Florida Panthers vs. Toronto Maple LeafsMay 2, 2023

FinalPlayoffsTuesday, May 2, 2023· Scotiabank Arena

away

Florida PanthersFLA

4

@

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Toronto Maple LeafsTOR

2

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
FLA	1	2	1	4		FLA	13	6	9	28
TOR	0	2	0	2		TOR	9	13	14	36

: FLA 55TOR 60
: FLA 2.58TOR 4.19
PP goals: FLA 0TOR 0
Hits: FLA 47TOR 36
Blocks: FLA 8TOR 13
PIM: FLA 10TOR 2
: FLA 49%TOR 51%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Florida Panthers beat Toronto Maple Leafs 4–2

Florida Panthers beat Toronto Maple Leafs 4–2 at TOR. Matthew Tkachuk (FLA) led the scoring with 0G 3A. New look for TOR: Marner–Matthews–Knies skated 8:15 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (53.8% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

Points
Matthew Tkachuk had 3 assists (3 points) on 3 shots in 20:45.Tkachuk
Points
Sam Bennett had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 19:02.Bennett
Points
Aleksander Barkov had 2 assists (2 points) on 4 shots in 21:57.Barkov
New line
New look for TOR: Marner–Matthews–Knies skated 8:15 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (53.8% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Marner Matthews Knies
Goalie
Sergei Bobrovsky (FLA) faced 36 shots and stopped 34 (.944), +2 against a season average of 33.6; the win.Bobrovsky
Luck
TOR scored 2 goals on 4.19 expected goals (60 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Brandon Montour (FLA) played 22:15, −4:57 down on his 27:12 season average over 20 games.Montour
Usage
Carter Verhaeghe (FLA) played 15:21, −4:51 down on his 20:12 season average over 20 games.Verhaeghe

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← FLA attacks left (bottom on phones)TOR attacks right (top on phones) →

TOR
FLA
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 115 of 115 attempts · TOR 60 · FLA 55

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TOR
FLA
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TOR pressure
FLA pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: FLA 28% of the game, TOR 39%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TOR

FLA

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	FLA	TOR
	60	43
	2.81	2.86
	2.60	2.68
	13	13
	4	4
	17	25
	+0.030	−0.030
	28%	39%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Florida Panthers

L1Reinhart – Luostarinen – Lundell
10:5833% CF
L2Cousins – Bennett – Tkachuk
10:5674% CF
L3Duclair – Verhaeghe – Barkov
10:0356% CF
L4Staal – Dalpe – White
3:1029% CF
D1Ekblad – Forsling
16:3552% CF
D2Staal – Montour
14:1857% CF
D3Gudas – Mahura
7:2830% CF

PP1Barkov – Reinhart – Bennett – Montour – Tkachuk
2:00100% CF
PK1FBarkov – Reinhart
2:57
PK2FLuostarinen – Lundell
1:14
PK1DEkblad – Forsling
3:01
PK2DStaal – Gudas
2:14

Current FLA line combinations →

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Marner – Matthews – Knies
8:1554% CF
L2O'Reilly – Bunting – Acciari
7:3458% CF
L3Kerfoot – Aston-Reese – Kampf
5:3818% CF
L4Tavares – Jarnkrok – Nylander
5:2547% CF
D1Brodie – McCabe
14:0336% CF
D2Schenn – Rielly
13:0641% CF
D3Giordano – Liljegren
11:0850% CF

PP1O'Reilly – Tavares – Rielly – Marner – Matthews
4:2089% CF
PP2Giordano – Jarnkrok – Nylander – Bunting – Knies
1:18100% CF
PK1FMarner – Kampf
1:20
PK2FJarnkrok – Acciari
0:38
PK1DSchenn – McCabe
0:38
PK2DBrodie – Liljegren
0:30

Current TOR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

9:25
FLANick Cousins (Matthew Tkachuk, Sam Bennett)backhand0.03 xG
FLA: Staal, Cousins, Bennett, Montour, TkachukTOR: Giordano, Tavares, Jarnkrok, McCabe, Marner
FLA 1 – 0 TOR

2nd period

7:58
FLASam Bennett (Aaron Ekblad, Matthew Tkachuk)tip-in0.04 xG
FLA: Verhaeghe, Ekblad, Bennett, Forsling, TkachukTOR: Schenn, Rielly, Marner, Matthews, Knies
FLA 2 – 0 TOR
8:09
TORMatthew Knies (Auston Matthews, Morgan Rielly)backhand0.14 xG
FLA: Cousins, Ekblad, Bennett, Forsling, TkachukTOR: Schenn, Rielly, Marner, Matthews, Knies
FLA 2 – 1 TOR
14:51
TORMichael Bunting (Calle Jarnkrok, Ryan O'Reilly)backhand0.19 xG
FLA: Staal, Staal, Gudas, Reinhart, WhiteTOR: Giordano, O'Reilly, Jarnkrok, Bunting, Liljegren
FLA 2 – 2 TOR
17:47
FLACarter Verhaeghe (Anthony Duclair, Aleksander Barkov)wrist0.15 xG
FLA: Gudas, Duclair, Verhaeghe, Barkov, MahuraTOR: Brodie, O'Reilly, McCabe, Bunting, Acciari
FLA 3 – 2 TOR

3rd period

12:24
FLABrandon Montour (Matthew Tkachuk, Aleksander Barkov)slap0.05 xG
FLA: Staal, Cousins, Barkov, Bennett, Montour, TkachukTOR: Brodie, O'Reilly, McCabe, Nylander, Bunting
FLA 4 – 2 TOR

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Florida Panthers

FLA skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Sam Reinhart C	L1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.26	3	2	0	20:44	—	—	46	49
Anton Lundell C	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.12	1	0	0	17:47	—	—	35	32
Eetu Luostarinen C	L1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	17:02	—	—	50	60
Matthew Tkachuk L	L2	0	3	3	+2	3	0.21	9	0	0	20:45	—	—	77	61
Sam Bennett C	L2	1	1	2	+2	4	0.65	4	0	6	19:02	—	—	81	67
Nick Cousins C	L2	1	0	1	+1	1	0.05	5	0	0	13:38	—	—	74	58
Aleksander Barkov C	L3	0	2	2	+2	4	0.19	3	1	0	21:57	—	—	63	53
Carter Verhaeghe C	L3	1	0	1	+2	1	0.37	6	0	0	15:21	—	—	66	58
Anthony Duclair L	L3	0	1	1	+1	0	0.01	1	0	0	12:59	—	—	50	41
Eric Staal C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.07	0	0	0	6:50	—	—	39	35
Colin White C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	0	0	4:58	—	—	27	20
Zac Dalpe C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.27	0	0	0	4:19	—	—	40	38
Gustav Forsling D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.06	2	0	2	25:57	—	—	61	53
Aaron Ekblad D	D1	0	1	1	0	2	0.03	2	1	0	23:11	—	—	59	38
Brandon Montour D	D2	1	0	1	+2	5	0.25	3	1	0	22:15	—	—	63	56
Marc Staal D	D2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.02	3	0	0	20:40	—	—	59	44
Radko Gudas D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.02	2	2	0	15:30	—	—	47	51
Josh Mahura D	D3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.01	0	1	2	11:00	—	—	53	59

FLA goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Sergei Bobrovsky(start)	W	36	34	2	.944	4.19	59:28

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Mitch Marner R	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.17	0	2	0	25:07	—	—	40	33
Auston Matthews C	L1	0	1	1	0	6	0.74	2	0	0	24:13	—	—	50	48
Matthew Knies L	L1	1	0	1	0	2	0.44	2	0	0	14:53	—	—	59	56
Ryan O'Reilly C	L2	0	1	1	-1	3	0.48	1	0	0	18:26	—	—	53	46
Michael Bunting L	L2	1	0	1	-1	2	0.22	2	0	0	14:24	—	—	56	51
Noel Acciari C	L2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	7	0	0	11:20	—	—	50	30
David Kampf C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	10:30	—	—	15	44
Alexander Kerfoot C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	9:56	—	—	19	42
Zachary Aston-Reese L	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.21	1	0	0	6:21	—	—	29	76
John Tavares C	L4	0	0	0	-1	5	0.56	4	1	0	21:23	—	—	35	53
William Nylander R	L4	0	0	0	-1	7	0.75	0	0	0	19:18	—	—	45	69
Calle Jarnkrok C	L4	0	1	1	0	1	0.11	1	0	0	14:08	—	—	42	54
Jake McCabe D	D1	0	0	0	-3	1	0.07	4	0	0	20:29	—	—	33	58
TJ Brodie D	D1	0	0	0	-2	0	0.03	0	3	0	18:42	—	—	37	59
Morgan Rielly D	D2	0	1	1	0	3	0.27	2	1	0	25:01	—	—	39	42
Luke Schenn D	D2	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	6	3	0	14:26	—	—	41	44
Timothy Liljegren D	D3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.03	2	2	0	17:03	—	—	52	43
Mark Giordano D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.09	0	0	2	15:09	—	—	48	54

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Ilya Samsonov(start)	L	28	24	4	.857	2.58	57:11

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.