Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Detroit Red WingsOct 18, 2023

FinalWednesday, Oct 18, 2023· Little Caesars Arena

away

home

Goals	1	2	3	T		Shots	1	2	3	T
PIT	1	0	2	3		PIT	6	9	18	33
DET	1	3	2	6		DET	7	12	10	29

: PIT 71DET 47
: PIT 3.07DET 4.03
PP goals: PIT 0DET 1
Hits: PIT 14DET 14
Blocks: PIT 8DET 20
PIM: PIT 11DET 13
: PIT 54%DET 46%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Detroit Red Wings beat Pittsburgh Penguins 6–3

Detroit Red Wings beat Pittsburgh Penguins 6–3 at home. Alex DeBrincat (DET) led the scoring with 2G 1A. DET scored 6 goals on 4.03 expected goals (47 attempts), finishing well above its chances.

Points
Alex DeBrincat had two goals and an assist (3 points) on 4 shots in 17:16.DeBrincat
Points
Erik Karlsson had a goal and 2 assists (3 points) on 4 shots in 27:56.Karlsson
Points
Dylan Larkin had 3 assists (3 points) on 4 shots in 16:47.Larkin
Points
Andrew Copp had two goals (2 points) on 4 shots in 19:36.Copp
Points
Jeff Petry had 2 assists (2 points) on 1 shot in 19:32.Petry
Luck
DET scored 6 goals on 4.03 expected goals (47 attempts), finishing well above its chances.
Usage
Andrew Copp (DET) played 19:36, +3:22 up on his 16:14 season average over 78 games.Copp
Usage
Dylan Larkin (DET) played 16:47, −3:26 down on his 20:13 season average over 67 games.Larkin

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← PIT attacks left (bottom on phones)DET attacks right (top on phones) →

DET
PIT
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 118 of 118 attempts · DET 47 · PIT 71

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

DET
PIT
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

DET pressure
PIT pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: PIT 36% of the game, DET 18%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

DET

PIT

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	PIT	DET
	71	46
	2.60	1.85
	2.41	1.72
	12	10
	6	2
	13	17
	+0.026	−0.026
	36%	18%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Pittsburgh Penguins

L1Crosby – Rust – Guentzel
13:5782% CF
L2Malkin – Smith – Rakell
11:1455% CF
L3Carter – Nieto – Acciari
6:5633% CF
L4Eller – Harkins – O'Connor
5:1233% CF
D1Karlsson – Pettersson
17:4973% CF
D2Letang – Graves
14:1840% CF
D3Ruhwedel – Joseph
4:5938% CF

PP1Malkin – Crosby – Karlsson – Rakell – Guentzel
3:26100% CF
PP2Carter – Letang – Smith – Rust – Harkins
0:5150% CF
PK1FEller – Rust
0:27
PK2FNieto – Acciari
0:17
PK1DRuhwedel – Graves
0:17
PK2DLetang – Karlsson
0:10

Current PIT line combinations →

Detroit Red Wings

L1Copp – Compher – Rasmussen
12:4428% CF
L2Larkin – DeBrincat – Raymond
11:4440% CF
L3Perron – Sprong – Veleno
10:3841% CF
L4Fischer – Czarnik – Kostin
7:0857% CF
D1Walman – Seider
15:2429% CF
D2Maatta – Gostisbehere
15:1144% CF
D3Petry – Chiarot
14:4845% CF

PP1Petry – Perron – Gostisbehere – DeBrincat – Raymond
0:280% CF
PP2Perron – Gostisbehere – Larkin – DeBrincat – Seider
0:27100% CF
PK1FCopp – Compher
2:20
PK2FLarkin – Rasmussen
0:47
PK1DWalman – Seider
2:35
PK2DChiarot – Gostisbehere
0:36

Current DET line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Pittsburgh Penguins

PIT skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jake Guentzel C	L1	0	0	0	+1	1	0.36	2	0	0	22:14	—	—	81	95
Sidney Crosby C	L1	0	1	1	+1	3	0.43	1	0	0	21:30	—	—	83	96
Bryan Rust R	L1	1	0	1	+1	2	0.29	0	0	0	18:32	—	—	77	90
Rickard Rakell R	L2	0	0	0	-1	7	0.56	2	1	0	17:53	—	—	58	50
Evgeni Malkin C	L2	1	0	1	-2	3	0.23	0	0	4	17:27	—	—	60	51
Reilly Smith R	L2	0	1	1	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	14:36	—	—	50	36
Matt Nieto L	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	2	0	14:12	—	—	46	22
Noel Acciari C	L3	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	11:35	—	—	40	51
Jeff Carter C	L3	0	0	0	0	2	0.23	0	0	0	11:01	—	—	39	35
Lars Eller C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	2	0	0	12:45	—	—	52	12
Drew O'Connor L	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	0	0	0	11:40	—	—	72	42
Jansen Harkins C	L4	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	1	0	2	8:47	—	—	46	68
Erik Karlsson D	D1	1	2	3	+2	4	0.60	1	0	0	27:56	—	—	72	66
Marcus Pettersson D	D1	0	1	1	+1	1	0.01	0	2	5	20:36	—	—	70	59
Kris Letang D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.03	2	1	0	24:35	—	—	52	37
Ryan Graves D	D2	0	1	1	0	4	0.22	3	1	0	22:03	—	—	52	59
Pierre-Olivier Joseph D	D3	0	0	0	-3	3	0.04	0	0	0	11:36	—	—	52	38
Chad Ruhwedel D	D3	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	0	1	0	8:59	—	—	50	80

PIT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Tristan Jarry(start)	L	27	23	4	.852	2.74	59:25

Detroit Red Wings

DET skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Andrew Copp C	L1	2	0	2	+2	4	1.30	0	0	0	19:36	—	—	30	27
J.T. Compher L	L1	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	0	0	19:27	—	—	24	17
Michael Rasmussen C	L1	0	1	1	+1	2	0.15	3	2	0	17:49	—	—	34	39
Alex DeBrincat R	L2	2	1	3	0	4	0.83	1	0	0	17:16	—	—	42	56
Dylan Larkin C	L2	0	3	3	-1	4	0.41	1	1	7	16:47	—	—	41	56
Lucas Raymond L	L2	0	0	0	-1	0	0.20	0	0	0	15:31	—	—	39	47
David Perron L	L3	1	0	1	0	2	0.36	1	0	0	14:53	—	—	35	22
Joseph Veleno C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	3	1	0	13:15	—	—	42	28
Daniel Sprong R	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.11	0	0	0	12:42	—	—	44	26
Christian Fischer R	L4	0	0	0	0	3	0.23	0	0	0	9:25	—	—	50	80
Austin Czarnik C	L4	0	1	1	+1	1	0.04	0	0	0	9:12	—	—	56	87
Klim Kostin C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	2	7:45	—	—	57	85
Jake Walman D	D1	0	0	0	-2	1	0.05	0	3	0	21:48	—	—	29	34
Moritz Seider D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.05	0	4	2	20:48	—	—	29	39
Shayne Gostisbehere D	D2	0	1	1	+1	1	0.05	0	2	0	19:19	—	—	41	34
Olli Maatta D	D2	0	0	0	+1	2	0.16	0	1	0	18:06	—	—	47	41
Ben Chiarot D	D3	1	0	1	+1	3	0.07	3	3	0	20:49	—	—	46	60
Jeff Petry D	D3	0	2	2	+2	1	0.01	1	2	2	19:32	—	—	42	46

DET goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Ville Husso(start)	W	33	30	3	.909	3.07	60:00

Goal anatomy

Animated replays from NHL EDGE tracking, with the entry, passes and shot speed for each goal.

Evgeni Malkin (PIT) 1st 0:53 · assists Reilly Smith, Erik Karlsson · Odd-man rush · loose puck · 3-on-2 at the blue line · 42.0 mph shot · 5.2 s from entry to goal.

Evgeni Malkin · 1st 0:53 · PIT

Play: odd-man-rush
Entry: loose
Odd man: 3-on-2
Passes: 0
Shot: 42.0 mph
Distance: 13 ft
Entry to goal: 5.2 s
Type: one-timer

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Alex DeBrincat · 1st 12:23 · DET

Play: deflection
Entry: carry
Odd man: 2-on-1
Passes: 0
Shot: 28.9 mph
Distance: 8 ft
Entry to goal: 3.0 s
Type: one-timer

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Bryan Rust · 3rd 13:03 · PIT

Play: deflection
Passes: 3 (royal road)
Shot: 26.7 mph
Distance: 6 ft
Type: deflection

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Andrew Copp · 3rd 18:28 · DET EN

Play: rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: No
Passes: 0
Shot: 54.0 mph
Distance: 37 ft
Entry to goal: 2.0 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Alex DeBrincat · 3rd 18:49 · DET EN

Play: point-shot
Passes: 1
Shot: 59.3 mph
Distance: 77 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Ben Chiarot · 2nd 5:21 · DET

Play: rush
Entry: carry
Odd man: No
Passes: 1 (royal road)
Shot: 73.3 mph
Distance: 29 ft
Entry to goal: 5.5 s

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Andrew Copp · 2nd 15:42 · DET

Play: deflection
Passes: 0
Shot: 17.9 mph
Distance: 8 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

David Perron · 2nd 17:49 · DET PP

Play: rebound
Passes: 0
Shot: 28.7 mph
Distance: 7 ft
Type: rebound

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Erik Karlsson · 3rd 3:37 · PIT

Play: cycle
Passes: 2
Shot: 68.9 mph
Distance: 39 ft

Watch on NHL.com → · Tracking-derived via NHL EDGE

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.

Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Detroit Red WingsOct 18, 2023

Fantasy takeaways

Detroit Red Wings beat Pittsburgh Penguins 6–3

Shot map

Shot map

Game flow

Cumulative shot attempts

Shift chart

Shifts

Sequence card

Lines used

Pittsburgh Penguins

Detroit Red Wings

Scoring summary

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

Box score

Pittsburgh Penguins

Detroit Red Wings

Goal anatomy

Evgeni Malkin · 1st 0:53 · PIT

Alex DeBrincat · 1st 12:23 · DET

Bryan Rust · 3rd 13:03 · PIT

Andrew Copp · 3rd 18:28 · DET EN

Alex DeBrincat · 3rd 18:49 · DET EN

Ben Chiarot · 2nd 5:21 · DET

Andrew Copp · 2nd 15:42 · DET

David Perron · 2nd 17:49 · DET PP

Erik Karlsson · 3rd 3:37 · PIT