Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Minnesota WildDec 4, 2021

Final / SOSaturday, Dec 4, 2021· Xcel Energy Center

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Goals	1	2	3	OT	SO	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
TOR	0	3	0	0	0	3		TOR	6	20	11	5	42
MIN	1	2	0	0	1	4		MIN	9	7	22	2	40

: TOR 65MIN 65
: TOR 3.37MIN 3.80
PP goals: TOR 2MIN 1
Hits: TOR 4MIN 15
Blocks: TOR 15MIN 14
PIM: TOR 15MIN 15
: TOR 52%MIN 48%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Minnesota Wild edge Toronto Maple Leafs 4–3 (SO)

Minnesota Wild beat Toronto Maple Leafs 4–3 in a shootout at home. Jason Spezza (TOR) led the scoring with 2G 1A. TOR's first power-play unit (Spezza, Tavares, Rielly, Nylander and Matthews) scored 2 power-play goals on 4 attempts in 3:50 together.

Points
Jason Spezza had two goals and an assist (3 points) on 4 shots in 15:51.Spezza
Points
Morgan Rielly had 3 assists (3 points) on 4 shots in 26:55.Rielly
Points
Auston Matthews had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 8 shots in 24:04.Matthews
Points
Joel Eriksson Ek had 2 assists (2 points) on 3 shots in 22:13.Eriksson Ek
PP1
TOR's first power-play unit (Spezza, Tavares, Rielly, Nylander and Matthews) scored 2 power-play goals on 4 attempts in 3:50 together.Spezza Tavares Rielly Nylander Matthews
PP1
MIN's first power-play unit (Zuccarello, Brodin, Hartman, Eriksson Ek and Kaprizov) scored 1 power-play goal on 11 attempts in 5:11 together.Zuccarello Brodin Hartman Eriksson Ek Kaprizov
Goalie
Cam Talbot (MIN) faced 42 shots and stopped 39 (.929), +12 against a season average of 30.4; the win.Talbot
Goalie
Jack Campbell (TOR) faced 40 shots and stopped 37 (.925), +11 against a season average of 29.2; the overtime loss.Campbell

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TOR attacks left (bottom on phones)MIN attacks right (top on phones) →

MIN
TOR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 130 of 130 attempts · MIN 65 · TOR 65

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

MIN
TOR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

MIN pressure
TOR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TOR 36% of the game, MIN 39%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

MIN

TOR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TOR	MIN
	60	54
	2.30	3.05
	2.24	2.91
	6	8
	7	4
	10	14
	+0.038	−0.037
	36%	39%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Tavares – Kerfoot – Nylander
9:3550% CF
L2Engvall – Kase – Kampf
9:2144% CF
L3Spezza – Bunting – Matthews
5:2850% CF
L4Simmonds – Ritchie – Anderson
0:00
D1Brodie – Rielly
18:0953% CF
D2Muzzin – Holl
15:1252% CF
D3Dermott – Sandin
10:5050% CF

PP1Spezza – Tavares – Rielly – Nylander – Matthews
3:50100% CF
PP2Ritchie – Bunting – Engvall – Kase – Sandin
0:54
PK1FKase – Kampf
1:35
PK2FNylander – Engvall
0:31
PK1DMuzzin – Holl
2:22
PK2DBrodie – Dermott
1:08

Current TOR line combinations →

Minnesota Wild

L1Zuccarello – Hartman – Kaprizov
12:1044% CF
L2Foligno – Greenway – Eriksson Ek
10:5359% CF
L3Bjugstad – Duhaime – Sturm
10:2335% CF
L4Rask – Fiala – Pitlick
8:4258% CF
D1Brodin – Dumba
18:4456% CF
D2Goligoski – Merrill
15:1236% CF
D3Benn – Kulikov
12:1345% CF

PP1Zuccarello – Brodin – Hartman – Eriksson Ek – Kaprizov
5:11100% CF
PP2Goligoski – Dumba – Fiala – Greenway – Sturm
1:18
PK1FHartman – Greenway
1:19
PK2FFoligno – Eriksson Ek
1:04
PK1DBrodin – Dumba
2:49
PK2DKulikov – Merrill
1:53

Current MIN line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

19:36
MINJordan Greenway (Joel Eriksson Ek, Mathew Dumba)wrist0.11 xG
TOR: Muzzin, Tavares, Holl, Nylander, MatthewsMIN: Brodin, Dumba, Greenway, Eriksson Ek, Duhaime
TOR 0 – 1 MIN

2nd period

5:21
MINMats ZuccarelloPP (Jonas Brodin, Kirill Kaprizov)wrist0.05 xG
TOR: Muzzin, Holl, Kerfoot, KampfMIN: Zuccarello, Brodin, Hartman, Eriksson Ek, Kaprizov
TOR 0 – 2 MIN
8:07
MINMarcus Foligno (Joel Eriksson Ek)wrist0.37 xG
TOR: Brodie, Rielly, Nylander, Bunting, MatthewsMIN: Foligno, Brodin, Dumba, Greenway, Eriksson Ek
TOR 0 – 3 MIN
12:47
TORJason Spezza (Nick Ritchie, Morgan Rielly)wrist0.02 xG
TOR: Spezza, Simmonds, Brodie, Rielly, RitchieMIN: Benn, Kulikov, Zuccarello, Hartman, Kaprizov
TOR 1 – 3 MIN
17:51
TORJason SpezzaPP (Auston Matthews, Morgan Rielly)slap0.18 xG
TOR: Spezza, Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, MatthewsMIN: Foligno, Brodin, Dumba, Eriksson Ek
TOR 2 – 3 MIN
19:10
TORAuston MatthewsPP (Jason Spezza, Morgan Rielly)tip-in0.07 xG
TOR: Spezza, Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, MatthewsMIN: Kulikov, Merrill, Duhaime, Sturm
TOR 3 – 3 MIN

Decided in the shootout: TOR 3 – 4 MIN.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
John Tavares C	L1	0	0	0	-1	6	0.74	0	0	0	22:55	—	—	54	54
William Nylander R	L1	0	0	0	-2	7	0.74	0	0	0	20:37	—	—	54	47
Alexander Kerfoot C	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.14	0	2	0	18:17	—	—	48	40
David Kampf C	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.04	1	1	2	17:52	—	—	52	30
Ondrej Kase R	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.06	1	2	2	16:31	—	—	46	35
Pierre Engvall L	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.09	0	1	0	13:12	—	—	40	25
Auston Matthews C	L3	1	1	2	-2	8	0.71	0	2	0	24:04	—	—	60	52
Michael Bunting L	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.15	0	0	0	16:28	—	—	46	30
Jason Spezza C	L3	2	1	3	+1	4	0.21	0	1	0	15:51	—	—	50	23
Nick Ritchie L	L4	0	1	1	+1	1	0.02	0	0	0	8:39	—	—	67	47
Wayne Simmonds R	L4	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	0	5	8:33	—	—	67	65
Joey Anderson R	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	3:53	—	—	50	0
Morgan Rielly D	D1	0	3	3	0	4	0.28	0	5	4	26:55	—	—	57	51
TJ Brodie D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	22:03	—	—	53	49
Justin Holl D	D2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	0	0	22:09	—	—	50	9
Jake Muzzin D	D2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.16	0	0	0	21:33	—	—	53	14
Rasmus Sandin D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	14:22	—	—	52	56
Travis Dermott D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	0	0	2	13:36	—	—	50	51

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Jack Campbell(start)	O	40	37	3	.925	3.80	64:51

Minnesota Wild

MIN skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Ryan Hartman R	L1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.23	2	0	0	21:42	—	—	41	47
Kirill Kaprizov L	L1	0	1	1	-1	5	0.62	1	0	0	21:07	—	—	38	35
Mats Zuccarello R	L1	1	0	1	-1	5	0.30	0	1	0	20:50	—	—	39	45
Joel Eriksson Ek C	L2	0	2	2	+2	3	0.18	1	0	2	22:13	—	—	56	80
Jordan Greenway L	L2	1	0	1	+2	2	0.13	2	1	0	16:15	—	—	60	86
Marcus Foligno L	L2	1	0	1	+1	4	0.78	2	0	5	14:35	—	—	60	83
Brandon Duhaime L	L3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	3	0	0	13:57	—	—	38	28
Nico Sturm C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0	0	0	13:35	—	—	35	15
Nick Bjugstad C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.08	1	1	0	11:35	—	—	33	13
Kevin Fiala L	L4	0	0	0	0	5	0.61	0	1	2	14:42	—	—	54	67
Victor Rask C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.20	0	0	0	9:46	—	—	52	61
Rem Pitlick C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	0	1	0	8:54	—	—	58	65
Jonas Brodin D	D1	0	1	1	+2	2	0.21	0	2	2	28:31	—	—	56	74
Mathew Dumba D	D1	0	1	1	+2	4	0.27	2	1	0	25:54	—	—	56	74
Alex Goligoski D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	2	20:23	—	—	40	54
Jon Merrill D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	0	0	17:38	—	—	33	47
Dmitry Kulikov D	D3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.13	0	1	0	15:35	—	—	45	40
Jordie Benn D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	4	2	12:35	—	—	43	33

MIN goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Cam Talbot(start)	W	42	39	3	.929	3.37	64:58

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.