Florida Panthers vs. Buffalo SabresOct 15, 2022

FinalSaturday, Oct 15, 2022· KeyBank Center

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Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
FLA	2	2	0	4		FLA	16	14	7	37
BUF	2	1	0	3		BUF	13	9	5	27

: FLA 67BUF 43
: FLA 4.33BUF 2.06
PP goals: FLA 2BUF 0
Hits: FLA 11BUF 12
Blocks: FLA 10BUF 13
PIM: FLA 12BUF 16
: FLA 48%BUF 52%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Florida Panthers edge Buffalo Sabres 4–3

Florida Panthers beat Buffalo Sabres 4–3 at BUF. Matthew Tkachuk (FLA) led the scoring with 1G 1A. FLA's first power-play unit (Barkov, Ekblad, Reinhart, Montour and Tkachuk) scored 2 power-play goals on 12 attempts in 5:20 together.

Points
Alex Tuch had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 20:53.Tuch
Points
Matthew Tkachuk had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 20:05.Tkachuk
Points
Rasmus Dahlin had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 25:49.Dahlin
Points
Aleksander Barkov had 2 assists (2 points) on 4 shots in 21:41.Barkov
PP1
FLA's first power-play unit (Barkov, Ekblad, Reinhart, Montour and Tkachuk) scored 2 power-play goals on 12 attempts in 5:20 together.Barkov Ekblad Reinhart Montour Tkachuk
Goalie
Eric Comrie (BUF) faced 37 shots and stopped 33 (.892), +6 against a season average of 31.3; the loss.Comrie
Usage
Colin White (FLA) played 13:31, +3:56 up on his 9:35 season average over 67 games.White
Usage
Eetu Luostarinen (FLA) played 11:54, −4:08 down on his 16:02 season average over 81 games.Luostarinen

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← FLA attacks left (bottom on phones)BUF attacks right (top on phones) →

BUF
FLA
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 110 of 110 attempts · BUF 43 · FLA 67

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

BUF
FLA
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

BUF pressure
FLA pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: FLA 48% of the game, BUF 20%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

BUF

FLA

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	FLA	BUF
	49	38
	2.99	1.88
	2.88	1.85
	7	6
	2	2
	6	12
	−0.014	+0.014
	48%	20%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Florida Panthers

L1Verhaeghe – Barkov – Reinhart
11:0756% CF
L2Bennett – Balcers – Tkachuk
11:0668% CF
L3White – Luostarinen – Lundell
9:0763% CF
L4Hornqvist – Cousins – Lomberg
4:0544% CF
D1Ekblad – Forsling
13:2852% CF
D2Staal – Montour
12:1947% CF
D3Gudas – Mahura
9:5367% CF

PP1Barkov – Ekblad – Reinhart – Montour – Tkachuk
5:2086% CF
PP2Hornqvist – Verhaeghe – Bennett – Forsling – Lundell
2:40100% CF
PK1FBarkov – Reinhart
1:39
PK2FBennett – Lundell
0:33
PK1DEkblad – Forsling
1:49
PK2DStaal – Gudas
1:07

Current FLA line combinations →

Buffalo Sabres

L1Skinner – Olofsson – Thompson
8:1150% CF
L2Okposo – Girgensons – Asplund
7:5350% CF
L3Krebs – Cozens – Peterka
5:5250% CF
L4Tuch – Mittelstadt – Quinn
4:3940% CF
D1Samuelsson – Power
8:2256% CF
D2Jokiharju – Dahlin
6:5244% CF
D3Bryson – Lyubushkin
6:3823% CF

PP1Okposo – Olofsson – Dahlin – Krebs – Cozens
2:05100% CF
PP2Skinner – Tuch – Thompson – Mittelstadt – Power
1:22100% CF
PK1FTuch – Mittelstadt
3:02
PK2FAsplund – Cozens
1:30
PK1DBryson – Dahlin
2:30
PK2DJokiharju – Samuelsson
1:43

Current BUF line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

10:35
BUFAlex Tuch (Henri Jokiharju, Eric Comrie)backhand0.16 xG
FLA: Staal, Bennett, Montour, Balcers, TkachukBUF: Tuch, Mittelstadt, Jokiharju, Quinn, Power
FLA 0 – 1 BUF
14:03
FLAColin White (Eetu Luostarinen, Anton Lundell)slap0.16 xG
FLA: Ekblad, Forsling, White, Luostarinen, LundellBUF: Bryson, Lyubushkin, Krebs, Cozens, Peterka
FLA 1 – 1 BUF
18:09
FLAMatthew Tkachuk (Gustav Forsling)backhand0.11 xG
FLA: Montour, Forsling, Lomberg, Tkachuk, LuostarinenBUF: Skinner, Thompson, Mittelstadt, Bryson, Power
FLA 2 – 1 BUF
18:51
BUFZemgus Girgensons (JJ Peterka, Rasmus Dahlin)wrist0.05 xG
FLA: Gudas, Verhaeghe, Reinhart, Bennett, MahuraBUF: Girgensons, Asplund, Jokiharju, Dahlin, Peterka
FLA 2 – 2 BUF

2nd period

2:31
FLAAaron EkbladPP (Aleksander Barkov, Sam Reinhart)wrist0.12 xG
FLA: Barkov, Ekblad, Reinhart, Montour, TkachukBUF: Okposo, Girgensons, Lyubushkin, Power
FLA 3 – 2 BUF
17:45
FLABrandon MontourPP (Matthew Tkachuk, Aleksander Barkov)wrist0.03 xG
FLA: Barkov, Ekblad, Reinhart, Montour, TkachukBUF: Okposo, Asplund, Jokiharju, Samuelsson
FLA 4 – 2 BUF
19:01
BUFRasmus Dahlin (Alex Tuch)wrist0.16 xG
FLA: Staal, Gudas, Bennett, Balcers, TkachukBUF: Tuch, Mittelstadt, Jokiharju, Dahlin, Cozens
FLA 4 – 3 BUF

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Florida Panthers

FLA skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Aleksander Barkov C	L1	0	2	2	0	4	0.47	0	0	0	21:41	—	—	47	60
Sam Reinhart C	L1	0	1	1	-1	4	0.53	0	1	0	20:35	—	—	47	62
Carter Verhaeghe C	L1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.11	0	0	0	17:19	—	—	53	64
Matthew Tkachuk L	L2	1	1	2	-1	4	0.44	0	0	4	20:05	—	—	64	57
Sam Bennett C	L2	0	0	0	-3	3	0.69	1	0	2	17:37	—	—	61	53
Rudolfs Balcers L	L2	0	0	0	-2	2	0.14	0	0	0	12:04	—	—	68	56
Anton Lundell C	L3	0	1	1	+1	1	0.07	1	1	0	17:11	—	—	59	87
Colin White C	L3	1	0	1	+1	2	0.21	0	0	0	13:31	—	—	58	71
Eetu Luostarinen C	L3	0	1	1	+2	1	0.16	0	1	0	11:54	—	—	65	92
Patric Hornqvist R	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.22	0	0	0	8:52	—	—	44	68
Ryan Lomberg L	L4	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	0	2	8:05	—	—	50	64
Nick Cousins C	L4	0	0	0	0	3	0.18	1	0	0	6:53	—	—	39	41
Aaron Ekblad D	D1	1	0	1	+1	5	0.54	2	1	0	25:16	—	—	52	57
Gustav Forsling D	D1	0	1	1	+2	4	0.23	1	2	0	24:37	—	—	63	75
Brandon Montour D	D2	1	0	1	0	1	0.10	0	3	2	21:44	—	—	48	64
Marc Staal D	D2	0	0	0	-2	0	0.03	0	1	0	16:12	—	—	42	37
Radko Gudas D	D3	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	4	0	0	16:43	—	—	67	61
Josh Mahura D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.22	0	0	2	11:41	—	—	67	61

FLA goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Spencer Knight(start)	W	27	24	3	.889	2.06	60:00

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Tage Thompson C	L1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.22	0	1	0	19:00	—	—	48	22
Jeff Skinner L	L1	0	0	0	-1	6	0.47	0	0	0	17:30	—	—	54	28
Victor Olofsson L	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	0	0	0	16:04	—	—	43	26
Kyle Okposo R	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.05	2	0	0	13:31	—	—	44	17
Rasmus Asplund C	L2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.02	1	0	0	12:02	—	—	57	29
Zemgus Girgensons C	L2	1	0	1	+1	1	0.08	0	0	2	11:28	—	—	41	21
Dylan Cozens C	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.32	2	1	2	16:35	—	—	33	41
Peyton Krebs C	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.04	1	0	2	10:28	—	—	46	49
JJ Peterka R	L3	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	0	0	2	10:14	—	—	47	48
Alex Tuch R	L4	1	1	2	+2	3	0.41	1	1	0	20:53	—	—	47	60
Casey Mittelstadt C	L4	0	0	0	+1	2	0.08	0	1	0	20:46	—	—	35	48
Jack Quinn R	L4	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	2	0	0	9:33	—	—	39	64
Owen Power D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	20:30	—	—	36	35
Mattias Samuelsson D	D1	0	0	0	0	3	0.17	0	1	0	20:20	—	—	56	55
Rasmus Dahlin D	D2	1	1	2	+2	3	0.17	0	2	2	25:49	—	—	60	59
Henri Jokiharju D	D2	0	1	1	+3	0	0.00	1	2	0	19:46	—	—	35	48
Jacob Bryson D	D3	0	0	0	-2	0	0.01	0	3	2	13:01	—	—	30	9
Ilya Lyubushkin D	D3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	2	1	4	12:00	—	—	28	6

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Eric Comrie(start)	L	37	33	4	.892	4.33	59:40

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.