Florida Panthers vs. Toronto Maple LeafsMay 12, 2023

Final / OTPlayoffsFriday, May 12, 2023· Scotiabank Arena

away

Florida PanthersFLA

3

@

home

Toronto Maple LeafsTOR

2

Goals	1	2	3	1OT	T		Shots	1	2	3	1OT	T
FLA	2	0	0	1	3		FLA	12	18	7	6	43
TOR	0	1	1	0	2		TOR	13	16	14	9	52

: FLA 78TOR 87
: FLA 3.98TOR 4.16
PP goals: FLA 1TOR 0
Hits: FLA 49TOR 63
Blocks: FLA 20TOR 24
PIM: FLA 4TOR 4
: FLA 38%TOR 62%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Florida Panthers edge Toronto Maple Leafs 3–2 (OT)

Florida Panthers beat Toronto Maple Leafs 3–2 in overtime at TOR. Carter Verhaeghe (FLA) led the scoring with 1G 1A. Sergei Bobrovsky (FLA) faced 52 shots and stopped 50 (.962), +18 against a season average of 33.6; the win.

Points
Aaron Ekblad had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 1 shot in 27:08.Ekblad
Points
Carter Verhaeghe had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 25:26.Verhaeghe
Goalie
Sergei Bobrovsky (FLA) faced 52 shots and stopped 50 (.962), +18 against a season average of 33.6; the win.Bobrovsky
Goalie
Joseph Woll (TOR) faced 43 shots and stopped 40 (.930), +20 against a season average of 23.5; the loss.Woll
Usage
William Nylander (TOR) played 25:56, +7:54 up on his 18:02 season average over 10 games.Nylander
New line
New look for TOR: O'Reilly–Tavares–Marner skated 4:41 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (55.6% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.O'Reilly Tavares Marner
Usage
Gustav Forsling (FLA) played 32:29, +6:47 up on his 25:42 season average over 20 games.Forsling
Usage
Carter Verhaeghe (FLA) played 25:26, +5:44 up on his 19:42 season average over 20 games.Verhaeghe

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← FLA attacks left (bottom on phones)TOR attacks right (top on phones) →

TOR
FLA
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 165 of 165 attempts · TOR 87 · FLA 78

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TOR
FLA
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TOR pressure
FLA pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: FLA 24% of the game, TOR 34%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TOR

FLA

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	FLA	TOR
	77	92
	3.03	4.06
	2.95	3.81
	12	20
	10	6
	42	35
	−0.139	+0.139
	24%	34%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Florida Panthers

L1Duclair – Verhaeghe – Barkov
16:2560% CF
L2Cousins – Bennett – Tkachuk
15:2354% CF
L3Reinhart – Luostarinen – Lundell
13:5446% CF
L4Staal – Dalpe – White
3:2636% CF
D1Ekblad – Forsling
22:5027% CF
D2Staal – Montour
21:2657% CF
D3Gudas – Mahura
11:4640% CF

PP1Barkov – Reinhart – Bennett – Montour – Tkachuk
3:0992% CF
PP2Verhaeghe – Ekblad – Montour – Tkachuk – Lundell
0:44
PK1FBarkov – Reinhart
1:48
PK2FStaal – Luostarinen
1:42
PK1DEkblad – Forsling
1:22
PK2DStaal – Montour
1:12

Current FLA line combinations →

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Kerfoot – Lafferty – Kampf
5:0963% CF
L2O'Reilly – Tavares – Marner
4:4156% CF
L3Nylander – Bunting – Matthews
4:3836% CF
D1Schenn – Rielly
15:5944% CF
D2Brodie – Holl
13:3450% CF
D3McCabe – Liljegren
7:0253% CF

PP1O'Reilly – Tavares – Rielly – Marner – Matthews
2:18100% CF
PP2Giordano – Jarnkrok – Kerfoot – Nylander – Bunting
1:3067% CF
PK1FMarner – Kampf
1:23
PK2FJarnkrok – Acciari
0:31
PK1DHoll – McCabe
1:37
PK2DGiordano – Schenn
0:38

Current TOR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

3:31
FLAAaron EkbladPP (Gustav Forsling, Carter Verhaeghe)slap0.11 xG
FLA: Verhaeghe, Ekblad, Forsling, Tkachuk, LundellTOR: Brodie, O'Reilly, Holl, Kerfoot
FLA 1 – 0 TOR
16:18
FLACarter Verhaeghe (Anthony Duclair, Aaron Ekblad)snap0.12 xG
FLA: Gudas, Duclair, Verhaeghe, Barkov, EkbladTOR: McCabe, Nylander, Lafferty, Liljegren, Kampf
FLA 2 – 0 TOR

2nd period

7:50
TORMorgan Rielly (Sam Lafferty, David Kampf)wrist0.02 xG
FLA: Cousins, Ekblad, Reinhart, Bennett, ForslingTOR: Schenn, Jarnkrok, Rielly, Lafferty, Kampf
FLA 2 – 1 TOR

3rd period

15:33
TORWilliam Nylander (John Tavares, TJ Brodie)snap0.18 xG
FLA: Staal, Duclair, Verhaeghe, Barkov, MontourTOR: Brodie, Tavares, McCabe, Nylander, Bunting
FLA 2 – 2 TOR

OT period

15:32
FLANick Cousins (Radko Gudas)wrist0.15 xG
FLA: Gudas, Cousins, Bennett, Tkachuk, MahuraTOR: O'Reilly, Jarnkrok, Holl, Acciari, Liljegren
FLA 3 – 2 TOR

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Florida Panthers

FLA skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Aleksander Barkov C	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.88	5	1	0	26:26	—	—	52	33
Carter Verhaeghe C	L1	1	1	2	0	4	0.59	2	0	0	25:26	—	—	60	39
Anthony Duclair L	L1	0	1	1	0	1	0.01	2	1	0	19:39	—	—	49	29
Matthew Tkachuk L	L2	0	0	0	+1	6	0.72	4	1	0	25:07	—	—	51	68
Sam Bennett C	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.22	6	1	0	24:18	—	—	42	68
Nick Cousins C	L2	1	0	1	0	1	0.15	7	0	0	19:13	—	—	42	68
Sam Reinhart C	L3	0	0	0	-1	4	0.46	2	0	0	24:45	—	—	42	56
Anton Lundell C	L3	0	0	0	0	4	0.10	1	2	0	20:24	—	—	45	39
Eetu Luostarinen C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	1	0	19:38	—	—	40	42
Eric Staal C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.09	0	2	0	8:47	—	—	35	34
Colin White C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	5:57	—	—	32	23
Zac Dalpe C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.05	0	1	0	5:02	—	—	32	27
Gustav Forsling D	D1	0	1	1	-1	1	0.04	3	1	0	32:29	—	—	34	25
Aaron Ekblad D	D1	1	1	2	0	1	0.12	3	2	2	27:08	—	—	33	30
Brandon Montour D	D2	0	0	0	-1	9	0.54	1	1	0	32:41	—	—	61	60
Marc Staal D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	3	2	0	25:34	—	—	58	57
Radko Gudas D	D3	0	1	1	+2	1	0.00	5	4	2	18:58	—	—	36	43
Josh Mahura D	D3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.01	2	0	0	12:08	—	—	48	52

FLA goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Sergei Bobrovsky(start)	W	52	50	2	.962	4.16	75:32

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
David Kampf C	L1	0	1	1	0	3	0.03	1	0	0	16:02	—	—	61	54
Alexander Kerfoot C	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.26	3	1	0	14:32	—	—	70	76
Sam Lafferty C	L1	0	1	1	0	2	0.25	3	0	0	11:34	—	—	64	54
Mitch Marner R	L2	0	0	0	0	5	0.21	7	0	0	31:37	—	—	50	58
Ryan O'Reilly C	L2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.14	1	1	0	24:47	—	—	58	66
John Tavares C	L2	0	1	1	+1	7	0.76	4	0	0	23:37	—	—	56	75
Auston Matthews C	L3	0	0	0	0	8	0.75	9	5	0	29:28	—	—	43	47
William Nylander R	L3	1	0	1	0	6	0.44	1	0	0	25:56	—	—	52	49
Michael Bunting L	L3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.17	3	2	0	19:32	—	—	51	66
Morgan Rielly D	D1	1	0	1	+1	4	0.32	3	3	0	28:39	—	—	48	55
Luke Schenn D	D1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.03	5	0	0	19:30	—	—	45	54
TJ Brodie D	D2	0	1	1	+1	1	0.02	2	2	2	26:23	—	—	61	69
Justin Holl D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.04	4	4	0	24:52	—	—	54	46
Timothy Liljegren D	D3	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	3	2	0	19:51	—	—	59	60
Jake McCabe D	D3	0	0	0	0	4	0.18	2	2	2	18:57	—	—	54	60
Calle Jarnkrok C	—	0	0	0	0	2	0.23	1	1	0	15:20	—	—	50	42
Noel Acciari C	—	0	0	0	-1	1	0.28	9	0	0	13:42	—	—	69	64
Mark Giordano D	—	0	0	0	0	2	0.06	2	1	0	9:29	—	—	71	64

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Joseph Woll(start)	L	43	40	3	.930	3.98	75:30

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.