Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Buffalo SabresMar 1, 2019

Final / OTFriday, Mar 1, 2019· KeyBank Center

away

Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT

3

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Buffalo SabresBUF

4

Goals	1	2	3	OT	T		Shots	1	2	3	OT	T
PIT	1	2	0	0	3		PIT	20	13	8	3	44
BUF	2	0	1	1	4		BUF	7	9	11	3	30

: PIT 71BUF 50
: PIT 4.44BUF 2.67
PP goals: PIT 2BUF 1
Hits: PIT 24BUF 20
Blocks: PIT 15BUF 17
PIM: PIT 6BUF 10
: PIT 61%BUF 39%

Fantasy takeaways

Generated from the play-by-play, shifts and season context. No opinions, just what changed.

Buffalo Sabres edge Pittsburgh Penguins 4–3 (OT)

Buffalo Sabres beat Pittsburgh Penguins 4–3 in overtime at home. Conor Sheary (BUF) led the scoring with 2G 1A. PIT's first power-play unit (Malkin, Crosby, Hornqvist, Kessel and Schultz) scored 2 power-play goals on 2 attempts in 3:52 together.

Points
Conor Sheary had two goals and an assist (3 points) on 2 shots in 14:44.Sheary
Points
Brandon Montour had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 19:45.Montour
Points
Sidney Crosby had a goal and an assist (2 points) on 3 shots in 22:13.Crosby
Points
Justin Schultz had 2 assists (2 points) on 2 shots in 25:54.Schultz
PP1
PIT's first power-play unit (Malkin, Crosby, Hornqvist, Kessel and Schultz) scored 2 power-play goals on 2 attempts in 3:52 together.Malkin Crosby Hornqvist Kessel Schultz
Goalie
Linus Ullmark (BUF) faced 44 shots and stopped 41 (.932), +13 against a season average of 31.0; the win.Ullmark
New line
New look for BUF: Okposo–Sheary–Rodrigues skated 10:36 together at 5v5 as the L2 trio (47.1% of the shot attempts), a combination not used in the team's last 5 games.Okposo Sheary Rodrigues
Usage
Sam Reinhart (BUF) played 24:45, +5:52 up on his 18:53 season average over 81 games.Reinhart

Shot map

Both teams on one rink, filtered by strength and period.

Shot map

Every attempt, sized by expected goals. Goals are rings, shots on goal dots, misses hollow, blocks crosses.

Strength

Period

Team

← PIT attacks left (bottom on phones)BUF attacks right (top on phones) →

BUF
PIT
Goal
Shot on goal
Missed
Blocked

Showing 121 of 121 attempts · BUF 50 · PIT 71

Game flow

Cumulative expected goals and shot attempts, with power plays shaded and goals marked.

Cumulative shot attempts

BUF
PIT
Goal
Power play (shaded)

Pressure Index

BUF pressure
PIT pressure
Goal
Control (|PI| > 0.25)

: descriptive only, the team with more pressure scored the next goal about half the time. In control: PIT 41% of the game, BUF 21%.

Shift chart

Every shift, grouped by line and pair; bars are coloured by strength state. Click a player to highlight.

Shifts

BUF

PIT

goals / penalties

Even strength
Power play
Penalty kill
Goal
Penalty

Sequence card

5-on-5 possession-chain numbers from the sequence engine (Draw Equity and control cover all situations).

Sequence card
Stat	PIT	BUF
	64	47
	3.23	2.45
	3.06	2.37
	16	11
	5	2
	7	12
	+0.091	−0.091
	41%	21%

Definitions: sequence xG, transition attempts, Draw Equity, control and the Pressure Index.

Lines used

Detected from who actually shared the ice, with time together. Percentages are the unit's share of shot attempts.

Pittsburgh Penguins

L1Malkin – Kessel – Aston-Reese
12:5882% CF
L2Crosby – Hornqvist – Guentzel
12:5455% CF
L3Bjugstad – McCann – Simon
10:4665% CF
L4Cullen – Wilson – Blueger
5:367% CF
D1Johnson – Schultz
18:1442% CF
D2Gudbranson – Pettersson
17:0477% CF
D3Trotman – Riikola
9:1658% CF

PP1Malkin – Crosby – Hornqvist – Kessel – Schultz
3:5267% CF
PP2Bjugstad – Guentzel – Pettersson – Simon – Riikola
1:23100% CF
PK1FCullen – Aston-Reese
1:36
PK2FBlueger – McCann
1:23
PK1DJohnson – Gudbranson
1:01
PK2DTrotman – Pettersson
0:54

Current PIT line combinations →

Buffalo Sabres

L1Skinner – Reinhart – Eichel
14:4257% CF
L2Okposo – Sheary – Rodrigues
10:3647% CF
L3Wilson – Thompson – Mittelstadt
9:4035% CF
L4Pominville – Larsson – Girgensons
4:2420% CF
D1McCabe – Ristolainen
12:5132% CF
D2Hunwick – Montour
9:0532% CF
D3Bogosian – Dahlin
8:3246% CF

PP1Skinner – Ristolainen – Reinhart – Eichel – Dahlin
3:1371% CF
PP2Okposo – Sheary – Montour – Rodrigues – Mittelstadt
0:33100% CF
PK1FLarsson – Girgensons
3:29
PK2FEichel – Rodrigues
1:39
PK1DBogosian – McCabe
4:07
PK2DHunwick – Ristolainen
0:29

Current BUF line combinations →

Scoring summary

Every goal with the skaters on the ice for it.

1st period

3:09
BUFJack Eichel (Sam Reinhart)wrist0.12 xG
PIT: Crosby, Johnson, Hornqvist, Guentzel, PetterssonBUF: Bogosian, Skinner, Reinhart, Eichel, Dahlin
PIT 0 – 1 BUF
4:05
PITNick Bjugstad (Juuso Riikola, Dominik Simon)snap0.12 xG
PIT: Bjugstad, Trotman, McCann, Simon, RiikolaBUF: Pominville, Larsson, Girgensons, McCabe, Ristolainen
PIT 1 – 1 BUF
12:53
BUFConor ShearyPP (Kyle Okposo, Brandon Montour)wrist0.09 xG
PIT: Crosby, Johnson, Trotman, GuentzelBUF: Okposo, Sheary, Montour, Rodrigues, Mittelstadt
PIT 1 – 2 BUF

2nd period

17:18
PITPatric HornqvistPP (Justin Schultz, Sidney Crosby)deflected0.12 xG
PIT: Malkin, Crosby, Hornqvist, Kessel, SchultzBUF: Bogosian, McCabe, Eichel, Rodrigues
PIT 2 – 2 BUF
18:21
PITSidney CrosbyPP (Evgeni Malkin, Justin Schultz)snap0.12 xG
PIT: Malkin, Crosby, Hornqvist, Kessel, SchultzBUF: Bogosian, Larsson, McCabe, Rodrigues
PIT 3 – 2 BUF

3rd period

17:28
BUFBrandon Montour (Evan Rodrigues, Conor Sheary)wrist0.17 xG
PIT: Cullen, Malkin, Gudbranson, Pettersson, Aston-ReeseBUF: Okposo, Bogosian, Sheary, Montour, Rodrigues
PIT 3 – 3 BUF

OT period

4:11
BUFConor Shearywrist0.11 xG
PIT: Malkin, Kessel, PetterssonBUF: Reinhart, Eichel, Dahlin
PIT 3 – 4 BUF

Box score

Skaters grouped by the line they played on; CF% is the 5v5 share of shot attempts while on the ice.

Pittsburgh Penguins

PIT skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Evgeni Malkin C	L1	0	1	1	-2	4	0.64	1	0	2	22:47	—	—	73	67
Phil Kessel R	L1	0	0	0	-1	7	1.53	0	0	0	21:20	—	—	81	81
Zachary Aston-Reese L	L1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.15	1	0	0	15:24	—	—	74	68
Sidney Crosby C	L2	1	1	2	-1	3	0.38	1	1	0	22:13	—	—	61	53
Jake Guentzel C	L2	0	0	0	-1	2	0.20	1	0	0	18:46	—	—	62	58
Patric Hornqvist R	L2	1	0	1	-1	5	0.20	1	1	2	17:21	—	—	61	54
Jared McCann L	L3	0	0	0	+1	0	0.16	1	1	0	16:12	—	—	64	77
Nick Bjugstad C	L3	1	0	1	+1	1	0.16	3	0	0	15:43	—	—	67	80
Dominik Simon C	L3	0	1	1	+1	6	0.40	0	0	0	13:42	—	—	68	80
Matt Cullen C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.14	0	0	0	8:28	—	—	25	16
Teddy Blueger C	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	8:25	—	—	13	2
Garrett Wilson L	L4	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	2	6:42	—	—	7	2
Justin Schultz D	D1	0	2	2	0	2	0.04	0	3	0	25:54	—	—	44	51
Jack Johnson D	D1	0	0	0	-1	2	0.11	4	2	0	24:38	—	—	46	44
Marcus Pettersson D	D2	0	0	0	-3	2	0.03	3	3	0	24:38	—	—	74	72
Erik Gudbranson D	D2	0	0	0	-1	3	0.20	2	1	0	20:19	—	—	74	62
Juuso Riikola D	D3	0	1	1	+1	2	0.06	4	0	0	12:31	—	—	60	56
Zach Trotman D	D3	0	0	0	+1	2	0.04	2	2	0	12:02	—	—	62	58

PIT goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Matt Murray(start)	O	30	26	4	.867	2.67	63:48

Buffalo Sabres

BUF skaters
Skater	Line	G	A	P	+/-			Hits	Blk	PIM		PP	SH
Jack Eichel C	L1	1	0	1	+2	4	0.64	0	3	0	25:16	—	—	49	56
Sam Reinhart C	L1	0	1	1	+1	3	0.20	1	1	0	24:45	—	—	45	52
Jeff Skinner L	L1	0	0	0	+1	6	0.49	0	0	0	20:16	—	—	55	64
Evan Rodrigues C	L2	0	1	1	+1	2	0.16	0	2	0	20:09	—	—	48	44
Conor Sheary L	L2	2	1	3	+2	2	0.32	0	0	0	14:44	—	—	55	63
Kyle Okposo R	L2	0	1	1	+1	2	0.07	1	0	0	13:09	—	—	47	65
Scott Wilson C	L3	0	0	0	0	3	0.25	4	0	4	12:03	—	—	37	30
Casey Mittelstadt C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	11:59	—	—	35	29
Tage Thompson C	L3	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	10:48	—	—	48	30
Johan Larsson L	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	1	0	11:55	—	—	17	20
Zemgus Girgensons C	L4	0	0	0	-1	1	0.17	3	0	0	10:23	—	—	19	17
Jason Pominville R	L4	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	5:15	—	—	20	29
Rasmus Ristolainen D	D1	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	4	3	0	26:22	—	—	41	42
Jake McCabe D	D1	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	4	0	20:01	—	—	31	29
Brandon Montour D	D2	1	1	2	+1	3	0.20	3	2	2	19:45	—	—	50	57
Matt Hunwick D	D2	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	4	14:19	—	—	34	35
Rasmus Dahlin D	D3	0	0	0	+2	2	0.14	1	0	0	22:04	—	—	52	58
Zach Bogosian D	D3	0	0	0	+2	1	0.02	0	1	0	21:24	—	—	46	40

BUF goalies
Goalie	Dec	SA	SV	GA			TOI
Linus Ullmark(start)	W	44	41	3	.932	4.44	64:11

More

Methodology

Shot locations come from the NHL play-by-play, normalised so each shooter attacks the same way, then flipped so the home team attacks right. On-ice stats and lines come from the shift charts: a unit is the exact set of skaters sharing the ice, and CF% is the share of all shot attempts while they were out. Head-to-head cells are 5v5 time against each opponent. Expected goals and the Pressure Index appear as their models are released.