Florida Panthers vs. Toronto Maple LeafsMay 4, 2023

FinalPlayoffsThursday, May 4, 2023· Scotiabank Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
FLA	1	2	0	3		FLA	9	9	11	29
TOR	2	0	0	2		TOR	15	10	12	37

: FLA 47TOR 71
: FLA 3.21TOR 3.92
PP goals: FLA 0TOR 1
Hits: FLA 42TOR 48
Blocks: FLA 15TOR 6
PIM: FLA 6TOR 2
: FLA 31%TOR 69%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Florida Panthers edge Toronto Maple Leafs 3–2

Florida Panthers beat Toronto Maple Leafs 3–2 at TOR. Anton Lundell (FLA) led the scoring with 1G 1A. TOR's first power-play unit (O'Reilly, Tavares, Rielly, Marner and Matthews) scored 1 power-play goal on 7 attempts in 3:26 together.

Points
Anton Lundell had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 14:48.Lundell
PP1
TOR's first power-play unit (O'Reilly, Tavares, Rielly, Marner and Matthews) scored 1 power-play goal on 7 attempts in 3:26 together.O'Reilly Tavares Rielly Marner Matthews
New line
New look for TOR: Bunting–Marner–Matthews skated 12:08 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (78.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Bunting Marner Matthews
New line
New look for TOR: Kerfoot–Lafferty–Kampf skated 7:10 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (57.1% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Kerfoot Lafferty Kampf
Usage
Matthew Knies (TOR) played 4:47, −9:44 down on his 14:31 season average over 6 games.Knies
Goalie
Sergei Bobrovsky (FLA) faced 37 shots and stopped 35 (.946), +3 against a season average of 33.6; the win.Bobrovsky
Usage
Sam Reinhart (FLA) played 17:02, −5:12 down on his 22:14 season average over 20 games.Reinhart
Luck
TOR scored 2 goals on 3.92 expected goals (71 attempts), well short of its chances.

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← FLA attacks left (bottom on phones)TOR attacks right (top on phones) →

TOR
FLA
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 118 of 118 attempts · TOR 71 · FLA 47

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TOR
FLA
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TOR pressure
FLA pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: FLA 22% of the game, TOR 39%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TOR

FLA

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	FLA	TOR
	52	65
	2.76	3.04
	2.60	2.92
	11	13
	1	8
	36	30
	−0.123	+0.123
	22%	39%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Florida Panthers

L1Cousins – Bennett – Tkachuk
14:2338% CF
L2Duclair – Verhaeghe – Barkov
11:2835% CF
L3Reinhart – Luostarinen – Lundell
10:2247% CF
L4Staal – Dalpe – White
4:5850% CF
D1Staal – Montour
20:2651% CF
D2Ekblad – Forsling
14:4941% CF
D3Gudas – Mahura
7:5740% CF

PP1Verhaeghe – Ekblad – Montour – Tkachuk – Lundell
1:00100% CF
PP2Barkov – Reinhart – Bennett – Montour – Tkachuk
0:530% CF
PK1FBarkov – Reinhart
1:59
PK2FStaal – Luostarinen
1:23
PK1DEkblad – Forsling
2:19
PK2DStaal – Gudas
1:38

Current FLA line combinations →

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Bunting – Marner – Matthews
12:0878% CF
L2Kerfoot – Lafferty – Kampf
7:1057% CF
L3Tavares – Jarnkrok – Nylander
5:3369% CF
L4O'Reilly – Acciari – Knies
3:2667% CF
D1Schenn – Rielly
14:5262% CF
D2Brodie – McCabe
13:3270% CF
D3Giordano – Liljegren
10:5230% CF

PP1O'Reilly – Tavares – Rielly – Marner – Matthews
3:2688% CF
PP2Giordano – Tavares – Nylander – Marner – Matthews
0:46100% CF
PK1FJarnkrok – Acciari
0:43
PK2FMarner – Kampf
0:29
PK1DSchenn – McCabe
1:09
PK2DGiordano – Brodie
0:41

Current TOR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

2:20
TORAlexander Kerfoot (Luke Schenn, Morgan Rielly)wrist0.01 xG
FLA: Staal, Dalpe, Gudas, White, MahuraTOR: Schenn, Rielly, Kerfoot, Lafferty, Kampf
FLA 0 – 1 TOR
5:10
TORRyan O'ReillyPP (Mitch Marner, Auston Matthews)wrist0.16 xG
FLA: Barkov, Ekblad, Reinhart, ForslingTOR: O'Reilly, Tavares, Rielly, Marner, Matthews
FLA 0 – 2 TOR
11:13
FLAAnton Lundell (Sam Reinhart)snap0.17 xG
FLA: Staal, Reinhart, Montour, Luostarinen, LundellTOR: Giordano, Tavares, Jarnkrok, Nylander, Liljegren
FLA 1 – 2 TOR

2nd period

0:19
FLAAleksander Barkov (Anthony Duclair)wrist0.01 xG
FLA: Staal, Duclair, Verhaeghe, Barkov, MontourTOR: Brodie, O'Reilly, McCabe, Nylander, Acciari
FLA 2 – 2 TOR
1:06
FLAGustav Forsling (Matthew Tkachuk, Anton Lundell)wrist0.17 xG
FLA: Montour, Forsling, Tkachuk, Luostarinen, LundellTOR: Brodie, McCabe, Bunting, Marner, Matthews
FLA 3 – 2 TOR

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Florida Panthers

FLA skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Matthew Tkachuk L	L1	0	1	1	+1	2	0.05	3	1	2	20:36	—	—	48	39
Sam Bennett C	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.11	10	2	2	18:41	—	—	32	18
Nick Cousins C	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.16	3	1	0	16:38	—	—	45	28
Aleksander Barkov C	L2	1	0	1	+1	1	0.01	1	2	0	19:28	—	—	35	40
Carter Verhaeghe C	L2	0	0	0	+1	4	0.50	1	0	0	16:26	—	—	44	38
Anthony Duclair L	L2	0	1	1	+1	2	0.00	2	0	0	14:53	—	—	36	34
Sam Reinhart C	L3	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	3	0	0	17:02	—	—	44	51
Eetu Luostarinen C	L3	0	0	0	+2	1	0.64	4	0	0	15:32	—	—	46	57
Anton Lundell C	L3	1	1	2	+2	4	0.65	0	1	0	14:48	—	—	59	60
Eric Staal C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.10	1	0	0	8:51	—	—	52	79
Colin White C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.07	0	2	0	6:35	—	—	46	73
Zac Dalpe C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.14	0	0	2	6:19	—	—	46	75
Marc Staal D	D1	0	0	0	+2	0	0.00	2	0	0	25:26	—	—	48	48
Brandon Montour D	D1	0	0	0	+3	4	0.16	3	3	0	25:11	—	—	52	54
Gustav Forsling D	D2	1	0	1	+1	3	0.28	1	1	0	22:42	—	—	44	52
Aaron Ekblad D	D2	0	0	0	0	2	0.29	2	0	0	21:47	—	—	38	43
Radko Gudas D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.06	5	1	0	15:12	—	—	42	31
Josh Mahura D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	1	0	9:28	—	—	33	23

FLA goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Sergei Bobrovsky(start)	W	37	35	2	.946	3.92	60:00

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Auston Matthews C	L1	0	1	1	-1	6	0.44	4	0	2	25:22	—	—	73	79
Mitch Marner R	L1	0	1	1	-1	6	0.71	2	0	0	24:46	—	—	73	69
Michael Bunting L	L1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.08	3	0	0	15:11	—	—	68	77
Alexander Kerfoot C	L2	1	0	1	+1	1	0.01	1	0	0	12:58	—	—	55	37
David Kampf C	L2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.01	2	0	0	12:07	—	—	53	35
Sam Lafferty C	L2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.06	5	0	0	9:38	—	—	57	41
John Tavares C	L3	0	0	0	-1	5	0.77	1	0	0	21:48	—	—	53	52
William Nylander R	L3	0	0	0	-2	6	0.74	0	0	0	18:34	—	—	47	45
Calle Jarnkrok C	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	0	0	8:36	—	—	53	53
Ryan O'Reilly C	L4	1	0	1	-1	3	0.54	1	0	0	19:39	—	—	30	28
Noel Acciari C	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	10	1	0	13:20	—	—	44	43
Matthew Knies L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.06	1	0	0	4:47	—	—	71	72
Morgan Rielly D	D1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.18	3	0	0	26:30	—	—	63	64
Luke Schenn D	D1	0	1	1	+1	3	0.07	4	1	0	19:04	—	—	60	62
Jake McCabe D	D2	0	0	0	-2	2	0.07	3	2	0	20:36	—	—	63	62
TJ Brodie D	D2	0	0	0	-2	1	0.07	2	0	0	19:49	—	—	68	68
Mark Giordano D	D3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.13	2	1	0	15:00	—	—	35	32
Timothy Liljegren D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	3	1	0	12:35	—	—	32	28

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Ilya Samsonov(start)	L	29	26	3	.897	2.58	57:40

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.