Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Toronto Maple LeafsMar 10, 2018

FinalSaturday, Mar 10, 2018· Air Canada Centre

away

Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT

2

@

home

Toronto Maple LeafsTOR

5

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
PIT	0	0	2	2		PIT	11	12	17	40
TOR	2	2	1	5		TOR	7	9	10	26

: PIT 69TOR 43
: PIT 2.44TOR 2.40
PP goals: PIT 0TOR 2
Hits: PIT 25TOR 19
Blocks: PIT 12TOR 17
PIM: PIT 6TOR 8
: PIT 45%TOR 55%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Pittsburgh Penguins 5–2

Toronto Maple Leafs beat Pittsburgh Penguins 5–2 at home. Morgan Rielly (TOR) led the scoring with 0G 3A. Frederik Andersen (TOR) faced 40 shots and stopped 38 (.950), +7 against a season average of 33.5; the win.

Points
Morgan Rielly had 3 assists (3 points) on 5 shots in 19:36.Rielly
Points
Nazem Kadri had two goals (2 points) on 4 shots in 15:46.Kadri
Points
Mitch Marner had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 17:21.Marner
Goalie
Frederik Andersen (TOR) faced 40 shots and stopped 38 (.950), +7 against a season average of 33.5; the win.Andersen
Luck
TOR scored 5 goals on 2.40 expected goals (43 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
New line
New look for PIT: Kuhnhackl–Rowney–Jooris skated 8:27 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (37.5% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Kuhnhackl Rowney Jooris
New line
New look for TOR: Plekanec–Leivo–Kapanen skated 5:39 together at 5v5 as the L4 trio (14.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Plekanec Leivo Kapanen
Usage
Ron Hainsey (TOR) played 25:12, +3:23 up on his 21:49 season average over 79 games.Hainsey

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← PIT attacks left (bottom on phones)TOR attacks right (top on phones) →

TOR
PIT
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 112 of 112 attempts · TOR 43 · PIT 69

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

TOR
PIT
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

TOR pressure
PIT pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: PIT 44% of the game, TOR 18%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

TOR

PIT

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	PIT	TOR
	64	37
	2.10	1.49
	2.04	1.48
	6	6
	4	2
	20	12
	+0.000	+0.001
	44%	18%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Pittsburgh Penguins

L1Malkin – Hornqvist – Hagelin
13:0284% CF
L2Crosby – Guentzel – Sheary
11:4164% CF
L3Brassard – Kessel – Sheahan
9:3462% CF
L4Kuhnhackl – Rowney – Jooris
8:2738% CF
D1Schultz – Oleksiak
16:2557% CF
D2Letang – Dumoulin
14:5275% CF
D3Maatta – Ruhwedel
13:4160% CF

PP1Malkin – Crosby – Letang – Hornqvist – Kessel
4:0883% CF
PP2Brassard – Schultz – Maatta – Guentzel – Sheary
1:5275% CF
PK1FHagelin – Sheahan
0:09
PK1DLetang – Dumoulin
0:09

Current PIT line combinations →

Toronto Maple Leafs

L1Hyman – Nylander – Marner
12:5829% CF
L2Marleau – Komarov – Kadri
11:3132% CF
L3van Riemsdyk – Bozak – Brown
9:4538% CF
L4Plekanec – Leivo – Kapanen
5:3914% CF
D1Carrick – Dermott
13:1442% CF
D2Polak – Gardiner
12:4823% CF
D3Hainsey – Rielly
11:3741% CF

PP1van Riemsdyk – Bozak – Kadri – Rielly – Marner
0:13100% CF
PK1FKomarov – Hyman
1:45
PK2FBrown – Kapanen
1:28
PK1DHainsey – Polak
4:52

Current TOR line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

9:10
TORKasperi Kapanen (Tyler Bozak, Josh Leivo)wrist0.01 xG
PIT: Letang, Brassard, Kessel, Dumoulin, SheahanTOR: Hainsey, Bozak, Leivo, Rielly, Kapanen
PIT 0 – 1 TOR
19:13
TORNazem Kadri (Morgan Rielly, Leo Komarov)tip-in0.04 xG
PIT: Crosby, Letang, Ruhwedel, Guentzel, ShearyTOR: Marleau, Hainsey, Komarov, Kadri, Rielly
PIT 0 – 2 TOR

2nd period

11:35
TORNazem KadriPP (Mitch Marner, Morgan Rielly)snap0.04 xG
PIT: Letang, Hagelin, Dumoulin, SheahanTOR: van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Kadri, Rielly, Marner
PIT 0 – 3 TOR
18:24
TORMitch MarnerPP (Morgan Rielly)wrist0.10 xG
PIT: Malkin, Sheahan, Kuhnhackl, MaattaTOR: van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Kadri, Rielly, Marner
PIT 0 – 4 TOR

3rd period

16:24
PITSidney Crosby (Jake Guentzel, Chad Ruhwedel)backhand0.04 xG
PIT: Crosby, Maatta, Ruhwedel, Guentzel, ShearyTOR: Marleau, Hainsey, Komarov, Kadri, Rielly
PIT 1 – 4 TOR
17:32
PITPatric Hornqvist (Evgeni Malkin, Kris Letang)tip-in0.09 xG
PIT: Malkin, Crosby, Letang, Hornqvist, Kessel, SchultzTOR: Marleau, Hainsey, Komarov, Kadri, Rielly
PIT 2 – 4 TOR
19:02
TORPatrick MarleauEN (Ron Hainsey)wrist0.63 xG
PIT: Malkin, Crosby, Letang, Kessel, Schultz, GuentzelTOR: Marleau, Hainsey, Polak, Komarov, Kadri
PIT 2 – 5 TOR

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Pittsburgh Penguins

PIT skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Evgeni Malkin C	L1	0	1	1	0	2	0.39	4	0	2	21:41	—	—	83	73
Patric Hornqvist R	L1	1	0	1	+1	5	0.20	2	0	0	20:10	—	—	77	66
Carl Hagelin L	L1	0	0	0	0	5	0.27	2	0	0	16:05	—	—	76	63
Sidney Crosby C	L2	1	0	1	0	3	0.15	1	0	0	20:47	—	—	59	47
Jake Guentzel C	L2	0	1	1	-1	4	0.31	1	0	0	16:31	—	—	59	41
Conor Sheary L	L2	0	0	0	0	1	0.22	1	2	0	15:17	—	—	68	52
Phil Kessel R	L3	0	0	0	-1	3	0.08	0	0	0	19:13	—	—	58	63
Derick Brassard C	L3	0	0	0	-1	3	0.24	0	0	0	14:51	—	—	58	52
Riley Sheahan C	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	2	0	11:42	—	—	62	67
Josh Jooris R	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.14	1	0	0	9:42	—	—	38	80
Tom Kuhnhackl R	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.12	1	0	0	9:40	—	—	38	80
Carter Rowney C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	9:06	—	—	38	80
Justin Schultz D	D1	0	0	0	0	4	0.10	2	3	0	24:54	—	—	56	46
Jamie Oleksiak D	D1	0	0	0	0	3	0.06	7	0	2	18:32	—	—	59	44
Kris Letang D	D2	0	1	1	-2	2	0.13	1	0	0	24:01	—	—	68	66
Brian Dumoulin D	D2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	0	2	15:50	—	—	76	84
Olli Maatta D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	5	0	17:25	—	—	63	62
Chad Ruhwedel D	D3	0	1	1	0	2	0.03	0	0	0	14:31	—	—	58	58

PIT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Tristan Jarry(start)	L	16	12	4	.750	1.03	39:34
Casey DeSmith	—	9	9	0	.1000	0.74	17:51

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Zach Hyman L	L1	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	0	1	0	18:23	—	—	27	36
Mitch Marner R	L1	1	1	2	0	3	0.30	0	0	0	17:21	—	—	40	49
William Nylander R	L1	0	0	0	0	2	0.20	1	1	0	17:09	—	—	30	41
Leo Komarov R	L2	0	1	1	0	1	0.23	4	0	2	16:43	—	—	29	46
Patrick Marleau C	L2	1	0	1	0	2	0.79	1	0	2	16:23	—	—	33	49
Nazem Kadri C	L2	2	0	2	0	4	0.29	3	2	0	15:46	—	—	37	63
Tyler Bozak C	L3	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	0	1	0	14:46	—	—	52	34
Connor Brown R	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.09	1	0	0	14:10	—	—	38	21
James van Riemsdyk L	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.07	0	0	0	13:16	—	—	45	30
Kasperi Kapanen R	L4	1	0	1	+1	1	0.06	1	0	0	10:52	—	—	50	40
Tomas Plekanec C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	9:29	—	—	10	5
Josh Leivo L	L4	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	0	0	0	8:04	—	—	50	37
Connor Carrick D	D1	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	2	15:32	—	—	48	32
Travis Dermott D	D1	0	0	0	0	3	0.22	0	1	0	15:28	—	—	38	18
Roman Polak D	D2	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	6	2	2	23:05	—	—	28	29
Jake Gardiner D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	2	0	20:45	—	—	25	26
Ron Hainsey D	D3	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	0	4	0	25:12	—	—	34	51
Morgan Rielly D	D3	0	3	3	0	5	0.13	1	2	0	19:36	—	—	50	74

TOR goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Frederik Andersen(start)	W	40	38	2	.950	2.44	60:00

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.