Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Ottawa SenatorsApr 16, 2022

Final / OTSaturday, Apr 16, 2022· Canadian Tire Centre

away

Toronto Maple LeafsTOR

5

@

home

Ottawa SenatorsOTT

4

Goals	1	2	3	OT	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
TOR	0	3	1	1	5		TOR	15	11	13	2	41
OTT	2	1	1	0	4		OTT	6	14	7	2	29

: TOR 74OTT 52
: TOR 4.53OTT 2.04
PP goals: TOR 0OTT 0
Hits: TOR 17OTT 29
Blocks: TOR 11OTT 16
PIM: TOR 2OTT 4
: TOR 51%OTT 49%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs edge Ottawa Senators 5–4 (OT)

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Ottawa Senators 5–4 in overtime at OTT. Mark Giordano (TOR) led the scoring with 1G 2A. Victor Mete (OTT) played 2:42, −12:15 down on his 14:57 season average over 36 games.

Points
Mark Giordano had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 3 shots in 21:29.Giordano
Points
Mitch Marner had two goals (2 points) on 3 shots in 23:09.Marner
Points
Tim Stützle had two goals (2 points) on 3 shots in 21:44.Stützle
Points
Michael Bunting had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 8 shots in 18:51.Bunting
Points
Michael Del Zotto had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 1 shot in 19:25.Del Zotto
Usage
Victor Mete (OTT) played 2:42, −12:15 down on his 14:57 season average over 36 games.Mete
Goalie
Anton Forsberg (OTT) faced 41 shots and stopped 36 (.878), +9 against a season average of 31.7; the overtime loss.Forsberg
Usage
Chris Tierney (OTT) played 5:14, −7:17 down on his 12:31 season average over 69 games.Tierney

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TOR attacks left (bottom on phones)OTT attacks right (top on phones) →

OTT
TOR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 126 of 126 attempts · OTT 52 · TOR 74

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

OTT
TOR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

OTT pressure
TOR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TOR 54% of the game, OTT 16%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

OTT

TOR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TOR	OTT
	72	55
	4.40	1.81
	4.16	1.79
	14	10
	2	10
	20	12
	+0.033	−0.033
	54%	16%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Bunting – Marner – Matthews
15:2465% CF
L2Tavares – Kerfoot – Mikheyev
6:3543% CF
L3Nylander – Engvall – Kampf
5:0420% CF
L4Spezza – Clifford – Blackwell
4:4867% CF
D1Rielly – Lyubushkin
17:1150% CF
D2Giordano – Liljegren
16:4360% CF
D3Brodie – Holl
13:4870% CF

PP1Tavares – Rielly – Nylander – Marner – Matthews
2:1683% CF
PP2Spezza – Giordano – Bunting – Liljegren – Mikheyev
1:23100% CF
PK1FMarner – Kampf
1:18
PK2FKerfoot – Mikheyev
0:30
PK1DBrodie – Holl
1:18
PK2DGiordano – Liljegren
0:30

Current TOR line combinations →

Ottawa Senators

L1Brown – Norris – Tkachuk
14:4459% CF
L2Formenton – Batherson – Stützle
14:0927% CF
L3Watson – Gambrell – Kelly
7:3642% CF
D1Holden – Zaitsev
18:0338% CF
D2Del Zotto – Hamonic
17:2860% CF
D3Brannstrom – Zub
14:0424% CF

PP1Norris – Brannstrom – Batherson – Tkachuk – Stützle
1:23100% CF
PP2Del Zotto – Tierney – Brown – Gaudette – Formenton
0:30
PK1FBrown – Formenton
1:47
PK2FGambrell – Kelly
0:24
PK1DHolden – Zaitsev
1:14
PK2DHamonic – Zub
0:35

Current OTT line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

14:14
OTTTim Stützle (Brady Tkachuk, Michael Del Zotto)snap0.07 xG
TOR: Brodie, Holl, Kerfoot, Engvall, KampfOTT: Del Zotto, Batherson, Tkachuk, Stützle, Zub
TOR 0 – 1 OTT
15:25
OTTMichael Del Zotto (Connor Brown, Josh Norris)slap0.02 xG
TOR: Giordano, Tavares, Nylander, Liljegren, MikheyevOTT: Del Zotto, Hamonic, Brown, Norris, Tkachuk
TOR 0 – 2 OTT

2nd period

2:57
TORKyle Clifford (Justin Holl, Mark Giordano)deflected0.06 xG
TOR: Spezza, Giordano, Clifford, Holl, BlackwellOTT: Formenton, Brannstrom, Batherson, Stützle, Zub
TOR 1 – 2 OTT
10:03
OTTDylan Gambrell (Austin Watson, Erik Brannstrom)tip-in0.09 xG
TOR: Rielly, Nylander, Engvall, Kampf, LyubushkinOTT: Watson, Gaudette, Gambrell, Brannstrom, Zub
TOR 1 – 3 OTT
11:21
TORMichael Bunting (Mark Giordano)tip-in0.41 xG
TOR: Giordano, Bunting, Marner, Matthews, LiljegrenOTT: Tierney, Brown, Brannstrom, Kelly, Zub
TOR 2 – 3 OTT
18:33
TORMitch Marner (TJ Brodie)slap0.07 xG
TOR: Brodie, Rielly, Bunting, Marner, MatthewsOTT: Holden, Brown, Zaitsev, Norris, Tkachuk
TOR 3 – 3 OTT

3rd period

6:10
OTTTim Stützlesnap0.16 xG
TOR: Clifford, Blackwell, Rielly, Marner, LyubushkinOTT: Del Zotto, Hamonic, Formenton, Batherson, Stützle
TOR 3 – 4 OTT
10:06
TORMitch Marner (Michael Bunting, Auston Matthews)tip-in0.31 xG
TOR: Giordano, Bunting, Marner, Matthews, LiljegrenOTT: Holden, Brown, Zaitsev, Norris, Tkachuk
TOR 4 – 4 OTT

OT period

3:26
TORMark Giordano (William Nylander, John Tavares)snap0.05 xG
TOR: Giordano, Tavares, NylanderOTT: Norris, Tkachuk, Stützle
TOR 5 – 4 OTT

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Auston Matthews C	L1	0	1	1	+3	3	0.32	1	1	0	23:49	—	—	63	78
Mitch Marner R	L1	2	0	2	+2	3	0.45	0	1	0	23:09	—	—	64	76
Michael Bunting L	L1	1	1	2	+3	8	1.51	1	0	0	18:51	—	—	61	79
John Tavares C	L2	0	1	1	0	1	0.04	0	2	0	19:01	—	—	47	77
Ilya Mikheyev R	L2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.28	2	0	0	16:14	—	—	64	76
Alexander Kerfoot C	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.27	0	0	0	16:10	—	—	46	63
William Nylander R	L3	0	1	1	-1	3	0.39	0	0	2	18:27	—	—	46	75
David Kampf C	L3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.01	0	0	0	15:57	—	—	50	51
Pierre Engvall L	L3	0	0	0	-2	2	0.30	0	0	0	14:30	—	—	59	60
Jason Spezza C	L4	0	0	0	+1	1	0.11	0	0	0	7:21	—	—	67	61
Colin Blackwell C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	7:04	—	—	56	42
Kyle Clifford L	L4	1	0	1	0	1	0.10	0	0	0	6:32	—	—	60	43
Morgan Rielly D	D1	0	0	0	-1	6	0.29	1	3	0	25:42	—	—	50	69
Ilya Lyubushkin D	D1	0	0	0	-2	1	0.03	4	0	0	18:07	—	—	50	69
Mark Giordano D	D2	1	2	3	+3	3	0.13	2	2	0	21:29	—	—	60	76
Timothy Liljegren D	D2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.08	2	0	0	19:46	—	—	59	72
TJ Brodie D	D3	0	1	1	0	2	0.03	1	2	0	19:47	—	—	64	61
Justin Holl D	D3	0	1	1	0	2	0.19	2	0	0	16:22	—	—	64	80

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Erik Kallgren(start)	W	29	25	4	.862	2.04	63:26

Ottawa Senators

OTT skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Connor Brown R	L1	0	1	1	-2	1	0.03	0	0	0	24:43	—	—	52	35
Brady Tkachuk L	L1	0	1	1	-1	4	0.42	4	0	2	21:55	—	—	58	46
Josh Norris C	L1	0	1	1	-2	1	0.20	0	0	0	21:54	—	—	56	49
Tim Stützle C	L2	2	0	2	0	3	0.56	3	0	0	21:44	—	—	38	31
Alex Formenton L	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	2	1	0	21:29	—	—	36	31
Drake Batherson R	L2	0	0	0	+1	3	0.42	4	0	0	20:37	—	—	36	30
Dylan Gambrell C	L3	1	0	1	+1	2	0.14	0	0	0	14:41	—	—	33	13
Austin Watson L	L3	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	5	2	0	12:46	—	—	41	15
Parker Kelly C	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	5	1	0	11:44	—	—	37	11
Nick Holden D	D1	0	0	0	-2	2	0.02	1	3	0	21:30	—	—	40	28
Nikita Zaitsev D	D1	0	0	0	-2	3	0.12	2	2	2	20:26	—	—	39	32
Travis Hamonic D	D2	0	0	0	+2	5	0.06	0	3	0	22:09	—	—	57	50
Michael Del Zotto D	D2	1	1	2	+3	1	0.01	1	3	0	19:25	—	—	62	62
Artem Zub D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	20:14	—	—	34	17
Erik Brannstrom D	D3	0	1	1	-1	1	0.01	0	1	0	17:19	—	—	27	12
Adam Gaudette R	—	0	0	0	+1	1	0.00	0	0	0	5:46	—	—	31	16
Chris Tierney C	—	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	5:14	—	—	36	4
Victor Mete D	—	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	2:42	—	—	0	0

OTT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Anton Forsberg(start)	O	41	36	5	.878	4.53	63:26

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.