Florida Panthers vs. Tampa Bay LightningOct 3, 2019

FinalThursday, Oct 3, 2019· Amalie Arena

away

Florida PanthersFLA

2

@

home

Tampa Bay LightningTBL

5

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
FLA	0	1	1	2		FLA	12	16	9	37
TBL	1	1	3	5		TBL	8	9	13	30

: FLA 60TBL 50
: FLA 2.26TBL 2.15
PP goals: FLA 0TBL 1
Hits: FLA 14TBL 17
Blocks: FLA 15TBL 15
PIM: FLA 6TBL 8
: FLA 39%TBL 61%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Tampa Bay Lightning beat Florida Panthers 5–2

Tampa Bay Lightning beat Florida Panthers 5–2 at home. Mikhail Sergachev (TBL) led the scoring with 0G 3A. TBL scored 5 goals on 2.15 expected goals (50 attempts), finishing well above its chances.

Points
Mikhail Sergachev had 3 assists (3 points) in 17:08.Sergachev
Points
Nikita Kucherov had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 18:02.Kucherov
Points
Vincent Trocheck had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 18:37.Trocheck
Points
Alex Killorn had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 18:51.Killorn
Luck
TBL scored 5 goals on 2.15 expected goals (50 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
Goalie
Andrei Vasilevskiy (TBL) faced 37 shots and stopped 35 (.946), +6 against a season average of 30.9; the win.Vasilevskiy
Usage
Erik Cernak (TBL) played 22:14, +3:20 up on his 18:54 season average over 66 games.Cernak
Usage
Kevin Shattenkirk (TBL) played 22:19, +3:28 up on his 18:51 season average over 69 games.Shattenkirk

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← FLA attacks left (bottom on phones)TBL attacks right (top on phones) →

TBL
FLA
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 110 of 110 attempts · TBL 50 · FLA 60

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TBL
FLA
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TBL pressure
FLA pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: FLA 29% of the game, TBL 23%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TBL

FLA

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	FLA	TBL
	54	41
	1.96	1.62
	1.89	1.58
	8	11
	4	2
	12	14
	−0.055	+0.055
	29%	23%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Florida Panthers

L1Dadonov – Huberdeau – Barkov
11:3765% CF
L2Vatrano – Malgin – Borgstrom
10:2350% CF
L3Hoffman – Connolly – Trocheck
9:4183% CF
L4Sceviour – Hunt – Acciari
7:5153% CF
D1Matheson – Ekblad
13:3646% CF
D2Stralman – Weegar
13:0075% CF
D3Yandle – Brown
12:1946% CF

PP1Yandle – Dadonov – Hoffman – Huberdeau – Barkov
3:2888% CF
PP2Connolly – Trocheck – Ekblad – Vatrano – Borgstrom
3:05100% CF
PK1FSceviour – Acciari
2:42
PK2FTrocheck – Barkov
1:10
PK1DMatheson – Ekblad
1:44
PK2DStralman – Weegar
0:47

Current FLA line combinations →

Tampa Bay Lightning

L1Stamkos – Johnson – Kucherov
11:3944% CF
L2Killorn – Palat – Cirelli
11:0543% CF
L3Gourde – Verhaeghe – Joseph
7:3459% CF
D1McDonagh – Cernak
16:5942% CF
D2Shattenkirk – Hedman
14:1938% CF
D3Coburn – Sergachev
11:3447% CF

PP1Maroon – Stamkos – Johnson – Hedman – Kucherov
2:3480% CF
PP2Killorn – Shattenkirk – Palat – Verhaeghe – Sergachev
1:35100% CF
PK1FKillorn – Cirelli
2:55
PK2FPalat – Gourde
1:33
PK1DMcDonagh – Cernak
3:12
PK2DShattenkirk – Hedman
1:23

Current TBL line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

6:39
TBLNikita Kucherov (Mikhail Sergachev, Mathieu Joseph)slap0.03 xG
FLA: Connolly, Trocheck, Matheson, Ekblad, VatranoTBL: Coburn, Kucherov, Gourde, Verhaeghe, Joseph, Sergachev
FLA 0 – 1 TBL

2nd period

2:35
FLAMike Hoffman (Vincent Trocheck, Brett Connolly)wrist0.21 xG
FLA: Stralman, Hoffman, Connolly, Trocheck, WeegarTBL: Shattenkirk, Hedman, Gourde, Verhaeghe, Joseph
FLA 1 – 1 TBL
10:28
TBLKevin Shattenkirk (Mikhail Sergachev, Alex Killorn)snap0.03 xG
FLA: Huberdeau, Weegar, Ekblad, Vatrano, BorgstromTBL: Killorn, Shattenkirk, Palat, Verhaeghe, Sergachev
FLA 1 – 2 TBL

3rd period

8:49
FLAVincent TrocheckSH (Aaron Ekblad)wrist0.17 xG
FLA: Trocheck, Matheson, Barkov, EkbladTBL: Maroon, Stamkos, Johnson, Hedman, Kucherov
FLA 2 – 2 TBL
9:34
TBLOndrej PalatPP (Alex Killorn, Mikhail Sergachev)tip-in0.04 xG
FLA: Sceviour, Matheson, Ekblad, AcciariTBL: Killorn, Shattenkirk, Palat, Verhaeghe, Sergachev
FLA 2 – 3 TBL
13:51
TBLPatrick Maroon (Victor Hedman, Nikita Kucherov)wrist0.04 xG
FLA: Sceviour, Hoffman, Matheson, Ekblad, AcciariTBL: Maroon, Stamkos, Johnson, Hedman, Kucherov
FLA 2 – 4 TBL
19:14
TBLErik CernakEN (Anthony Cirelli)wrist0.20 xG
FLA: Yandle, Dadonov, Hoffman, Trocheck, Huberdeau, BarkovTBL: Killorn, McDonagh, Palat, Cernak, Cirelli
FLA 2 – 5 TBL

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Florida Panthers

FLA skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Aleksander Barkov C	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.11	1	0	0	20:37	—	—	64	53
Jonathan Huberdeau L	L1	0	0	0	-2	3	0.06	2	0	2	19:40	—	—	63	52
Evgenii Dadonov L	L1	0	0	0	-1	7	0.67	0	1	0	16:46	—	—	67	54
Henrik Borgstrom C	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.18	0	0	0	15:51	—	—	52	67
Frank Vatrano R	L2	0	0	0	-2	1	0.07	1	1	2	15:45	—	—	46	58
Denis Malgin C	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.08	1	2	0	10:59	—	—	46	60
Vincent Trocheck C	L3	1	1	2	0	3	0.24	1	0	0	18:37	—	—	67	73
Brett Connolly R	L3	0	1	1	0	2	0.03	0	1	0	16:31	—	—	71	91
Mike Hoffman C	L3	1	0	1	-1	2	0.23	0	0	2	15:58	—	—	67	85
Colton Sceviour C	L4	0	0	0	-1	2	0.00	0	2	0	12:10	—	—	52	36
Noel Acciari C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.02	1	2	0	12:04	—	—	47	35
Dryden Hunt L	L4	0	0	0	0	3	0.21	2	0	0	8:14	—	—	53	38
Aaron Ekblad D	D1	0	1	1	-2	3	0.10	0	1	0	23:50	—	—	48	38
Mike Matheson D	D1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.18	2	2	0	21:30	—	—	54	42
Anton Stralman D	D2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	1	0	19:03	—	—	79	88
MacKenzie Weegar D	D2	0	0	0	0	3	0.04	0	0	0	14:45	—	—	71	84
Keith Yandle D	D3	0	0	0	-1	3	0.04	1	1	0	20:41	—	—	50	42
Joshua Brown D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	1	0	13:00	—	—	46	36

FLA goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Sergei Bobrovsky(start)	L	29	25	4	.862	1.94	58:31

Tampa Bay Lightning

TBL skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nikita Kucherov R	L1	1	1	2	+1	2	0.12	0	0	0	18:02	—	—	39	47
Steven Stamkos C	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.30	0	1	0	17:47	—	—	40	48
Tyler Johnson C	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.21	1	0	0	17:04	—	—	44	50
Alex Killorn L	L2	0	2	2	+2	1	0.18	0	1	0	18:51	—	—	50	66
Anthony Cirelli C	L2	0	1	1	+1	0	0.21	1	0	0	17:31	—	—	32	53
Ondrej Palat L	L2	1	0	1	+2	5	0.40	4	0	0	15:36	—	—	44	63
Yanni Gourde C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.10	0	0	0	12:40	—	—	58	26
Carter Verhaeghe C	L3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.02	0	0	0	10:55	—	—	55	29
Mathieu Joseph R	L3	0	1	1	0	1	0.01	1	1	0	10:39	—	—	53	25
Erik Cernak D	D1	1	0	1	+1	1	0.20	1	2	0	22:14	—	—	39	33
Ryan McDonagh D	D1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.03	1	3	0	21:39	—	—	46	42
Kevin Shattenkirk D	D2	1	0	1	0	5	0.12	1	3	0	22:19	—	—	44	52
Victor Hedman D	D2	0	1	1	-1	1	0.04	1	2	2	21:30	—	—	37	46
Mikhail Sergachev D	D3	0	3	3	+2	0	0.00	1	1	4	17:08	—	—	45	41
Braydon Coburn D	D3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.00	2	1	0	13:24	—	—	42	44
Patrick Maroon L	—	1	0	1	0	1	0.12	1	0	0	13:37	—	—	45	42
Gemel Smith C	—	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	2	10:58	—	—	35	38
Luke Witkowski D	—	0	0	0	0	2	0.08	2	0	0	10:53	—	—	35	31

TBL goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Andrei Vasilevskiy(start)	W	37	35	2	.946	2.26	59:13

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.