Florida Panthers vs. Buffalo SabresOct 11, 2019

Final / SOFriday, Oct 11, 2019· KeyBank Center

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Goals	1	2	3	OT	SO	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
FLA	0	0	2	0	0	2		FLA	11	11	19	2	43
BUF	0	1	1	0	1	3		BUF	13	11	4	4	32

: FLA 64BUF 58
: FLA 4.05BUF 3.03
PP goals: FLA 0BUF 0
Hits: FLA 13BUF 14
Blocks: FLA 14BUF 10
PIM: FLA 8BUF 4
: FLA 44%BUF 56%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Buffalo Sabres edge Florida Panthers 3–2 (SO)

Buffalo Sabres beat Florida Panthers 3–2 in a shootout at home. Evgenii Dadonov (FLA) led the scoring with 1G 1A. Linus Ullmark (BUF) faced 43 shots and stopped 41 (.953), +12 against a season average of 31.4; the win.

Points
Evgenii Dadonov had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 15:44.Dadonov
Points
Kyle Okposo had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 12:23.Okposo
Points
Zemgus Girgensons had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 14:59.Girgensons
Goalie
Linus Ullmark (BUF) faced 43 shots and stopped 41 (.953), +12 against a season average of 31.4; the win.Ullmark
Luck
FLA scored 2 goals on 4.05 expected goals (64 attempts), well short of its chances.
New line
New look for FLA: Dadonov–Hawryluk–Malgin skated 5:05 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (77.8% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Dadonov Hawryluk Malgin
Usage
Aaron Ekblad (FLA) played 28:44, +5:52 up on his 22:52 season average over 66 games.Ekblad
Usage
Mike Hoffman (FLA) played 20:06, +3:19 up on his 16:47 season average over 68 games.Hoffman

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← FLA attacks left (bottom on phones)BUF attacks right (top on phones) →

BUF
FLA
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 122 of 122 attempts · BUF 58 · FLA 64

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

BUF
FLA
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

BUF pressure
FLA pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: FLA 40% of the game, BUF 25%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

BUF

FLA

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	FLA	BUF
	60	50
	3.77	2.38
	3.62	2.33
	13	13
	5	4
	12	14
	−0.035	+0.035
	40%	25%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Florida Panthers

L1Hoffman – Huberdeau – Barkov
9:2560% CF
L2Sceviour – Hunt – Acciari
8:0639% CF
L3Connolly – Trocheck – Vatrano
6:5250% CF
L4Dadonov – Hawryluk – Malgin
5:0578% CF
D1Weegar – Ekblad
15:3458% CF
D2Stralman – Matheson
14:5943% CF
D3Yandle – Brown
9:4056% CF

PP1Yandle – Dadonov – Hoffman – Huberdeau – Barkov
1:36100% CF
PP2Connolly – Trocheck – Ekblad – Vatrano – Malgin
0:37
PK1FSceviour – Acciari
3:39
PK2FTrocheck – Barkov
1:39
PK1DStralman – Matheson
3:32
PK2DWeegar – Ekblad
2:43

Current FLA line combinations →

Buffalo Sabres

L1Reinhart – Olofsson – Eichel
11:1838% CF
L2Sobotka – Johansson – Skinner
10:5239% CF
L3Okposo – Larsson – Girgensons
7:4481% CF
L4Vesey – Rodrigues – Mittelstadt
5:0450% CF
D1McCabe – Ristolainen
17:1044% CF
D2Scandella – Jokiharju
13:3152% CF
D3Miller – Dahlin
11:3845% CF

PP1Skinner – Reinhart – Olofsson – Eichel – Dahlin
4:2589% CF
PP2Johansson – Miller – Ristolainen – Rodrigues – Mittelstadt
1:370% CF
PK1FLarsson – Girgensons
1:18
PK2FSobotka – Vesey
0:36
PK1DScandella – McCabe
1:18
PK2DMiller – Jokiharju
0:36

Current BUF line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

19:29
BUFJohan Larsson (Kyle Okposo, Zemgus Girgensons)wrist0.15 xG
FLA: Stralman, Hoffman, Huberdeau, Matheson, BarkovBUF: Okposo, Scandella, Larsson, Girgensons, Jokiharju
FLA 0 – 1 BUF

3rd period

2:02
BUFMarco Scandella (Kyle Okposo, Zemgus Girgensons)wrist0.13 xG
FLA: Yandle, Connolly, Brown, Hawryluk, MalginBUF: Okposo, Scandella, Girgensons, Mittelstadt, Jokiharju
FLA 0 – 2 BUF
6:15
FLAEvgenii Dadonov (Jonathan Huberdeau, Denis Malgin)wrist0.13 xG
FLA: Yandle, Dadonov, Huberdeau, Brown, MalginBUF: Okposo, Scandella, Larsson, Girgensons, Jokiharju
FLA 1 – 2 BUF
19:49
FLAMike Hoffman (Evgenii Dadonov, Vincent Trocheck)wrist0.07 xG
FLA: Yandle, Dadonov, Hoffman, Trocheck, Huberdeau, BarkovBUF: Larsson, Girgensons, McCabe, Ristolainen, Eichel
FLA 2 – 2 BUF

Decided in the shootout: FLA 2 – 3 BUF.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Florida Panthers

FLA skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Aleksander Barkov C	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.13	0	1	0	24:36	—	—	67	69
Jonathan Huberdeau L	L1	0	1	1	+1	3	0.18	1	0	0	20:21	—	—	65	65
Mike Hoffman C	L1	1	0	1	0	9	0.69	1	0	2	20:06	—	—	60	51
Noel Acciari C	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.53	1	2	0	14:37	—	—	52	50
Colton Sceviour C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	1	0	12:32	—	—	40	50
Dryden Hunt L	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.11	2	0	0	9:35	—	—	46	49
Vincent Trocheck C	L3	0	1	1	+1	4	0.12	0	2	0	20:23	—	—	42	34
Frank Vatrano R	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.02	0	1	2	16:42	—	—	52	58
Brett Connolly R	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.17	2	0	0	10:55	—	—	58	62
Evgenii Dadonov L	L4	1	1	2	+2	2	0.51	0	0	0	15:44	—	—	64	89
Denis Malgin C	L4	0	1	1	0	5	0.91	0	0	0	13:17	—	—	60	74
Jayce Hawryluk R	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	0	0	6:31	—	—	58	77
Aaron Ekblad D	D1	0	0	0	0	1	0.22	0	1	0	28:44	—	—	66	72
MacKenzie Weegar D	D1	0	0	0	0	3	0.24	1	1	2	20:45	—	—	55	72
Mike Matheson D	D2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.08	0	2	0	22:50	—	—	50	49
Anton Stralman D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.04	2	1	0	22:14	—	—	46	50
Keith Yandle D	D3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.10	0	1	2	17:59	—	—	50	51
Joshua Brown D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	1	0	11:01	—	—	53	62

FLA goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Sergei Bobrovsky(start)	O	32	30	2	.938	3.03	63:08

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jack Eichel C	L1	0	0	0	-1	6	0.44	2	0	0	25:07	—	—	37	24
Sam Reinhart C	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.17	0	0	0	24:23	—	—	35	22
Victor Olofsson L	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.07	0	0	0	17:04	—	—	38	27
Jeff Skinner L	L2	0	0	0	0	4	0.38	0	2	0	20:29	—	—	40	54
Marcus Johansson L	L2	0	0	0	0	0	0.09	2	1	0	19:00	—	—	33	32
Vladimir Sobotka C	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	3	0	0	15:19	—	—	35	33
Zemgus Girgensons C	L3	0	2	2	0	2	0.26	1	0	0	14:59	—	—	56	45
Johan Larsson L	L3	1	0	1	-1	1	0.27	0	1	0	14:15	—	—	74	61
Kyle Okposo R	L3	0	2	2	+1	1	0.16	1	1	0	12:23	—	—	61	67
Jimmy Vesey L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.06	1	0	0	9:43	—	—	55	31
Casey Mittelstadt C	L4	0	0	0	+1	1	0.30	0	0	0	8:48	—	—	50	43
Evan Rodrigues C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.15	1	0	0	8:27	—	—	45	31
Rasmus Ristolainen D	D1	0	0	0	-1	5	0.42	0	1	2	25:24	—	—	39	29
Jake McCabe D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	1	2	0	22:32	—	—	49	47
Marco Scandella D	D2	1	0	1	+1	3	0.16	2	0	0	17:41	—	—	52	49
Henri Jokiharju D	D2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.02	0	0	0	17:40	—	—	46	44
Colin Miller D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	19:50	—	—	45	32
Rasmus Dahlin D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.06	0	1	2	17:56	—	—	44	22

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Linus Ullmark(start)	W	43	41	2	.953	4.05	65:00

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.