Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Carolina HurricanesMar 19, 2019

Final / SOTuesday, Mar 19, 2019· PNC Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	OT	SO	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
PIT	0	1	1	0	0	2		PIT	11	7	18	2	38
CAR	0	1	1	0	1	3		CAR	11	10	14	4	39

: PIT 60CAR 76
: PIT 2.44CAR 4.79
PP goals: PIT 0CAR 0
Hits: PIT 25CAR 28
Blocks: PIT 15CAR 11
PIM: PIT 18CAR 6
: PIT 43%CAR 57%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Carolina Hurricanes edge Pittsburgh Penguins 3–2 (SO)

Carolina Hurricanes beat Pittsburgh Penguins 3–2 in a shootout at home. Jake Guentzel (PIT) led the scoring with 1G 1A. New look for PIT: Crosby–Rust–Guentzel skated 10:41 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (43.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.

Points
Jake Guentzel had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 20:26.Guentzel
Points
Bryan Rust had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 19:11.Rust
New line
New look for PIT: Crosby–Rust–Guentzel skated 10:41 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (43.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Crosby Rust Guentzel
Luck
CAR scored 2 goals on 4.79 expected goals (76 attempts), well short of its chances.
Goalie
Matt Murray (PIT) faced 39 shots and stopped 37 (.949), +7 against a season average of 31.9; the overtime loss.Murray
Goalie
Petr Mrazek (CAR) faced 38 shots and stopped 36 (.947), +10 against a season average of 27.6; the win.Mrazek
Usage
Sebastian Aho (CAR) played 28:27, +8:24 up on his 20:03 season average over 81 games.Aho
Usage
Brock McGinn (CAR) played 8:53, −5:30 down on his 14:23 season average over 81 games.McGinn

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← PIT attacks left (bottom on phones)CAR attacks right (top on phones) →

CAR
PIT
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 136 of 136 attempts · CAR 76 · PIT 60

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

CAR
PIT
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

CAR pressure
PIT pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: PIT 21% of the game, CAR 43%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

CAR

PIT

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	PIT	CAR
	65	61
	2.40	3.38
	2.36	3.26
	8	11
	8	6
	24	26
	−0.062	+0.062
	21%	43%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Pittsburgh Penguins

L1Hornqvist – Bjugstad – Simon
11:5733% CF
L2Crosby – Rust – Guentzel
10:4143% CF
L3Kessel – Blueger – McCann
8:2653% CF
L4Cullen – Wilson – Blandisi
6:0763% CF
D1Letang – Dumoulin
18:0156% CF
D2Johnson – Schultz
15:1437% CF
D3Gudbranson – Pettersson
15:0158% CF

PP1Crosby – Hornqvist – Kessel – Schultz – Guentzel
1:00100% CF
PP2Letang – Bjugstad – McCann – Pettersson – Simon
0:40
PK1FCullen – Rust
0:46
PK2FBlueger – McCann
0:26
PK1DLetang – Dumoulin
1:04
PK2DGudbranson – Pettersson
0:31

Current PIT line combinations →

Carolina Hurricanes

L1Williams – Niederreiter – Aho
14:4048% CF
L2Staal – Teravainen – Svechnikov
10:5672% CF
L3Ferland – Martinook – Wallmark
10:3142% CF
L4McKegg – McGinn – Maenalanen
5:5933% CF
D1Faulk – Pesce
18:0646% CF
D2Hamilton – Slavin
14:5962% CF
D3van Riemsdyk – Fleury
12:2440% CF

PP1Williams – Faulk – Niederreiter – Teravainen – Aho
1:1775% CF
PP2Staal – Ferland – Hamilton – Slavin – Svechnikov
0:26
PK1FTeravainen – Aho
1:08
PK2FStaal – McGinn
0:43
PK1DSlavin – Pesce
1:00
PK2Dvan Riemsdyk – Fleury
0:51

Current CAR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

9:38
CARBrock McGinn (Justin Faulk)snap0.13 xG
PIT: Cullen, Johnson, Kessel, Schultz, BlandisiCAR: McKegg, Faulk, Martinook, McGinn, Pesce
PIT 0 – 1 CAR
10:16
PITJake Guentzel (Sidney Crosby, Bryan Rust)slap0.17 xG
PIT: Crosby, Letang, Dumoulin, Rust, GuentzelCAR: Williams, Faulk, Niederreiter, Pesce, Aho
PIT 1 – 1 CAR

3rd period

15:23
PITKris Letang (Bryan Rust, Jake Guentzel)wrist0.12 xG
PIT: Crosby, Letang, Dumoulin, Rust, GuentzelCAR: Williams, Faulk, Niederreiter, Pesce, Aho
PIT 2 – 1 CAR
18:04
CARJustin Williams (Dougie Hamilton, Nino Niederreiter)wrist0.14 xG
PIT: Cullen, Crosby, Letang, Dumoulin, RustCAR: Williams, Staal, Niederreiter, Hamilton, Slavin, Aho
PIT 2 – 2 CAR

Decided in the shootout: PIT 2 – 3 CAR.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Pittsburgh Penguins

PIT skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Nick Bjugstad C	L1	0	0	0	0	3	0.14	2	0	0	19:01	—	—	43	56
Dominik Simon C	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.45	0	0	0	16:02	—	—	42	49
Patric Hornqvist R	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.11	1	0	0	13:58	—	—	33	25
Sidney Crosby C	L2	0	1	1	+1	4	0.21	0	0	2	20:49	—	—	47	50
Jake Guentzel C	L2	1	1	2	+2	2	0.18	2	0	0	20:26	—	—	55	53
Bryan Rust R	L2	0	2	2	+1	2	0.02	1	0	2	19:11	—	—	47	29
Phil Kessel R	L3	0	0	0	-1	4	0.39	0	0	0	16:05	—	—	50	32
Teddy Blueger C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	2	2	0	15:11	—	—	59	16
Jared McCann L	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.16	2	0	0	15:02	—	—	64	47
Matt Cullen C	L4	0	0	0	-2	1	0.15	1	1	0	13:00	—	—	68	50
Garrett Wilson L	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.23	2	0	0	9:10	—	—	59	56
Joseph Blandisi C	L4	0	0	0	-1	2	0.03	1	0	0	7:44	—	—	52	43
Kris Letang D	D1	1	0	1	+1	4	0.18	1	1	12	26:45	—	—	56	48
Brian Dumoulin D	D1	0	0	0	+1	4	0.12	4	3	0	25:10	—	—	58	49
Justin Schultz D	D2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.04	3	3	0	18:41	—	—	41	26
Jack Johnson D	D2	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	1	4	2	17:53	—	—	35	34
Marcus Pettersson D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.01	0	1	0	20:01	—	—	56	53
Erik Gudbranson D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	2	0	0	16:37	—	—	58	39

PIT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Matt Murray(start)	O	39	37	2	.949	4.79	65:00

Carolina Hurricanes

CAR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Sebastian Aho C	L1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.44	1	1	0	28:27	—	—	46	51
Justin Williams R	L1	1	0	1	-1	3	0.64	2	1	2	22:28	—	—	43	36
Nino Niederreiter R	L1	0	1	1	-1	2	0.77	1	0	0	21:32	—	—	47	48
Teuvo Teravainen C	L2	0	0	0	0	5	0.29	1	0	0	21:18	—	—	66	64
Jordan Staal C	L2	0	0	0	+1	3	0.18	3	0	0	16:12	—	—	67	79
Andrei Svechnikov R	L2	0	0	0	0	3	0.78	1	2	0	15:13	—	—	65	61
Micheal Ferland L	L3	0	0	0	0	4	0.28	1	0	0	13:49	—	—	40	81
Lucas Wallmark C	L3	0	0	0	0	1	0.14	0	0	0	13:47	—	—	40	39
Jordan Martinook L	L3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	8	0	0	13:01	—	—	43	89
Brock McGinn L	L4	1	0	1	+1	2	0.22	0	0	0	8:53	—	—	35	54
Greg McKegg C	L4	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	0	0	6:38	—	—	35	54
Saku Maenalanen R	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.07	2	1	0	6:23	—	—	33	49
Justin Faulk D	D1	0	1	1	-1	3	0.16	1	1	2	25:31	—	—	44	55
Brett Pesce D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.04	1	0	2	24:32	—	—	44	57
Jaccob Slavin D	D2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.07	1	1	0	24:44	—	—	57	56
Dougie Hamilton D	D2	0	1	1	+1	7	0.53	1	2	0	20:40	—	—	60	60
Trevor van Riemsdyk D	D3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	15:45	—	—	41	66
Haydn Fleury D	D3	0	0	0	0	1	0.18	3	1	0	14:31	—	—	41	71

CAR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Petr Mrazek(start)	W	38	36	2	.947	2.44	64:23

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.