Edmonton Oilers vs. Toronto Maple LeafsJan 5, 2022

FinalWednesday, Jan 5, 2022· Scotiabank Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
EDM	2	0	0	2		EDM	9	8	13	30
TOR	2	0	2	4		TOR	15	7	11	33

: EDM 51TOR 62
: EDM 2.11TOR 3.51
PP goals: EDM 0TOR 1
Hits: EDM 19TOR 22
Blocks: EDM 13TOR 6
PIM: EDM 4TOR 2
: EDM 44%TOR 56%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Edmonton Oilers 4–2

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Edmonton Oilers 4–2 at home. Alexander Kerfoot (TOR) led the scoring with 1G 1A. Warren Foegele (EDM) played 20:38, +8:07 up on his 12:31 season average over 81 games.

Points
Alexander Kerfoot had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 1 shot in 17:22.Kerfoot
Points
William Nylander had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 21:01.Nylander
Usage
Warren Foegele (EDM) played 20:38, +8:07 up on his 12:31 season average over 81 games.Foegele
New line
New look for EDM: Hyman–Puljujarvi–McLeod skated 10:47 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (58.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Hyman Puljujarvi McLeod
New line
New look for EDM: Kassian–Shore–Benson skated 8:08 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (35.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Kassian Shore Benson
New line
New look for EDM: Turris–Sceviour–Perlini skated 7:02 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (54.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Turris Sceviour Perlini
New line
New look for TOR: Spezza–Simmonds–Ritchie skated 4:51 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (50% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Spezza Simmonds Ritchie
Usage
Kyle Turris (EDM) played 13:02, +4:37 up on his 8:25 season average over 22 games.Turris

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← EDM attacks left (bottom on phones)TOR attacks right (top on phones) →

TOR
EDM
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 113 of 113 attempts · TOR 62 · EDM 51

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TOR
EDM
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TOR pressure
EDM pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: EDM 24% of the game, TOR 36%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TOR

EDM

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	EDM	TOR
	53	64
	2.09	3.18
	2.05	3.06
	6	10
	5	12
	30	18
	−0.055	+0.055
	24%	36%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Edmonton Oilers

L1Draisaitl – Foegele – Yamamoto
15:3949% CF
L2Hyman – Puljujarvi – McLeod
10:4758% CF
L3Kassian – Shore – Benson
8:0835% CF
L4Turris – Sceviour – Perlini
7:0255% CF
D1Nurse – Bouchard
18:3445% CF
D2Keith – Ceci
17:5147% CF
D3Koekkoek – Lagesson
11:1147% CF

PP1Turris – Hyman – Draisaitl – Yamamoto – Bouchard
1:11100% CF
PP2Turris – Kassian – Nurse – Draisaitl – Puljujarvi
0:20100% CF
PK1FHyman – Draisaitl
2:04
PK2FSceviour – Shore
0:51
PK1DKeith – Ceci
1:39
PK2DNurse – Bouchard
1:01

Current EDM line combinations →

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Bunting – Marner – Matthews
13:5256% CF
L2Tavares – Kerfoot – Nylander
13:3254% CF
L3Engvall – Kampf – Mikheyev
10:5371% CF
L4Spezza – Simmonds – Ritchie
4:5150% CF
D1Muzzin – Holl
18:5757% CF
D2Brodie – Rielly
18:1347% CF
D3Dermott – Sandin
12:4758% CF

PP1Tavares – Rielly – Nylander – Marner – Matthews
2:2275% CF
PP2Spezza – Ritchie – Bunting – Sandin – Mikheyev
0:51100% CF
PK1FKerfoot – Marner
0:41
PK2FNylander – Engvall
0:26
PK1DMuzzin – Holl
1:12
PK2DBrodie – Rielly
0:48

Current TOR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

4:25
TORJohn Tavares (William Nylander, Alexander Kerfoot)wrist0.02 xG
EDM: Keith, Hyman, Ceci, Draisaitl, PuljujarviTOR: Tavares, Kerfoot, Nylander, Dermott, Sandin
EDM 0 – 1 TOR
9:58
EDMBrendan Perlini (Colton Sceviour, Kyle Turris)wrist0.14 xG
EDM: Keith, Turris, Sceviour, Koekkoek, PerliniTOR: Spezza, Simmonds, Ritchie, Dermott, Sandin
EDM 1 – 1 TOR
11:12
EDMLeon Draisaitl (Kailer Yamamoto, Warren Foegele)wrist0.18 xG
EDM: Keith, Ceci, Draisaitl, Foegele, YamamotoTOR: Brodie, Rielly, Bunting, Marner, Matthews
EDM 2 – 1 TOR
19:32
TORTJ Brodie (William Nylander, Auston Matthews)tip-in0.01 xG
EDM: Kassian, Hyman, Nurse, Draisaitl, BouchardTOR: Brodie, Rielly, Nylander, Marner, Matthews
EDM 2 – 2 TOR

3rd period

11:25
TORIlya MikheyevPPwrist0.06 xG
EDM: Sceviour, Koekkoek, Shore, NurseTOR: Spezza, Ritchie, Bunting, Sandin, Mikheyev
EDM 2 – 3 TOR
19:45
TORAlexander KerfootENtip-in0.42 xG
EDM: Hyman, Nurse, Draisaitl, Foegele, Yamamoto, BouchardTOR: Brodie, Tavares, Rielly, Kerfoot, Nylander
EDM 2 – 4 TOR

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Edmonton Oilers

EDM skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Leon Draisaitl C	L1	1	0	1	-2	5	0.55	0	0	0	24:49	—	—	43	32
Warren Foegele L	L1	0	1	1	0	1	0.03	4	2	0	20:38	—	—	46	31
Kailer Yamamoto R	L1	0	1	1	0	0	0.10	0	0	0	20:18	—	—	47	31
Zach Hyman L	L2	0	0	0	-3	2	0.18	2	2	0	20:12	—	—	48	42
Ryan McLeod C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	0	0	0	13:32	—	—	53	44
Jesse Puljujarvi R	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.12	0	0	0	13:15	—	—	53	47
Zack Kassian R	L3	0	0	0	-1	3	0.07	1	0	0	12:30	—	—	29	30
Devin Shore C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.15	1	2	0	11:09	—	—	33	36
Tyler Benson L	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	0	0	0	10:10	—	—	39	51
Kyle Turris C	L4	0	1	1	+1	1	0.05	0	0	0	13:02	—	—	52	56
Colton Sceviour C	L4	0	1	1	+1	1	0.01	2	1	0	10:08	—	—	46	56
Brendan Perlini L	L4	1	0	1	+1	3	0.33	0	0	0	9:37	—	—	59	57
Darnell Nurse D	D1	0	0	0	-2	2	0.21	3	4	0	24:49	—	—	43	26
Evan Bouchard D	D1	0	0	0	-2	4	0.09	0	0	2	23:55	—	—	44	23
Duncan Keith D	D2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.01	1	0	0	22:21	—	—	46	46
Cody Ceci D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.04	3	0	0	21:41	—	—	45	42
Slater Koekkoek D	D3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.04	0	1	2	13:56	—	—	47	61
William Lagesson D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.02	2	1	0	12:05	—	—	50	65

EDM goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Mike Smith(start)	L	32	29	3	.906	3.08	58:40

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mitch Marner R	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.25	1	0	0	22:04	—	—	50	57
Auston Matthews C	L1	0	1	1	0	3	0.52	0	0	0	21:37	—	—	55	58
Michael Bunting L	L1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.23	1	0	0	17:22	—	—	58	66
John Tavares C	L2	1	0	1	+2	3	0.57	2	1	0	21:13	—	—	53	71
William Nylander R	L2	0	2	2	+3	2	0.69	0	0	0	21:01	—	—	59	78
Alexander Kerfoot C	L2	1	1	2	+2	1	0.55	0	0	0	17:22	—	—	50	67
Ilya Mikheyev R	L3	1	0	1	0	6	0.27	2	0	0	14:05	—	—	67	52
Pierre Engvall L	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	13:07	—	—	67	57
David Kampf C	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.07	0	1	2	12:27	—	—	67	45
Jason Spezza C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	8:04	—	—	39	31
Nick Ritchie L	L4	0	0	0	-1	2	0.09	0	0	0	7:31	—	—	36	24
Wayne Simmonds R	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	0	0	5:39	—	—	46	27
Justin Holl D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.04	2	1	0	22:22	—	—	58	73
Jake Muzzin D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	4	0	0	21:32	—	—	58	71
Morgan Rielly D	D2	0	0	0	+1	3	0.15	2	0	0	23:40	—	—	50	60
TJ Brodie D	D2	1	0	1	+1	1	0.01	1	3	0	21:24	—	—	47	57
Rasmus Sandin D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	4	0	0	14:55	—	—	58	44
Travis Dermott D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	2	0	0	13:07	—	—	58	46

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Jack Campbell(start)	W	30	28	2	.933	2.11	59:28

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.