Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Nashville PredatorsNov 11, 2017

Final / SOSaturday, Nov 11, 2017· Bridgestone Arena

away

Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT

4

@

home

Nashville PredatorsNSH

5

Goals	1	2	3	OT	SO	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
PIT	1	1	2	0	0	4		PIT	6	16	6	2	30
NSH	0	3	1	0	1	5		NSH	5	10	12	1	28

: PIT 68NSH 62
: PIT 2.87NSH 4.03
PP goals: PIT 0NSH 2
Hits: PIT 22NSH 24
Blocks: PIT 18NSH 23
PIM: PIT 14NSH 10
: PIT 50%NSH 50%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Nashville Predators edge Pittsburgh Penguins 5–4 (SO)

Nashville Predators beat Pittsburgh Penguins 5–4 in a shootout at home. Craig Smith (NSH) led the scoring with 1G 1A. NSH's first power-play unit (Subban, Smith, Johansen, Forsberg and Arvidsson) scored 2 power-play goals on 4 attempts in 3:19 together.

Points
Craig Smith had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 22:23.Smith
Points
Kyle Turris had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 2 shots in 21:38.Turris
Points
Phil Kessel had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 4 shots in 21:11.Kessel
Points
Filip Forsberg had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 19:48.Forsberg
Points
Kris Letang had 2 assists (2 points) on 3 shots in 28:16.Letang
PP1
NSH's first power-play unit (Subban, Smith, Johansen, Forsberg and Arvidsson) scored 2 power-play goals on 4 attempts in 3:19 together.Subban Smith Johansen Forsberg Arvidsson
New line
New look for NSH: Turris–Smith–Fiala skated 10:34 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (50% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Turris Smith Fiala
New line
New look for PIT: Crosby–Rust–Guentzel skated 11:52 together at 5v5 as the L1 trio (78.3% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Crosby Rust Guentzel

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← PIT attacks left (bottom on phones)NSH attacks right (top on phones) →

NSH
PIT
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 130 of 130 attempts · NSH 62 · PIT 68

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

NSH
PIT
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

NSH pressure
PIT pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: PIT 31% of the game, NSH 39%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

NSH

PIT

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	PIT	NSH
	56	49
	1.86	2.60
	1.84	2.50
	7	11
	6	1
	12	14
	−0.018	+0.018
	31%	39%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Pittsburgh Penguins

L1Crosby – Rust – Guentzel
11:5278% CF
L2Malkin – Kessel – Hagelin
9:1856% CF
L3Hornqvist – Sheahan – Sheary
6:2640% CF
L4Reaves – McKegg – Kuhnhackl
4:5433% CF
D1Letang – Dumoulin
15:2259% CF
D2Cole – Schultz
10:2061% CF
D3Maatta – Ruhwedel
8:2638% CF

PP1Malkin – Crosby – Hornqvist – Kessel – Schultz
3:2375% CF
PP2Letang – Rust – Maatta – Guentzel – Sheary
2:25100% CF
PK1FHagelin – Sheahan
3:33
PK2FRust – Kuhnhackl
1:16
PK1DCole – Dumoulin
2:15
PK2DLetang – Maatta
0:59

Current PIT line combinations →

Nashville Predators

L1Turris – Smith – Fiala
10:3450% CF
L2Johansen – Forsberg – Arvidsson
10:0040% CF
L3Jarnkrok – Watson – Salomaki
3:1733% CF
D1Josi – Ekholm
16:4750% CF
D2Emelin – Subban
12:5440% CF
D3Weber – Irwin
7:3755% CF

PP1Subban – Smith – Johansen – Forsberg – Arvidsson
3:19100% CF
PP2Turris – Josi – Ekholm – Sissons – Fiala
1:180% CF
PK1FJarnkrok – Arvidsson
2:40
PK2FWatson – Sissons
2:19
PK1DJosi – Ekholm
2:42
PK2DEmelin – Irwin
1:18

Current NSH line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

11:58
PITBryan RustSH (Kris Letang)wrist0.08 xG
PIT: Letang, Rust, Kuhnhackl, MaattaNSH: Turris, Josi, Ekholm, Sissons, Fiala
PIT 1 – 0 NSH

2nd period

2:01
NSHKyle Turris (Miikka Salomaki)snap0.17 xG
PIT: Hornqvist, Sheahan, Maatta, Ruhwedel, ShearyNSH: Turris, Weber, Irwin, Jarnkrok, Salomaki
PIT 1 – 1 NSH
3:52
NSHP.K. SubbanPP (Filip Forsberg, Viktor Arvidsson)slap0.04 xG
PIT: Cole, Dumoulin, Sheahan, ShearyNSH: Subban, Smith, Johansen, Forsberg, Arvidsson
PIT 1 – 2 NSH
5:29
NSHCraig SmithPP (Filip Forsberg, Ryan Johansen)wrist0.55 xG
PIT: Cole, Dumoulin, Rust, KuhnhacklNSH: Subban, Smith, Johansen, Forsberg, Arvidsson
PIT 1 – 3 NSH
12:27
PITPhil Kessel (Evgeni Malkin, Kris Letang)wrist0.05 xG
PIT: Malkin, Kessel, Cole, Hagelin, SchultzNSH: Turris, Josi, Ekholm, Forsberg, Arvidsson
PIT 2 – 3 NSH

3rd period

2:27
PITJake Guentzel (Justin Schultz)backhand0.07 xG
PIT: Crosby, Kessel, Cole, Schultz, GuentzelNSH: Emelin, Subban, Jarnkrok, Watson, Salomaki
PIT 3 – 3 NSH
4:46
NSHCalle Jarnkrok (Kyle Turris, Craig Smith)wrist0.12 xG
PIT: Crosby, Kessel, Cole, Schultz, GuentzelNSH: Turris, Josi, Ekholm, Smith, Jarnkrok
PIT 3 – 4 NSH
7:43
PITBrian Dumoulin (Conor Sheary, Phil Kessel)snap0.17 xG
PIT: Malkin, Letang, Kessel, Dumoulin, ShearyNSH: Emelin, Subban, Johansen, Forsberg, Arvidsson
PIT 4 – 4 NSH

Decided in the shootout: PIT 4 – 5 NSH.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Pittsburgh Penguins

PIT skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Sidney Crosby C	L1	0	0	0	0	5	0.46	0	0	0	22:39	—	—	68	49
Jake Guentzel C	L1	1	0	1	0	1	0.19	0	0	2	20:55	—	—	69	54
Bryan Rust R	L1	1	0	1	+1	5	0.40	0	0	0	19:16	—	—	71	64
Phil Kessel R	L2	1	1	2	+2	4	0.26	0	1	2	21:11	—	—	41	42
Evgeni Malkin C	L2	0	1	1	+2	2	0.52	0	0	2	20:54	—	—	44	49
Carl Hagelin L	L2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.04	2	2	0	16:16	—	—	40	38
Riley Sheahan C	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	1	0	15:36	—	—	54	14
Patric Hornqvist R	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.10	4	2	0	15:05	—	—	47	14
Conor Sheary L	L3	0	1	1	0	2	0.17	0	0	2	12:51	—	—	54	36
Tom Kuhnhackl R	L4	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	4	0	0	7:40	—	—	50	43
Ryan Reaves R	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.06	3	0	0	7:08	—	—	40	58
Greg McKegg C	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.07	0	0	0	6:35	—	—	33	35
Kris Letang D	D1	0	2	2	+2	3	0.13	4	1	2	28:16	—	—	61	44
Brian Dumoulin D	D1	1	0	1	+1	1	0.21	4	5	0	22:28	—	—	57	44
Justin Schultz D	D2	0	1	1	+1	1	0.08	0	2	2	19:58	—	—	57	41
Ian Cole D	D2	0	0	0	+1	1	0.04	1	3	0	19:37	—	—	57	45
Olli Maatta D	D3	0	0	0	0	2	0.15	0	0	0	16:52	—	—	42	35
Chad Ruhwedel D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	1	0	13:37	—	—	42	41

PIT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Tristan Jarry(start)	O	28	24	4	.857	4.03	64:50

Nashville Predators

NSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Craig Smith C	L1	1	1	2	+1	4	1.44	1	1	2	22:23	—	—	47	68
Kyle Turris C	L1	1	1	2	0	2	0.43	1	0	0	21:38	—	—	46	69
Kevin Fiala L	L1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.16	0	0	0	16:02	—	—	52	72
Filip Forsberg L	L2	0	2	2	-2	1	0.41	2	0	0	19:48	—	—	44	47
Viktor Arvidsson L	L2	0	1	1	-2	1	0.15	0	1	0	19:45	—	—	38	30
Ryan Johansen C	L2	0	1	1	-1	2	0.34	0	0	2	18:11	—	—	48	49
Calle Jarnkrok C	L3	1	0	1	+1	3	0.24	0	0	0	15:33	—	—	43	71
Austin Watson L	L3	0	0	0	-1	3	0.12	7	4	0	13:59	—	—	52	69
Miikka Salomaki R	L3	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	3	3	2	12:09	—	—	44	59
Roman Josi D	D1	0	0	0	-1	3	0.24	1	2	0	29:53	—	—	48	71
Mattias Ekholm D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.31	2	1	2	27:09	—	—	50	68
P.K. Subban D	D2	1	0	1	-2	2	0.07	0	2	2	24:20	—	—	41	48
Alexei Emelin D	D2	0	0	0	-2	1	0.04	3	4	0	19:49	—	—	43	40
Matt Irwin D	D3	0	0	0	+1	1	0.00	1	2	0	12:52	—	—	41	48
Yannick Weber D	D3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	1	0	8:08	—	—	55	70
Colton Sissons C	—	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	1	1	0	16:19	—	—	53	46
Cody McLeod L	—	0	0	0	0	0	0.06	0	1	0	5:43	—	—	54	50
Scott Hartnell L	—	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	1:40	—	—	0	0

NSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Pekka Rinne(start)	W	30	26	4	.867	2.87	65:00

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.