Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Minnesota WildNov 19, 2023

Final / OTSunday, Nov 19, 2023· Avicii Arena

away

Toronto Maple LeafsTOR

4

@

home

Minnesota WildMIN

3

Goals	1	2	3	OT	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
TOR	2	0	1	1	4		TOR	14	5	4	2	25
MIN	1	0	2	0	3		MIN	11	11	13	1	36

: TOR 59MIN 68
: TOR 2.53MIN 3.30
PP goals: TOR 1MIN 0
Hits: TOR 14MIN 22
Blocks: TOR 16MIN 18
PIM: TOR 6MIN 4
: TOR 61%MIN 39%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs edge Minnesota Wild 4–3 (OT)

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Minnesota Wild 4–3 in overtime at MIN. Morgan Rielly (TOR) led the scoring with 1G 2A. TOR's first power-play unit (Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Marner and Matthews) scored 1 power-play goal on 6 attempts in 1:25 together.

Points
Morgan Rielly had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 5 shots in 26:03.Rielly
Points
Auston Matthews had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 21:18.Matthews
Points
Mats Zuccarello had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 19:00.Zuccarello
Points
William Nylander had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 23:09.Nylander
Points
Mitch Marner had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 20:51.Marner
PP1
TOR's first power-play unit (Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Marner and Matthews) scored 1 power-play goal on 6 attempts in 1:25 together.Tavares Rielly Nylander Marner Matthews
New line
New look for MIN: Foligno–Hartman–Eriksson Ek skated 12:12 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (38.1% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Foligno Hartman Eriksson Ek
Goalie
Joseph Woll (TOR) faced 36 shots and stopped 33 (.917), +5 against a season average of 30.9; the win.Woll

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← TOR attacks left (bottom on phones)MIN attacks right (top on phones) →

MIN
TOR
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 127 of 127 attempts · MIN 68 · TOR 59

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

MIN
TOR
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

MIN pressure
TOR pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: TOR 27% of the game, MIN 37%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

MIN

TOR

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	TOR	MIN
	60	64
	2.28	3.37
	2.21	3.26
	4	12
	7	4
	11	12
	+0.127	−0.126
	27%	37%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Tavares – Bertuzzi – Nylander
14:2555% CF
L2Marner – Matthews – Knies
13:2862% CF
L3Gregor – Kampf – McMann
7:2038% CF
L4Jarnkrok – Domi – Robertson
5:5244% CF
D1Brodie – Rielly
19:4155% CF
D2Giordano – McCabe
14:3343% CF
D3Lagesson – Benoit
8:1155% CF

PP1Tavares – Rielly – Nylander – Marner – Matthews
1:2586% CF
PP2Giordano – Jarnkrok – Bertuzzi – Domi – Knies
0:37
PK1FMarner – Kampf
1:10
PK2FNylander – Matthews
0:53
PK1DBrodie – Lagesson
1:31
PK2DGiordano – McCabe
0:46

Current TOR line combinations →

Minnesota Wild

L1Foligno – Hartman – Eriksson Ek
12:1238% CF
L2Zuccarello – Kaprizov – Rossi
12:0854% CF
L3Johansson – Gaudreau – Boldy
10:0059% CF
L4Maroon – Duhaime – Dewar
8:2947% CF
D1Brodin – Faber
19:2952% CF
D2Spurgeon – Middleton
15:0540% CF
D3Bogosian – Merrill
12:2565% CF

PP1Spurgeon – Zuccarello – Eriksson Ek – Kaprizov – Boldy
4:06100% CF
PP2Johansson – Brodin – Hartman – Gaudreau – Rossi
1:39100% CF
PK1FGaudreau – Eriksson Ek
1:25
PK2FDuhaime – Dewar
0:40
PK1DSpurgeon – Brodin
1:20
PK2DMiddleton – Faber
0:40

Current MIN line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

2:37
MINJon Merrill (Marco Rossi, Mats Zuccarello)snap0.04 xG
TOR: Jarnkrok, Domi, Lagesson, Benoit, RobertsonMIN: Bogosian, Zuccarello, Merrill, Kaprizov, Rossi
TOR 0 – 1 MIN
12:43
TORAuston MatthewsPP (William Nylander, Morgan Rielly)wrist0.03 xG
TOR: Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Marner, MatthewsMIN: Brodin, Gaudreau, Eriksson Ek, Faber
TOR 1 – 1 MIN
18:23
TORMatthew Knies (Mitch Marner, Mark Giordano)slap0.11 xG
TOR: Giordano, McCabe, Marner, Matthews, KniesMIN: Spurgeon, Johansson, Gaudreau, Middleton, Boldy
TOR 2 – 1 MIN

3rd period

4:22
TORMorgan Rielly (Auston Matthews, Mitch Marner)wrist0.03 xG
TOR: Brodie, Rielly, Marner, Matthews, KniesMIN: Spurgeon, Johansson, Gaudreau, Middleton, Boldy
TOR 3 – 1 MIN
6:10
MINJake Middleton (Marcus Foligno, Joel Eriksson Ek)slap0.05 xG
TOR: Brodie, Rielly, Marner, Matthews, KniesMIN: Spurgeon, Foligno, Hartman, Middleton, Eriksson Ek
TOR 3 – 2 MIN
8:42
MINMats Zuccarello (Brock Faber, Jonas Brodin)tip-in0.09 xG
TOR: Brodie, Tavares, Jarnkrok, Rielly, NylanderMIN: Zuccarello, Brodin, Kaprizov, Rossi, Faber
TOR 3 – 3 MIN

OT period

3:09
TORWilliam Nylander (Morgan Rielly)wrist0.27 xG
TOR: Brodie, Tavares, Nylander, Marner, MatthewsMIN: Johansson, Brodin, Rossi
TOR 4 – 3 MIN

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
William Nylander R	L1	1	1	2	0	3	0.47	0	0	0	23:09	—	—	46	50
John Tavares C	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.35	2	0	0	19:07	—	—	49	50
Tyler Bertuzzi L	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	1	2	0	16:15	—	—	58	54
Auston Matthews C	L2	1	1	2	+1	2	0.35	0	1	0	21:18	—	—	58	47
Mitch Marner R	L2	0	2	2	+1	1	0.27	1	1	2	20:51	—	—	61	47
Matthew Knies L	L2	1	0	1	+1	1	0.13	2	0	0	15:52	—	—	62	57
David Kampf C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.08	0	0	0	13:31	—	—	33	17
Noah Gregor L	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	12:34	—	—	33	17
Bobby McMann C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	8:13	—	—	33	12
Calle Jarnkrok C	L4	0	0	0	-2	1	0.08	0	0	0	15:28	—	—	32	23
Max Domi C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	0	1	0	7:58	—	—	47	36
Nick Robertson L	L4	0	0	0	-1	2	0.15	1	0	0	7:42	—	—	50	48
Morgan Rielly D	D1	1	2	3	-1	5	0.28	1	1	0	26:03	—	—	50	47
TJ Brodie D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	0	2	2	25:44	—	—	49	43
Jake McCabe D	D2	0	0	0	+1	4	0.25	1	3	2	22:53	—	—	44	39
Mark Giordano D	D2	0	1	1	+1	0	0.01	0	3	0	19:54	—	—	46	38
William Lagesson D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	3	2	0	15:46	—	—	53	28
Simon Benoit D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	0	0	11:09	—	—	58	47

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Joseph Woll(start)	W	36	33	3	.917	3.30	63:09

Minnesota Wild

MIN skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Joel Eriksson Ek C	L1	0	1	1	+1	6	0.89	1	1	0	20:17	—	—	46	70
Ryan Hartman R	L1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.08	3	0	0	17:54	—	—	36	46
Marcus Foligno L	L1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.07	2	2	0	15:35	—	—	44	55
Kirill Kaprizov L	L2	0	0	0	+2	4	0.57	2	1	0	19:39	—	—	55	60
Mats Zuccarello R	L2	1	1	2	+2	4	0.53	0	0	2	19:00	—	—	55	53
Marco Rossi C	L2	0	1	1	+1	1	0.01	0	0	0	18:13	—	—	56	49
Matt Boldy L	L3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.17	0	0	0	16:12	—	—	68	69
Frederick Gaudreau C	L3	0	0	0	-2	0	0.04	1	1	0	15:04	—	—	56	44
Marcus Johansson L	L3	0	0	0	-3	2	0.09	4	1	0	14:52	—	—	63	61
Connor Dewar C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.27	3	0	0	12:36	—	—	48	74
Patrick Maroon L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	11:39	—	—	50	74
Brandon Duhaime L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.22	3	0	0	9:32	—	—	43	63
Jonas Brodin D	D1	0	1	1	0	3	0.15	0	2	0	25:18	—	—	53	51
Brock Faber D	D1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.03	1	4	0	23:59	—	—	51	52
Jared Spurgeon D	D2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.05	0	0	2	22:40	—	—	41	58
Jake Middleton D	D2	1	0	1	-1	1	0.05	1	4	0	19:01	—	—	42	61
Jon Merrill D	D3	1	0	1	+1	3	0.05	0	1	0	13:18	—	—	65	76
Zach Bogosian D	D3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.02	1	1	0	12:33	—	—	67	78

MIN goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Marc-Andre Fleury(start)	O	25	21	4	.840	2.53	63:09

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.