Florida Panthers vs. Toronto Maple LeafsJan 17, 2023

Final / OTTuesday, Jan 17, 2023· Scotiabank Arena

away

Florida PanthersFLA

4

@

home

Toronto Maple LeafsTOR

5

Goals	1	2	3	OT	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
FLA	3	1	0	0	4		FLA	7	8	4	0	19
TOR	2	1	1	1	5		TOR	14	13	9	1	37

: FLA 43TOR 63
: FLA 2.33TOR 4.87
PP goals: FLA 1TOR 2
Hits: FLA 28TOR 16
Blocks: FLA 14TOR 15
PIM: FLA 18TOR 12
: FLA 42%TOR 58%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs edge Florida Panthers 5–4 (OT)

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Florida Panthers 5–4 in overtime at home. William Nylander (TOR) led the scoring with 2G 1A. Sergei Bobrovsky (FLA) faced 37 shots and stopped 32 (.865), +7 against a season average of 29.9; the overtime loss.

Points
William Nylander had two goals and an assist (3 points) on 4 shots in 20:19.Nylander
Points
Aleksander Barkov had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 21:28.Barkov
Points
Mitch Marner had 2 assists (2 points) in 21:26.Marner
Goalie
Sergei Bobrovsky (FLA) faced 37 shots and stopped 32 (.865), +7 against a season average of 29.9; the overtime loss.Bobrovsky
Luck
FLA scored 4 goals on 2.33 expected goals (43 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
Usage
Calle Jarnkrok (TOR) played 17:45, +3:25 up on his 14:20 season average over 72 games.Jarnkrok
Usage
Aaron Ekblad (FLA) played 26:23, +3:02 up on his 23:21 season average over 70 games.Ekblad
Usage
Morgan Rielly (TOR) played 24:44, +3:05 up on his 21:39 season average over 64 games.Rielly

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← FLA attacks left (bottom on phones)TOR attacks right (top on phones) →

TOR
FLA
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 106 of 106 attempts · TOR 63 · FLA 43

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TOR
FLA
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TOR pressure
FLA pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: FLA 22% of the game, TOR 47%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TOR

FLA

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	FLA	TOR
	41	53
	1.96	3.19
	1.90	2.99
	10	18
	4	2
	25	14
	−0.071	+0.071
	22%	47%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Florida Panthers

L1Verhaeghe – Bennett – Tkachuk
12:0858% CF
L2Barkov – Reinhart – Lundell
9:2731% CF
L3Cousins – Luostarinen – Denisenko
6:2955% CF
L4Staal – Lomberg – Smith
4:2340% CF
D1Ekblad – Forsling
13:4256% CF
D2Staal – Montour
11:3357% CF
D3Gudas – Mahura
10:2830% CF

PP1Barkov – Ekblad – Reinhart – Montour – Tkachuk
4:09
PP2Verhaeghe – Bennett – Montour – Tkachuk – Lundell
0:55100% CF
PK1FBarkov – Lundell
3:07
PK2FStaal – Luostarinen
2:57
PK1DEkblad – Forsling
4:18
PK2DStaal – Gudas
1:56

Current FLA line combinations →

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Tavares – Jarnkrok – Marner
9:5756% CF
L2Nylander – Bunting – Matthews
9:4336% CF
L3Engvall – Kampf – McMann
4:0367% CF
L4Kerfoot – Hunt – Aston-Reese
2:4456% CF
D1Rielly – Liljegren
14:2648% CF
D2Giordano – Holl
12:5356% CF
D3Benn – Timmins
9:3646% CF

PP1Tavares – Nylander – Bunting – Marner – Matthews
5:4671% CF
PP2Jarnkrok – Rielly – Engvall – Timmins – McMann
2:34100% CF
PK1FJarnkrok – Kerfoot
2:24
PK2FMarner – Kampf
2:16
PK1DGiordano – Holl
2:27
PK2DBenn – Liljegren
1:47

Current TOR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

1:52
FLACarter Verhaeghe (Aaron Ekblad)wrist0.14 xG
FLA: Verhaeghe, Ekblad, Bennett, Forsling, TkachukTOR: Benn, Tavares, Jarnkrok, Marner, Timmins
FLA 1 – 0 TOR
2:38
TORDryden Hunt (Morgan Rielly, Zachary Aston-Reese)tip-in0.27 xG
FLA: Staal, Gudas, Cousins, Mahura, DenisenkoTOR: Giordano, Rielly, Kerfoot, Hunt, Aston-Reese
FLA 1 – 1 TOR
12:34
FLAAnton LundellSH (Aleksander Barkov)wrist0.08 xG
FLA: Staal, Barkov, Ekblad, LundellTOR: Tavares, Nylander, Bunting, Marner, Matthews
FLA 2 – 1 TOR
15:10
TORAlexander KerfootPP (Calle Jarnkrok, Timothy Liljegren)backhand0.03 xG
FLA: Staal, Montour, Forsling, LuostarinenTOR: Giordano, Jarnkrok, Kerfoot, Engvall, Liljegren
FLA 2 – 2 TOR
18:04
FLAJosh Mahura (Radko Gudas, Grigori Denisenko)wrist0.00 xG
FLA: Gudas, Cousins, Mahura, Luostarinen, DenisenkoTOR: Benn, Kerfoot, Hunt, Aston-Reese, Timmins
FLA 3 – 2 TOR

2nd period

1:41
FLAAleksander BarkovPP (Brandon Montour, Sam Reinhart)wrist0.05 xG
FLA: Barkov, Reinhart, Bennett, Montour, TkachukTOR: Benn, Jarnkrok, Kerfoot, Liljegren
FLA 4 – 2 TOR
19:57
TORAuston MatthewsPP (William Nylander, Mitch Marner)wrist0.41 xG
FLA: Barkov, Ekblad, Forsling, LundellTOR: Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Marner, Matthews
FLA 4 – 3 TOR

3rd period

5:59
TORWilliam Nylander (Mitch Marner, Mark Giordano)deflected0.18 xG
FLA: Staal, Barkov, Reinhart, Montour, LundellTOR: Giordano, Nylander, Marner, Matthews, Timmins
FLA 4 – 4 TOR

OT period

1:53
TORWilliam Nylander (Conor Timmins, John Tavares)wrist0.35 xG
FLA: Verhaeghe, Reinhart, ForslingTOR: Nylander, Marner, Liljegren
FLA 4 – 5 TOR

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Florida Panthers

FLA skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Matthew Tkachuk L	L1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.29	0	1	0	20:36	—	—	61	68
Sam Bennett C	L1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	3	1	4	19:20	—	—	47	61
Carter Verhaeghe C	L1	1	0	1	0	6	0.60	0	0	0	17:30	—	—	55	63
Aleksander Barkov C	L2	1	1	2	0	2	0.34	1	1	0	21:28	—	—	35	30
Sam Reinhart C	L2	0	1	1	-2	0	0.00	0	2	0	18:15	—	—	21	15
Anton Lundell C	L2	1	0	1	0	3	0.30	0	0	0	17:56	—	—	36	29
Eetu Luostarinen C	L3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	0	0	14:35	—	—	47	21
Nick Cousins C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	0	0	2	10:01	—	—	41	14
Grigori Denisenko L	L3	0	1	1	0	0	0.07	3	0	0	9:21	—	—	60	22
Eric Staal C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.12	0	0	0	12:15	—	—	46	29
Givani Smith R	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	6:19	—	—	29	50
Ryan Lomberg L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.20	3	0	2	5:40	—	—	25	42
Aaron Ekblad D	D1	0	1	1	+2	1	0.13	2	3	0	26:23	—	—	39	37
Gustav Forsling D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.17	0	1	2	22:54	—	—	59	48
Brandon Montour D	D2	0	1	1	-1	1	0.03	2	0	2	23:00	—	—	52	51
Marc Staal D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	0	2	17:07	—	—	59	56
Radko Gudas D	D3	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	9	4	4	16:37	—	—	27	21
Josh Mahura D	D3	1	0	1	0	1	0.00	0	1	0	14:47	—	—	36	25

FLA goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Sergei Bobrovsky(start)	O	37	32	5	.865	4.87	61:53

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mitch Marner R	L1	0	2	2	0	0	0.00	1	0	2	21:26	—	—	52	60
John Tavares C	L1	0	1	1	-2	6	0.75	1	1	0	17:58	—	—	56	56
Calle Jarnkrok C	L1	0	1	1	-1	2	0.11	2	0	0	17:45	—	—	60	57
Auston Matthews C	L2	1	0	1	0	5	0.93	0	2	2	21:32	—	—	41	49
William Nylander R	L2	2	1	3	+1	4	1.09	0	0	0	20:19	—	—	44	49
Michael Bunting L	L2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	2	16:08	—	—	36	30
David Kampf C	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.21	0	0	0	16:26	—	—	67	66
Pierre Engvall L	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.20	1	0	0	14:28	—	—	65	69
Bobby McMann C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.31	1	0	2	9:13	—	—	72	72
Alexander Kerfoot C	L4	1	0	1	0	2	0.24	0	0	0	13:52	—	—	57	75
Zachary Aston-Reese L	L4	0	1	1	0	4	0.40	1	2	2	11:20	—	—	61	75
Dryden Hunt L	L4	1	0	1	0	2	0.29	0	0	0	5:45	—	—	56	76
Morgan Rielly D	D1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.01	1	1	0	24:44	—	—	50	63
Timothy Liljegren D	D1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.09	2	4	2	20:59	—	—	56	65
Mark Giordano D	D2	0	1	1	+2	1	0.09	2	0	0	19:20	—	—	65	64
Justin Holl D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	2	0	18:31	—	—	55	42
Conor Timmins D	D3	0	1	1	-1	2	0.13	1	1	0	14:21	—	—	53	74
Jordie Benn D	D3	0	0	0	-2	0	0.02	2	2	0	13:56	—	—	53	66

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Ilya Samsonov	W	11	11	0	.1000	1.27	40:12
Matt Murray(start)	—	8	4	4	.500	1.07	21:41

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.