: Reilly, Namestnikov, Tierney, Zaitsev, Batherson
TOR 2 – 0 OTT
11:48
TORWilliam Nylander (John Tavares)deflected0.17 xG
TOR: Tavares, Kerfoot, Nylander, Dermott, LiljegrenOTT: DeMelo, Pageau, Paul, Chabot, Tkachuk
TOR 3 – 0 OTT
16:13
OTTConnor Brown (Vladislav Namestnikov, Chris Tierney)wrist0.27 xG
TOR: Barrie, Hyman, Dermott, Marner, MatthewsOTT: Reilly, Namestnikov, Tierney, Brown, Zaitsev
TOR 3 – 1 OTT

3rd period

9:44
OTTCody Goloubef (Thomas Chabot, Brady Tkachuk)wrist0.01 xG
TOR: Muzzin, Clifford, Holl, Gauthier, TimashovOTT: Goloubef, Pageau, Duclair, Chabot, Tkachuk
TOR 3 – 2 OTT
18:46
TORMitch MarnerEN (Auston Matthews)wrist0.46 xG
TOR: Muzzin, Holl, Hyman, Marner, MatthewsOTT: Pageau, Reilly, Duclair, Chabot, Batherson, Tkachuk
TOR 4 – 2 OTT

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mitch Marner R	L1	1	0	1	+1	2	0.62	0	2	0	19:51	—	—	24	18
Auston Matthews C	L1	1	1	2	+1	4	0.40	0	2	2	18:22	—	—	29	31
Zach Hyman L	L1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.22	0	1	0	16:25	—	—	24	24
John Tavares C	L2	0	1	1	+2	5	0.41	2	0	0	16:26	—	—	65	78
William Nylander R	L2	1	0	1	+2	4	0.74	0	1	0	15:54	—	—	59	78
Alexander Kerfoot C	L2	0	1	1	+2	1	0.10	2	0	0	14:36	—	—	48	50
Kasperi Kapanen R	L3	0	0	0	0	4	0.17	2	1	2	17:27	—	—	43	48
Pierre Engvall L	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.28	1	0	0	14:02	—	—	58	69
Jason Spezza C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	12:52	—	—	46	59
Frederik Gauthier C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	9:53	—	—	30	0
Kyle Clifford L	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	5	0	0	9:29	—	—	33	0
Dmytro Timashov L	L4	0	0	0	-1	2	0.24	3	0	0	8:24	—	—	55	86
Jake Muzzin D	D1	1	0	1	+1	1	0.02	2	8	0	25:06	—	—	36	46
Justin Holl D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.12	5	5	2	22:24	—	—	39	57
Tyson Barrie D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.10	1	0	0	23:42	—	—	50	55
Travis Dermott D	D2	0	1	1	+1	1	0.21	1	0	2	22:22	—	—	48	61
Rasmus Sandin D	D3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.01	3	0	0	13:09	—	—	48	55
Timothy Liljegren D	D3	0	1	1	+2	0	0.00	1	0	0	11:40	—	—	28	33

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Jack Campbell(start)	W	27	25	2	.926	2.64	59:56

Ottawa Senators

OTT skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Connor Brown R	L1	1	0	1	+1	4	0.64	4	0	0	21:40	—	—	63	66
Chris Tierney C	L1	0	1	1	-1	3	0.31	0	1	0	16:30	—	—	74	84
Vladislav Namestnikov C	L1	0	1	1	-1	0	0.00	2	0	0	15:09	—	—	70	82
Brady Tkachuk L	L2	0	1	1	-1	3	0.52	6	1	0	21:11	—	—	45	26
Jean-Gabriel Pageau C	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.25	2	2	0	20:29	—	—	50	32
Anthony Duclair L	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.08	0	0	0	16:48	—	—	57	68
Drake Batherson R	L3	0	0	0	-3	1	0.02	7	1	0	17:21	—	—	55	50
Tyler Ennis R	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.16	4	0	0	15:13	—	—	70	77
Colin White C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.17	1	1	0	13:44	—	—	67	80
Artem Anisimov C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.06	0	0	0	10:41	—	—	36	11
Nick Paul L	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	3	0	0	9:05	—	—	50	13
Scott Sabourin R	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	2	0	0	6:14	—	—	46	16
Nikita Zaitsev D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	2	3	0	23:26	—	—	61	55
Mike Reilly D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	3	1	2	21:32	—	—	61	53
Thomas Chabot D	D2	0	1	1	-1	3	0.28	1	2	0	28:56	—	—	64	58
Dylan DeMelo D	D2	0	0	0	-2	1	0.03	3	0	0	15:50	—	—	61	49
Ron Hainsey D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	16:23	—	—	40	36
Cody Goloubef D	D3	1	0	1	+1	1	0.01	1	0	2	7:30	—	—	39	19

OTT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Marcus Hogberg(start)	L	16	13	3	.813	1.72	31:48
Craig Anderson	—	14	14	0	.1000	1.48	26:30

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.