Florida Panthers vs. Tampa Bay LightningOct 6, 2018

Final / SOSaturday, Oct 6, 2018· Amalie Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	OT	SO	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
FLA	1	0	0	0	0	1		FLA	16	8	15	4	43
TBL	0	0	1	0	1	2		TBL	4	14	8	3	29

: FLA 65TBL 53
: FLA 3.21TBL 2.47
PP goals: FLA 0TBL 0
Hits: FLA 22TBL 37
Blocks: FLA 13TBL 9
PIM: FLA 6TBL 10
: FLA 53%TBL 47%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Tampa Bay Lightning edge Florida Panthers 2–1 (SO)

Tampa Bay Lightning beat Florida Panthers 2–1 in a shootout at home. Anthony Cirelli (TBL) led the scoring with 1G 0A. Andrei Vasilevskiy (TBL) faced 43 shots and stopped 42 (.977), +11 against a season average of 32.3; the win.

Goalie
Andrei Vasilevskiy (TBL) faced 43 shots and stopped 42 (.977), +11 against a season average of 32.3; the win.Vasilevskiy
Luck
FLA scored 1 goal on 3.21 expected goals (65 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Vincent Trocheck (FLA) played 24:26, +4:52 up on his 19:34 season average over 54 games.Trocheck
Usage
Brayden Point (TBL) played 24:58, +6:08 up on his 18:50 season average over 78 games.Point
Usage
Cedric Paquette (TBL) played 5:54, −6:11 down on his 12:05 season average over 79 games.Paquette
Usage
Ryan McDonagh (TBL) played 25:31, +3:28 up on his 22:03 season average over 81 games.McDonagh
Usage
J.T. Miller (TBL) played 18:42, +4:05 up on his 14:37 season average over 74 games.Miller
Usage
Alexander Petrovic (FLA) played 12:59, −3:39 down on his 16:38 season average over 34 games.Petrovic

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← FLA attacks left (bottom on phones)TBL attacks right (top on phones) →

TBL
FLA
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 118 of 118 attempts · TBL 53 · FLA 65

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TBL
FLA
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TBL pressure
FLA pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: FLA 36% of the game, TBL 28%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TBL

FLA

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	FLA	TBL
	47	48
	1.64	1.66
	1.58	1.60
	5	6
	5	2
	17	7
	+0.013	−0.012
	36%	28%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Florida Panthers

L1Dadonov – Bjugstad – Barkov
11:1647% CF
L2Hoffman – Trocheck – Huberdeau
11:1161% CF
L3McCann – Vatrano – Malgin
9:0342% CF
L4MacKenzie – Brouwer – Sceviour
2:1840% CF
D1Yandle – Ekblad
15:2539% CF
D2Pysyk – Matheson
14:4047% CF
D3Petrovic – MacDonald
8:0147% CF

PP1Dadonov – Hoffman – Trocheck – Huberdeau – Barkov
5:1963% CF
PP2Yandle – Bjugstad – Ekblad – Vatrano – Malgin
3:02100% CF
PK1FSceviour – Barkov
1:06
PK2FMcCann – Malgin
0:30
PK1DPysyk – Matheson
2:00
PK2DYandle – Ekblad
1:57

Current FLA line combinations →

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Stamkos – Kucherov – Miller
11:5437% CF
L2Palat – Gourde – Point
10:3060% CF
L3Killorn – Joseph – Cirelli
6:4060% CF
L4Conacher – Paquette – Erne
4:04100% CF
D1Stralman – McDonagh
14:4450% CF
D2Girardi – Hedman
13:2646% CF
D3Coburn – Sergachev
13:2352% CF

PP1Stamkos – Hedman – Kucherov – Miller – Point
4:0867% CF
PP2Killorn – McDonagh – Palat – Gourde – Joseph
0:50100% CF
PK1FKillorn – Cirelli
2:41
PK2FPalat – Point
1:58
PK1DStralman – McDonagh
5:10
PK2DGirardi – Hedman
2:26

Current TBL line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

5:58
FLAJacob MacDonald (Vincent Trocheck, Jonathan Huberdeau)wrist0.03 xG
FLA: Hoffman, Petrovic, Trocheck, Huberdeau, MacDonaldTBL: Girardi, Killorn, Hedman, Joseph, Cirelli
FLA 1 – 0 TBL

3rd period

10:45
TBLAnthony CirelliSH (Ryan McDonagh)wrist0.32 xG
FLA: Dadonov, Hoffman, Trocheck, Huberdeau, BarkovTBL: Stralman, Killorn, McDonagh, Cirelli
FLA 1 – 1 TBL

Decided in the shootout: FLA 1 – 2 TBL.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Florida Panthers

FLA skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Aleksander Barkov C	L1	0	0	0	-1	4	0.15	0	0	0	23:42	—	—	35	34
Evgenii Dadonov L	L1	0	0	0	-1	6	0.77	0	0	0	19:40	—	—	48	62
Nick Bjugstad C	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	2	0	17:29	—	—	53	67
Vincent Trocheck C	L2	0	1	1	0	3	0.20	1	3	2	24:26	—	—	56	66
Mike Hoffman C	L2	0	0	0	0	6	0.62	0	1	0	19:32	—	—	61	75
Jonathan Huberdeau L	L2	0	1	1	0	3	0.26	0	1	2	18:24	—	—	59	68
Denis Malgin C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.35	0	0	0	16:11	—	—	39	37
Jared McCann L	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.11	1	0	0	16:09	—	—	58	54
Frank Vatrano R	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.05	2	0	0	13:23	—	—	39	34
Colton Sceviour C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.04	1	0	0	11:55	—	—	35	18
Troy Brouwer R	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.18	2	1	0	9:25	—	—	50	41
Derek MacKenzie C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	2:43	—	—	40	5
Aaron Ekblad D	D1	0	0	0	0	2	0.11	4	0	0	24:33	—	—	46	31
Keith Yandle D	D1	0	0	0	0	4	0.20	0	2	2	24:27	—	—	45	38
Mike Matheson D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.11	1	0	0	25:27	—	—	55	68
Mark Pysyk D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.01	4	0	0	18:16	—	—	47	62
Alexander Petrovic D	D3	0	0	0	+1	3	0.02	5	3	0	12:59	—	—	48	36
Jacob MacDonald D	D3	1	0	1	+1	1	0.04	1	0	0	10:28	—	—	53	37

FLA goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
James Reimer	O	16	15	1	.938	1.43	32:30
Roberto Luongo(start)	—	13	13	0	.1000	1.04	32:21

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nikita Kucherov R	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.10	0	2	0	21:52	—	—	44	57
Steven Stamkos C	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.55	4	0	0	19:56	—	—	46	57
J.T. Miller C	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.13	3	0	4	18:42	—	—	38	32
Brayden Point C	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.18	2	0	0	24:58	—	—	51	57
Ondrej Palat L	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.08	4	0	0	16:31	—	—	45	32
Yanni Gourde C	L2	0	0	0	0	4	0.31	0	0	0	16:25	—	—	63	54
Anthony Cirelli C	L3	1	0	1	0	2	0.45	1	0	0	15:15	—	—	65	73
Alex Killorn L	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.23	5	0	0	14:24	—	—	47	52
Mathieu Joseph R	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.19	3	0	0	13:50	—	—	62	59
Cory Conacher C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	0	2	8:35	—	—	60	80
Adam Erne L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.05	2	1	0	8:32	—	—	50	26
Cedric Paquette C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	2	5:54	—	—	100	100
Ryan McDonagh D	D1	0	1	1	+1	5	0.06	1	1	0	25:31	—	—	52	35
Anton Stralman D	D1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	5	1	0	23:15	—	—	52	34
Victor Hedman D	D2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.10	1	0	0	24:48	—	—	48	69
Dan Girardi D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	3	0	0	16:52	—	—	46	69
Braydon Coburn D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0	2	2	14:55	—	—	48	45
Mikhail Sergachev D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.03	2	2	0	14:45	—	—	52	58

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Andrei Vasilevskiy(start)	W	43	42	1	.977	3.21	65:00

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.