Florida Panthers vs. Colorado AvalancheDec 14, 2017

FinalThursday, Dec 14, 2017· Pepsi Center

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
FLA	0	1	0	1		FLA	12	8	13	33
COL	0	1	1	2		COL	16	3	11	30

: FLA 54COL 57
: FLA 2.69COL 2.49
PP goals: FLA 0COL 0
Hits: FLA 12COL 9
Blocks: FLA 18COL 14
PIM: FLA 4COL 2
: FLA 50%COL 50%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Colorado Avalanche edge Florida Panthers 2–1

Colorado Avalanche beat Florida Panthers 2–1 at home. Nathan MacKinnon (COL) led the scoring with 2G 0A. Tyson Barrie (COL) played 18:11, −4:35 down on his 22:46 season average over 67 games.

Points
Nathan MacKinnon had two goals (2 points) on 4 shots in 22:03.MacKinnon
Usage
Tyson Barrie (COL) played 18:11, −4:35 down on his 22:46 season average over 67 games.Barrie
Luck
FLA scored 1 goal on 2.69 expected goals (54 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Samuel Girard (COL) played 11:14, −6:30 down on his 17:44 season average over 72 games.Girard
Usage
Mark Barberio (COL) played 13:37, −3:45 down on his 17:22 season average over 45 games.Barberio
Usage
Patrik Nemeth (COL) played 14:48, −5:08 down on his 19:56 season average over 67 games.Nemeth
Usage
Blake Comeau (COL) played 18:52, +3:02 up on his 15:50 season average over 78 games.Comeau
PP1
COL's PP1 (Soderberg, Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon and Rantanen) went scoreless in 3:19 of 5v4 time with 3 attempts.Soderberg Barrie Landeskog MacKinnon Rantanen

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← FLA attacks left (bottom on phones)COL attacks right (top on phones) →

COL
FLA
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 111 of 111 attempts · COL 57 · FLA 54

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

COL
FLA
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

COL pressure
FLA pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: FLA 33% of the game, COL 35%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

COL

FLA

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	FLA	COL
	62	54
	2.80	1.80
	2.74	1.78
	5	6
	4	5
	7	19
	−0.006	+0.006
	33%	35%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Florida Panthers

L1Bjugstad – Huberdeau – Barkov
9:1433% CF
L2McGinn – Dadonov – Trocheck
9:1041% CF
L3Vrbata – Brickley – McCann
7:4755% CF
L4MacKenzie – Sceviour – Haley
5:5460% CF
D1Yandle – Ekblad
16:5944% CF
D2Pysyk – Matheson
15:5344% CF
D3Petrovic – Weegar
12:1863% CF

PP1Yandle – Trocheck – Huberdeau – Barkov – Ekblad
1:00
PP2Vrbata – McGinn – Dadonov – Bjugstad – Weegar
0:39
PK1FMacKenzie – Sceviour
2:21
PK2FBarkov – McCann
1:24
PK1DYandle – Ekblad
3:28
PK2DPysyk – Matheson
2:03

Current FLA line combinations →

Colorado Avalanche

L1Comeau – Soderberg – Nieto
11:1038% CF
L2Landeskog – MacKinnon – Rantanen
10:0152% CF
L3Wilson – Andrighetto – Compher
5:0950% CF
D1Johnson – Zadorov
12:4747% CF
D2Barberio – Lindholm
9:5062% CF
D3Barrie – Nemeth
8:3542% CF

PP1Soderberg – Barrie – Landeskog – MacKinnon – Rantanen
3:19100% CF
PP2Wilson – Andrighetto – Compher – Jost – Girard
2:33100% CF
PK1FLandeskog – Compher
0:47
PK2FSoderberg – Nieto
0:37
PK1DZadorov – Lindholm
1:01
PK2DJohnson – Nemeth
0:50

Current COL line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

3:15
COLNathan MacKinnon (Tyson Barrie, Tyson Jost)slap0.11 xG
FLA: MacKenzie, Sceviour, Haley, Petrovic, WeegarCOL: Johnson, Barrie, Bourque, MacKinnon, Jost
FLA 0 – 1 COL
10:27
FLAAleksander BarkovSH (Jared McCann)wrist0.19 xG
FLA: Yandle, Barkov, Ekblad, McCannCOL: Soderberg, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Girard
FLA 1 – 1 COL

3rd period

6:44
COLNathan MacKinnon (Mark Barberio, Mikko Rantanen)wrist0.08 xG
FLA: Yandle, Brickley, Bjugstad, Trocheck, EkbladCOL: Barberio, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Lindholm, Rantanen
FLA 1 – 2 COL

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Florida Panthers

FLA skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Aleksander Barkov C	L1	1	0	1	+1	3	0.42	0	2	0	21:59	—	—	41	34
Jonathan Huberdeau L	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.11	0	1	0	19:32	—	—	47	35
Nick Bjugstad C	L1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.52	0	1	0	15:35	—	—	52	70
Vincent Trocheck C	L2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.16	1	2	4	22:06	—	—	50	43
Evgenii Dadonov L	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.15	0	3	0	17:08	—	—	53	64
Jamie McGinn L	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	1	1	0	14:03	—	—	50	40
Jared McCann L	L3	0	1	1	+1	5	0.46	0	1	0	12:28	—	—	71	91
Radim Vrbata R	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.23	0	0	0	11:40	—	—	60	75
Connor Brickley L	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.18	2	1	0	11:30	—	—	47	48
Colton Sceviour C	L4	0	0	0	-1	2	0.10	0	1	0	12:56	—	—	61	64
Derek MacKenzie C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	1	0	10:02	—	—	58	42
Micheal Haley L	L4	0	0	0	-1	2	0.19	0	0	0	7:20	—	—	69	84
Aaron Ekblad D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.02	0	1	0	25:10	—	—	51	58
Keith Yandle D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	24:25	—	—	50	35
Mark Pysyk D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.05	2	0	0	20:09	—	—	43	52
Mike Matheson D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	1	0	19:53	—	—	50	58
Alexander Petrovic D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	3	1	0	15:33	—	—	62	69
MacKenzie Weegar D	D3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.05	1	0	0	14:06	—	—	67	74

FLA goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
James Reimer(start)	L	30	28	2	.933	2.49	58:28

Colorado Avalanche

COL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Carl Soderberg C	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.04	1	1	0	19:21	—	—	33	19
Blake Comeau L	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.13	0	0	2	18:52	—	—	44	21
Matt Nieto L	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	0	0	16:38	—	—	38	19
Nathan MacKinnon C	L2	2	0	2	+1	4	0.73	0	0	0	22:03	—	—	51	62
Gabriel Landeskog L	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0	3	0	19:38	—	—	46	58
Mikko Rantanen R	L2	0	1	1	0	3	0.26	0	1	0	18:21	—	—	51	62
J.T. Compher L	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.19	0	0	0	18:52	—	—	48	21
Sven Andrighetto R	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.16	0	0	0	15:10	—	—	47	38
Colin Wilson C	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.33	1	1	0	13:50	—	—	47	34
Erik Johnson D	D1	0	0	0	+1	3	0.12	5	4	0	24:58	—	—	44	39
Nikita Zadorov D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	0	0	0	17:10	—	—	46	64
Anton Lindholm D	D2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	0	0	14:10	—	—	53	38
Mark Barberio D	D2	0	1	1	+1	0	0.03	0	0	0	13:37	—	—	62	42
Tyson Barrie D	D3	0	1	1	+1	3	0.20	0	0	0	18:11	—	—	46	46
Patrik Nemeth D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	1	0	14:48	—	—	39	30
Tyson Jost C	—	0	1	1	+1	3	0.11	1	1	0	12:19	—	—	53	45
Samuel Girard D	—	0	0	0	-1	1	0.09	0	2	0	11:14	—	—	42	18
Gabriel Bourque L	—	0	0	0	+1	1	0.08	1	0	0	8:51	—	—	50	39

COL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Semyon Varlamov(start)	W	33	32	1	.970	2.69	59:57

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.