Edmonton Oilers vs. Buffalo SabresJan 2, 2020

Final / OTThursday, Jan 2, 2020· KeyBank Center

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Goals	1	2	3	OT	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
EDM	2	0	0	0	2		EDM	14	8	5	0	27
BUF	1	0	1	1	3		BUF	5	10	8	3	26

: EDM 40BUF 43
: EDM 2.23BUF 2.68
PP goals: EDM 0BUF 0
Hits: EDM 19BUF 19
Blocks: EDM 9BUF 5
PIM: EDM 4BUF 2
: EDM 65%BUF 35%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Buffalo Sabres edge Edmonton Oilers 3–2 (OT)

Buffalo Sabres beat Edmonton Oilers 3–2 in overtime at home. Sam Reinhart (BUF) led the scoring with 1G 0A. Adam Larsson (EDM) played 12:09, −7:50 down on his 19:59 season average over 48 games.

Usage
Adam Larsson (EDM) played 12:09, −7:50 down on his 19:59 season average over 48 games.Larsson
New line
New look for EDM: Nugent-Hopkins–Draisaitl–Yamamoto skated 13:40 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (81.8% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Nugent-Hopkins Draisaitl Yamamoto
Usage
Kris Russell (EDM) played 22:12, +5:31 up on his 16:41 season average over 54 games.Russell
Usage
Colin Miller (BUF) played 13:13, −4:00 down on his 17:13 season average over 50 games.Miller
Usage
Kyle Okposo (BUF) played 16:29, +3:42 up on his 12:47 season average over 51 games.Okposo

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← EDM attacks left (bottom on phones)BUF attacks right (top on phones) →

BUF
EDM
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 83 of 83 attempts · BUF 43 · EDM 40

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

BUF
EDM
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

BUF pressure
EDM pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: EDM 28% of the game, BUF 32%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

BUF

EDM

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	EDM	BUF
	31	32
	1.90	1.48
	1.82	1.46
	11	10
	0	6
	11	13
	+0.116	−0.116
	28%	32%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Edmonton Oilers

L1Neal – Kassian – McDavid
15:3944% CF
L2Nugent-Hopkins – Draisaitl – Yamamoto
13:4082% CF
L3Sheahan – Archibald – Khaira
7:5544% CF
L4Chiasson – Nygard – Haas
6:53100% CF
D1Klefbom – Bear
20:1644% CF
D2Russell – Nurse
20:0439% CF
D3Larsson – Lagesson
9:2050% CF

PP1Neal – Nugent-Hopkins – Klefbom – Draisaitl – McDavid
1:43
PP2Neal – Russell – Kassian – Sheahan – Nurse
0:00100% CF
PK1FSheahan – Archibald
2:25
PK2FNugent-Hopkins – Khaira
1:03
PK1DKlefbom – Bear
2:04
PK2DRussell – Nurse
1:53

Current EDM line combinations →

Buffalo Sabres

L1Reinhart – Olofsson – Eichel
12:0431% CF
L2Okposo – Larsson – Girgensons
11:4050% CF
L3Johansson – Vesey – Sheary
9:2525% CF
D1McCabe – Ristolainen
12:0164% CF
D2Montour – Jokiharju
8:5829% CF
D3Miller – Dahlin
7:16100% CF

PP1Johansson – Reinhart – Olofsson – Eichel – Dahlin
2:4167% CF
PP2Okposo – Miller – Vesey – Sheary – Eichel
0:40100% CF
PK1FLarsson – Girgensons
1:13
PK2FLazar – Asplund
0:26
PK1DMcCabe – Jokiharju
0:52
PK2DBogosian – Ristolainen
0:47

Current BUF line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

5:06
EDMRiley Sheahan (Josh Archibald, Adam Larsson)wrist0.13 xG
EDM: Sheahan, Archibald, Larsson, Khaira, LagessonBUF: Lazar, Sheary, Asplund, Jokiharju, Dahlin
EDM 1 – 0 BUF
7:00
EDMRyan Nugent-Hopkins (Kailer Yamamoto, Leon Draisaitl)wrist0.19 xG
EDM: Nugent-Hopkins, Klefbom, Draisaitl, Bear, YamamotoBUF: McCabe, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Olofsson, Eichel
EDM 2 – 0 BUF
8:39
BUFCurtis Lazar (Marcus Johansson)wrist0.10 xG
EDM: Sheahan, Archibald, Larsson, Khaira, LagessonBUF: Johansson, Miller, Lazar, Asplund, Dahlin
EDM 2 – 1 BUF

3rd period

3:53
BUFSam Reinhart (Zach Bogosian, Victor Olofsson)tip-in0.06 xG
EDM: Russell, Sheahan, Archibald, Khaira, NurseBUF: Bogosian, Larsson, McCabe, Reinhart, Olofsson
EDM 2 – 2 BUF

OT period

1:09
BUFJack EichelPSwrist0.30 xG
EDM: Klefbom, Draisaitl, McDavidBUF: Miller, Reinhart
EDM 2 – 3 BUF

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Edmonton Oilers

EDM skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Connor McDavid C	L1	0	0	0	0	4	0.56	0	0	0	20:52	—	—	44	61
James Neal L	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.18	3	0	0	19:01	—	—	43	52
Zack Kassian R	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	5	0	2	17:30	—	—	44	65
Leon Draisaitl C	L2	0	1	1	+1	2	0.11	0	1	0	21:05	—	—	61	44
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins C	L2	1	0	1	+1	1	0.29	0	0	2	20:48	—	—	55	82
Kailer Yamamoto R	L2	0	1	1	+1	2	0.17	3	0	0	16:35	—	—	63	45
Riley Sheahan C	L3	1	0	1	-1	1	0.13	0	0	0	11:31	—	—	44	51
Jujhar Khaira L	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	0	0	11:27	—	—	40	51
Josh Archibald R	L3	0	1	1	-1	1	0.21	1	1	0	11:14	—	—	44	51
Alex Chiasson R	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	1	0	0	11:25	—	—	38	72
Gaetan Haas C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	9:27	—	—	38	72
Joakim Nygard L	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.24	0	0	0	9:07	—	—	100	100
Oscar Klefbom D	D1	0	0	0	+1	3	0.16	0	2	0	27:16	—	—	50	56
Ethan Bear D	D1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.07	0	1	0	23:45	—	—	53	48
Darnell Nurse D	D2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.02	1	1	0	24:41	—	—	48	71
Kris Russell D	D2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.05	3	2	0	22:12	—	—	39	68
Adam Larsson D	D3	0	1	1	0	1	0.00	1	0	0	12:09	—	—	58	49
William Lagesson D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	1	0	9:22	—	—	50	37

EDM goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Mike Smith(start)	O	26	23	3	.885	2.68	61:09

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jack Eichel C	L1	1	0	1	0	1	0.30	0	0	0	23:56	—	—	44	26
Sam Reinhart C	L1	1	0	1	0	5	0.99	0	0	0	22:16	—	—	50	53
Victor Olofsson L	L1	0	1	1	0	1	0.05	0	0	0	15:36	—	—	31	22
Johan Larsson L	L2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.09	1	0	0	16:29	—	—	67	47
Kyle Okposo R	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0	1	0	16:29	—	—	50	16
Zemgus Girgensons C	L2	0	0	0	0	4	0.38	2	0	0	16:25	—	—	64	44
Marcus Johansson L	L3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.02	1	1	2	18:07	—	—	50	71
Conor Sheary L	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.17	0	0	0	15:19	—	—	29	2
Jimmy Vesey L	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.09	0	0	0	13:51	—	—	40	36
Rasmus Ristolainen D	D1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.02	5	1	0	22:57	—	—	50	41
Jake McCabe D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0	0	0	20:05	—	—	60	52
Brandon Montour D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	3	0	0	17:08	—	—	31	38
Henri Jokiharju D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	0	0	0	15:19	—	—	27	11
Rasmus Dahlin D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.09	2	1	0	16:30	—	—	57	48
Colin Miller D	D3	0	0	0	+1	3	0.13	2	0	0	13:13	—	—	77	62
Zach Bogosian D	—	0	1	1	+1	1	0.08	1	1	0	13:53	—	—	53	59
Rasmus Asplund C	—	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	13:15	—	—	63	66
Curtis Lazar C	—	1	0	1	0	2	0.26	2	0	0	10:39	—	—	58	55

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Linus Ullmark(start)	W	27	25	2	.926	2.23	61:09

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.