Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Nashville PredatorsMar 21, 2019

Final / SOThursday, Mar 21, 2019· Bridgestone Arena

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Goals	1	2	3	OT	SO	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
PIT	0	1	0	0	1	2		PIT	12	8	12	1	33
NSH	0	0	1	0	0	1		NSH	8	7	13	1	29

: PIT 69NSH 54
: PIT 3.90NSH 1.28
PP goals: PIT 0NSH 0
Hits: PIT 18NSH 17
Blocks: PIT 16NSH 15
PIM: PIT 6NSH 4
: PIT 60%NSH 40%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Pittsburgh Penguins edge Nashville Predators 2–1 (SO)

Pittsburgh Penguins beat Nashville Predators 2–1 in a shootout at NSH. Bryan Rust (PIT) led the scoring with 1G 0A. PIT scored 1 goal on 3.90 expected goals (69 attempts), well short of its chances.

Luck
PIT scored 1 goal on 3.90 expected goals (69 attempts), well short of its chances.
Usage
Bryan Rust (PIT) played 20:44, +4:54 up on his 15:50 season average over 71 games.Rust
New line
New look for NSH: Bonino–Grimaldi–Sissons skated 5:39 together at 5v5 as the L3 trio (50% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Bonino Grimaldi Sissons
Usage
Nick Bjugstad (PIT) played 20:42, +5:40 up on his 15:02 season average over 63 games.Bjugstad
Usage
Yannick Weber (NSH) played 7:14, −4:45 down on his 11:59 season average over 61 games.Weber
Usage
Matt Irwin (NSH) played 6:53, −4:31 down on his 11:24 season average over 43 games.Irwin
Usage
Wayne Simmonds (NSH) played 11:23, −4:20 down on his 15:43 season average over 78 games.Simmonds
Usage
Jake Guentzel (PIT) played 23:04, +3:46 up on his 19:18 season average over 81 games.Guentzel

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← PIT attacks left (bottom on phones)NSH attacks right (top on phones) →

NSH
PIT
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 123 of 123 attempts · NSH 54 · PIT 69

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

NSH
PIT
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

NSH pressure
PIT pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: PIT 57% of the game, NSH 13%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

NSH

PIT

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	PIT	NSH
	67	56
	3.54	1.08
	3.44	1.07
	14	6
	5	5
	18	19
	+0.093	−0.092
	57%	13%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Pittsburgh Penguins

L1Crosby – Rust – Guentzel
15:1950% CF
L2Hornqvist – Bjugstad – Simon
11:0982% CF
L3Kessel – Blueger – McCann
9:2935% CF
L4Cullen – Wilson – Johnson
3:4957% CF
D1Letang – Dumoulin
16:3053% CF
D2Gudbranson – Pettersson
13:1457% CF
D3Johnson – Schultz
12:3556% CF

PP1Crosby – Letang – Hornqvist – Kessel – Guentzel
2:1575% CF
PP2Schultz – Bjugstad – McCann – Pettersson – Simon
1:45100% CF
PK1FCullen – Rust
3:11
PK2FWilson – Blueger
1:17
PK1DJohnson – Gudbranson
3:03
PK2DLetang – Dumoulin
2:56

Current PIT line combinations →

Nashville Predators

L1Johansen – Forsberg – Arvidsson
11:1742% CF
L2Turris – Smith – Granlund
7:1261% CF
L3Bonino – Grimaldi – Sissons
5:3950% CF
L4Boyle – Simmonds – Jarnkrok
2:0050% CF
D1Josi – Ellis
18:5845% CF
D2Subban – Ekholm
18:4748% CF
D3Weber – Irwin
6:2540% CF

PP1Boyle – Subban – Smith – Johansen – Arvidsson
2:54100% CF
PP2Bonino – Simmonds – Josi – Granlund – Forsberg
2:3650% CF
PK1FBonino – Sissons
1:31
PK2FJohansen – Arvidsson
0:51
PK1DSubban – Ekholm
2:07
PK2DJosi – Ellis
1:44

Current NSH line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

2nd period

5:57
PITBryan Rust (Kris Letang)backhand0.15 xG
PIT: Crosby, Letang, Dumoulin, Rust, GuentzelNSH: Subban, Ekholm, Johansen, Forsberg, Arvidsson
PIT 1 – 0 NSH

3rd period

16:59
NSHRyan Elliswrist0.03 xG
PIT: Johnson, Kessel, Schultz, Blueger, McCannNSH: Turris, Josi, Ellis, Smith, Granlund
PIT 1 – 1 NSH

Decided in the shootout: PIT 2 – 1 NSH.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Pittsburgh Penguins

PIT skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Sidney Crosby C	L1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.11	0	2	2	23:41	—	—	51	74
Jake Guentzel C	L1	0	0	0	+1	2	0.45	0	0	0	23:04	—	—	51	80
Bryan Rust R	L1	1	0	1	+1	4	0.91	0	2	0	20:44	—	—	46	71
Nick Bjugstad C	L2	0	0	0	0	5	0.45	2	0	2	20:42	—	—	68	90
Patric Hornqvist R	L2	0	0	0	0	5	0.63	5	2	0	15:53	—	—	77	97
Dominik Simon C	L2	0	0	0	0	2	0.37	2	0	0	14:34	—	—	75	93
Jared McCann L	L3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.15	0	0	0	16:36	—	—	35	18
Phil Kessel R	L3	0	0	0	-1	1	0.32	0	0	0	15:37	—	—	38	43
Teddy Blueger C	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	2	13:01	—	—	32	22
Matt Cullen C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	2	0	0	10:45	—	—	53	79
Garrett Wilson L	L4	0	0	0	0	2	0.09	0	0	0	7:53	—	—	55	73
Adam Johnson C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.08	1	0	0	3:59	—	—	57	86
Kris Letang D	D1	0	1	1	+1	2	0.09	1	4	0	27:00	—	—	56	83
Brian Dumoulin D	D1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.08	0	1	0	22:51	—	—	50	80
Marcus Pettersson D	D2	0	0	0	0	4	0.13	0	1	0	17:38	—	—	55	76
Erik Gudbranson D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	2	0	17:36	—	—	58	73
Jack Johnson D	D3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	4	1	0	18:52	—	—	56	72
Justin Schultz D	D3	0	0	0	-1	2	0.04	0	1	0	18:48	—	—	53	72

PIT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Matt Murray(start)	W	29	28	1	.966	1.28	64:46

Nashville Predators

NSH skaters
Skater	Line	G	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Viktor Arvidsson L	L1	0	0	-1	4	0.35	0	2	0	19:35	—	—	37	12
Ryan Johansen C	L1	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	19:11	—	—	40	12
Filip Forsberg L	L1	0	0	-1	2	0.10	5	0	0	16:57	—	—	37	12
Mikael Granlund C	L2	0	0	+1	1	0.07	2	2	2	18:49	—	—	42	36
Kyle Turris C	L2	0	0	+1	1	0.03	0	1	0	18:12	—	—	55	48
Craig Smith C	L2	0	0	+1	3	0.12	0	1	0	16:41	—	—	50	36
Nick Bonino C	L3	0	0	0	0	0.01	0	0	0	17:21	—	—	35	6
Colton Sissons C	L3	0	0	0	1	0.10	3	1	0	15:35	—	—	50	25
Rocco Grimaldi R	L3	0	0	0	2	0.05	1	1	2	12:56	—	—	52	23
Calle Jarnkrok C	L4	0	0	0	1	0.12	0	1	0	13:22	—	—	52	35
Brian Boyle C	L4	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	0	0	11:59	—	—	67	88
Wayne Simmonds R	L4	0	0	0	1	0.04	2	0	0	11:23	—	—	44	43
Roman Josi D	D1	0	0	+1	2	0.09	1	0	0	29:05	—	—	51	33
Ryan Ellis D	D1	1	1	+1	3	0.04	1	1	0	24:51	—	—	38	24
Mattias Ekholm D	D2	0	0	-1	2	0.06	1	2	0	25:36	—	—	43	16
P.K. Subban D	D2	0	0	-1	5	0.08	0	2	0	25:20	—	—	51	20
Yannick Weber D	D3	0	0	0	0	0.02	0	0	0	7:14	—	—	38	32
Matt Irwin D	D3	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	6:53	—	—	47	37

NSH goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Pekka Rinne(start)	O	33	32	1	.970	3.90	65:00

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.