Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Ottawa SenatorsApr 1, 2023

FinalSaturday, Apr 1, 2023· Canadian Tire Centre

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
TOR	0	3	0	3		TOR	5	11	4	20
OTT	0	0	0	0		OTT	10	8	13	31

: TOR 39OTT 72
: TOR 2.43OTT 2.59
PP goals: TOR 0OTT 0
Hits: TOR 30OTT 38
Blocks: TOR 22OTT 12
PIM: TOR 4OTT 2
: TOR 45%OTT 55%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Ottawa Senators 3–0

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Ottawa Senators 3–0 at OTT. Radim Zohorna (TOR) led the scoring with 1G 0A. OTT scored 0 goals on 2.59 expected goals (72 attempts), well short of its chances.

Luck
OTT scored 0 goals on 2.59 expected goals (72 attempts), well short of its chances.
New line
New look for TOR: Lafferty–Aston-Reese–Kampf skated 5:17 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (16.7% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Lafferty Aston-Reese Kampf
Usage
Michael Bunting (TOR) played 12:17, −3:33 down on his 15:50 season average over 81 games.Bunting
Usage
Timothy Liljegren (TOR) played 12:08, −5:52 down on his 18:00 season average over 66 games.Liljegren
Usage
Dylan Gambrell (OTT) played 5:54, −5:35 down on his 11:29 season average over 59 games.Gambrell
Usage
Tim Stützle (OTT) played 26:48, +5:36 up on his 21:12 season average over 77 games.Stützle
Usage
Jake Sanderson (OTT) played 26:38, +4:47 up on his 21:52 season average over 76 games.Sanderson
Usage
Brady Tkachuk (OTT) played 22:52, +4:17 up on his 18:35 season average over 81 games.Tkachuk

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TOR attacks left (bottom on phones)OTT attacks right (top on phones) →

OTT
TOR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 111 of 111 attempts · OTT 72 · TOR 39

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

OTT
TOR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

OTT pressure
TOR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TOR 23% of the game, OTT 38%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

OTT

TOR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TOR	OTT
	40	54
	2.16	1.71
	2.12	1.65
	4	7
	1	5
	12	5
	−0.019	+0.019
	23%	38%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Tavares – Kerfoot – Nylander
8:2562% CF
L2Jarnkrok – Marner – Matthews
6:4638% CF
L3Lafferty – Aston-Reese – Kampf
5:1717% CF
D1Schenn – Rielly
11:3735% CF
D2Brodie – McCabe
11:2340% CF
D3Giordano – Holl
7:2750% CF

PP1Tavares – Rielly – Nylander – Marner – Matthews
1:3575% CF
PP2Giordano – Nylander – Bunting – Matthews – Liljegren
0:080% CF
PK1FMarner – Kampf
1:24
PK2FJarnkrok – Kerfoot
0:51
PK1DBrodie – Holl
2:18
PK2DGiordano – McCabe
0:47

Current TOR line combinations →

Ottawa Senators

L1Giroux – Tkachuk – Stützle
12:4880% CF
L2DeBrincat – Batherson – Pinto
9:0244% CF
L3Watson – Brown – Kastelic
5:5043% CF
L4Joseph – Gambrell – Greig
2:4750% CF
D1Sanderson – Zub
17:4970% CF
D2Brannstrom – Bernard-Docker
10:4160% CF
D3Holden – Kleven
10:1341% CF

PP1DeBrincat – Batherson – Tkachuk – Sanderson – Stützle
2:49100% CF
PP2Giroux – Joseph – Brannstrom – Pinto – Greig
0:47100% CF
PK1FBrown – Joseph
1:13
PK2FWatson – Gambrell
0:23
PK1DBrannstrom – Kleven
1:10
PK2DHolden – Sanderson
0:34

Current OTT line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

1:23
TORMichael Buntingwrist0.13 xG
TOR: Giordano, Holl, Lafferty, Bunting, KampfOTT: Holden, Joseph, Gambrell, Greig, Kleven
TOR 1 – 0 OTT
12:56
TORWilliam Nylander (Alexander Kerfoot)snap0.16 xG
TOR: Tavares, Rielly, Kerfoot, Nylander, LiljegrenOTT: Holden, DeBrincat, Batherson, Pinto, Kleven
TOR 2 – 0 OTT
18:09
TORRadim Zohorna (Jake McCabe, TJ Brodie)wrist0.07 xG
TOR: Brodie, Jarnkrok, McCabe, Kampf, ZohornaOTT: DeBrincat, Brannstrom, Batherson, Bernard-Docker, Pinto
TOR 3 – 0 OTT

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
John Tavares C	L1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	0	0	18:46	—	—	50	67
Alexander Kerfoot C	L1	0	1	1	+1	3	0.35	1	1	0	17:20	—	—	60	72
William Nylander R	L1	1	0	1	+1	2	0.45	2	0	2	16:02	—	—	46	61
Auston Matthews C	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.24	3	2	0	23:19	—	—	33	40
Mitch Marner R	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.26	0	0	0	21:50	—	—	40	47
Calle Jarnkrok C	L2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.10	0	0	0	17:33	—	—	37	47
David Kampf C	L3	0	0	0	+2	0	0.00	0	0	0	17:14	—	—	47	78
Sam Lafferty C	L3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.02	2	0	0	14:01	—	—	27	55
Zachary Aston-Reese L	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	4	2	0	12:41	—	—	46	81
Morgan Rielly D	D1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.45	2	1	0	18:50	—	—	42	57
Luke Schenn D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	6	3	2	13:22	—	—	35	46
TJ Brodie D	D2	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	1	2	0	21:15	—	—	46	59
Jake McCabe D	D2	0	1	1	+1	1	0.01	2	1	0	20:12	—	—	41	36
Justin Holl D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	2	0	16:40	—	—	41	60
Mark Giordano D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	2	6	0	16:15	—	—	42	68
Michael Bunting L	—	1	0	1	+1	1	0.20	2	0	0	12:17	—	—	28	34
Timothy Liljegren D	—	0	0	0	+1	1	0.02	0	1	0	12:08	—	—	53	64
Radim Zohorna L	—	1	0	1	+1	4	0.30	1	1	0	6:15	—	—	78	95

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Ilya Samsonov(start)	W	31	31	0	.1000	2.59	60:00

Ottawa Senators

OTT skaters
Skater	Line	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Tim Stützle C	L1	0	3	0.35	0	0	0	26:48	—	—	69	76
Brady Tkachuk L	L1	0	6	0.47	7	0	0	22:52	—	—	70	75
Claude Giroux R	L1	0	1	0.35	4	0	0	22:50	—	—	79	77
Drake Batherson R	L2	-2	4	0.36	0	0	0	21:49	—	—	35	18
Alex DeBrincat R	L2	-2	2	0.16	0	0	0	21:02	—	—	57	30
Shane Pinto C	L2	-2	0	0.00	1	0	0	16:19	—	—	50	27
Patrick Brown C	L3	0	0	0.00	3	1	0	10:59	—	—	39	14
Austin Watson L	L3	0	1	0.02	0	0	0	10:22	—	—	46	23
Mark Kastelic C	L3	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	6:09	—	—	43	9
Mathieu Joseph R	L4	-1	1	0.15	4	0	0	12:57	—	—	43	14
Ridly Greig C	L4	-1	1	0.21	2	0	0	11:11	—	—	53	41
Dylan Gambrell C	L4	-1	1	0.13	1	0	0	5:54	—	—	67	49
Jake Sanderson D	D1	0	6	0.27	2	2	0	26:38	—	—	67	61
Artem Zub D	D1	0	1	0.05	1	3	2	21:54	—	—	70	61
Erik Brannstrom D	D2	-1	2	0.03	2	2	0	19:57	—	—	58	52
Jacob Bernard-Docker D	D2	-1	2	0.01	6	0	0	13:58	—	—	62	41
Tyler Kleven D	D3	-2	0	0.03	2	2	0	17:23	—	—	39	21
Nick Holden D	D3	-2	0	0.00	2	2	0	13:56	—	—	50	18

OTT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Mads Sogaard(start)	L	16	13	3	.813	1.54	40:00
Cam Talbot	—	4	4	0	.1000	0.47	15:02

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.