Edmonton Oilers vs. Toronto Maple LeafsMar 27, 2021

Final / OTSaturday, Mar 27, 2021· Scotiabank Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	OT	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
EDM	0	3	0	0	3		EDM	4	10	5	1	20
TOR	0	1	2	1	4		TOR	10	10	10	1	31

: EDM 37TOR 59
: EDM 1.43TOR 3.58
PP goals: EDM 0TOR 0
Hits: EDM 32TOR 13
Blocks: EDM 16TOR 12
PIM: EDM 4TOR 2
: EDM 33%TOR 67%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs edge Edmonton Oilers 4–3 (OT)

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Edmonton Oilers 4–3 in overtime at home. Leon Draisaitl (EDM) led the scoring with 1G 2A. New look for EDM: Nugent-Hopkins–Yamamoto–Kahun skated 10:59 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (26.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

Points
Leon Draisaitl had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 2 shots in 24:42.Draisaitl
Points
Auston Matthews had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 7 shots in 24:31.Matthews
Points
Tyson Barrie had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 21:28.Barrie
Points
William Nylander had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 15:40.Nylander
Points
Alex Galchenyuk had 2 assists (2 points) in 10:16.Galchenyuk
Points
Connor McDavid had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 23:05.McDavid
New line
New look for EDM: Nugent-Hopkins–Yamamoto–Kahun skated 10:59 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (26.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Nugent-Hopkins Yamamoto Kahun
New line
New look for TOR: Simmonds–Tavares–Nylander skated 7:37 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (50% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Simmonds Tavares Nylander

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← EDM attacks left (bottom on phones)TOR attacks right (top on phones) →

TOR
EDM
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 96 of 96 attempts · TOR 59 · EDM 37

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TOR
EDM
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TOR pressure
EDM pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: EDM 14% of the game, TOR 47%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TOR

EDM

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	EDM	TOR
	42	55
	1.44	2.36
	1.43	2.29
	2	8
	5	6
	28	13
	−0.101	+0.101
	14%	47%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Edmonton Oilers

L1Draisaitl – McDavid – Puljujarvi
16:4757% CF
L2Nugent-Hopkins – Yamamoto – Kahun
10:5926% CF
L3Kassian – Archibald – Haas
9:2550% CF
L4Chiasson – Shore – Khaira
5:3420% CF
D1Barrie – Nurse
18:4653% CF
D2Russell – Bear
14:3240% CF
D3Larsson – Lagesson
13:3329% CF

PP1Barrie – Nugent-Hopkins – Draisaitl – McDavid – Puljujarvi
1:17
PP2Chiasson – Nugent-Hopkins – Nurse – Draisaitl – McDavid
0:3750% CF
PK1FNugent-Hopkins – Khaira
1:45
PK2FArchibald – Haas
1:29
PK1DLarsson – Nurse
1:19
PK2DRussell – Lagesson
0:35

Current EDM line combinations →

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Thornton – Marner – Matthews
11:0533% CF
L2Simmonds – Tavares – Nylander
7:3750% CF
L3Hyman – Engvall – Mikheyev
6:3677% CF
L4Spezza – Galchenyuk – Kerfoot
4:4967% CF
D1Brodie – Rielly
18:5150% CF
D2Muzzin – Holl
18:2259% CF
D3Bogosian – Dermott
12:2288% CF

PP1Thornton – Simmonds – Rielly – Marner – Matthews
2:21100% CF
PP2Spezza – Brodie – Tavares – Hyman – Nylander
1:14100% CF
PK1FKerfoot – Marner
0:46
PK2FHyman – Mikheyev
0:20
PK1DMuzzin – Holl
1:47

Current TOR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Edmonton Oilers

EDM skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Leon Draisaitl C	L1	1	2	3	0	2	0.08	0	0	0	24:42	—	—	56	47
Connor McDavid C	L1	0	2	2	+1	1	0.11	2	1	0	23:05	—	—	59	61
Jesse Puljujarvi R	L1	0	0	0	+1	3	0.09	2	0	0	18:36	—	—	57	48
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins C	L2	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	0	1	0	18:26	—	—	33	18
Kailer Yamamoto R	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	1	1	0	15:50	—	—	31	32
Dominik Kahun C	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.12	0	1	0	12:15	—	—	26	21
Josh Archibald R	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	9	1	0	15:49	—	—	39	31
Gaetan Haas C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.06	1	0	0	14:20	—	—	40	23
Zack Kassian R	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.04	3	0	0	13:21	—	—	54	34
Jujhar Khaira L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	4	0	0	8:14	—	—	14	33
Alex Chiasson R	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.09	1	0	0	7:26	—	—	17	37
Devin Shore C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	2	7:21	—	—	44	44
Darnell Nurse D	D1	1	0	1	+1	6	0.46	2	3	0	26:58	—	—	54	52
Tyson Barrie D	D1	1	1	2	+3	2	0.32	2	2	0	21:28	—	—	49	51
Ethan Bear D	D2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	1	2	19:14	—	—	43	40
Kris Russell D	D2	0	0	0	-2	1	0.01	1	2	0	18:14	—	—	39	31
Adam Larsson D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.03	2	2	0	17:59	—	—	32	13
William Lagesson D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	1	0	15:30	—	—	28	11

EDM goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Mike Smith(start)	O	31	27	4	.871	3.58	60:48

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mitch Marner R	L1	0	1	1	0	4	0.41	1	2	0	26:10	—	—	48	69
Auston Matthews C	L1	1	1	2	+2	7	0.89	1	0	0	24:31	—	—	50	70
Joe Thornton C	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.11	0	0	0	17:41	—	—	48	53
William Nylander R	L2	1	1	2	+2	2	0.29	0	1	0	15:40	—	—	54	70
John Tavares C	L2	1	0	1	+3	4	0.60	0	1	0	15:04	—	—	50	69
Wayne Simmonds R	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.48	0	0	0	12:10	—	—	46	56
Zach Hyman L	L3	0	0	0	0	4	0.19	1	0	0	18:29	—	—	70	76
Pierre Engvall L	L3	1	0	1	-1	2	0.15	0	1	2	10:26	—	—	67	45
Ilya Mikheyev R	L3	0	0	0	-2	1	0.05	0	0	0	9:51	—	—	63	35
Alexander Kerfoot C	L4	0	0	0	-2	1	0.02	0	0	0	12:20	—	—	60	39
Jason Spezza C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.08	1	0	0	11:23	—	—	75	60
Alex Galchenyuk C	L4	0	2	2	+1	0	0.17	1	1	0	10:16	—	—	61	79
Morgan Rielly D	D1	0	1	1	0	0	0.09	0	1	0	24:28	—	—	50	62
TJ Brodie D	D1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.02	2	2	0	21:57	—	—	51	64
Jake Muzzin D	D2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.00	0	2	0	22:37	—	—	54	58
Justin Holl D	D2	0	1	1	+1	1	0.01	2	1	0	20:44	—	—	60	62
Travis Dermott D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	14:11	—	—	80	75
Zach Bogosian D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	12:44	—	—	78	61

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Jack Campbell(start)	W	20	17	3	.850	1.43	60:54

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

Edmonton Oilers vs. Toronto Maple LeafsMar 27, 2021

Fantasy takeaways

Toronto Maple Leafs edge Edmonton Oilers 4–3 (OT)

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Sequence card

Lines used

Edmonton Oilers

Toronto Maple Leafs

Scoring summary

2nd period

3rd period

OT period

Box score

Edmonton Oilers

Toronto Maple Leafs